Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 27 February 2011 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 27 February 2011, Man_City vs Fulham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         27   60  +36      81.96     4.08    47.88    73.92    96.77    99.81    99.98   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         27   56  +30      77.84     4.27    41.07    24.63    86.77    97.72    99.68   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        28   50  +19      67.03     4.02    24.21     0.04     2.13    23.39    68.16    99.81     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       27   47   +7      65.19     4.25    11.87     0.04     1.14    12.44    41.53    99.05     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         26   45  +24      70.35     4.17    38.84     1.38    13.19    66.61    90.01    99.96     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       28   39   +1      54.40     4.19     3.41     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.54    48.54     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          28   37   +1      49.15     4.12    -1.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     8.44     0.39R    0.01  
Sunderland      28   37   -2      50.17     4.01    -3.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    11.74     0.23R    0.01  
Newcastle       28   36   +4      49.70     4.09     3.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    12.55     0.36R    0.01  
Everton         27   33   -1      49.41     4.39     0.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    10.88     0.64R    0.03  
Stoke           27   33   -3      46.36     4.25    -5.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.49     3.31R    0.30  
Aston_Villa     28   33  -12      47.27     4.17   -11.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.82     2.29R    0.16  
Fulham          28   32   +0      44.90     4.01    -1.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.48     4.80R    0.35  
Blackburn       28   32  -11      43.39     3.98   -15.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.34    11.85R    1.13  
Blackpool       28   32  -13      41.55     3.84   -21.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08    24.18R    3.74  
Birmingham      26   30  -10      43.61     4.32   -14.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.78    12.48R    1.66  
Wolverhampton   28   28  -15      39.07     4.05   -18.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    45.31R   11.29  
West_Ham        28   28  -16      38.32     3.89   -22.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.10R   16.68  
West_Brom       27   28  -17      38.19     4.18   -25.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    58.23R   19.22  
Wigan           28   27  -22      35.71     3.75   -30.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.83R   45.43  

Adjustments:
Plymouth        -10


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 February 2011, Barnsley vs Norwich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              34   67  +36      88.08     4.66    42.68    73.11    90.11    99.95    93.12P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          34   62  +18      81.13     4.64    21.91     8.79    36.00    96.07    52.01P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          34   61  +17      81.40     4.75    22.88    11.57    39.21    96.55    55.27P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          34   59  +12      77.37     4.70    15.01     2.11    11.75    83.07    26.89P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    33   58  +16      78.61     4.87    20.18     4.00    19.15    88.18    38.21P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     34   54   +7      71.49     4.87     8.53     0.15     1.18    38.03     8.30P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        34   52   +0      69.07     4.71     0.92     0.02     0.24    18.95     4.28P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          32   50  +10      71.45     5.26    13.30     0.24     2.11    40.58    11.70P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             34   49   +4      65.95     4.66     4.93     0.00     0.05     7.11     1.80P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          34   48  +12      68.22     4.74    17.69     0.01     0.16    18.79     5.48P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         34   47   +6      63.14     4.69     5.75     0.00     0.00     2.59     0.50P    0.01R    0.00  
Watford          33   46   +8      64.35     4.98     8.59     0.00     0.03     5.54     1.25P    0.01R    0.00  
Portsmouth       33   44   -1      64.13     4.96     2.43     0.00     0.02     4.14     1.08P    0.03R    0.00  
Bristol_City     34   42   -6      57.39     4.66    -7.47     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P    0.75R    0.01  
Barnsley         34   42  -12      56.17     4.56   -15.53     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    2.00R    0.01  
Ipswich          33   40   -2      57.32     4.86    -2.78     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.05P    1.05R    0.00  
