Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 14 February 2011 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 14 February 2011, Fulham vs Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         26   57  +32      80.99     4.27    44.76    68.92    94.29    99.06    99.91   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         26   53  +29      77.32     4.41    41.93    28.31    81.84    94.77    98.91   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        27   49  +19      68.06     4.24    25.11     0.27     4.51    27.09    64.16    99.73     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       26   47   +9      67.30     4.47    15.09     0.28     4.17    21.00    51.18    99.48     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         26   45  +24      70.45     4.13    38.90     2.23    15.17    57.96    84.68    99.95     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       27   39   +3      56.36     4.45     6.28     0.00     0.01     0.12     1.10    61.58     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland      27   37   +0      51.21     4.24    -1.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05    13.52     0.11R    0.00  
Bolton          27   36   +1      49.03     4.33    -2.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     6.00     0.39R    0.00  
Stoke           26   33   -2      46.66     4.33    -6.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.94     2.32R    0.18  
Newcastle       26   32   +2      48.90     4.63     2.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.00     0.90R    0.07  
Blackburn       27   32   -8      44.64     4.23   -12.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.61     5.91R    0.46  
Fulham          27   31   +0      44.56     4.20    -2.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.03     4.95R    0.40  
Everton         26   30   -3      48.09     4.63    -0.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.15     1.41R    0.11  
Birmingham      25   30   -8      45.18     4.59   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.47     5.63R    0.55  
Aston_Villa     27   30  -15      45.89     4.38   -14.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.39     4.40R    0.47  
Blackpool       26   29  -11      40.58     4.32   -20.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08    29.23R    5.79  
West_Brom       26   27  -17      39.04     4.47   -24.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05    44.49R   12.44  
Wigan           27   27  -18      36.49     3.93   -27.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.77R   27.62  
West_Ham        27   25  -18      36.02     4.08   -25.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.57R   30.29  
Wolverhampton   26   24  -19      37.27     4.51   -23.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    58.92R   21.62  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 13 February 2011, QPR vs Nott'm_Forest; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              31   60  +31      85.50     5.31    38.14    55.85    78.29    98.94    84.07P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          30   54  +14      79.96     5.60    20.08    14.42    34.91    88.13    49.55P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          31   54  +10      76.84     5.43    13.50     4.68    15.54    72.83    27.87P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    29   53  +16      80.78     5.69    22.73    17.44    42.09    90.09    55.72P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          31   53  +11      76.40     5.34    15.21     3.78    13.56    71.49    28.05P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     31   52  +10      74.45     5.54    12.88     2.51     8.83    57.68    19.16P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        31   48   +1      70.01     5.34     3.11     0.32     1.47    24.66     6.86P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          30   46   +9      70.15     5.66    12.16     0.43     2.34    29.62     9.31P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         31   46   +8      66.30     5.32     7.84     0.07     0.29    10.40     2.48P    0.01R    0.00  
Hull             31   45   +5      66.22     5.34     6.17     0.04     0.28     9.83     2.77P    0.01R    0.00  
Watford          29   43  +10      68.05     5.84    12.52     0.24     1.14    19.57     5.32P    0.01R    0.00  
Reading          30   42  +11      69.04     5.57    18.67     0.21     1.24    24.02     8.25P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         31   41   -9      58.21     5.18   -14.33     0.00     0.00     0.32     0.04P    1.62R    0.01  
Coventry         31   39   -2      57.22     5.17    -5.28     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.03P    1.87R    0.03  
Doncaster        29   37   -8      57.70     5.62   -12.08     0.00     0.00     0.42     0.08P    2.59R    0.05  
Ipswich          29   36   -4      57.86     5.63    -6.14     0.00     0.00     0.53     0.10P    2.35R    0.05  
