Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 15 February 2011 at 22:15:02 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 15 February 2011, Birmingham vs Newcastle; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         26   57  +32      80.96     4.29    44.68    68.91    94.10    99.00    99.88   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         26   53  +29      77.25     4.42    41.80    28.26    81.54    94.76    98.90   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        27   49  +19      68.06     4.26    25.10     0.35     4.71    27.67    64.21    99.68     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       26   47   +9      67.27     4.48    15.00     0.28     4.03    20.79    51.19    99.39     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         26   45  +24      70.43     4.16    38.85     2.21    15.61    57.64    84.54    99.96     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       27   39   +3      56.38     4.44     6.31     0.00     0.00     0.12     1.18    59.28     0.00R    0.00  
Sunderland      27   37   +0      51.26     4.26    -1.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06    12.60     0.08R    0.00  
Bolton          27   36   +1      48.98     4.33    -2.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     5.59     0.38R    0.01  
Newcastle       27   35   +4      50.85     4.35     4.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    13.70     0.14R    0.00  
Stoke           26   33   -2      46.70     4.37    -6.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.92     2.27R    0.19  
Blackburn       27   32   -8      44.73     4.22   -12.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.51     5.47R    0.45  
Fulham          27   31   +0      44.56     4.18    -2.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.83     4.74R    0.35  
Everton         26   30   -3      48.07     4.62    -0.98     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01     4.72     1.42R    0.11  
Birmingham      26   30  -10      43.48     4.31   -14.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.42    10.11R    1.20  
Aston_Villa     27   30  -15      45.83     4.41   -14.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.27     4.44R    0.53  
Blackpool       26   29  -11      40.56     4.35   -20.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06    28.79R    5.98  
West_Brom       26   27  -17      39.06     4.48   -24.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05    43.87R   12.48  
Wigan           27   27  -18      36.48     3.88   -27.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.42R   27.45  
West_Ham        27   25  -18      36.02     4.06   -25.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.14R   30.29  
Wolverhampton   26   24  -19      37.35     4.50   -23.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    57.73R   20.97  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 15 February 2011, Cardiff vs Burnley; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              31   60  +31      85.52     5.29    38.17    57.46    79.78    99.10    85.19P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          31   55  +14      79.23     5.38    19.48    11.49    30.24    87.41    46.36P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          31   54  +10      76.88     5.39    13.61     4.91    16.30    74.78    28.93P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    29   53  +16      80.86     5.70    22.85    18.52    44.40    90.98    57.53P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          31   53  +11      76.37     5.32    15.19     3.94    14.20    72.77    28.85P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     31   52  +10      74.49     5.52    12.94     2.66     9.34    59.30    20.00P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        31   48   +1      70.00     5.37     3.14     0.31     1.51    26.15     7.13P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          31   47   +9      70.05     5.50    12.63     0.37     2.11    29.79     9.45P    0.00R    0.00  
Millwall         31   46   +8      66.22     5.33     7.72     0.04     0.34    10.85     2.55P    0.00R    0.00  
Hull             31   45   +4      66.11     5.34     4.99     0.04     0.29     9.73     2.64P    0.01R    0.00  
Watford          30   44  +10      66.76     5.67    10.94     0.13     0.67    14.83     3.89P    0.02R    0.00  
Reading          31   43  +11      68.28     5.38    18.13     0.12     0.79    20.49     6.61P    0.01R    0.00  
Barnsley         31   41   -9      58.19     5.16   -14.30     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.03P    1.61R    0.02  
Ipswich          30   39   +2      60.77     5.50     1.78     0.00     0.03     1.82     0.43P    0.51R    0.00  
Coventry         31   39   -2      57.35     5.22    -5.12     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.04P    1.78R    0.03  
Doncaster        30   37  -13      55.40     5.41   -18.66     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P    5.83R    0.12  
