Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 18 February 2011 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 15 February 2011, Birmingham vs Newcastle; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         26   57  +32      81.01     4.26    44.79    68.83    94.30    99.02    99.87   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         26   53  +29      77.28     4.47    41.83    28.32    81.75    94.66    98.85   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        27   49  +19      68.04     4.25    25.11     0.32     4.54    27.20    64.17    99.68     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       26   47   +9      67.25     4.45    15.00     0.21     4.03    20.95    50.91    99.35     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         26   45  +24      70.43     4.13    38.90     2.32    15.38    58.06    84.99    99.96     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       27   39   +3      56.40     4.42     6.32     0.00     0.00     0.10     1.09    59.67     0.00R    0.00  
Sunderland      27   37   +0      51.26     4.23    -1.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05    12.37     0.07R    0.00  
Bolton          27   36   +1      48.98     4.32    -2.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     5.36     0.37R    0.02  
Newcastle       27   35   +4      50.82     4.37     4.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    13.61     0.17R    0.01  
Stoke           26   33   -2      46.72     4.34    -6.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.90     2.19R    0.16  
Blackburn       27   32   -8      44.65     4.23   -12.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.51     5.73R    0.53  
Fulham          27   31   +0      44.58     4.19    -2.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.83     4.65R    0.39  
Everton         26   30   -3      48.10     4.62    -0.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     4.85     1.39R    0.12  
Birmingham      26   30  -10      43.53     4.31   -14.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.47     9.84R    1.17  
Aston_Villa     27   30  -15      45.82     4.42   -14.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.30     4.60R    0.56  
Blackpool       26   29  -11      40.59     4.31   -20.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08    28.66R    5.53  
West_Brom       26   27  -17      39.01     4.47   -24.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    43.94R   12.56  
Wigan           27   27  -18      36.51     3.91   -27.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.79R   27.23  
West_Ham        27   25  -18      36.01     4.09   -25.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.03R   30.11  
Wolverhampton   26   24  -19      37.26     4.50   -23.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    58.57R   21.61  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 18 February 2011, Leicester vs Bristol_City; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              31   60  +31      85.47     5.30    38.12    61.82    81.68    99.02    86.57P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          31   55  +14      79.24     5.38    19.54    12.75    33.83    87.12    48.57P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          31   54  +10      76.89     5.39    13.54     5.59    18.73    74.54    30.94P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    30   53  +15      78.73     5.46    20.72    10.80    31.31    84.74    46.14P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          31   53  +11      76.36     5.31    15.15     4.57    16.12    72.29    30.23P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     31   52  +10      74.58     5.52    13.09     3.06    10.66    59.78    21.31P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        32   51   +2      71.25     5.16     3.58     0.56     2.64    32.85     9.35P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          31   47   +9      70.08     5.47    12.64     0.38     2.44    30.00     9.83P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         31   46   +8      66.26     5.37     7.79     0.10     0.51    10.90     2.66P    0.01R    0.00  
Hull             31   45   +5      66.27     5.33     6.22     0.09     0.39    10.37     2.87P    0.01R    0.00  
Watford          30   44  +10      66.77     5.67    10.99     0.15     0.75    14.42     3.84P    0.01R    0.00  
Reading          31   43  +11      68.32     5.35    18.16     0.13     0.89    20.37     6.86P    0.01R    0.00  
Barnsley         31   41   -9      58.28     5.20   -14.21     0.00     0.00     0.31     0.04P    1.87R    0.02  
Ipswich          30   39   +2      60.67     5.46     1.63     0.00     0.04     1.63     0.36P    0.50R    0.01  
Coventry         31   39   -2      57.23     5.18    -5.27     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.04P    2.07R    0.04  
Doncaster        30   37  -14      55.12     5.38   -20.04     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    7.14R    0.29  
Bristol_City     32   36  -10      53.65     5.09   -12.27     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    8.86R    0.31  
