Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 24 February 2011 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 23 February 2011, Arsenal vs Stoke; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         26   57  +32      80.96     4.29    44.67    66.76    94.14    99.21    99.94   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         27   56  +30      77.85     4.29    41.02    30.78    85.63    97.11    99.57   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        27   49  +19      68.06     4.25    25.15     0.25     4.08    29.41    72.94    99.73     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       27   47   +7      65.19     4.24    11.86     0.04     1.24    10.84    36.46    98.56     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         26   45  +24      70.54     4.14    39.05     2.17    14.90    63.31    89.40    99.95     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       27   39   +3      56.38     4.42     6.32     0.00     0.01     0.12     1.55    60.09     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland      27   37   +0      51.24     4.24    -1.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07    12.86     0.10R    0.00  
Bolton          27   36   +1      48.94     4.29    -2.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     5.49     0.39R    0.01  
Newcastle       27   35   +4      50.77     4.35     4.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05    13.68     0.17R    0.00  
Stoke           27   33   -3      46.31     4.23    -5.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.44     2.55R    0.17  
Blackburn       27   32   -8      44.67     4.22   -12.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.51     5.91R    0.45  
Blackpool       27   32   -9      42.88     4.12   -17.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.19    13.09R    1.52  
Fulham          27   31   +0      44.51     4.20    -2.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.84     5.22R    0.40  
Everton         26   30   -3      48.08     4.64    -0.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     4.86     1.51R    0.13  
Birmingham      26   30  -10      43.53     4.34   -14.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.46    10.87R    1.35  
Aston_Villa     27   30  -15      45.87     4.41   -14.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.31     4.88R    0.59  
West_Brom       27   28  -17      38.21     4.17   -25.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    53.60R   15.35  
Wigan           27   27  -18      36.46     3.92   -27.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.97R   28.96  
West_Ham        27   25  -18      36.04     4.10   -25.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.88R   31.45  
Wolverhampton   27   25  -19      37.37     4.28   -22.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    58.86R   19.62  

Adjustments:
Plymouth        -10


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 22 February 2011, Cardiff vs Leicester; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              33   64  +33      86.08     4.88    39.13    66.50    85.50    99.69    89.55P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          33   59  +15      79.51     4.92    18.97     9.86    32.21    90.65    47.04P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          33   58  +15      79.43     4.95    20.42    10.81    32.35    91.24    48.88P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    32   57  +16      78.93     5.08    20.17     8.71    29.98    88.13    46.06P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          33   56  +10      75.61     4.92    12.79     2.42    10.51    70.70    23.51P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     33   54  +10      72.92     5.07    11.67     1.03     4.82    50.80    14.43P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        33   51   +0      70.06     4.96     1.85     0.18     1.06    26.11     6.70P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             33   49   +6      67.84     4.88     7.64     0.05     0.52    15.52     4.25P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          33   47  +12      68.63     4.93    17.72     0.05     0.64    22.17     6.78P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          31   47   +9      69.94     5.49    12.46     0.38     2.22    30.88     9.60P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         33   46   +6      63.50     4.92     5.72     0.00     0.05     3.69     0.80P    0.01R    0.00  
Watford          32   45   +8      64.60     5.23     8.39     0.01     0.13     6.96     1.57P    0.02R    0.00  
Barnsley         33   42  -10      57.66     4.84   -13.28     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P    1.68R    0.04  
Portsmouth       32   41   -3      62.04     5.21    -0.25     0.00     0.02     2.30     0.60P    0.26R    0.00  
Ipswich          32   40   +0      59.17     5.09    -0.08     0.00     0.00     0.67     0.13P    0.72R    0.01  
Coventry         32   39   -3      55.95     5.01    -6.11     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P    3.10R    0.07  
