Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 19 February 2011 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 15 February 2011, Birmingham vs Newcastle; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         26   57  +32      81.01     4.27    44.79    69.09    94.23    99.08    99.89   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         26   53  +29      77.31     4.45    41.90    28.15    81.68    94.95    98.95   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        27   49  +19      68.10     4.24    25.18     0.29     4.66    27.63    64.53    99.72     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       26   47   +9      67.24     4.52    14.99     0.25     4.15    20.94    50.89    99.31     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         26   45  +24      70.39     4.18    38.83     2.22    15.27    57.31    84.54    99.94     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       27   39   +3      56.43     4.45     6.37     0.00     0.00     0.09     1.13    59.94     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland      27   37   +0      51.18     4.23    -1.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    12.34     0.08R    0.01  
Bolton          27   36   +1      49.00     4.34    -2.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     5.54     0.42R    0.01  
Newcastle       27   35   +4      50.77     4.36     4.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    13.47     0.15R    0.00  
Stoke           26   33   -2      46.68     4.36    -6.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.85     2.28R    0.19  
Blackburn       27   32   -8      44.65     4.24   -12.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.53     5.76R    0.48  
Fulham          27   31   +0      44.58     4.17    -2.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.79     4.64R    0.35  
Everton         26   30   -3      48.10     4.62    -0.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.66     1.40R    0.11  
Birmingham      26   30  -10      43.51     4.32   -14.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.48     9.83R    1.19  
Aston_Villa     27   30  -15      45.85     4.41   -14.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.29     4.58R    0.50  
Blackpool       26   29  -11      40.62     4.35   -20.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09    28.71R    5.83  
West_Brom       26   27  -17      39.10     4.48   -24.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    43.67R   12.34  
Wigan           27   27  -18      36.47     3.89   -27.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.88R   27.35  
West_Ham        27   25  -18      36.02     4.08   -25.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.16R   30.05  
Wolverhampton   26   24  -19      37.27     4.49   -23.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    58.45R   21.58  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 February 2011, Crystal_Palace vs Sheff_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              32   61  +31      84.80     5.08    37.62    57.88    79.04    99.03    84.72P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    31   56  +16      80.28     5.25    21.63    17.20    42.24    91.27    55.71P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          32   56  +14      77.72     5.15    17.72     7.37    22.80    81.57    37.73P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          32   55  +13      77.96     5.16    18.61     8.52    24.20    83.33    40.24P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          32   55  +10      76.80     5.19    14.02     5.47    17.41    76.21    30.32P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     32   53  +10      73.82     5.26    12.51     2.20     7.64    55.51    17.89P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        32   51   +2      71.22     5.19     3.50     0.61     2.63    33.41     9.69P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          31   47   +9      70.10     5.45    12.69     0.50     2.43    30.66     9.74P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         32   46   +7      64.55     5.11     6.23     0.03     0.16     5.87     1.43P    0.01R    0.00  
Hull             32   46   +5      66.05     5.13     6.44     0.05     0.28     9.37     2.57P    0.01R    0.00  
Watford          31   45  +10      66.93     5.46    11.87     0.11     0.64    14.81     3.99P    0.01R    0.00  
Reading          32   44  +11      67.42     5.18    17.32     0.06     0.50    15.53     5.15P    0.01R    0.00  
Barnsley         32   41  -10      57.38     4.96   -14.41     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.02P    2.30R    0.01  
Ipswich          31   40   +2      60.21     5.31     1.45     0.01     0.02     1.24     0.25P    0.55R    0.01  
Coventry         31   39   -2      57.21     5.16    -5.31     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.05P    1.96R    0.02  
Portsmouth       31   38   -4      60.90     5.42    -0.55     0.00     0.01     1.52     0.44P    0.65R    0.02  
Doncaster        31   37  -17      54.01     5.16   -22.75     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    9.84R    0.33  