Derby            30   35   -3      55.21     5.49    -5.73     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P    6.24R    0.20  
Portsmouth       30   35   -5      59.94     5.62    -0.52     0.00     0.00     1.16     0.33P    1.24R    0.05  
Middlesbrough    30   33   -4      54.80     5.51    -4.08     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P    6.51R    0.23  
Crystal_Palace   31   31  -21      47.95     5.09   -26.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.73R    4.86  
Sheff_Utd        31   29  -21      47.19     5.20   -24.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   50.91R    6.98  
Scunthorpe       29   27  -24      44.26     5.42   -33.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.81R   19.53  
Preston          30   22  -25      38.24     5.29   -34.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.07R   67.48  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 15 February 2011, Hartlepool vs Charlton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         28   56  +30      86.75     5.96    39.04    58.58    80.14    99.38    85.44P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      30   53  +22      78.25     5.72    26.89     7.54    24.39    87.34    38.49P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     29   50  +15      78.35     5.84    22.72     7.68    24.05    86.36    40.96P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      28   48  +23      81.23     5.88    36.43    19.77    46.97    94.46    65.22P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         28   47   +8      76.70     6.02    15.58     4.86    16.64    77.54    33.27P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     29   46   +6      72.77     6.03    11.33     1.19     5.23    54.28    15.27P    0.01R    0.00  
Oldham           30   45   +5      66.56     5.55     4.47     0.05     0.33    15.52     2.95P    0.11R    0.00  
MK_Dons          31   45   -3      64.86     5.39    -4.31     0.02     0.15     8.75     1.68P    0.29R    0.00  
Rochdale         29   44   +8      66.71     5.90     6.95     0.13     0.71    18.46     3.99P    0.16R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    29   43   +9      67.48     5.85    10.56     0.12     0.79    21.96     4.82P    0.13R    0.00  
Colchester       29   41   -3      65.85     5.83    -0.71     0.03     0.28    12.90     2.74P    0.40R    0.00  
Hartlepool       29   40  -13      59.87     5.63   -18.73     0.00     0.02     1.71     0.24P    4.77R    0.06  
Carlisle         28   38   +6      63.35     5.97     6.80     0.02     0.13     7.98     1.79P    1.23R    0.01  
Exeter           29   38   -8      58.77     5.71   -12.47     0.00     0.01     1.23     0.16P    7.12R    0.24  
Tranmere         28   37   -3      59.58     5.86    -6.43     0.00     0.01     1.93     0.29P    4.99R    0.16  
Sheff_Wed        29   36   +2      63.16     5.88     7.74     0.01     0.10     6.97     1.96P    1.38R    0.04  
Brentford        29   36   -5      57.61     5.73    -7.44     0.00     0.01     0.75     0.13P    8.64R    0.29  
Notts_County     27   35   +0      59.10     6.24    -2.88     0.01     0.04     2.43     0.56P    6.59R    0.30  
Plymouth         31   33  -15      51.75     5.37   -18.02     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   38.50R    3.68  
Yeovil           30   33  -15      51.16     5.32   -20.70     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    43.74R    4.61  
Swindon          31   31  -12      50.71     5.31   -13.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.75R    5.12  
Walsall          31   30  -16      47.01     5.26   -21.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.29R   16.24  
Dag_&_Red        28   28  -12      45.98     5.78   -23.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   76.82R   24.88  
Bristol_Rovers   30   27  -29      43.75     5.39   -38.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.09R   44.35  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 18 February 2011, Port_Vale vs Bradford; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         30   56  +22      82.43     5.72    28.67    53.71    84.20    98.21    87.66P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           31   51  +19      75.42     5.31    24.76     9.30    42.25    85.23    53.99P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            31   50  +15      73.51     5.46    19.42     5.41    28.35    74.36    40.19P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              29   50   +8      77.24     5.85    13.93    15.87    51.30    87.57    60.48P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            30   48   +8      72.64     5.49    12.06     3.65    21.11    66.47    31.44P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 29   47  +17      73.19     5.82    21.37     6.10    28.45    71.62    39.66P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           31   46   +6      69.36     5.42    10.19     0.95     8.46    43.54    17.74P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           31   44   +1      63.59     5.35    -0.23     0.04     0.94    10.58     2.70P    0.03R    0.00  