Coventry         33   40   -3      56.04     4.79    -5.45     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    1.78R    0.02  
Derby            33   39   -3      55.10     4.79    -5.68     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P    2.71R    0.02  
Doncaster        33   39  -17      53.98     4.81   -21.39     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    5.87R    0.12  
Middlesbrough    32   36   -6      55.20     5.08    -5.97     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P    3.12R    0.05  
Crystal_Palace   34   35  -21      48.69     4.47   -24.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.73R    1.40  
Scunthorpe       32   31  -25      44.54     4.81   -34.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.66R   12.11  
Sheff_Utd        34   29  -24      42.48     4.49   -28.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.72R   19.26  
Preston          33   24  -26      37.61     4.70   -33.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.53R   67.01  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 February 2011, Brentford vs Bristol_Rovers; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         30   59  +33      86.58     5.56    41.39    64.44    85.36    99.62    89.45P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      33   58  +23      78.25     5.01    26.62     6.31    25.43    91.36    40.34P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     32   53  +15      76.27     5.22    21.25     3.54    14.60    81.80    32.69P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     32   53  +12      75.68     5.31    17.56     2.62    12.16    77.34    26.71P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      30   52  +26      81.40     5.42    37.62    21.79    54.77    96.25    70.68P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          34   52   -1      67.96     4.73    -1.89     0.03     0.36    18.86     3.76P    0.00R    0.00  
Charlton         30   47   +5      72.42     5.62    10.17     0.99     5.33    54.22    18.22P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           33   46   -1      62.61     4.89    -2.70     0.00     0.01     3.28     0.60P    0.43R    0.00  
Rochdale         30   45   +8      66.34     5.68     7.02     0.11     0.69    17.34     3.99P    0.13R    0.00  
Colchester       32   45   -2      65.73     5.18     0.36     0.02     0.14    10.95     2.46P    0.12R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    30   44   +9      67.78     5.66    11.65     0.12     0.85    24.63     5.38P    0.07R    0.00  
Hartlepool       32   44  -13      60.57     5.01   -17.28     0.00     0.01     1.46     0.20P    2.00R    0.01  
Carlisle         31   42   +6      62.56     5.34     5.81     0.01     0.08     5.11     1.18P    0.65R    0.00  
Brentford        31   42   -3      60.35     5.25    -6.15     0.00     0.01     1.79     0.34P    2.03R    0.01  
Exeter           32   42   -7      59.98     5.09    -9.28     0.00     0.00     1.20     0.15P    2.70R    0.03  
Sheff_Wed        31   40   +3      64.91     5.39     9.49     0.01     0.15    10.43     2.94P    0.32R    0.00  
Notts_County     28   38   +1      61.08     5.99    -1.31     0.01     0.06     4.11     0.87P    2.62R    0.05  
Tranmere         31   37   -6      55.44     5.21    -9.25     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.04P   13.13R    0.49  
Yeovil           31   36  -14      53.43     5.15   -18.81     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   24.69R    1.41  
Plymouth         33   36  -18      52.09     4.94   -20.92     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    34.18R    2.40  
Swindon          33   31  -16      48.20     4.88   -17.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.90R    9.17  
Walsall          33   31  -18      45.49     4.78   -23.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.05R   21.69  
Bristol_Rovers   32   30  -29      44.52     4.92   -37.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.37R   33.90  
Dag_&_Red        30   29  -13      44.66     5.33   -23.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.62R   30.84  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 February 2011, Accrington_Stanley vs Torquay; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         33   62  +23      82.95     5.08    27.61    57.34    88.26    99.33    91.10P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              32   56  +11      78.04     5.26    15.33    16.14    57.63    92.97    66.54P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            32   53  +17      75.48     5.23    21.88     8.74    41.22    86.43    52.94P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           32   52  +19      74.78     5.10    24.34     6.58    36.83    84.68    49.87P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 31   51  +19      74.64     5.36    23.61     7.52    36.41    82.76    48.35P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            32   51   +7      72.30     5.11    10.21     2.10    17.31    66.70    28.04P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           33   48   +6      68.82     4.99    10.39     0.38     5.38    41.72    15.06P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             32   47   +5      69.80     5.28    10.33     0.73     8.56    49.18    20.12P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           33   47   +2      63.99     4.97     0.96     0.03     0.76    11.50     2.76P    0.00R    0.00  
