Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Thursday 17 February 2011 at 22:15:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 15 February 2011, Birmingham vs Newcastle; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- Expected ------------------------- Percentage chance ------------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_Utd 26 57 +32 81.07 4.28 44.87 69.34 94.30 99.16 99.91 100.00 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 26 53 +29 77.32 4.45 41.90 27.94 81.86 94.72 98.82 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_City 27 49 +19 68.05 4.25 25.11 0.28 4.54 27.51 64.13 99.72 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 26 47 +9 67.25 4.45 15.00 0.24 3.96 20.72 50.97 99.38 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 26 45 +24 70.45 4.16 38.90 2.20 15.34 57.75 84.86 99.94 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 27 39 +3 56.37 4.44 6.30 0.00 0.01 0.13 1.21 59.40 0.00 0.00 Sunderland 27 37 +0 51.27 4.25 -1.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 12.89 0.08R 0.00 Bolton 27 36 +1 49.00 4.29 -2.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 5.48 0.39R 0.01 Newcastle 27 35 +4 50.78 4.36 4.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 13.27 0.16R 0.00 Stoke 26 33 -2 46.72 4.37 -6.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.94 2.19R 0.16 Blackburn 27 32 -8 44.64 4.24 -12.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.51 5.82R 0.47 Fulham 27 31 +0 44.50 4.19 -2.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.80 4.90R 0.35 Everton 26 30 -3 48.04 4.63 -1.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.70 1.49R 0.10 Birmingham 26 30 -10 43.59 4.33 -14.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.49 9.59R 1.07 Aston_Villa 27 30 -15 45.91 4.41 -14.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.36 4.47R 0.47 Blackpool 26 29 -11 40.56 4.33 -20.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.07 28.74R 5.66 West_Brom 26 27 -17 39.02 4.46 -24.78 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 44.08R 12.50 Wigan 27 27 -18 36.46 3.91 -27.73 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 69.32R 27.39 West_Ham 27 25 -18 35.97 4.10 -25.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 71.18R 30.67 Wolverhampton 26 24 -19 37.32 4.51 -23.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 57.59R 21.13Championship (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 16 February 2011, Scunthorpe vs Nott'm_Forest; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 QPR 31 60 +31 85.47 5.32 38.16 62.02 81.85 99.07 86.67P 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 31 55 +14 79.15 5.40 19.41 12.52 33.54 87.25 48.19P 0.00 0.00 Norwich 31 54 +10 76.84 5.39 13.52 5.46 18.41 74.85 30.55P 0.00 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 30 53 +15 78.74 5.47 20.74 11.14 31.97 85.03 46.92P 0.00 0.00 Swansea 31 53 +11 76.33 5.33 15.12 4.54 16.32 72.45 30.35P 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 31 52 +10 74.48 5.49 12.97 3.04 10.69 59.72 21.18P 0.00 0.00 Leicester 31 48 +1 70.03 5.35 3.19 0.40 1.88 26.36 7.74P 0.00R 0.00 Burnley 31 47 +9 70.09 5.47 12.71 0.45 2.58 30.46 9.97P 0.00R 0.00 Millwall 31 46 +9 66.57 5.36 9.16 0.10 0.57 12.45 3.26P 0.00R 0.00 Hull 31 45 +4 66.04 5.33 4.85 0.06 0.37 9.75 2.66P 0.01R 0.00 Watford 30 44 +10 66.71 5.63 10.87 0.09 0.69 14.46 3.62P 0.01R 0.00 Reading 31 43 +11 68.41 5.37 18.28 0.16 0.99 21.53 7.30P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 30 41 +4 63.20 5.51 4.37 0.02 0.14 4.52 1.12P 0.14R 0.00 Barnsley 31 41 -8 58.48 