Bristol_City     31   36   -9      54.61     5.25   -11.89     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P    6.28R    0.15  
Derby            30   35   -3      55.20     5.47    -5.73     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.03P    5.55R    0.14  
Portsmouth       30   35   -5      59.87     5.61    -0.61     0.00     0.00     1.10     0.30P    1.17R    0.02  
Middlesbrough    30   33   -4      54.79     5.47    -4.12     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P    5.99R    0.15  
Crystal_Palace   31   31  -21      47.97     5.07   -26.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.71R    3.80  
Sheff_Utd        31   29  -21      47.10     5.23   -24.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.29R    5.94  
Scunthorpe       28   24  -25      42.02     5.69   -35.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.73R   29.79  
Preston          30   22  -25      38.26     5.30   -34.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.50R   59.83  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 15 February 2011, Hartlepool vs Charlton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         28   56  +30      86.71     5.98    38.95    58.38    79.93    99.33    85.28P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      30   53  +22      78.14     5.73    26.77     7.29    23.82    86.73    37.80P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     29   50  +15      78.40     5.87    22.83     7.99    24.26    86.34    40.80P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      28   48  +23      81.30     5.82    36.55    19.96    47.36    94.76    65.85P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         28   47   +8      76.65     6.03    15.49     4.75    16.49    77.20    33.08P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     29   46   +6      72.82     6.02    11.43     1.21     5.34    54.83    15.42P    0.01R    0.00  
Oldham           30   45   +5      66.54     5.61     4.44     0.05     0.39    15.56     3.13P    0.12R    0.00  
MK_Dons          31   45   -3      64.83     5.40    -4.36     0.02     0.15     8.47     1.64P    0.31R    0.00  
Rochdale         29   44   +8      66.72     5.90     6.98     0.13     0.75    18.25     4.16P    0.14R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    29   43   +9      67.59     5.85    10.73     0.14     0.92    22.30     4.88P    0.11R    0.00  
Colchester       29   41   -3      65.96     5.85    -0.58     0.05     0.34    13.24     2.97P    0.36R    0.01  
Hartlepool       29   40  -13      59.96     5.64   -18.63     0.00     0.02     1.74     0.22P    4.71R    0.06  
Carlisle         28   38   +6      63.32     5.99     6.75     0.02     0.13     8.01     1.77P    1.15R    0.01  
Exeter           29   38   -8      58.73     5.68   -12.53     0.00     0.00     1.08     0.13P    6.80R    0.24  
Tranmere         28   37   -3      59.57     5.82    -6.40     0.00     0.00     1.91     0.34P    4.93R    0.15  
Sheff_Wed        29   36   +2      63.08     5.88     7.68     0.01     0.08     6.94     1.95P    1.31R    0.04  
Brentford        29   36   -5      57.64     5.68    -7.41     0.00     0.00     0.74     0.11P    8.47R    0.35  
Notts_County     27   35   +0      59.21     6.23    -2.77     0.00     0.02     2.52     0.47P    6.47R    0.29  
Plymouth         31   33  -15      51.83     5.43   -17.89     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   38.05R    3.70  
Yeovil           30   33  -15      51.22     5.38   -20.65     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   43.25R    4.54  
Swindon          31   31  -12      50.67     5.32   -13.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   43.80R    4.90  
Walsall          31   30  -16      46.89     5.22   -22.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.16R   16.49  
Dag_&_Red        28   28  -12      45.83     5.75   -23.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.38R   25.48  
Bristol_Rovers   30   27  -29      43.72     5.38   -38.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.47R   43.73  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 15 February 2011, Aldershot vs Lincoln_City; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         30   56  +22      82.32     5.70    28.55    53.57    84.22    98.15    87.57P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           31   51  +19      75.47     5.32    24.83     9.49    43.69    85.81    55.04P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            31   50  +15      73.49     5.47    19.33     5.51    28.55    74.91    40.69P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              29   50   +8      77.24     5.93    13.92    16.50    51.91    87.75    60.97P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 29   47  +17      73.13     5.79    21.25     6.07    28.97    72.21    39.78P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           31   46   +6      69.41     5.44    10.22     1.00     9.02    45.11    18.62P    0.00R    0.00  
Port_Vale            29   45   +7      71.17     5.72    11.30     2.51    15.74    57.39    25.31P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           31   44   +1      63.59     5.39    -0.24     0.06     1.08    11.23     2.89P    0.03R    0.00  
