Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 21 February 2011 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 20 February 2011, West_Brom vs Wolverhampton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         26   57  +32      81.02     4.27    44.82    68.61    94.29    99.07    99.89   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         26   53  +29      77.36     4.46    42.01    28.61    81.75    94.88    98.86   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        27   49  +19      68.10     4.25    25.19     0.30     4.73    27.67    64.80    99.72     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       26   47   +9      67.23     4.49    14.98     0.29     4.20    20.81    50.61    99.33     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         26   45  +24      70.41     4.14    38.83     2.19    15.01    57.44    84.65    99.96     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       27   39   +3      56.41     4.42     6.35     0.00     0.01     0.14     1.10    59.27     0.00R    0.00  
Sunderland      27   37   +0      51.27     4.26    -1.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    12.80     0.07R    0.00  
Bolton          27   36   +1      49.00     4.30    -2.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     5.37     0.31R    0.01  
Newcastle       27   35   +4      50.86     4.38     4.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    13.87     0.11R    0.00  
Stoke           26   33   -2      46.64     4.36    -6.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.80     2.08R    0.17  
Blackburn       27   32   -8      44.61     4.23   -12.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.55     5.38R    0.46  
Fulham          27   31   +0      44.55     4.19    -2.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.83     4.54R    0.33  
Everton         26   30   -3      48.03     4.62    -0.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.67     1.42R    0.09  
Birmingham      26   30  -10      43.54     4.32   -14.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.40     9.34R    1.11  
Aston_Villa     27   30  -15      45.87     4.41   -14.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.35     4.21R    0.55  
Blackpool       26   29  -11      40.59     4.36   -20.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06    27.74R    5.85  
West_Brom       27   28  -17      38.12     4.21   -25.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    51.38R   15.31  
Wigan           27   27  -18      36.46     3.91   -27.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.19R   27.56  
West_Ham        27   25  -18      36.01     4.08   -25.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    69.68R   30.05  
Wolverhampton   27   25  -19      37.43     4.28   -22.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.55R   18.51  

Adjustments:
Plymouth        -10


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 February 2011, Crystal_Palace vs Sheff_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              32   61  +31      84.71     5.13    37.52    57.04    78.45    98.88    84.22P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    31   56  +16      80.32     5.30    21.66    17.60    42.68    90.86    56.06P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          32   56  +14      77.74     5.11    17.78     7.41    22.94    82.05    37.88P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          32   55  +13      78.03     5.20    18.72     9.08    24.79    83.29    41.05P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          32   55  +10      76.74     5.15    13.98     5.33    16.89    75.87    29.87P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     32   53  +10      73.82     5.26    12.50     2.26     7.79    55.48    17.93P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        32   51   +2      71.20     5.15     3.46     0.62     2.61    33.21     9.68P    0.00R    0.00  
Burnley          31   47   +9      69.99     5.41    12.53     0.42     2.22    29.56     9.31P    0.00R    0.00  
Millwall         32   46   +8      64.78     5.13     7.49     0.03     0.18     6.52     1.60P    0.01R    0.00  
Hull             32   46   +4      65.93     5.14     5.27     0.05     0.26     8.91     2.39P    0.01R    0.00  
Watford          31   45  +10      66.85     5.47    11.74     0.10     0.59    14.37     3.68P    0.02R    0.00  
Reading          32   44  +11      67.43     5.14    17.31     0.06     0.52    15.40     4.98P    0.00R    0.00  
Ipswich          31   42   +4      62.54     5.31     3.95     0.01     0.05     3.38     0.80P    0.11R    0.00  
Barnsley         32   41   -9      57.53     4.99   -13.19     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.02P    2.08R    0.03  
Coventry         31   39   -3      57.27     5.20    -6.30     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.05P    1.96R    0.04  
Portsmouth       31   38   -4      61.00     5.40    -0.41     0.00     0.02     1.52     0.41P    0.59R    0.01  
Doncaster        31   37  -16      54.17     5.19   -21.54     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P    8.85R    0.33  
