Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 20 February 2011 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 20 February 2011, West_Brom vs Wolverhampton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         26   57  +32      81.02     4.27    44.85    68.96    94.24    99.09    99.86   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         26   53  +29      77.34     4.44    41.94    28.14    81.96    95.01    98.90   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        27   49  +19      68.06     4.25    25.12     0.30     4.49    26.91    64.29    99.68     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       26   47   +9      67.29     4.47    15.06     0.26     4.05    21.42    51.38    99.39     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         26   45  +24      70.43     4.18    38.84     2.34    15.25    57.47    84.38    99.92     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       27   39   +3      56.39     4.44     6.32     0.00     0.01     0.09     1.10    59.36     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland      27   37   +0      51.25     4.26    -1.52     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03    12.72     0.08R    0.01  
Bolton          27   36   +1      48.98     4.32    -2.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     5.53     0.37R    0.00  
Newcastle       27   35   +4      50.87     4.33     4.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    13.64     0.14R    0.01  
Stoke           26   33   -2      46.67     4.37    -6.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.02     2.10R    0.16  
Blackburn       27   32   -8      44.65     4.25   -12.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.51     5.43R    0.43  
Fulham          27   31   +0      44.58     4.20    -2.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.82     4.27R    0.35  
Everton         26   30   -3      48.09     4.61    -0.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.65     1.19R    0.09  
Birmingham      26   30  -10      43.49     4.33   -14.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.41     9.56R    1.24  
Aston_Villa     27   30  -15      45.85     4.41   -14.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.26     4.32R    0.47  
Blackpool       26   29  -11      40.50     4.31   -20.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06    28.55R    6.02  
West_Brom       27   28  -17      38.20     4.21   -25.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    50.68R   14.91  
Wigan           27   27  -18      36.51     3.90   -27.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.82R   26.97  
West_Ham        27   25  -18      36.02     4.07   -25.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.43R   30.13  
Wolverhampton   27   25  -19      37.35     4.26   -22.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.07R   19.21  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 February 2011, Crystal_Palace vs Sheff_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              32   61  +31      84.68     5.11    37.51    56.90    78.59    98.92    84.27P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    31   56  +16      80.26     5.28    21.60    17.55    42.49    91.03    56.12P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          32   56  +14      77.76     5.11    17.79     7.58    23.17    82.01    38.41P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          32   55  +13      78.00     5.20    18.68     8.91    24.64    83.57    40.96P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          32   55  +10      76.70     5.17    13.88     5.40    16.89    75.26    29.46P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     32   53  +10      73.76     5.30    12.42     2.24     7.57    55.47    17.74P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        32   51   +2      71.15     5.19     3.40     0.72     2.61    32.77     9.47P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          31   47   +9      70.06     5.45    12.63     0.48     2.34    30.27     9.70P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         32   46   +8      64.88     5.15     7.67     0.03     0.19     6.87     1.56P    0.01R    0.00  
Hull             32   46   +4      65.95     5.11     5.27     0.04     0.27     8.78     2.43P    0.01R    0.00  
Watford          31   45  +10      66.98     5.46    11.91     0.12     0.74    14.83     3.89P    0.01R    0.00  
Reading          32   44  +11      67.31     5.14    17.14     0.05     0.44    15.02     4.73P    0.01R    0.00  
Ipswich          31   42   +4      62.48     5.31     3.84     0.00     0.05     3.15     0.76P    0.14R    0.00  
Barnsley         32   41   -9      57.60     5.00   -13.12     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.02P    1.95R    0.02  
Coventry         31   39   -3      57.20     5.23    -6.39     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.05P    2.21R    0.05  
Portsmouth       31   38   -4      60.96     5.40    -0.44     0.00     0.01     1.45     0.37P    0.64R    0.01  
Doncaster        31   37  -16      54.17     5.23   -21.52     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.02P    8.92R    0.35  