Derby            31   36   -3      54.73     5.24    -5.80     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P    6.47R    0.20  
Middlesbrough    31   36   -3      56.85     5.29    -2.54     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.06P    2.73R    0.04  
Bristol_City     32   36  -10      53.67     5.04   -12.21     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    8.81R    0.25  
Crystal_Palace   32   34  -20      49.66     4.90   -25.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.46R    2.06  
Sheff_Utd        32   29  -22      45.75     4.98   -25.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.32R   10.14  
Scunthorpe       30   28  -24      43.95     5.23   -33.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.54R   20.04  
Preston          31   23  -25      38.31     5.08   -33.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.32R   66.88  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 February 2011, Bournemouth vs Huddersfield; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         28   56  +30      86.73     6.01    39.00    60.74    81.75    99.33    86.50P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      31   54  +22      77.77     5.50    26.71     6.08    22.57    86.39    37.65P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     30   51  +15      78.24     5.64    23.11     7.54    24.65    86.96    42.29P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     30   49   +7      73.82     5.82    11.37     1.58     7.49    61.23    18.42P    0.01R    0.00  
Southampton      28   48  +23      81.40     5.84    36.73    21.71    51.67    94.83    68.47P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          32   48   -2      66.71     5.17    -2.93     0.04     0.34    13.74     2.76P    0.04R    0.00  
Charlton         29   47   +6      73.96     5.86    11.41     1.88     8.56    61.97    22.46P    0.01R    0.00  
Oldham           31   45   +4      64.85     5.36     3.02     0.02     0.15     9.22     1.78P    0.19R    0.00  
Rochdale         29   44   +8      66.68     5.89     6.93     0.16     0.80    18.42     4.19P    0.15R    0.00  
Colchester       30   44   -1      67.19     5.63     0.86     0.07     0.58    17.37     4.07P    0.14R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    29   43   +9      67.56     5.82    10.69     0.12     0.95    22.48     5.05P    0.14R    0.00  
Carlisle         29   41   +7      65.29     5.80     8.28     0.04     0.30    12.95     3.00P    0.35R    0.00  
Exeter           30   41   -6      61.48     5.56    -8.67     0.00     0.03     2.99     0.45P    2.01R    0.04  
Hartlepool       30   40  -14      58.35     5.40   -19.88     0.00     0.01     0.69     0.11P    6.54R    0.15  
Tranmere         29   37   -4      58.60     5.65    -6.59     0.00     0.00     1.12     0.19P    5.79R    0.23  
Sheff_Wed        29   36   +2      63.06     5.89     7.58     0.01     0.10     6.93     1.92P    1.21R    0.03  
Brentford        29   36   -5      57.58     5.69    -7.49     0.00     0.00     0.69     0.11P    8.01R    0.35  
Notts_County     27   35   +0      59.28     6.26    -2.63     0.01     0.04     2.65     0.58P    5.58R    0.34  
Plymouth         31   33  -15      51.75     5.41   -18.04     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   36.73R    4.08  
Yeovil           30   33  -15      51.12     5.34   -20.77     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   41.99R    5.06  
Swindon          32   31  -13      49.05     5.06   -15.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.63R    8.64  
Walsall          32   30  -18      45.85     5.02   -23.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.58R   23.53  
Bristol_Rovers   31   30  -28      45.53     5.12   -36.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.41R   30.41  
Dag_&_Red        28   28  -12      45.93     5.80   -23.23     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    75.50R   27.14  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 February 2011, Cheltenham vs Barnet; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         31   59  +24      83.84     5.48    30.39    67.01    91.46    99.35    93.36P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           31   51  +19      75.46     5.38    24.82     8.84    46.23    86.27    57.42P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            31   50  +15      73.57     5.45    19.46     5.14    31.70    76.42    43.56P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              30   50   +7      74.93     5.69    11.55     7.54    38.30    79.95    48.66P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 30   48  +17      72.91     5.64    21.44     4.89    29.31    72.72    40.12P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            30   48   +8      72.47     5.48    11.84     3.21    22.76    67.43    33.23P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           32   47   +6      68.93     5.21    10.07     0.59     7.92    43.01    17.08P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           32   47   +4      66.01     5.18     3.90     0.16     2.61    21.98     6.25P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              29   43  +11      67.26     5.87    12.39     0.73     7.10    34.01    13.24P    0.00R    0.00  