Bristol_City     31   36   -9      54.51     5.25   -12.05     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    6.87R    0.18  
Derby            30   35   -3      55.12     5.46    -5.88     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P    6.03R    0.09  
Portsmouth       30   35   -5      60.02     5.63    -0.39     0.00     0.01     1.08     0.32P    1.15R    0.02  
Middlesbrough    30   33   -4      54.76     5.50    -4.15     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P    6.38R    0.15  
Crystal_Palace   31   31  -21      48.01     5.10   -26.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.31R    3.54  
Sheff_Utd        30   28  -21      47.36     5.41   -24.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.78R    5.50  
Scunthorpe       28   24  -25      42.20     5.65   -35.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.75R   26.48  
Preston          29   21  -25      37.69     5.43   -36.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.27R   63.90  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 February 2011, Brighton vs Hartlepool; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         28   56  +30      86.68     5.99    38.93    56.64    78.41    99.19    83.93P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      30   53  +22      78.20     5.73    26.86     7.13    22.79    85.73    36.83P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     29   50  +15      78.37     5.81    22.75     7.44    22.41    85.68    39.05P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      28   48  +23      81.16     5.88    36.36    18.76    44.57    93.75    63.18P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         27   47   +9      78.69     6.25    17.56     8.89    25.42    83.99    41.47P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           29   45   +6      68.22     5.80     5.91     0.15     0.85    23.07     4.74P    0.05R    0.00  
MK_Dons          30   45   -2      66.66     5.62    -2.62     0.05     0.38    14.68     3.01P    0.15R    0.00  
Rochdale         29   44   +8      66.85     5.87     7.14     0.13     0.66    17.55     3.92P    0.12R    0.00  
Peterborough     28   43   +4      71.00     6.24     9.00     0.63     3.03    40.79    10.50P    0.04R    0.00  
Colchester       28   41   -1      67.60     6.02     1.84     0.09     0.65    19.76     4.80P    0.19R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    28   40   +8      65.51     6.02     9.05     0.05     0.38    13.37     2.87P    0.43R    0.01  
Exeter           29   38   -8      58.76     5.68   -12.49     0.00     0.01     1.01     0.16P    6.53R    0.20  
Hartlepool       28   37  -14      57.74     5.83   -20.55     0.00     0.01     0.84     0.12P   10.06R    0.38  
Sheff_Wed        28   36   +5      65.44     6.06    12.21     0.03     0.35    13.48     4.01P    0.60R    0.02  
Brentford        29   36   -5      57.65     5.67    -7.40     0.00     0.01     0.67     0.11P    8.04R    0.34  
Carlisle         27   35   +5      61.15     6.19     4.93     0.01     0.07     4.40     0.94P    3.13R    0.07  
Tranmere         27   34   -6      57.02     6.03   -10.87     0.00     0.00     0.76     0.11P   11.86R    0.69  
Yeovil           29   33  -13      52.92     5.65   -18.19     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   30.87R    2.77  
Plymouth         31   33  -15      51.74     5.41   -18.02     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   37.61R    3.53  
Notts_County     26   32   -2      57.13     6.43    -5.38     0.00     0.01     1.19     0.25P   11.87R    0.83  
Swindon          31   31  -12      50.76     5.30   -13.68     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   42.21R    4.62  
Dag_&_Red        27   28  -11      47.18     6.01   -22.46     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    68.78R   19.25  
Walsall          30   27  -17      45.55     5.41   -22.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.53R   24.30  
Bristol_Rovers   30   27  -29      43.69     5.34   -38.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.93R   42.99  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 February 2011, Aldershot vs Macclesfield; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         29   55  +22      82.63     5.89    28.42    52.49    84.38    98.20    87.85P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           31   51  +19      75.50     5.37    24.85     8.66    43.41    86.30    55.00P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              28   50   +9      78.56     6.09    14.85    20.87    60.38    91.08    68.12P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            30   47  +13      72.27     5.66    17.94     3.54    22.02    68.08    34.17P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 28   46  +17      73.71     6.04    21.57     7.47    32.15    75.17    42.89P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           31   46   +6      69.48     5.43    10.36     0.87     9.03    47.03    19.18P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            29   45   +7      71.22     5.68    11.33     2.13    15.51    58.89    25.60P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           30   43   +1      63.65     5.58    -0.73     0.08     1.24    12.83     3.28P    0.03R    0.00  
