Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 22 February 2011 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 22 February 2011, Blackpool vs Tottenham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         26   57  +32      80.90     4.25    44.59    68.26    94.34    99.29    99.96   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         26   53  +29      77.35     4.42    41.95    29.06    83.31    96.04    99.31   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        27   49  +19      68.13     4.27    25.22     0.33     4.82    30.82    73.84    99.71     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       27   47   +7      65.13     4.22    11.74     0.04     1.37    10.79    35.98    98.42     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         26   45  +24      70.47     4.18    38.94     2.32    16.15    62.91    89.04    99.95     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       27   39   +3      56.44     4.44     6.39     0.00     0.00     0.15     1.68    60.02     0.00R    0.00  
Sunderland      27   37   +0      51.24     4.25    -1.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09    12.66     0.11R    0.00  
Bolton          27   36   +1      48.94     4.30    -2.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     5.44     0.42R    0.01  
Newcastle       27   35   +4      50.72     4.38     4.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    13.43     0.18R    0.00  
Stoke           26   33   -2      46.71     4.37    -6.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     2.06     2.27R    0.16  
Blackburn       27   32   -8      44.63     4.23   -12.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.54     6.16R    0.55  
Blackpool       27   32   -9      42.95     4.11   -17.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.18    12.77R    1.49  
Fulham          27   31   +0      44.50     4.20    -2.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.81     5.23R    0.39  
Everton         26   30   -3      48.17     4.64    -0.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     5.02     1.49R    0.12  
Birmingham      26   30  -10      43.54     4.32   -14.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.43    10.55R    1.30  
Aston_Villa     27   30  -15      45.85     4.39   -14.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.31     4.81R    0.56  
West_Brom       27   28  -17      38.21     4.18   -25.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    53.88R   15.65  
Wigan           27   27  -18      36.44     3.90   -27.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.29R   28.82  
West_Ham        27   25  -18      36.07     4.08   -25.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.85R   30.81  
Wolverhampton   27   25  -19      37.36     4.29   -22.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.98R   20.13  

Adjustments:
Plymouth        -10


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 22 February 2011, Cardiff vs Leicester; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              33   64  +33      86.07     4.90    39.13    66.59    85.29    99.69    89.33P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          33   59  +15      79.48     4.92    18.90     9.58    32.58    90.33    47.24P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          33   58  +15      79.39     4.95    20.34    10.66    31.78    91.03    48.11P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    32   57  +16      78.95     5.09    20.20     8.93    29.80    88.05    45.94P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          33   56  +10      75.69     5.00    12.90     2.61    11.20    70.93    24.14P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     33   54  +10      72.90     5.08    11.62     1.01     4.79    50.40    14.18P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        33   51   +0      70.08     4.97     1.86     0.20     1.09    26.25     6.83P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             33   49   +6      67.82     4.91     7.62     0.07     0.51    15.42     4.11P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          33   47  +12      68.72     4.94    17.86     0.06     0.63    22.35     6.90P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          31   47   +9      70.00     5.48    12.55     0.26     2.16    31.43     9.92P    0.00R    0.00  
Millwall         33   46   +6      63.43     4.93     5.62     0.00     0.04     3.71     0.80P    0.02R    0.00  
Watford          32   45   +8      64.58     5.23     8.34     0.01     0.12     7.06     1.64P    0.02R    0.00  
Barnsley         33   42  -10      57.69     4.82   -13.29     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.03P    1.67R    0.02  
Portsmouth       32   41   -3      62.00     5.19    -0.34     0.00     0.01     2.22     0.58P    0.27R    0.00  
Ipswich          32   40   +0      59.10     5.10    -0.16     0.00     0.01     0.60     0.15P    0.85R    0.02  
Coventry         32   39   -3      56.04     4.98    -6.02     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P    2.89R    0.07  
Bristol_City     33   39   -8      56.13     4.90    -8.91     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P    3.02R    0.05  