Southend             30   43   +4      69.62     5.69    10.95     0.95    11.57    48.43    22.31P    0.00R    0.00  
Crewe                30   42  +11      68.27     5.76    17.87     0.86     9.12    42.49    17.42P    0.00R    0.00  
Cheltenham           31   40   -4      59.41     5.37    -5.89     0.01     0.13     2.91     0.63P    0.32R    0.02  
Stevenage            30   39   +6      61.51     5.56     7.14     0.03     0.60     7.87     2.35P    0.08R    0.00  
Northampton          30   38   -3      60.85     5.65    -1.64     0.02     0.40     5.77     1.68P    0.21R    0.02  
Lincoln_City         30   38  -14      55.31     5.35   -20.75     0.00     0.02     0.59     0.10P    2.27R    0.25  
Aldershot            31   37   -7      57.14     5.32    -7.47     0.00     0.03     1.10     0.25P    0.95R    0.12  
Accrington_Stanley   28   36   -3      59.88     6.09    -4.51     0.01     0.47     5.43     1.29P    0.60R    0.06  
Morecambe            31   34  -10      52.55     5.33   -13.37     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.04P    6.28R    1.07  
Bradford             30   34  -11      54.28     5.51   -13.24     0.00     0.01     0.36     0.08P    3.66R    0.60  
Hereford             29   33   -9      52.64     5.65   -14.55     0.00     0.01     0.24     0.05P    6.72R    1.24  
Macclesfield         28   32  -10      52.27     5.80   -16.82     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.03P    7.96R    1.43  
Burton_Albion        25   29   -1      56.91     6.63    -2.46     0.01     0.26     3.27     0.85P    2.66R    0.52  
Stockport            32   28  -39      40.23     4.75   -50.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.28R   58.75  
Barnet               31   27  -21      41.80     5.01   -30.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.00R   35.92  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 February 2011, Altrincham vs Kettering; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
AFC_Wimbledon      33   67  +28      89.47     4.88    35.24    18.79    99.62    38.10P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       28   61  +34      93.13     5.87    45.65    52.06    99.80    65.35P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              30   58  +33      90.27     5.18    50.11    28.89    99.65    60.21P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      33   58  +12      74.50     4.79     9.73     0.04    39.41     5.94P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            32   56  +12      78.25     4.93    16.91     0.21    70.62    13.19P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     34   54  +18      73.38     4.66    22.62     0.01    34.63     6.06P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     31   45   +8      66.26     5.49     9.06     0.00     5.26     0.67P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            31   44   +9      69.90     5.39    17.36     0.00    15.45     3.52P    0.00     0.00  
York               30   44   +1      69.09     5.47     5.95     0.00    10.45     1.84P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington         30   43  +10      68.88     5.55    15.77     0.00    12.59     2.89P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          31   43   +4      65.34     5.41     6.49     0.00     3.15     0.46P    0.00R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   30   43   +3      67.87     5.42     7.89     0.00     8.13     1.65P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          30   42   +2      61.95     5.43    -1.12     0.00     0.88     0.09P    0.00R    0.00  
Bath_City          32   41   -1      58.87     5.19    -3.42     0.00     0.10     0.01P    0.06R    0.00  
Kettering          31   39   -5      60.44     5.23    -3.71     0.00     0.25     0.03P    0.06R    0.00  
Tamworth           31   35   -9      52.34     5.10   -14.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.91R    0.20  
Cambridge_Utd      33   34   -9      52.10     4.90    -8.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.80R    0.12  
Southport          30   32   -4      50.16     5.36   -10.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.16R    0.84  
Histon             32   32  -20      46.18     4.81   -27.88     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.34R    2.70  
Forest_Green       31   31  -21      46.87     5.07   -29.20     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.51R    2.85  
Hayes_&_Yeading    33   31  -27      42.76     4.48   -37.40     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.57R   10.60  
Barrow             30   29  -14      46.41     5.22   -21.86     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.41R    3.74  
Altrincham         31   28  -34      44.38     5.03   -41.13     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.39R    9.30  
Eastbourne_Boro    31   23  -30      36.28     4.84   -43.83     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.80R   69.65