Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 28 February 2011 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 28 February 2011, Stoke vs West_Brom; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         27   60  +36      81.99     4.06    47.91    74.12    96.72    99.77    99.98   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         27   56  +30      77.83     4.28    41.03    24.26    86.60    97.58    99.59   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        28   50  +19      67.07     3.98    24.26     0.07     2.13    23.22    68.48    99.85     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       27   47   +7      65.22     4.25    11.95     0.04     1.29    12.33    41.22    99.24     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         26   45  +24      70.40     4.17    38.86     1.51    13.27    67.06    90.11    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       28   39   +1      54.33     4.18     3.31     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.51    48.56     0.00R    0.00  
Bolton          28   37   +1      49.15     4.10    -1.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     8.52     0.36R    0.01  
Sunderland      28   37   -2      50.17     4.05    -3.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    12.35     0.18R    0.00  
Newcastle       28   36   +4      49.75     4.06     3.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    12.91     0.25R    0.01  
Stoke           28   34   -3      45.47     4.00    -6.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.37     3.89R    0.30  
Everton         27   33   -1      49.31     4.39     0.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    10.49     0.73R    0.07  
Aston_Villa     28   33  -12      47.25     4.15   -11.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.73     2.23R    0.16  
Fulham          28   32   +0      44.98     4.02    -0.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.64     4.60R    0.30  
Blackburn       28   32  -11      43.38     4.00   -15.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.35    12.19R    1.29  
Blackpool       28   32  -13      41.47     3.82   -21.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10    24.69R    3.85  
Birmingham      26   30  -10      43.60     4.35   -14.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.87    12.69R    1.84  
West_Brom       28   29  -17      38.33     3.99   -24.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    57.21R   17.48  
Wolverhampton   28   28  -15      39.17     4.04   -18.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    44.54R   11.03  
West_Ham        28   28  -16      38.35     3.87   -22.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.05R   16.85  
Wigan           28   27  -22      35.68     3.73   -30.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.39R   46.79  

Adjustments:
Plymouth        -10


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 February 2011, Barnsley vs Norwich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              34   67  +36      88.13     4.64    42.75    73.25    90.52    99.94    93.31P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          34   62  +18      81.12     4.68    21.90     8.93    35.56    95.92    51.27P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          34   61  +17      81.37     4.74    22.87    11.22    38.43    96.63    54.69P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          34   59  +12      77.43     4.74    15.09     2.17    12.13    83.63    27.49P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    33   58  +16      78.60     4.90    20.16     3.93    19.44    87.97    38.70P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     34   54   +7      71.55     4.86     8.61     0.19     1.27    38.72     8.57P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        34   52   +0      69.13     4.72     1.03     0.02     0.27    19.31     4.52P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          32   50  +10      71.42     5.27    13.22     0.27     2.10    40.22    11.69P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             34   49   +4      65.94     4.64     4.92     0.00     0.07     7.11     1.78P    0.00R    0.00  
Reading          34   48  +12      68.18     4.73    17.61     0.01     0.16    18.07     5.17P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         34   47   +6      63.11     4.67     5.71     0.00     0.01     2.46     0.50P    0.01R    0.00  
Watford          33   46   +8      64.28     5.01     8.47     0.00     0.03     5.30     1.16P    0.01R    0.00  
Portsmouth       33   44   -1      64.06     4.95     2.32     0.00     0.02     4.22     1.06P    0.03R    0.00  
Bristol_City     34   42   -6      57.35     4.69    -7.51     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.01P    0.82R    0.00  
Barnsley         34   42  -12      56.17     4.58   -15.52     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    1.86R    0.01  
Ipswich          33   40   -2      57.31     4.83    -2.82     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.04P    1.04R    0.01  
Coventry         33   40   -3      56.07     4.82    -5.44     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P    1.72R    0.02  