Doncaster        32   38  -17      54.25     5.01   -21.68     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    8.04R    0.33  
Middlesbrough    31   36   -3      56.89     5.26    -2.47     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.07P    2.42R    0.03  
Derby            32   36   -4      53.17     5.03    -7.10     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     9.59R    0.34  
Crystal_Palace   33   34  -21      48.74     4.69   -25.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.97R    3.06  
Scunthorpe       31   31  -23      45.64     5.04   -32.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.99R   13.56  
Sheff_Utd        33   29  -23      44.30     4.77   -26.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.77R   16.81  
Preston          32   24  -25      38.87     4.95   -32.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.46R   65.71  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 22 February 2011, Bournemouth vs Sheff_Wed; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         29   59  +34      88.20     5.77    42.78    73.92    90.53    99.83    92.99P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      32   55  +22      76.98     5.26    26.10     3.86    20.58    85.93    36.02P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     31   52  +15      77.20     5.38    22.08     4.43    20.64    85.64    38.56P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     31   50   +7      73.02     5.59    10.68     0.88     6.10    58.84    16.91P    0.00R    0.00  
Southampton      29   49  +23      80.39     5.66    35.65    14.88    48.45    94.18    66.26P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          33   49   -2      66.04     4.95    -3.31     0.02     0.20    11.76     2.25P    0.03R    0.00  
Charlton         29   47   +6      73.93     5.85    11.41     1.65    10.15    64.37    24.48P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           32   46   +4      64.76     5.14     3.48     0.01     0.14     9.33     1.88P    0.15R    0.00  
Colchester       31   45   -1      67.14     5.39     1.44     0.04     0.46    18.00     4.16P    0.07R    0.00  
Rochdale         29   44   +8      66.77     5.90     7.07     0.13     1.01    20.62     4.75P    0.09R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    29   43   +9      67.73     5.85    10.94     0.15     1.33    25.71     5.95P    0.08R    0.00  
Carlisle         30   42   +7      64.36     5.57     7.42     0.01     0.22    10.44     2.39P    0.37R    0.00  
Exeter           31   42   -6      61.78     5.39    -7.63     0.00     0.03     3.33     0.48P    1.45R    0.02  
Hartlepool       31   41  -14      58.51     5.18   -18.96     0.00     0.00     0.71     0.08P    5.24R    0.12  
Brentford        30   39   -4      59.15     5.47    -6.56     0.00     0.01     1.32     0.22P    3.88R    0.07  
Sheff_Wed        30   37   +2      62.96     5.66     8.05     0.00     0.08     6.63     1.87P    1.02R    0.03  
Tranmere         30   37   -5      57.32     5.43    -7.54     0.00     0.00     0.59     0.11P    7.73R    0.30  
Notts_County     27   35   +0      59.19     6.22    -2.76     0.01     0.06     2.76     0.63P    5.69R    0.30  
Yeovil           30   33  -15      51.18     5.33   -20.65     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   40.25R    5.19  
Plymouth         32   33  -19      50.41     5.16   -21.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.16R    6.32  
Swindon          32   31  -13      48.94     5.05   -15.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.35R    8.71  
Walsall          32   30  -18      45.92     4.99   -23.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.45R   23.33  
Bristol_Rovers   31   30  -28      45.56     5.16   -36.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.49R   30.44  
Dag_&_Red        29   29  -12      46.12     5.58   -22.28     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    74.49R   25.19  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 22 February 2011, Accrington_Stanley vs Crewe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         32   62  +25      85.37     5.24    31.25    74.11    95.39    99.79    96.53P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              31   53  +10      76.75     5.44    14.81     9.18    51.11    89.12    61.10P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           31   51  +19      75.35     5.33    24.63     6.47    44.70    86.48    55.91P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            31   50  +15      73.72     5.42    19.70     3.78    32.15    78.25    44.24P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 30   48  +17      72.95     5.60    21.52     3.61    28.60    74.00    40.24P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            31   48   +6      70.62     5.29     9.16     0.88    12.72    55.29    22.47P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           32   47   +6      68.93     5.20    10.06     0.42     7.70    43.73    17.32P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           32   47   +4      65.87     5.18     3.69     0.11     2.39    21.83     5.91P    0.00R    0.00  