Crewe                29   42  +12      70.29     5.94    19.94     2.51    15.20    55.08    24.96P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              28   42  +11      67.80     6.10    12.61     1.24     8.30    36.85    14.97P    0.01R    0.00  
Southend             29   42   +4      69.85     5.89    10.77     1.47    11.74    48.86    22.41P    0.00R    0.00  
Cheltenham           30   39   -4      60.34     5.61    -5.08     0.01     0.23     4.51     1.01P    0.39R    0.07  
Lincoln_City         29   38  -12      56.82     5.56   -18.63     0.00     0.04     1.27     0.23P    1.66R    0.26  
Northampton          29   37   -3      61.53     5.84    -1.20     0.04     0.54     7.42     2.21P    0.24R    0.03  
Stevenage            29   36   +5      59.17     5.75     5.05     0.01     0.21     4.10     1.12P    0.52R    0.07  
Aldershot            30   36   -7      57.14     5.51    -8.00     0.00     0.04     1.25     0.29P    1.33R    0.22  
Morecambe            30   34   -7      54.68     5.56    -9.17     0.00     0.01     0.48     0.10P    3.61R    0.69  
Bradford             29   34  -10      55.36     5.73   -12.62     0.00     0.03     0.77     0.19P    3.13R    0.53  
Accrington_Stanley   27   33   -4      57.52     6.20    -6.70     0.01     0.15     2.66     0.56P    2.01R    0.39  
Hereford             28   32   -9      53.18     5.91   -14.39     0.00     0.02     0.38     0.07P    7.13R    1.63  
Macclesfield         27   29  -13      50.05     5.97   -20.77     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.01P   18.21R    5.44  
Burton_Albion        24   28   -1      57.25     6.83    -2.62     0.01     0.31     3.69     1.01P    3.14R    0.77  
Stockport            31   28  -36      42.03     5.07   -47.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.49R   45.33  
Barnet               30   26  -21      41.64     5.24   -31.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.10R   44.59  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 15 February 2011, Altrincham vs Histon; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
AFC_Wimbledon      32   64  +25      87.45     5.09    31.55    11.24    98.61    30.15P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       28   61  +34      93.14     5.85    45.69    52.20    99.80    64.88P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              29   57  +33      90.97     5.39    50.57    35.35    99.70    62.69P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            31   56  +17      81.20     5.08    24.22     1.17    86.95    20.00P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      32   55  +11      72.47     4.99     8.19     0.02    24.48     3.82P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     33   51  +15      71.24     4.93    18.83     0.00    19.89     3.28P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            30   44  +12      71.80     5.55    21.22     0.01    26.64     6.34P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     30   44   +8      66.27     5.64     8.48     0.00     5.21     0.77P    0.00     0.00  
York               30   44   +1      69.22     5.46     6.14     0.00    10.19     1.92P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   30   43   +3      67.81     5.38     7.87     0.00     7.43     1.60P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington         29   42  +10      69.70     5.71    16.41     0.00    15.95     3.69P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          30   42   +4      65.89     5.60     6.77     0.00     4.16     0.68P    0.00R    0.00  
Bath_City          32   41   -1      59.02     5.20    -3.22     0.00     0.13     0.02P    0.09R    0.00  
Gateshead          29   39   -3      58.50     5.54    -8.82     0.00     0.19     0.02P    0.19R    0.00  
Kettering          30   39   -4      62.00     5.42    -2.40     0.00     0.67     0.12P    0.03R    0.00  
Tamworth           30   35   -6      53.82     5.31   -11.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.05R    0.05  
Cambridge_Utd      32   34   -8      53.98     5.12    -6.68     0.00     0.00     0.00P    1.62R    0.04  
Southport          29   32   -3      51.61     5.62    -9.26     0.00     0.01     0.00P    5.74R    0.51  
Histon             31   31  -20      46.48     5.03   -27.95     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.91R    2.69  
Forest_Green       30   30  -21      46.66     5.21   -30.03     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.02R    2.93  
Barrow             29   28  -14      46.65     5.46   -22.04     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.88R    3.38  
Hayes_&_Yeading    32   28  -28      41.14     4.72   -38.50     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.27R   17.37  
Altrincham         30   25  -35      42.44     5.26   -42.50     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.23R   15.96  
Eastbourne_Boro    30   22  -30      36.92     5.04   -43.40     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.96R   57.09