5.20 -12.96 0.00 0.00 0.35 0.06P 1.61R 0.02 Coventry 31 39 -3 57.20 5.21 -6.39 0.00 0.00 0.20 0.02P 2.15R 0.04 Doncaster 30 37 -13 55.43 5.39 -18.63 0.00 0.00 0.11 0.02P 6.22R 0.24 Derby 30 35 -3 55.25 5.46 -5.80 0.00 0.00 0.13 0.02P 6.13R 0.17 Portsmouth 30 35 -5 59.92 5.62 -0.59 0.00 0.01 1.21 0.34P 1.23R 0.02 Bristol_City 31 35 -11 53.19 5.29 -14.59 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 11.54R 0.52 Middlesbrough 30 33 -5 54.66 5.46 -5.28 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.01P 6.81R 0.21 Crystal_Palace 31 31 -21 47.92 5.12 -26.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 45.94R 4.94 Sheff_Utd 31 29 -21 47.26 5.24 -24.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 50.20R 6.93 Scunthorpe 29 27 -24 44.36 5.49 -33.78 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 72.86R 18.91 Preston 30 22 -25 38.12 5.28 -34.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 95.15R 67.99League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 15 February 2011, Hartlepool vs Charlton; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Brighton 28 56 +30 86.67 5.98 38.90 58.41 79.96 99.29 85.35P 0.00 0.00 Bournemouth 30 53 +22 78.24 5.75 26.89 7.57 24.65 87.16 38.81P 0.00 0.00 Huddersfield 29 50 +15 78.25 5.85 22.56 7.74 23.56 86.04 40.41P 0.00 0.00 Southampton 28 48 +23 81.19 5.86 36.40 19.80 47.28 94.46 65.43P 0.00 0.00 Charlton 28 47 +8 76.65 6.07 15.48 4.96 16.58 77.08 32.97P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 29 46 +6 72.78 5.99 11.33 1.12 5.36 54.47 15.41P 0.01R 0.00 Oldham 30 45 +5 66.54 5.58 4.45 0.07 0.35 15.43 2.92P 0.12R 0.00 MK_Dons 31 45 -3 64.82 5.38 -4.35 0.02 0.13 8.60 1.65P 0.27R 0.00 Rochdale 29 44 +8 66.83 5.91 7.18 0.10 0.70 18.97 4.24P 0.13R 0.00 Leyton_Orient 29 43 +9 67.59 5.84 10.74 0.14 0.81 22.54 4.84P 0.12R 0.00 Colchester 29 41 -3 65.82 5.82 -0.79 0.05 0.30 12.77 2.78P 0.39R 0.01 Hartlepool 29 40 -13 59.89 5.63 -18.70 0.00 0.02 1.65 0.25P 4.76R 0.09 Carlisle 28 38 +6 63.41 6.03 6.90 0.01 0.16 8.43 1.96P 1.17R 0.02 Exeter 29 38 -8 58.80 5.68 -12.43 0.00 0.00 1.18 0.15P 6.79R 0.27 Tranmere 28 37 -3 59.48 5.86 -6.53 0.01 0.02 1.92 0.34P 5.27R 0.20 Sheff_Wed 29 36 +2 63.19 5.84 7.79 0.02 0.08 6.90 1.87P 1.29R 0.03 Brentford 29 36 -5 57.54 5.66 -7.57 0.00 0.00 0.72 0.14P 8.47R 0.33 Notts_County 27 35 +0 59.17 6.25 -2.75 0.00 0.02 2.35 0.49P 6.58R 0.32 Plymouth 31 33 -15 51.82 5.39 -17.89 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 38.02R 3.53 Yeovil 30 33 -15 51.27 5.32 -20.52 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 43.13R 4.52 Swindon 31 31 -12 50.62 5.32 -13.94 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 44.60R 4.99 Walsall 31 30 -16 46.96 5.22 -21.92 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 73.09R 16.11 Dag_&_Red 28 28 -12 46.00 5.82 -23.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 76.52R 25.02 Bristol_Rovers 30 27 -29 43.74 5.40 -38.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 89.26R 44.58League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 15 February 2011, Aldershot vs Lincoln_City; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Chesterfield 30 56 +22 82.37 5.71 28.59 54.06 84.21 98.20 87.70P 0.00 0.00 Shrewsbury 31 51 +19 75.47 5.34 24.85 9.63 43.55 85.69 54.94P 0.00 0.00 Rotherham 31 50 +15 73.59 5.44 19.51 5.49 29.18 75.67 41.29P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 29 50 +8 77.28 5.83 13.97 15.90 52.05 88.23 61.20P 0.00 0.00 Bury 29 47 +17 73.15 5.82 21.30 6.10 28.60 72.28 39.72P 0.00 0.00 Gillingham 31 46 +6 69.45 5.43 10.28 1.06 9.26 45.18 18.77P 0.00 0.00 Port_Vale 