Derby            33   39   -3      55.09     4.78    -5.67     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00P    2.76R    0.03  
Doncaster        33   39  -17      53.96     4.80   -21.45     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    5.70R    0.11  
Middlesbrough    32   36   -6      55.25     5.08    -5.90     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    3.18R    0.05  
Crystal_Palace   34   35  -21      48.68     4.51   -25.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.82R    1.55  
Scunthorpe       32   31  -25      44.47     4.79   -34.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.59R   12.38  
Sheff_Utd        34   29  -24      42.58     4.54   -28.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.11R   19.23  
Preston          33   24  -26      37.68     4.72   -32.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.34R   66.61  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 February 2011, Brentford vs Bristol_Rovers; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         30   59  +33      86.54     5.54    41.28    63.93    85.10    99.63    89.29P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      33   58  +23      78.38     5.00    26.75     6.78    26.26    91.80    41.44P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     32   53  +15      76.23     5.22    21.18     3.49    14.30    81.80    32.83P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     32   53  +12      75.62     5.34    17.48     2.61    12.36    76.96    26.71P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      30   52  +26      81.37     5.47    37.59    21.95    54.45    96.07    70.60P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          34   52   -1      67.83     4.73    -2.10     0.02     0.32    18.53     3.54P    0.00R    0.00  
Charlton         30   47   +5      72.33     5.64    10.03     0.98     5.19    53.44    17.79P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           33   46   -1      62.58     4.88    -2.70     0.00     0.01     3.36     0.64P    0.44R    0.00  
Rochdale         30   45   +8      66.29     5.63     6.94     0.08     0.60    17.20     3.73P    0.09R    0.00  
Colchester       32   45   -2      65.70     5.18     0.33     0.02     0.16    10.80     2.26P    0.13R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    30   44   +9      67.82     5.67    11.71     0.12     0.97    24.96     5.48P    0.06R    0.00  
Hartlepool       32   44  -13      60.61     5.04   -17.22     0.00     0.01     1.58     0.20P    2.11R    0.01  
Carlisle         31   42   +6      62.65     5.35     5.98     0.01     0.06     5.57     1.24P    0.59R    0.01  
Brentford        31   42   -3      60.34     5.22    -6.17     0.00     0.01     1.84     0.27P    1.92R    0.02  
Exeter           32   42   -7      60.00     5.13    -9.28     0.00     0.00     1.24     0.16P    2.78R    0.03  
Sheff_Wed        31   40   +3      64.81     5.43     9.32     0.02     0.12    10.47     2.80P    0.37R    0.00  
Notts_County     28   38   +1      61.27     6.02    -1.01     0.01     0.08     4.55     0.98P    2.47R    0.05  
Tranmere         31   37   -6      55.49     5.22    -9.21     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.03P   12.92R    0.53  
Yeovil           31   36  -14      53.28     5.14   -19.02     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   26.19R    1.58  
Plymouth         33   36  -18      52.15     4.97   -20.87     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   34.10R    2.40  
Swindon          33   31  -16      48.25     4.90   -17.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.56R    9.37  
Walsall          33   31  -18      45.53     4.78   -23.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.72R   21.35  
Bristol_Rovers   32   30  -29      44.51     4.94   -37.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.43R   34.32  
Dag_&_Red        30   29  -13      44.75     5.34   -23.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.10R   30.34  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 February 2011, Accrington_Stanley vs Torquay; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         33   62  +23      82.96     5.06    27.64    57.27    88.46    99.41    91.16P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              32   56  +11      78.19     5.22    15.56    16.69    58.90    93.46    68.03P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            32   53  +17      75.52     5.22    21.97     8.75    41.79    86.80    53.37P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           32   52  +19      74.75     5.13    24.33     6.46    36.53    84.66    49.63P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 31   51  +19      74.49     5.37    23.41     7.30    35.06    82.24    47.05P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            32   51   +7      72.31     5.08    10.24     2.05    17.21    66.89    28.31P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           33   48   +6      68.77     4.98    10.32     0.37     5.36    41.03    14.67P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             32   47   +5      69.79     5.24    10.29     0.70     8.52    48.97    19.90P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           33   47   +2      63.98     4.94     0.97     0.02     0.70    11.30     2.64P    0.00R    0.00  