Crewe                29   42  +12      70.32     5.92    19.92     2.40    14.58    54.36    24.27P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              28   42  +11      67.69     6.12    12.48     1.12     7.73    35.64    14.06P    0.00R    0.00  
Southend             29   42   +4      69.89     5.86    10.78     1.39    11.13    47.88    21.55P    0.00R    0.00  
Cheltenham           30   39   -4      60.25     5.62    -5.23     0.01     0.26     4.21     0.93P    0.40R    0.08  
Lincoln_City         29   38  -12      56.77     5.55   -18.69     0.00     0.05     1.15     0.22P    1.62R    0.22  
Northampton          29   37   -3      61.46     5.82    -1.35     0.03     0.47     6.78     2.02P    0.27R    0.03  
Stevenage            29   36   +5      59.21     5.77     5.13     0.01     0.20     3.89     1.09P    0.52R    0.09  
Aldershot            30   36   -7      57.11     5.51    -8.06     0.00     0.03     1.15     0.23P    1.41R    0.20  
Morecambe            30   34   -7      54.63     5.56    -9.27     0.00     0.00     0.43     0.09P    3.60R    0.73  
Bradford             30   34  -11      54.34     5.52   -13.18     0.00     0.00     0.31     0.05P    4.17R    0.81  
Accrington_Stanley   27   33   -4      57.48     6.19    -6.74     0.01     0.15     2.55     0.59P    1.98R    0.38  
Hereford             28   32   -9      53.10     5.90   -14.57     0.00     0.01     0.33     0.06P    7.22R    1.68  
Macclesfield         27   29  -13      50.09     6.00   -20.65     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.02P   17.94R    5.41  
Burton_Albion        24   28   -1      57.39     6.85    -2.42     0.02     0.32     3.64     0.94P    3.05R    0.72  
Stockport            31   28  -36      42.02     5.09   -47.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.22R   45.38  
Barnet               30   26  -21      41.65     5.23   -31.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.58R   44.27  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 18 February 2011, Cambridge_Utd vs Kidderminster; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
AFC_Wimbledon      32   64  +25      87.44     5.10    31.55    12.26    98.53    30.78P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       28   61  +34      93.15     5.85    45.75    55.70    99.77    67.54P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              30   58  +33      90.13     5.15    49.80    30.72    99.56    60.16P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      33   58  +12      74.42     4.82     9.70     0.04    35.22     5.53P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            31   56  +17      81.14     5.11    24.12     1.25    85.23    19.39P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     33   51  +15      71.30     4.90    18.93     0.00    18.19     3.13P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     31   45   +8      66.47     5.46     9.40     0.00     4.63     0.60P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            30   44  +12      71.76     5.56    21.16     0.01    24.11     5.75P    0.00     0.00  
York               30   44   +1      69.23     5.48     6.11     0.00     9.35     1.65P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   30   43   +3      67.82     5.39     7.89     0.00     6.88     1.37P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington         29   42  +10      69.56     5.74    16.18     0.00    13.98     3.36P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          30   42   +4      65.81     5.62     6.63     0.00     3.72     0.60P    0.00R    0.00  
Bath_City          32   41   -1      59.00     5.17    -3.20     0.00     0.11     0.01P    0.06R    0.00  
Gateshead          29   39   -3      58.52     5.53    -8.78     0.00     0.17     0.02P    0.15R    0.00  
Kettering          30   39   -4      62.01     5.45    -2.41     0.00     0.54     0.09P    0.03R    0.00  
Tamworth           30   35   -6      53.82     5.31   -11.11     0.00     0.00     0.00P    1.95R    0.06  
Cambridge_Utd      33   34   -9      52.12     4.90    -8.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.14R    0.12  
Southport          29   32   -3      51.61     5.67    -9.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.90R    0.56  
Histon             31   31  -20      46.53     5.06   -27.88     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.57R    2.74  
Forest_Green       30   30  -21      46.77     5.29   -29.86     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.00R    2.88  
Barrow             29   28  -14      46.65     5.40   -22.05     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.68R    3.30  
Hayes_&_Yeading    32   28  -28      41.22     4.75   -38.37     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.72R   17.30  
Altrincham         30   25  -35      42.50     5.23   -42.44     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.66R   15.58  
Eastbourne_Boro    30   22  -30      36.87     5.05   -43.46     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.14R   57.47