Derby            31   36   -3      54.82     5.24    -5.83     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P    6.04R    0.14  
Middlesbrough    31   36   -4      56.78     5.28    -3.66     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.04P    2.66R    0.05  
Bristol_City     32   35  -12      52.36     5.05   -14.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.47R    0.55  
Crystal_Palace   32   34  -20      49.67     4.89   -25.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.91R    1.96  
Sheff_Utd        32   29  -22      45.83     4.99   -25.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.89R    9.82  
Scunthorpe       30   28  -24      43.96     5.23   -33.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.93R   20.12  
Preston          31   23  -25      38.27     5.10   -33.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.23R   66.91  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 February 2011, Bournemouth vs Huddersfield; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         28   56  +30      86.71     5.99    38.97    60.40    81.99    99.33    86.78P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      31   54  +22      77.65     5.52    26.57     6.13    22.45    85.82    36.96P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     30   51  +15      78.18     5.60    23.00     7.33    24.36    87.05    41.92P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     30   49   +7      73.81     5.82    11.33     1.59     7.65    61.13    18.50P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      28   48  +23      81.40     5.85    36.73    22.09    51.73    94.70    68.53P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          32   48   -2      66.64     5.16    -3.05     0.04     0.33    13.65     2.79P    0.04R    0.00  
Charlton         29   47   +6      74.01     5.83    11.48     1.96     8.49    62.58    22.81P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           31   45   +4      64.83     5.39     2.98     0.01     0.17     9.48     1.83P    0.19R    0.00  
Rochdale         29   44   +8      66.71     5.90     6.95     0.17     0.85    18.60     4.28P    0.13R    0.00  
Colchester       30   44   -1      67.23     5.64     0.93     0.08     0.49    17.73     4.13P    0.09R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    29   43   +9      67.53     5.84    10.69     0.14     0.97    22.29     5.22P    0.12R    0.00  
Carlisle         29   41   +7      65.31     5.75     8.32     0.05     0.31    12.79     3.00P    0.31R    0.00  
Exeter           30   41   -6      61.57     5.55    -8.50     0.00     0.03     3.04     0.44P    1.94R    0.05  
Hartlepool       30   40  -14      58.30     5.38   -19.93     0.00     0.00     0.66     0.08P    6.65R    0.16  
Tranmere         29   37   -4      58.56     5.66    -6.69     0.00     0.01     1.04     0.14P    6.02R    0.22  
Sheff_Wed        29   36   +2      63.03     5.89     7.54     0.02     0.11     6.77     1.89P    1.22R    0.04  
Brentford        29   36   -5      57.62     5.66    -7.41     0.00     0.00     0.79     0.12P    7.84R    0.34  
Notts_County     27   35   +0      59.30     6.22    -2.56     0.00     0.05     2.51     0.55P    5.54R    0.27  
Plymouth         31   33  -15      51.81     5.39   -17.92     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   35.96R    4.06  
Yeovil           30   33  -15      51.09     5.33   -20.79     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   42.22R    5.29  
Swindon          32   31  -13      48.97     5.04   -15.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.33R    9.06  
Walsall          32   30  -18      45.94     5.02   -23.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.95R   23.14  
Bristol_Rovers   31   30  -28      45.56     5.14   -36.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.45R   30.30  
Dag_&_Red        28   28  -12      45.91     5.76   -23.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.98R   27.08  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 February 2011, Cheltenham vs Barnet; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         31   59  +24      83.87     5.48    30.41    67.22    91.34    99.36    93.45P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           31   51  +19      75.36     5.39    24.69     8.73    45.67    85.92    56.77P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            31   50  +15      73.60     5.44    19.50     5.27    31.96    76.45    43.33P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              30   50   +7      74.96     5.66    11.53     7.54    38.56    80.34    48.91P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 30   48  +17      72.91     5.58    21.48     4.72    29.14    72.93    40.17P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            30   48   +8      72.56     5.50    11.96     3.19    23.31    67.86    33.69P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           32   47   +6      68.99     5.22    10.11     0.60     7.98    43.15    17.38P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           32   47   +4      66.00     5.17     3.92     0.14     2.58    21.80     6.14P    0.00R    0.00  
