Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 16 February 2011 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 15 February 2011, Birmingham vs Newcastle; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         26   57  +32      81.00     4.26    44.76    68.76    94.20    99.03    99.90   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         26   53  +29      77.34     4.44    41.95    28.43    81.80    94.72    98.94   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        27   49  +19      68.06     4.25    25.14     0.31     4.61    27.19    64.33    99.70     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       26   47   +9      67.25     4.48    15.00     0.27     4.11    20.81    50.76    99.34     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         26   45  +24      70.46     4.17    38.92     2.23    15.28    58.13    84.92    99.94     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       27   39   +3      56.31     4.41     6.19     0.00     0.01     0.11     1.05    59.12     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland      27   37   +0      51.19     4.25    -1.61     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05    12.60     0.09R    0.00  
Bolton          27   36   +1      48.92     4.32    -2.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     5.47     0.44R    0.01  
Newcastle       27   35   +4      50.78     4.36     4.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    13.59     0.15R    0.01  
Stoke           26   33   -2      46.72     4.40    -6.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     2.03     2.30R    0.15  
Blackburn       27   32   -8      44.66     4.25   -12.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.56     5.74R    0.52  
Fulham          27   31   +0      44.60     4.21    -2.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.88     4.79R    0.38  
Everton         26   30   -3      48.08     4.62    -0.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.82     1.40R    0.10  
Birmingham      26   30  -10      43.54     4.32   -14.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.43     9.73R    1.18  
Aston_Villa     27   30  -15      45.89     4.39   -14.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.33     4.54R    0.47  
Blackpool       26   29  -11      40.62     4.34   -20.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09    28.23R    5.64  
West_Brom       26   27  -17      39.07     4.48   -24.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07    44.09R   12.47  
Wigan           27   27  -18      36.48     3.90   -27.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.28R   27.70  
West_Ham        27   25  -18      36.01     4.10   -25.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.82R   30.17  
Wolverhampton   26   24  -19      37.29     4.49   -23.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.41R   21.20  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 16 February 2011, Scunthorpe vs Nott'm_Forest; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              31   60  +31      85.56     5.31    38.29    62.65    82.22    99.14    86.97P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          31   55  +14      79.14     5.37    19.39    12.26    33.25    87.02    48.12P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          31   54  +10      76.92     5.40    13.64     5.56    19.05    74.96    31.30P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    30   53  +15      78.72     5.49    20.70    10.76    31.71    85.03    46.69P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          31   53  +11      76.33     5.31    15.11     4.57    16.13    72.69    30.35P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     31   52  +10      74.48     5.51    12.94     2.90    10.45    59.76    20.98P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        31   48   +1      69.97     5.37     3.07     0.44     1.93    25.91     7.57P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          31   47   +9      70.01     5.49    12.58     0.42     2.42    30.06     9.46P    0.00R    0.00  
Millwall         31   46   +9      66.52     5.36     9.11     0.09     0.52    12.24     3.10P    0.00R    0.00  
Hull             31   45   +4      66.25     5.35     5.15     0.06     0.38    10.46     2.86P    0.01R    0.00  
Watford          30   44  +10      66.70     5.67    10.82     0.14     0.80    14.65     3.90P    0.01R    0.00  
Reading          31   43  +11      68.35     5.37    18.23     0.13     1.02    21.36     7.19P    0.00R    0.00  
Ipswich          30   41   +4      63.10     5.51     4.23     0.02     0.10     4.56     1.01P    0.15R    0.00  
Barnsley         31   41   -8      58.50     5.19   -12.91     0.00     0.00     0.37     0.06P    1.61R    0.02  
Coventry         31   39   -3      57.26     5.20    -6.28     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.02P    2.00R    0.02  
Doncaster        30   37  -13      55.36     5.43   -18.74     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P    6.57R    0.25  