Derby            31   36   -3      54.83     5.26    -5.73     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P    5.94R    0.12  
Middlesbrough    31   36   -4      56.73     5.29    -3.69     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.04P    2.64R    0.04  
Bristol_City     32   35  -12      52.26     5.05   -14.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.88R    0.57  
Crystal_Palace   32   34  -20      49.64     4.88   -25.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.61R    2.12  
Sheff_Utd        32   29  -22      45.79     4.99   -25.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.15R    9.96  
Scunthorpe       30   28  -24      43.97     5.25   -33.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.79R   20.04  
Preston          31   23  -25      38.28     5.08   -33.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.37R   66.75  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 February 2011, Bournemouth vs Huddersfield; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         28   56  +30      86.64     5.97    38.84    60.40    81.86    99.28    86.79P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      31   54  +22      77.65     5.53    26.54     6.25    22.48    85.93    37.36P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     30   51  +15      78.16     5.63    22.98     7.43    24.26    86.99    41.73P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     30   49   +7      73.77     5.85    11.29     1.69     7.67    60.75    18.60P    0.00R    0.00  
Southampton      28   48  +23      81.35     5.85    36.62    21.79    51.59    94.74    68.42P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          32   48   -2      66.70     5.21    -2.95     0.03     0.30    14.09     2.76P    0.04R    0.00  
Charlton         29   47   +6      73.97     5.85    11.43     1.93     8.80    62.38    22.82P    0.00R    0.00  
Oldham           31   45   +4      64.84     5.38     2.99     0.01     0.15     9.46     1.80P    0.15R    0.00  
Rochdale         29   44   +8      66.74     5.87     7.02     0.13     0.84    18.50     4.24P    0.15R    0.00  
Colchester       30   44   -1      67.08     5.61     0.69     0.09     0.48    17.26     3.99P    0.15R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    29   43   +9      67.54     5.83    10.65     0.18     1.03    22.65     5.06P    0.12R    0.00  
Carlisle         29   41   +7      65.37     5.79     8.42     0.04     0.36    13.12     3.14P    0.28R    0.00  
Exeter           30   41   -6      61.60     5.56    -8.47     0.00     0.02     3.12     0.43P    2.00R    0.04  
Hartlepool       30   40  -14      58.29     5.39   -19.96     0.00     0.00     0.69     0.08P    6.72R    0.21  
Tranmere         29   37   -4      58.65     5.64    -6.54     0.00     0.01     1.04     0.18P    5.76R    0.22  
Sheff_Wed        29   36   +2      63.00     5.86     7.50     0.01     0.10     6.68     1.94P    1.28R    0.04  
Brentford        29   36   -5      57.56     5.68    -7.50     0.00     0.01     0.74     0.13P    8.18R    0.36  
Notts_County     27   35   +0      59.35     6.25    -2.53     0.01     0.04     2.54     0.51P    5.63R    0.26  
Plymouth         31   33  -15      51.80     5.40   -17.91     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   36.10R    4.18  
Yeovil           30   33  -15      51.20     5.37   -20.66     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   41.71R    5.27  
Swindon          32   31  -13      48.96     5.07   -15.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.57R    8.98  
Walsall          32   30  -18      45.99     5.02   -23.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.87R   22.95  
Bristol_Rovers   31   30  -28      45.65     5.16   -36.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.08R   29.92  
Dag_&_Red        28   28  -12      45.85     5.78   -23.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   76.22R   27.57  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 February 2011, Cheltenham vs Barnet; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         31   59  +24      83.89     5.48    30.43    67.21    91.57    99.32    93.60P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           31   51  +19      75.47     5.33    24.86     8.66    46.08    86.27    57.20P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            31   50  +15      73.67     5.40    19.58     5.22    31.91    77.41    43.76P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              30   50   +7      74.97     5.64    11.60     7.36    38.88    80.19    49.23P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 30   48  +17      72.89     5.59    21.45     4.80    28.73    72.47    39.68P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            30   48   +8      72.47     5.49    11.82     3.25    22.63    67.28    33.00P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           32   47   +6      68.91     5.23    10.04     0.65     7.85    42.56    16.99P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           32   47   +4      65.92     5.20     3.79     0.14     2.57    21.59     6.17P    0.00R    0.00  