Torquay              29   43  +11      67.32     5.86    12.48     0.71     7.16    34.57    13.41P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             30   43   +4      69.55     5.70    10.87     0.96    11.45    48.06    21.96P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                30   42  +11      68.28     5.71    17.88     0.87     8.98    42.06    17.31P    0.00R    0.00  
Cheltenham           31   40   -4      59.36     5.39    -5.95     0.01     0.15     2.96     0.64P    0.32R    0.03  
Stevenage            30   39   +6      61.45     5.54     7.04     0.02     0.55     7.69     2.33P    0.15R    0.01  
Northampton          30   38   -3      60.84     5.64    -1.65     0.02     0.35     5.63     1.74P    0.21R    0.03  
Lincoln_City         30   38  -14      55.37     5.32   -20.66     0.00     0.02     0.61     0.10P    2.21R    0.20  
Aldershot            31   37   -7      57.09     5.36    -7.48     0.00     0.04     1.14     0.29P    0.95R    0.12  
Accrington_Stanley   28   36   -3      59.83     6.06    -4.53     0.01     0.45     5.30     1.32P    0.65R    0.09  
Morecambe            31   34  -10      52.65     5.32   -13.21     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P    5.87R    0.98  
Bradford             30   34  -11      54.28     5.52   -13.26     0.00     0.01     0.34     0.05P    3.56R    0.63  
Hereford             29   33   -9      52.58     5.67   -14.64     0.00     0.01     0.23     0.06P    6.85R    1.22  
Macclesfield         28   32  -10      52.35     5.86   -16.75     0.00     0.01     0.24     0.05P    7.86R    1.44  
Burton_Albion        25   29   -1      56.87     6.67    -2.52     0.00     0.27     3.24     0.86P    2.76R    0.55  
Stockport            32   28  -39      40.23     4.76   -50.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.27R   58.26  
Barnet               31   27  -21      41.72     5.04   -30.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.35R   36.44  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 February 2011, Altrincham vs Kettering; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
AFC_Wimbledon      33   67  +28      89.39     4.93    35.10    18.92    99.61    37.94P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       28   61  +34      93.07     5.86    45.58    51.38    99.82    64.62P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              30   58  +33      90.30     5.16    50.13    29.43    99.69    60.70P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      33   58  +12      74.60     4.80     9.93     0.05    40.11     6.12P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            32   56  +12      78.23     4.94    16.83     0.21    70.37    13.15P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     34   54  +18      73.34     4.66    22.53     0.01    34.40     6.09P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     31   45   +8      66.38     5.48     9.24     0.00     5.33     0.77P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            31   44   +9      69.91     5.40    17.35     0.00    15.65     3.54P    0.00     0.00  
York               30   44   +1      69.05     5.49     5.88     0.00    10.31     1.84P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington         30   43  +10      68.77     5.52    15.61     0.00    12.18     2.85P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          31   43   +4      65.36     5.39     6.53     0.00     3.22     0.56P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   30   43   +3      67.83     5.42     7.81     0.00     8.01     1.69P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          30   42   +2      61.93     5.46    -1.19     0.00     0.92     0.09P    0.01R    0.00  
Bath_City          32   41   -1      58.94     5.20    -3.30     0.00     0.13     0.01P    0.08R    0.00  
Kettering          31   39   -5      60.49     5.22    -3.63     0.00     0.26     0.04P    0.05R    0.00  
Tamworth           31   35   -9      52.37     5.12   -14.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.96R    0.16  
Cambridge_Utd      33   34   -9      52.17     4.90    -8.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.70R    0.13  
Southport          30   32   -4      50.12     5.38   -10.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.43R    0.93  
Histon             32   32  -20      46.20     4.81   -27.88     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.08R    2.62  
Forest_Green       31   31  -21      46.80     5.09   -29.27     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.87R    2.89  
Hayes_&_Yeading    33   31  -27      42.77     4.49   -37.39     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.52R   10.79  
Barrow             30   29  -14      46.46     5.21   -21.78     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.97R    3.62  
Altrincham         31   28  -34      44.36     5.05   -41.17     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.47R    9.56  
Eastbourne_Boro    31   23  -30      36.29     4.85   -43.84     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.86R   69.30