Derby            30   35   -3      55.34     5.49    -5.62     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P    5.88R    0.18  
Portsmouth       30   35   -5      59.91     5.65    -0.58     0.00     0.02     1.19     0.35P    1.30R    0.04  
Bristol_City     31   35  -11      53.17     5.26   -14.61     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   11.36R    0.46  
Middlesbrough    30   33   -5      54.57     5.49    -5.43     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P    7.06R    0.23  
Crystal_Palace   31   31  -21      48.01     5.11   -26.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.33R    4.74  
Sheff_Utd        31   29  -21      47.28     5.19   -24.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.98R    6.90  
Scunthorpe       29   27  -24      44.22     5.44   -33.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.72R   19.72  
Preston          30   22  -25      38.20     5.30   -34.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.00R   67.44  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 15 February 2011, Hartlepool vs Charlton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         28   56  +30      86.72     5.97    38.96    58.41    80.17    99.26    85.38P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      30   53  +22      78.21     5.74    26.86     7.48    24.29    87.06    38.32P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     29   50  +15      78.27     5.83    22.64     7.48    23.38    86.36    40.48P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      28   48  +23      81.24     5.85    36.47    19.98    46.98    94.66    65.19P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         28   47   +8      76.66     6.08    15.51     5.02    16.91    77.13    33.40P    0.00R    0.00  
Peterborough     29   46   +6      72.90     6.00    11.48     1.18     5.45    55.35    15.57P    0.01R    0.00  
Oldham           30   45   +5      66.50     5.63     4.39     0.06     0.41    15.69     3.09P    0.12R    0.00  
MK_Dons          31   45   -3      64.82     5.41    -4.39     0.03     0.16     8.49     1.65P    0.36R    0.00  
Rochdale         29   44   +8      66.64     5.89     6.85     0.12     0.73    17.95     4.05P    0.18R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    29   43   +9      67.51     5.85    10.60     0.15     0.85    22.19     4.84P    0.14R    0.00  
Colchester       29   41   -3      65.95     5.84    -0.57     0.05     0.36    13.09     2.89P    0.43R    0.01  
Hartlepool       29   40  -13      59.92     5.63   -18.68     0.00     0.02     1.67     0.25P    4.85R    0.07  
Carlisle         28   38   +6      63.39     5.98     6.88     0.02     0.13     8.14     1.85P    1.18R    0.01  
Exeter           29   38   -8      58.68     5.68   -12.59     0.00     0.00     1.16     0.16P    7.13R    0.20  
Tranmere         28   37   -3      59.60     5.86    -6.38     0.01     0.02     1.90     0.31P    5.16R    0.16  
Sheff_Wed        29   36   +2      63.09     5.87     7.64     0.01     0.11     6.76     1.87P    1.38R    0.03  
Brentford        29   36   -5      57.60     5.67    -7.43     0.00     0.00     0.78     0.19P    8.64R    0.33  
Notts_County     27   35   +0      59.22     6.20    -2.69     0.00     0.03     2.30     0.49P    6.31R    0.24  
Plymouth         31   33  -15      51.75     5.40   -17.99     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   38.48R    3.81  
Yeovil           30   33  -15      51.20     5.33   -20.68     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   43.54R    4.56  
Swindon          31   31  -12      50.74     5.33   -13.77     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   43.48R    4.84  
Walsall          31   30  -16      47.02     5.25   -21.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.41R   16.07  
Dag_&_Red        28   28  -12      45.95     5.79   -23.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   76.90R   25.29  
Bristol_Rovers   30   27  -29      43.73     5.38   -38.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.30R   44.38  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 15 February 2011, Aldershot vs Lincoln_City; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         30   56  +22      82.36     5.69    28.61    53.97    84.22    98.25    87.74P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           31   51  +19      75.44     5.35    24.80     9.57    43.36    85.61    54.89P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            31   50  +15      73.53     5.48    19.43     5.48    29.31    75.11    41.03P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              29   50   +8      77.26     5.90    13.95    16.36    52.16    87.75    61.22P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 29   47  +17      73.01     5.80    21.10     5.74    27.96    71.43    38.53P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           31   46   +6      69.47     5.42    10.32     1.07     9.17    45.68    18.80P    0.00R    0.00  
Port_Vale            29   45   +7      71.25     5.72    11.43     2.62    15.97    57.67    25.64P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           31   44   +1      63.65     5.38    -0.18     0.07     1.01    11.42     2.85P    0.03R    0.00  
