Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 17 February 2011 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 15 February 2011, Birmingham vs Newcastle; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         26   57  +32      81.07     4.28    44.87    69.34    94.30    99.16    99.91   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         26   53  +29      77.32     4.45    41.90    27.94    81.86    94.72    98.82   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        27   49  +19      68.05     4.25    25.11     0.28     4.54    27.51    64.13    99.72     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       26   47   +9      67.25     4.45    15.00     0.24     3.96    20.72    50.97    99.38     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         26   45  +24      70.45     4.16    38.90     2.20    15.34    57.75    84.86    99.94     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       27   39   +3      56.37     4.44     6.30     0.00     0.01     0.13     1.21    59.40     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland      27   37   +0      51.27     4.25    -1.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05    12.89     0.08R    0.00  
Bolton          27   36   +1      49.00     4.29    -2.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     5.48     0.39R    0.01  
Newcastle       27   35   +4      50.78     4.36     4.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    13.27     0.16R    0.00  
Stoke           26   33   -2      46.72     4.37    -6.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.94     2.19R    0.16  
Blackburn       27   32   -8      44.64     4.24   -12.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.51     5.82R    0.47  
Fulham          27   31   +0      44.50     4.19    -2.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.80     4.90R    0.35  
Everton         26   30   -3      48.04     4.63    -1.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.70     1.49R    0.10  
Birmingham      26   30  -10      43.59     4.33   -14.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.49     9.59R    1.07  
Aston_Villa     27   30  -15      45.91     4.41   -14.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.36     4.47R    0.47  
Blackpool       26   29  -11      40.56     4.33   -20.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07    28.74R    5.66  
West_Brom       26   27  -17      39.02     4.46   -24.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    44.08R   12.50  
Wigan           27   27  -18      36.46     3.91   -27.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.32R   27.39  
West_Ham        27   25  -18      35.97     4.10   -25.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.18R   30.67  
Wolverhampton   26   24  -19      37.32     4.51   -23.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    57.59R   21.13  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 16 February 2011, Scunthorpe vs Nott'm_Forest; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              31   60  +31      85.47     5.32    38.16    62.02    81.85    99.07    86.67P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          31   55  +14      79.15     5.40    19.41    12.52    33.54    87.25    48.19P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          31   54  +10      76.84     5.39    13.52     5.46    18.41    74.85    30.55P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    30   53  +15      78.74     5.47    20.74    11.14    31.97    85.03    46.92P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          31   53  +11      76.33     5.33    15.12     4.54    16.32    72.45    30.35P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     31   52  +10      74.48     5.49    12.97     3.04    10.69    59.72    21.18P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        31   48   +1      70.03     5.35     3.19     0.40     1.88    26.36     7.74P    0.00R    0.00  
Burnley          31   47   +9      70.09     5.47    12.71     0.45     2.58    30.46     9.97P    0.00R    0.00  
Millwall         31   46   +9      66.57     5.36     9.16     0.10     0.57    12.45     3.26P    0.00R    0.00  
Hull             31   45   +4      66.04     5.33     4.85     0.06     0.37     9.75     2.66P    0.01R    0.00  
Watford          30   44  +10      66.71     5.63    10.87     0.09     0.69    14.46     3.62P    0.01R    0.00  
Reading          31   43  +11      68.41     5.37    18.28     0.16     0.99    21.53     7.30P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          30   41   +4      63.20     5.51     4.37     0.02     0.14     4.52     1.12P    0.14R    0.00  
Barnsley         31   41   -8      58.48     5.20   -12.96     0.00     0.00     0.35     0.06P    1.61R    0.02  
Coventry         31   39   -3      57.20     5.21    -6.39     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.02P    2.15R    0.04  
Doncaster        30   37  -13      55.43     5.39   -18.63     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P    6.22R    0.24  
Derby            30   35   -3      55.25     5.46    -5.80     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.02P    6.13R    0.17  