29 45 +7 71.17 5.70 11.28 2.45 15.67 57.13 25.23P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 31 44 +1 63.49 5.39 -0.39 0.07 0.88 10.90 2.71P 0.03R 0.00 Crewe 29 42 +12 70.31 5.96 19.98 2.57 15.27 55.15 24.88P 0.00 0.00 Torquay 28 42 +11 67.69 6.06 12.44 1.09 7.69 36.00 14.17P 0.01R 0.00 Southend 29 42 +4 69.93 5.90 10.88 1.49 11.93 49.40 22.65P 0.00 0.00 Cheltenham 30 39 -4 60.28 5.58 -5.19 0.02 0.26 4.39 0.93P 0.37R 0.05 Lincoln_City 29 38 -12 56.81 5.55 -18.60 0.00 0.05 1.24 0.23P 1.62R 0.23 Northampton 29 37 -3 61.55 5.86 -1.17 0.04 0.61 7.45 2.28P 0.23R 0.03 Stevenage 29 36 +5 59.21 5.74 5.14 0.01 0.19 3.94 1.07P 0.53R 0.07 Aldershot 30 36 -7 57.20 5.53 -7.93 0.00 0.05 1.34 0.30P 1.34R 0.20 Morecambe 30 34 -7 54.60 5.58 -9.31 0.00 0.01 0.44 0.11P 3.81R 0.71 Bradford 29 34 -10 55.48 5.69 -12.45 0.00 0.01 0.66 0.14P 3.03R 0.55 Accrington_Stanley 27 33 -4 57.30 6.23 -7.04 0.00 0.15 2.53 0.55P 2.19R 0.45 Hereford 28 32 -9 53.10 5.87 -14.53 0.00 0.01 0.32 0.07P 7.12R 1.58 Macclesfield 27 29 -13 50.02 6.00 -20.79 0.00 0.00 0.12 0.03P 18.29R 5.58 Burton_Albion 24 28 -1 57.31 6.84 -2.49 0.02 0.35 3.74 1.05P 3.10R 0.69 Stockport 31 28 -36 42.08 5.05 -47.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 78.98R 45.21 Barnet 30 26 -21 41.61 5.18 -31.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 79.37R 44.65Conference (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 15 February 2011, Altrincham vs Histon; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected ---------------- Percentage chance ---------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 AFC_Wimbledon 32 64 +25 87.46 5.11 31.53 11.01 98.63 29.85P 0.00 0.00 Crawley_Town 28 61 +34 93.34 5.84 45.95 53.10 99.87 65.55P 0.00 0.00 Luton 29 57 +33 91.00 5.38 50.67 34.79 99.71 62.77P 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 31 56 +17 81.19 5.11 24.20 1.05 86.76 19.56P 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 32 55 +11 72.45 5.00 8.13 0.03 24.41 3.77P 0.00 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 33 51 +15 71.20 4.92 18.76 0.00 19.96 3.52P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 30 44 +12 71.78 5.52 21.19 0.01 26.49 6.33P 0.00 0.00 Newport_County 30 44 +8 66.30 5.66 8.55 0.00 5.48 0.73P 0.00 0.00 York 30 44 +1 69.13 5.45 5.95 0.00 10.03 1.88P 0.00 0.00 Rushden_&_D'mnds 30 43 +3 67.82 5.35 7.84 0.00 7.34 1.49P 0.00 0.00 Darlington 29 42 +10 69.69 5.72 16.38 0.00 15.92 3.70P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 30 42 +4 65.92 5.61 6.85 0.00 4.31 0.65P 0.00R 0.00 Bath_City 32 41 -1 59.00 5.15 -3.23 0.00 0.18 0.02P 0.06R 0.00 Gateshead 29 39 -3 58.42 5.52 -8.94 0.00 0.15 0.02P 0.18R 0.00 Kettering 30 39 -4 62.04 5.44 -2.32 0.00 0.76 0.16P 0.04R 0.00 Tamworth 30 35 -6 53.81 5.28 -11.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.93R 0.07 Cambridge_Utd 32 34 -8 54.00 5.09 -6.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.61R 0.06 Southport 29 32 -3 51.61 5.65 -9.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.73R 0.52 Histon 31 31 -20 46.46 5.02 -28.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 23.89R 2.58 Forest_Green 30 30 -21 46.71 5.22 -29.99 0.00 0.00 0.00 25.06R 3.05 Barrow 29 28 -14 46.62 5.41 -22.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 23.94R 3.37 Hayes_&_Yeading 32 28 -28 41.14 4.72 -38.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 69.64R 17.53 Altrincham 30 25 -35 42.47 5.24 -42.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 58.91R 15.75 Eastbourne_Boro 30 22 -30 36.90 5.08 -43.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 89.01R 57.06