Crewe                29   42  +12      70.26     5.92    19.87     2.39    15.14    54.95    24.88P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              28   42  +11      67.83     6.07    12.65     1.11     8.16    37.06    14.87P    0.00R    0.00  
Southend             29   42   +4      69.88     5.90    10.82     1.53    11.90    49.24    22.76P    0.00R    0.00  
Cheltenham           30   39   -4      60.25     5.60    -5.26     0.01     0.25     4.30     1.02P    0.42R    0.06  
Lincoln_City         29   38  -12      56.77     5.58   -18.72     0.00     0.06     1.29     0.23P    1.75R    0.25  
Northampton          29   37   -3      61.48     5.83    -1.28     0.04     0.57     7.28     2.26P    0.25R    0.04  
Stevenage            29   36   +5      59.26     5.74     5.20     0.01     0.19     3.96     1.07P    0.55R    0.06  
Aldershot            30   36   -7      57.10     5.51    -8.06     0.00     0.05     1.22     0.29P    1.35R    0.19  
Morecambe            30   34   -7      54.72     5.52    -9.13     0.00     0.02     0.47     0.11P    3.48R    0.61  
Bradford             29   34  -10      55.50     5.69   -12.42     0.00     0.02     0.74     0.15P    2.87R    0.54  
Accrington_Stanley   27   33   -4      57.31     6.22    -6.99     0.01     0.18     2.50     0.60P    2.18R    0.44  
Hereford             28   32   -9      53.10     5.91   -14.56     0.00     0.01     0.36     0.08P    7.48R    1.74  
Macclesfield         27   29  -13      49.98     5.95   -20.87     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P   18.59R    5.50  
Burton_Albion        24   28   -1      57.31     6.80    -2.49     0.02     0.30     3.59     0.97P    3.03R    0.70  
Stockport            31   28  -36      42.07     5.09   -47.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.08R   45.22  
Barnet               30   26  -21      41.64     5.23   -31.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.94R   44.66  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 15 February 2011, Altrincham vs Histon; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
AFC_Wimbledon      32   64  +25      87.48     5.13    31.58    11.20    98.66    30.04P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       28   61  +34      93.27     5.83    45.87    52.92    99.80    65.64P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              29   57  +33      90.98     5.35    50.51    34.79    99.68    62.84P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            31   56  +17      81.09     5.11    24.03     1.03    86.32    19.28P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      32   55  +11      72.46     5.00     8.15     0.03    24.82     3.87P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     33   51  +15      71.21     4.94    18.79     0.00    20.17     3.28P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            30   44  +12      71.72     5.51    21.05     0.02    25.96     6.11P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     30   44   +8      66.25     5.62     8.48     0.00     5.23     0.72P    0.00     0.00  
York               30   44   +1      69.21     5.46     6.07     0.00    10.26     1.91P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   30   43   +3      67.77     5.37     7.83     0.00     7.14     1.45P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington         29   42  +10      69.81     5.74    16.54     0.01    16.62     4.01P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          30   42   +4      65.95     5.59     6.89     0.00     4.26     0.70P    0.00R    0.00  
Bath_City          32   41   -1      59.07     5.17    -3.13     0.00     0.17     0.03P    0.03R    0.00  
Gateshead          29   39   -3      58.47     5.51    -8.85     0.00     0.19     0.02P    0.18R    0.00  
Kettering          30   39   -4      62.04     5.45    -2.33     0.00     0.68     0.10P    0.03R    0.00  
Tamworth           30   35   -6      53.79     5.29   -11.14     0.00     0.01     0.00     1.96R    0.07  
Cambridge_Utd      32   34   -8      54.02     5.13    -6.61     0.00     0.01     0.00     1.56R    0.05  
Southport          29   32   -3      51.56     5.62    -9.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.70R    0.53  
Histon             31   31  -20      46.41     5.06   -28.10     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.52R    2.88  
Forest_Green       30   30  -21      46.71     5.25   -29.94     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.82R    2.79  
Barrow             29   28  -14      46.65     5.43   -22.02     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.67R    3.25  
Hayes_&_Yeading    32   28  -28      41.09     4.71   -38.60     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.90R   17.90  
Altrincham         30   25  -35      42.48     5.26   -42.43     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.74R   15.69  
Eastbourne_Boro    30   22  -30      36.94     5.07   -43.32     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.87R   56.83