Portsmouth       30   35   -5      59.92     5.62    -0.59     0.00     0.01     1.21     0.34P    1.23R    0.02  
Bristol_City     31   35  -11      53.19     5.29   -14.59     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   11.54R    0.52  
Middlesbrough    30   33   -5      54.66     5.46    -5.28     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P    6.81R    0.21  
Crystal_Palace   31   31  -21      47.92     5.12   -26.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.94R    4.94  
Sheff_Utd        31   29  -21      47.26     5.24   -24.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.20R    6.93  
Scunthorpe       29   27  -24      44.36     5.49   -33.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.86R   18.91  
Preston          30   22  -25      38.12     5.28   -34.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.15R   67.99  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 15 February 2011, Hartlepool vs Charlton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         28   56  +30      86.67     5.98    38.90    58.41    79.96    99.29    85.35P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      30   53  +22      78.24     5.75    26.89     7.57    24.65    87.16    38.81P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     29   50  +15      78.25     5.85    22.56     7.74    23.56    86.04    40.41P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      28   48  +23      81.19     5.86    36.40    19.80    47.28    94.46    65.43P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         28   47   +8      76.65     6.07    15.48     4.96    16.58    77.08    32.97P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     29   46   +6      72.78     5.99    11.33     1.12     5.36    54.47    15.41P    0.01R    0.00  
Oldham           30   45   +5      66.54     5.58     4.45     0.07     0.35    15.43     2.92P    0.12R    0.00  
MK_Dons          31   45   -3      64.82     5.38    -4.35     0.02     0.13     8.60     1.65P    0.27R    0.00  
Rochdale         29   44   +8      66.83     5.91     7.18     0.10     0.70    18.97     4.24P    0.13R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    29   43   +9      67.59     5.84    10.74     0.14     0.81    22.54     4.84P    0.12R    0.00  
Colchester       29   41   -3      65.82     5.82    -0.79     0.05     0.30    12.77     2.78P    0.39R    0.01  
Hartlepool       29   40  -13      59.89     5.63   -18.70     0.00     0.02     1.65     0.25P    4.76R    0.09  
Carlisle         28   38   +6      63.41     6.03     6.90     0.01     0.16     8.43     1.96P    1.17R    0.02  
Exeter           29   38   -8      58.80     5.68   -12.43     0.00     0.00     1.18     0.15P    6.79R    0.27  
Tranmere         28   37   -3      59.48     5.86    -6.53     0.01     0.02     1.92     0.34P    5.27R    0.20  
Sheff_Wed        29   36   +2      63.19     5.84     7.79     0.02     0.08     6.90     1.87P    1.29R    0.03  
Brentford        29   36   -5      57.54     5.66    -7.57     0.00     0.00     0.72     0.14P    8.47R    0.33  
Notts_County     27   35   +0      59.17     6.25    -2.75     0.00     0.02     2.35     0.49P    6.58R    0.32  
Plymouth         31   33  -15      51.82     5.39   -17.89     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   38.02R    3.53  
Yeovil           30   33  -15      51.27     5.32   -20.52     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   43.13R    4.52  
Swindon          31   31  -12      50.62     5.32   -13.94     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    44.60R    4.99  
Walsall          31   30  -16      46.96     5.22   -21.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.09R   16.11  
Dag_&_Red        28   28  -12      46.00     5.82   -23.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.52R   25.02  
Bristol_Rovers   30   27  -29      43.74     5.40   -38.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.26R   44.58  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 15 February 2011, Aldershot vs Lincoln_City; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         30   56  +22      82.37     5.71    28.59    54.06    84.21    98.20    87.70P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           31   51  +19      75.47     5.34    24.85     9.63    43.55    85.69    54.94P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            31   50  +15      73.59     5.44    19.51     5.49    29.18    75.67    41.29P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              29   50   +8      77.28     5.83    13.97    15.90    52.05    88.23    61.20P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 29   47  +17      73.15     5.82    21.30     6.10    28.60    72.28    39.72P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           31   46   +6      69.45     5.43    10.28     1.06     9.26    45.18    18.77P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            29   45   +7      71.17     5.70    11.28     2.45    15.67    57.13    25.23P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           31   44   +1      63.49     5.39    -0.39     0.07     0.88    10.90     2.71P    0.03R    0.00  