Southend             31   46   +5      70.51     5.47    10.79     0.84    13.37    55.68    25.15P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              30   44  +11      66.69     5.64    12.06     0.35     5.18    30.80    11.13P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                31   42  +10      66.47     5.49    16.24     0.18     4.23    30.40    10.73P    0.00R    0.00  
Stevenage            31   42   +8      63.73     5.39     9.86     0.03     1.29    14.64     4.48P    0.01R    0.00  
Cheltenham           32   41   -4      58.98     5.19    -5.97     0.00     0.08     2.22     0.44P    0.26R    0.02  
Accrington_Stanley   29   39   -2      61.85     5.85    -2.90     0.02     0.73     8.96     2.14P    0.15R    0.01  
Northampton          31   39   -3      60.31     5.41    -1.86     0.01     0.21     4.48     1.26P    0.15R    0.01  
Lincoln_City         30   38  -14      55.44     5.32   -20.60     0.00     0.01     0.60     0.08P    1.75R    0.21  
Aldershot            31   37   -7      57.12     5.31    -7.49     0.00     0.02     1.08     0.25P    0.86R    0.12  
Macclesfield         29   35   -8      54.31     5.63   -14.15     0.00     0.02     0.47     0.08P    2.97R    0.47  
Hereford             30   34   -9      52.26     5.45   -14.57     0.00     0.01     0.20     0.04P    6.36R    1.14  
Morecambe            32   34  -12      50.93     5.08   -15.71     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    8.63R    1.62  
Bradford             31   34  -12      53.09     5.31   -13.95     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.04P    4.49R    0.71  
Burton_Albion        26   29   -4      55.54     6.45    -5.52     0.00     0.08     1.79     0.45P    3.50R    0.74  
Stockport            32   28  -39      40.24     4.73   -51.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.67R   55.52  
Barnet               32   27  -22      41.12     4.89   -30.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.19R   39.43  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 22 February 2011, AFC_Wimbledon vs Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
AFC_Wimbledon      34   67  +27      87.58     4.66    33.39    10.55    99.41    30.88P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       29   64  +35      93.85     5.70    45.18    59.47    99.92    70.90P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            33   59  +13      80.31     4.75    18.45     0.45    83.66    16.42P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      34   59  +12      74.67     4.60    10.61     0.05    40.45     6.41P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              30   58  +33      90.25     5.17    49.96    29.47    99.66    60.85P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     34   54  +18      73.29     4.67    22.45     0.00    33.77     6.02P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     32   46   +8      66.16     5.22     9.51     0.00     4.17     0.65P    0.00R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   31   46   +5      68.51     5.22     8.18     0.00     8.77     1.84P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            32   45   +9      68.32     5.26    15.30     0.00     8.95     1.98P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          31   45   +5      64.53     5.31     3.28     0.00     2.14     0.21P    0.00     0.00  
York               31   45   +1      68.36     5.28     5.41     0.00     7.42     1.35P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington         31   44  +10      68.01     5.29    15.05     0.00     8.42     1.98P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          31   43   +4      65.31     5.40     6.49     0.00     3.14     0.49P    0.00R    0.00  
Bath_City          33   42   -1      58.50     4.96    -3.41     0.00     0.06     0.01P    0.05R    0.00  
Kettering          32   39   -8      58.20     5.03    -8.03     0.00     0.04     0.00P    0.14R    0.00  
Tamworth           32   38   -7      54.48     4.91   -11.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.97R    0.01  
Cambridge_Utd      34   37   -7      53.89     4.67    -6.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.04R    0.01  
Southport          31   32   -5      49.62     5.20    -9.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.07R    0.78  
Forest_Green       32   32  -21      47.47     4.94   -27.29     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.25R    1.53  
Histon             33   32  -22      44.57     4.58   -30.28     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.27R    3.90  
Hayes_&_Yeading    33   31  -27      42.69     4.50   -37.46     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.35R    9.28  
Barrow             31   29  -16      44.69     5.00   -24.34     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.80R    5.53  
Altrincham         32   29  -34      44.15     4.85   -40.81     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.39R    8.02  
Eastbourne_Boro    32   23  -32      35.74     4.67   -44.09     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.67R   70.92