Stevenage            32   45  +12      65.79     5.15    14.45     0.11     2.17    23.46     7.38P    0.00R    0.00  
Torquay              31   44  +10      65.21     5.41    10.93     0.17     2.42    20.74     6.70P    0.01R    0.00  
Crewe                32   42   +8      65.24     5.30    14.51     0.09     1.73    20.85     6.48P    0.01R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   30   42   -1      63.82     5.65    -1.28     0.06     1.14    13.34     3.18P    0.04R    0.00  
Cheltenham           33   41   -8      57.62     4.92   -10.05     0.00     0.01     0.80     0.12P    0.61R    0.06  
Northampton          32   40   -3      60.25     5.20    -1.39     0.00     0.12     3.34     0.93P    0.17R    0.01  
Lincoln_City         31   38  -16      53.83     5.10   -23.06     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.03P    3.95R    0.35  
Hereford             31   37   -7      54.44     5.24   -11.73     0.00     0.00     0.32     0.06P    3.31R    0.35  
Aldershot            32   37   -8      55.56     5.15    -8.78     0.00     0.01     0.40     0.07P    2.02R    0.29  
Morecambe            33   37  -10      53.34     4.91   -12.47     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P    4.42R    0.51  
Bradford             32   37  -11      54.19     5.10   -13.79     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.05P    3.15R    0.27  
Macclesfield         30   35   -9      53.08     5.41   -14.86     0.00     0.01     0.20     0.03P    5.60R    0.71  
Barnet               33   30  -20      42.94     4.71   -27.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.28R   25.22  
Burton_Albion        27   29   -6      53.86     6.29    -8.06     0.00     0.03     0.78     0.17P    6.94R    1.48  
Stockport            33   28  -40      39.40     4.59   -51.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.48R   70.75  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 February 2011, AFC_Wimbledon vs Altrincham; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
AFC_Wimbledon      35   70  +30      88.39     4.49    35.08    11.48    99.74    32.47P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       30   67  +36      94.61     5.49    44.85    62.67    99.97    72.98P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      35   62  +13      76.22     4.38    11.50     0.04    56.59     8.67P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            34   59  +12      79.00     4.52    17.53     0.12    79.92    14.94P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              30   58  +33      90.23     5.16    49.91    25.69    99.69    58.70P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     35   54  +17      70.80     4.49    19.65     0.00    16.61     2.87P    0.00     0.00  
York               32   48   +2      69.74     5.05     5.98     0.00    11.13     2.11P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     33   46   +6      64.57     5.02     7.19     0.00     1.94     0.26P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   31   46   +5      68.52     5.24     8.14     0.00     9.80     2.00P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            32   45   +9      68.40     5.19    15.45     0.00     9.47     2.11P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          31   45   +5      64.53     5.30     3.34     0.00     2.29     0.21P    0.00     0.00  
Bath_City          34   45   +0      59.80     4.74    -2.92     0.00     0.12     0.02P    0.00R    0.00  
Darlington         31   44  +10      68.13     5.32    15.25     0.00     9.42     2.14P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          31   43   +4      65.31     5.39     6.45     0.00     3.19     0.49P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering          33   42   -6      59.83     4.82    -5.99     0.00     0.11     0.02P    0.02R    0.00  
Tamworth           33   38  -11      52.78     4.67   -16.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.57R    0.05  
Cambridge_Utd      34   37   -7      53.89     4.65    -6.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.94R    0.02  
Forest_Green       33   35  -17      49.47     4.75   -22.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.78R    0.61  
Southport          32   32   -6      48.52     5.02   -10.42     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.06R    1.63  
Histon             33   32  -22      44.48     4.54   -30.41     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.32R    6.04  
Hayes_&_Yeading    34   31  -28      41.68     4.28   -38.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.87R   18.33  
Barrow             32   29  -17      44.18     4.87   -23.91     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.66R    8.75  
Altrincham         33   29  -37      43.58     4.71   -42.40     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.61R   12.87  
Eastbourne_Boro    33   26  -31      38.34     4.53   -41.24     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.17R   51.70