Bristol_City     33   39   -8      56.14     4.89    -8.90     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    2.97R    0.07  
Doncaster        32   38  -17      54.22     5.00   -21.74     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P    7.84R    0.34  
Middlesbrough    31   36   -3      56.90     5.28    -2.48     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.05P    2.49R    0.05  
Derby            32   36   -4      53.18     4.99    -7.10     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     9.21R    0.29  
Crystal_Palace   33   34  -21      48.74     4.69   -25.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.69R    3.20  
Scunthorpe       31   31  -23      45.70     5.02   -32.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.86R   12.99  
Sheff_Utd        33   29  -23      44.26     4.75   -26.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.49R   16.88  
Preston          32   24  -25      38.85     4.95   -32.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.66R   66.05  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 22 February 2011, Bournemouth vs Sheff_Wed; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         29   59  +34      88.29     5.74    42.88    74.54    90.65    99.84    93.39P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      32   55  +22      76.96     5.26    26.06     3.91    20.52    85.94    35.85P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     31   52  +15      77.24     5.39    22.15     4.27    20.87    85.62    38.99P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     31   50   +7      73.09     5.55    10.76     0.86     6.21    59.18    17.21P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      29   49  +23      80.38     5.63    35.62    14.49    48.57    94.16    66.15P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          33   49   -2      66.09     4.93    -3.24     0.02     0.28    11.93     2.36P    0.03R    0.00  
Charlton         29   47   +6      73.95     5.82    11.43     1.60     9.75    64.78    24.15P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           32   46   +4      64.78     5.13     3.50     0.00     0.09     9.29     1.72P    0.12R    0.00  
Colchester       31   45   -1      67.12     5.39     1.38     0.05     0.49    17.81     4.20P    0.05R    0.00  
Rochdale         29   44   +8      66.76     5.90     7.06     0.12     1.00    20.37     4.67P    0.09R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    29   43   +9      67.71     5.82    10.95     0.10     1.18    25.53     5.80P    0.07R    0.00  
Carlisle         30   42   +7      64.36     5.56     7.44     0.02     0.20    10.41     2.29P    0.39R    0.01  
Exeter           31   42   -6      61.80     5.35    -7.60     0.00     0.03     3.15     0.41P    1.47R    0.02  
Hartlepool       31   41  -14      58.58     5.19   -18.87     0.00     0.01     0.71     0.11P    5.22R    0.11  
Brentford        30   39   -4      59.08     5.47    -6.68     0.00     0.01     1.30     0.24P    4.01R    0.10  
Sheff_Wed        30   37   +2      63.03     5.62     8.10     0.01     0.08     6.78     1.83P    0.98R    0.03  
Tranmere         30   37   -5      57.15     5.44    -7.79     0.00     0.00     0.55     0.07P    8.01R    0.33  
Notts_County     27   35   +0      59.15     6.22    -2.78     0.00     0.04     2.62     0.57P    5.70R    0.32  
Yeovil           30   33  -15      51.10     5.32   -20.77     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   40.80R    5.19  
Plymouth         32   33  -19      50.31     5.16   -22.13     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    46.89R    6.71  
Swindon          32   31  -13      49.05     5.06   -15.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.20R    8.68  
Walsall          32   30  -18      45.98     5.02   -23.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.72R   23.07  
Bristol_Rovers   31   30  -28      45.59     5.17   -36.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.28R   30.21  
Dag_&_Red        29   29  -12      46.04     5.56   -22.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.96R   25.22  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 22 February 2011, Accrington_Stanley vs Crewe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         32   62  +25      85.33     5.29    31.16    73.60    94.98    99.79    96.22P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              31   53  +10      76.67     5.48    14.72     9.19    50.38    88.52    60.28P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           31   51  +19      75.41     5.35    24.74     6.53    45.15    86.33    56.66P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            31   50  +15      73.72     5.44    19.68     3.99    31.80    78.08    43.98P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 30   48  +17      73.01     5.60    21.68     3.73    29.01    73.87    40.38P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            31   48   +6      70.62     5.34     9.15     1.01    12.94    55.00    22.21P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           32   47   +6      68.92     5.24    10.05     0.44     7.50    43.65    17.08P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           32   47   +4      65.95     5.17     3.79     0.08     2.43    22.15     6.04P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             31   46   +5      70.51     5.50    10.80     0.84    13.42    55.31    25.31P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              30   44  +11      66.86     5.68    12.35     0.31     5.67    31.98    11.74P    0.00R    0.00  