Torquay              29   43  +11      67.39     5.87    12.56     0.75     7.48    34.96    13.91P    0.01R    0.00  
Southend             30   43   +4      69.68     5.69    11.03     0.99    11.56    48.75    22.20P    0.00R    0.00  
Crewe                30   42  +11      68.26     5.74    17.86     0.91     8.90    42.14    17.03P    0.01R    0.00  
Cheltenham           31   40   -4      59.28     5.38    -6.09     0.00     0.14     2.78     0.61P    0.32R    0.04  
Stevenage            30   39   +6      61.50     5.54     7.15     0.02     0.61     7.86     2.27P    0.08R    0.00  
Northampton          30   38   -3      60.84     5.66    -1.68     0.02     0.40     5.68     1.75P    0.25R    0.01  
Lincoln_City         30   38  -14      55.37     5.31   -20.68     0.00     0.02     0.58     0.10P    2.13R    0.22  
Aldershot            31   37   -7      57.14     5.34    -7.42     0.00     0.03     1.12     0.26P    0.97R    0.10  
Accrington_Stanley   28   36   -3      59.78     6.04    -4.64     0.01     0.40     5.11     1.21P    0.58R    0.07  
Morecambe            31   34  -10      52.50     5.34   -13.42     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.03P    6.34R    1.08  
Bradford             30   34  -11      54.24     5.51   -13.29     0.00     0.01     0.34     0.06P    3.71R    0.59  
Hereford             29   33   -9      52.59     5.66   -14.62     0.00     0.01     0.18     0.05P    6.94R    1.32  
Macclesfield         28   32  -10      52.28     5.81   -16.80     0.00     0.01     0.20     0.04P    7.96R    1.48  
Burton_Albion        25   29   -1      56.92     6.59    -2.45     0.01     0.24     3.09     0.86P    2.60R    0.52  
Stockport            32   28  -39      40.25     4.78   -50.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.06R   58.32  
Barnet               31   27  -21      41.78     5.06   -30.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.05R   36.25  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 February 2011, Altrincham vs Kettering; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
AFC_Wimbledon      33   67  +28      89.40     4.87    35.10    18.72    99.65    37.86P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       28   61  +34      93.12     5.85    45.62    51.37    99.84    64.57P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              30   58  +33      90.37     5.18    50.22    29.63    99.61    60.73P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      33   58  +12      74.55     4.82     9.86     0.03    39.88     6.18P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            32   56  +12      78.18     4.96    16.80     0.23    70.28    13.28P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     34   54  +18      73.41     4.64    22.63     0.01    35.16     6.07P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     31   45   +8      66.31     5.45     9.13     0.00     5.17     0.71P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            31   44   +9      69.86     5.37    17.30     0.00    15.30     3.47P    0.00     0.00  
York               30   44   +1      69.20     5.47     6.08     0.00    10.73     2.00P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington         30   43  +10      68.82     5.52    15.69     0.00    12.17     2.88P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          31   43   +4      65.22     5.37     6.31     0.00     2.93     0.49P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   30   43   +3      67.89     5.39     7.91     0.00     8.03     1.62P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          30   42   +2      61.90     5.47    -1.21     0.00     0.85     0.07P    0.02R    0.00  
Bath_City          32   41   -1      58.97     5.18    -3.29     0.00     0.18     0.02P    0.08R    0.00  
Kettering          31   39   -5      60.48     5.24    -3.66     0.00     0.23     0.04P    0.06R    0.00  
Tamworth           31   35   -9      52.34     5.10   -14.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.87R    0.15  
Cambridge_Utd      33   34   -9      52.03     4.88    -8.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.88R    0.14  
Southport          30   32   -4      50.14     5.38   -10.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.48R    1.00  
Histon             32   32  -20      46.18     4.79   -27.87     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.07R    2.61  
Forest_Green       31   31  -21      46.89     5.07   -29.13     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.32R    2.71  
Hayes_&_Yeading    33   31  -27      42.82     4.49   -37.29     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.27R   10.48  
Barrow             30   29  -14      46.44     5.20   -21.83     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.29R    3.61  
Altrincham         31   28  -34      44.37     5.07   -41.12     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.58R    9.54  
Eastbourne_Boro    31   23  -30      36.23     4.83   -43.94     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.09R   69.77