Crewe                29   42  +12      70.31     5.96    19.98     2.57    15.27    55.15    24.88P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              28   42  +11      67.69     6.06    12.44     1.09     7.69    36.00    14.17P    0.01R    0.00  
Southend             29   42   +4      69.93     5.90    10.88     1.49    11.93    49.40    22.65P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           30   39   -4      60.28     5.58    -5.19     0.02     0.26     4.39     0.93P    0.37R    0.05  
Lincoln_City         29   38  -12      56.81     5.55   -18.60     0.00     0.05     1.24     0.23P    1.62R    0.23  
Northampton          29   37   -3      61.55     5.86    -1.17     0.04     0.61     7.45     2.28P    0.23R    0.03  
Stevenage            29   36   +5      59.21     5.74     5.14     0.01     0.19     3.94     1.07P    0.53R    0.07  
Aldershot            30   36   -7      57.20     5.53    -7.93     0.00     0.05     1.34     0.30P    1.34R    0.20  
Morecambe            30   34   -7      54.60     5.58    -9.31     0.00     0.01     0.44     0.11P    3.81R    0.71  
Bradford             29   34  -10      55.48     5.69   -12.45     0.00     0.01     0.66     0.14P    3.03R    0.55  
Accrington_Stanley   27   33   -4      57.30     6.23    -7.04     0.00     0.15     2.53     0.55P    2.19R    0.45  
Hereford             28   32   -9      53.10     5.87   -14.53     0.00     0.01     0.32     0.07P    7.12R    1.58  
Macclesfield         27   29  -13      50.02     6.00   -20.79     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.03P   18.29R    5.58  
Burton_Albion        24   28   -1      57.31     6.84    -2.49     0.02     0.35     3.74     1.05P    3.10R    0.69  
Stockport            31   28  -36      42.08     5.05   -47.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.98R   45.21  
Barnet               30   26  -21      41.61     5.18   -31.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.37R   44.65  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 15 February 2011, Altrincham vs Histon; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
AFC_Wimbledon      32   64  +25      87.46     5.11    31.53    11.01    98.63    29.85P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       28   61  +34      93.34     5.84    45.95    53.10    99.87    65.55P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              29   57  +33      91.00     5.38    50.67    34.79    99.71    62.77P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            31   56  +17      81.19     5.11    24.20     1.05    86.76    19.56P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      32   55  +11      72.45     5.00     8.13     0.03    24.41     3.77P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     33   51  +15      71.20     4.92    18.76     0.00    19.96     3.52P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            30   44  +12      71.78     5.52    21.19     0.01    26.49     6.33P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     30   44   +8      66.30     5.66     8.55     0.00     5.48     0.73P    0.00     0.00  
York               30   44   +1      69.13     5.45     5.95     0.00    10.03     1.88P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   30   43   +3      67.82     5.35     7.84     0.00     7.34     1.49P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington         29   42  +10      69.69     5.72    16.38     0.00    15.92     3.70P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          30   42   +4      65.92     5.61     6.85     0.00     4.31     0.65P    0.00R    0.00  
Bath_City          32   41   -1      59.00     5.15    -3.23     0.00     0.18     0.02P    0.06R    0.00  
Gateshead          29   39   -3      58.42     5.52    -8.94     0.00     0.15     0.02P    0.18R    0.00  
Kettering          30   39   -4      62.04     5.44    -2.32     0.00     0.76     0.16P    0.04R    0.00  
Tamworth           30   35   -6      53.81     5.28   -11.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.93R    0.07  
Cambridge_Utd      32   34   -8      54.00     5.09    -6.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.61R    0.06  
Southport          29   32   -3      51.61     5.65    -9.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.73R    0.52  
Histon             31   31  -20      46.46     5.02   -28.01     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.89R    2.58  
Forest_Green       30   30  -21      46.71     5.22   -29.99     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.06R    3.05  
Barrow             29   28  -14      46.62     5.41   -22.13     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.94R    3.37  
Hayes_&_Yeading    32   28  -28      41.14     4.72   -38.52     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.64R   17.53  
Altrincham         30   25  -35      42.47     5.24   -42.43     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.91R   15.75  
Eastbourne_Boro    30   22  -30      36.90     5.08   -43.43     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.01R   57.06