Crewe                31   42  +10      66.51     5.52    16.27     0.23     4.33    30.73    10.90P    0.01R    0.00  
Stevenage            31   42   +8      63.70     5.35     9.83     0.03     1.20    14.30     4.41P    0.01R    0.00  
Cheltenham           32   41   -4      59.00     5.18    -5.97     0.00     0.08     2.32     0.52P    0.25R    0.02  
Accrington_Stanley   29   39   -2      61.92     5.87    -2.82     0.02     0.74     9.27     2.15P    0.13R    0.02  
Northampton          31   39   -3      60.27     5.44    -1.92     0.00     0.20     4.31     1.27P    0.18R    0.01  
Lincoln_City         30   38  -14      55.31     5.34   -20.76     0.00     0.02     0.63     0.08P    1.86R    0.20  
Aldershot            31   37   -7      57.11     5.35    -7.48     0.00     0.02     1.15     0.23P    0.88R    0.11  
Macclesfield         29   35   -8      54.38     5.65   -14.05     0.00     0.02     0.51     0.08P    3.23R    0.47  
Hereford             30   34   -9      52.29     5.49   -14.54     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.04P    6.33R    1.15  
Morecambe            32   34  -12      50.98     5.06   -15.67     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    8.37R    1.50  
Bradford             31   34  -12      53.01     5.30   -14.10     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.03P    4.66R    0.74  
Burton_Albion        26   29   -4      55.38     6.44    -5.75     0.00     0.09     1.73     0.39P    3.41R    0.76  
Stockport            32   28  -39      40.25     4.77   -50.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.49R   55.00  
Barnet               32   27  -22      41.04     4.88   -30.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.18R   40.03  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 22 February 2011, AFC_Wimbledon vs Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
AFC_Wimbledon      34   67  +27      87.58     4.69    33.42    10.29    99.29    30.89P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       29   64  +35      93.94     5.64    45.35    59.34    99.92    70.84P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            33   59  +13      80.26     4.75    18.40     0.45    83.62    16.45P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      34   59  +12      74.67     4.62    10.61     0.03    40.62     6.47P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              30   58  +33      90.34     5.19    50.12    29.87    99.64    60.97P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     34   54  +18      73.28     4.68    22.45     0.01    33.77     5.99P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     32   46   +8      65.98     5.24     9.22     0.00     4.02     0.55P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   31   46   +5      68.53     5.22     8.16     0.00     9.01     1.80P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            32   45   +9      68.33     5.22    15.31     0.00     8.84     2.04P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          31   45   +5      64.54     5.31     3.33     0.00     2.21     0.21P    0.00     0.00  
York               31   45   +1      68.38     5.24     5.38     0.00     7.15     1.33P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington         31   44  +10      68.05     5.32    15.11     0.00     8.74     2.02P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          31   43   +4      65.31     5.40     6.48     0.00     3.10     0.43P    0.00R    0.00  
Bath_City          33   42   -1      58.45     4.97    -3.49     0.00     0.05     0.01P    0.04R    0.00  
Kettering          32   39   -8      58.29     5.05    -7.87     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.14R    0.00  
Tamworth           32   38   -7      54.53     4.91   -11.48     0.00     0.00     0.00P    0.92R    0.01  
Cambridge_Utd      34   37   -7      53.91     4.67    -6.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.00R    0.01  
Southport          31   32   -5      49.58     5.22    -9.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.16R    0.91  
Forest_Green       32   32  -21      47.39     4.95   -27.48     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.69R    1.57  
Histon             33   32  -22      44.53     4.56   -30.31     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.98R    3.87  
Hayes_&_Yeading    33   31  -27      42.68     4.47   -37.49     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.11R    9.24  
Barrow             31   29  -16      44.62     4.99   -24.45     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.33R    5.64  
Altrincham         32   29  -34      44.32     4.86   -40.54     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.06R    7.43  
Eastbourne_Boro    32   23  -32      35.70     4.67   -44.17     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.58R   71.31