Stevenage            32   45  +12      65.79     5.15    14.42     0.09     2.13    23.34     7.36P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              31   44  +10      65.18     5.40    10.89     0.16     2.28    20.60     6.59P    0.01R    0.00  
Crewe                32   42   +8      65.25     5.31    14.51     0.09     1.74    21.06     6.46P    0.02R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   30   42   -1      63.99     5.57    -1.05     0.05     1.18    13.78     3.28P    0.07R    0.00  
Cheltenham           33   41   -8      57.67     4.96    -9.98     0.00     0.01     0.93     0.16P    0.64R    0.06  
Northampton          32   40   -3      60.20     5.24    -1.48     0.00     0.10     3.46     0.98P    0.22R    0.01  
Lincoln_City         31   38  -16      53.84     5.12   -23.05     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.04P    3.98R    0.34  
Hereford             31   37   -7      54.42     5.24   -11.73     0.00     0.00     0.30     0.04P    3.21R    0.33  
Aldershot            32   37   -8      55.63     5.11    -8.69     0.00     0.01     0.34     0.09P    1.93R    0.21  
Morecambe            33   37  -10      53.44     4.92   -12.31     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P    4.08R    0.38  
Bradford             32   37  -11      54.17     5.11   -13.81     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.05P    3.09R    0.34  
Macclesfield         30   35   -9      53.06     5.38   -14.92     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.04P    5.52R    0.68  
Barnet               33   30  -20      42.88     4.70   -27.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.57R   25.07  
Burton_Albion        27   29   -6      53.69     6.24    -8.29     0.00     0.02     0.74     0.14P    6.95R    1.48  
Stockport            33   28  -40      39.35     4.56   -51.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.72R   71.08  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 February 2011, AFC_Wimbledon vs Altrincham; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
AFC_Wimbledon      35   70  +30      88.41     4.50    35.08    11.59    99.73    32.72P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       30   67  +36      94.56     5.48    44.75    62.00    99.98    72.41P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      35   62  +13      76.30     4.39    11.62     0.04    57.49     8.88P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            34   59  +12      78.96     4.55    17.44     0.12    79.28    15.05P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              30   58  +33      90.18     5.20    49.85    26.26    99.67    58.84P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     35   54  +17      70.84     4.47    19.72     0.00    16.95     2.88P    0.00     0.00  
York               32   48   +2      69.76     5.05     6.03     0.00    11.21     2.02P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     33   46   +6      64.63     5.02     7.24     0.00     2.08     0.28P    0.00R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   31   46   +5      68.54     5.23     8.20     0.00     9.58     2.03P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            32   45   +9      68.34     5.19    15.37     0.00     9.17     2.04P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          31   45   +5      64.57     5.31     3.33     0.00     2.40     0.22P    0.00R    0.00  
Bath_City          34   45   +0      59.83     4.72    -2.87     0.00     0.10     0.01P    0.01R    0.00  
Darlington         31   44  +10      67.99     5.31    15.03     0.00     8.88     2.10P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          31   43   +4      65.33     5.42     6.49     0.00     3.41     0.52P    0.00R    0.00  
Kettering          33   42   -6      59.90     4.83    -5.91     0.00     0.08     0.01P    0.03R    0.00  
Tamworth           33   38  -11      52.81     4.67   -16.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.57R    0.03  
Cambridge_Utd      34   37   -7      53.93     4.66    -6.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.86R    0.03  
Forest_Green       33   35  -17      49.48     4.75   -22.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.56R    0.62  
Southport          32   32   -6      48.43     5.01   -10.56     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.33R    1.85  
Histon             33   32  -22      44.51     4.54   -30.38     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.85R    5.79  
Hayes_&_Yeading    34   31  -28      41.68     4.26   -37.96     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.08R   18.04  
Barrow             32   29  -17      44.12     4.84   -24.02     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.87R    9.13  
Altrincham         33   29  -37      43.49     4.74   -42.57     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.20R   13.66  
Eastbourne_Boro    33   26  -31      38.45     4.55   -41.03     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.62R   50.85