Crewe                29   42  +12      70.28     5.96    19.94     2.16    15.08    56.12    25.37P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              27   39  +10      66.40     6.31    11.94     0.69     5.89    30.55    11.64P    0.03R    0.00  
Southend             28   39   +3      68.19     6.12     9.65     0.86     8.01    39.35    16.93P    0.01R    0.00  
Cheltenham           30   39   -4      60.26     5.61    -5.25     0.02     0.27     4.63     1.06P    0.42R    0.06  
Lincoln_City         28   37  -12      56.73     5.74   -19.27     0.00     0.06     1.48     0.25P    1.99R    0.30  
Northampton          28   36   -3      62.23     6.07    -0.68     0.08     1.00    10.21     3.27P    0.21R    0.03  
Stevenage            28   35   +5      59.91     5.97     5.56     0.02     0.37     5.82     1.67P    0.50R    0.07  
Aldershot            29   35   -7      57.88     5.74    -7.45     0.00     0.08     2.07     0.47P    1.16R    0.19  
Bradford             29   34  -10      55.42     5.70   -12.53     0.00     0.02     0.79     0.17P    3.07R    0.50  
Accrington_Stanley   26   33   -2      58.48     6.40    -5.35     0.02     0.41     4.43     1.13P    1.71R    0.34  
Morecambe            29   33   -7      54.64     5.75    -9.78     0.00     0.01     0.62     0.15P    4.15R    0.74  
Hereford             28   32   -9      53.07     5.85   -14.57     0.00     0.02     0.36     0.06P    7.32R    1.60  
Macclesfield         27   29  -13      50.10     6.02   -20.63     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P   18.33R    5.46  
Burton_Albion        23   28   +0      58.37     7.09    -2.03     0.06     0.66     5.88     1.72P    2.48R    0.59  
Stockport            31   28  -36      42.10     5.06   -47.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.44R   45.11  
Barnet               30   26  -21      41.64     5.23   -31.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.16R   45.00  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 February 2011, AFC_Wimbledon vs York; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
AFC_Wimbledon      32   64  +25      87.49     5.12    31.58    10.83    98.66    29.77P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       27   60  +34      93.62     6.04    45.96    54.12    99.80    66.48P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              29   57  +33      90.94     5.40    50.58    33.35    99.67    62.05P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            30   55  +17      81.71     5.35    24.46     1.68    87.73    20.16P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      32   55  +11      72.59     5.03     8.32     0.02    25.32     4.12P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     32   51  +16      72.31     5.15    19.46     0.01    27.18     4.69P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            30   44  +12      71.82     5.53    21.24     0.01    26.73     6.18P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     30   44   +8      66.19     5.61     8.35     0.00     4.93     0.62P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   30   43   +3      67.80     5.36     7.85     0.00     7.37     1.50P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          30   42   +4      65.89     5.61     6.78     0.00     4.22     0.64P    0.00R    0.00  
Bath_City          31   41   +0      60.10     5.40    -2.63     0.00     0.34     0.04P    0.04R    0.00  
York               29   41   +0      67.68     5.67     5.23     0.00     7.13     1.30P    0.00R    0.00  
Darlington         28   39   +9      67.77     6.00    14.99     0.00    10.24     2.35P    0.00R    0.00  
Gateshead          28   36   -4      57.45     5.77    -9.05     0.00     0.16     0.02P    0.54R    0.02  
Kettering          29   36   -5      60.91     5.66    -2.64     0.00     0.48     0.08P    0.08R    0.00  
Tamworth           30   35   -6      53.77     5.32   -11.21     0.00     0.01     0.00     2.15R    0.06  
Cambridge_Utd      31   34   -7      55.58     5.34    -5.31     0.00     0.02     0.00P    1.09R    0.06  
Southport          29   32   -3      51.60     5.65    -9.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.17R    0.61  
Forest_Green       30   30  -21      46.72     5.26   -30.05     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.78R    3.25  
Barrow             29   28  -14      46.56     5.45   -22.21     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.84R    3.68  
Histon             30   28  -23      44.05     5.19   -32.28     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.14R    8.62  
Hayes_&_Yeading    31   28  -27      42.06     4.92   -38.39     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.78R   14.74  
Altrincham         29   25  -32      44.55     5.50   -38.31     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.17R    9.59  
Eastbourne_Boro    30   22  -30      36.90     5.04   -43.46     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.21R   59.38