Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 13 February 2011 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 13 February 2011, Bolton vs Everton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         26   57  +32      81.12     4.27    45.00    68.75    93.08    99.02    99.87   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         26   53  +29      77.31     4.47    41.90    27.03    78.71    94.13    98.72   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        27   49  +19      68.09     4.24    25.19     0.29     4.19    24.25    63.16    99.77     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       26   47   +9      67.30     4.47    15.02     0.23     3.68    18.83    49.65    99.40     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         25   44  +24      71.38     4.37    39.81     3.70    20.33    63.68    87.50    99.96     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       27   39   +3      56.38     4.41     6.30     0.00     0.01     0.08     1.04    61.58     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland      27   37   +0      51.20     4.24    -1.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    13.46     0.08R    0.00  
Bolton          27   36   +1      49.00     4.30    -2.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     5.93     0.37R    0.02  
Stoke           26   33   -2      46.66     4.38    -6.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.07     2.39R    0.18  
Newcastle       26   32   +2      48.80     4.64     2.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     8.12     0.88R    0.05  
Blackburn       27   32   -8      44.61     4.23   -12.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.58     5.75R    0.52  
Fulham          26   30   +0      44.26     4.39    -3.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.93     6.30R    0.54  
Everton         26   30   -3      48.11     4.63    -0.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     5.03     1.44R    0.11  
Birmingham      25   30   -8      45.24     4.58   -11.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.57     5.60R    0.55  
Aston_Villa     27   30  -15      45.93     4.39   -14.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.46     4.36R    0.52  
Blackpool       26   29  -11      40.68     4.33   -20.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07    28.19R    5.54  
West_Brom       26   27  -17      39.05     4.46   -24.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05    44.29R   12.24  
Wigan           27   27  -18      36.43     3.90   -27.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.13R   27.88  
West_Ham        27   25  -18      36.02     4.06   -25.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.54R   30.00  
Wolverhampton   26   24  -19      37.26     4.51   -23.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    58.69R   21.85  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 13 February 2011, QPR vs Nott'm_Forest; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              31   60  +31      85.49     5.29    38.13    56.15    78.58    98.97    84.19P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          30   54  +14      80.04     5.60    20.19    14.63    35.40    88.46    49.71P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          31   54  +10      76.83     5.39    13.51     4.65    15.19    73.35    27.99P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    29   53  +16      80.76     5.68    22.71    17.10    42.10    90.13    55.73P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          31   53  +11      76.39     5.33    15.16     3.73    13.34    71.25    27.78P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     31   52  +10      74.46     5.54    12.92     2.43     8.65    57.65    19.20P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        31   48   +1      70.00     5.37     3.09     0.33     1.46    24.90     6.99P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          30   46   +9      70.03     5.70    11.97     0.50     2.33    28.86     9.17P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         31   46   +8      66.34     5.31     7.85     0.04     0.34    10.52     2.54P    0.01R    0.00  
Hull             31   45   +5      66.27     5.32     6.21     0.03     0.33     9.94     2.76P    0.01R    0.00  
Watford          29   43  +10      67.99     5.86    12.42     0.21     1.14    19.72     5.41P    0.01R    0.00  
Reading          30   42  +11      68.97     5.55    18.59     0.19     1.11    23.58     7.94P    0.01R    0.00  
Barnsley         31   41   -9      58.17     5.16   -14.36     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.04P    1.72R    0.02  
Coventry         31   39   -2      57.19     5.20    -5.33     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.04P    1.94R    0.03  
Doncaster        29   37   -8      57.60     5.64   -12.22     0.00     0.01     0.42     0.08P    2.79R    0.03  
Ipswich          29   36   -4      57.91     5.67    -6.08     0.00     0.00     0.54     0.12P    2.27R    0.04  
Bristol_City     31   36   -9      54.55     5.27   -12.01     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    6.80R    0.13  
Derby            30   35   -3      55.19     5.43    -5.79     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.03P    5.83R    0.15  
Portsmouth       30   35   -5      60.03     5.62    -0.39     0.00     0.00     1.07     0.28P    1.20R    0.02  
Middlesbrough    30   33   -4      54.84     5.49    -4.02     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    6.16R    0.18  
Crystal_Palace   31   31  -21      48.02     5.09   -26.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.33R    3.46  
Sheff_Utd        30   28  -21      47.40     5.45   -24.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.71R    5.75  
Scunthorpe       28   24  -25      42.06     5.69   -35.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.08R   27.91  
Preston          29   21  -25      37.84     5.46   -35.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.13R   62.28  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 February 2011, Brighton vs Hartlepool; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         28   56  +30      86.64     5.97    38.87    56.36    78.26    99.09    83.78P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      30   53  +22      78.26     5.75    26.91     7.18    22.91    85.91    36.85P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     29   50  +15      78.40     5.84    22.86     7.54    22.84    85.62    39.59P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      28   48  +23      81.15     5.88    36.38    19.08    44.39    93.82    63.31P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         27   47   +9      78.65     6.23    17.46     8.63    25.27    84.05    41.36P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           29   45   +6      68.32     5.81     6.03     0.17     0.90    23.34     5.07P    0.05R    0.00  
MK_Dons          30   45   -2      66.68     5.63    -2.57     0.07     0.41    14.83     2.86P    0.12R    0.00  
Rochdale         29   44   +8      66.79     5.88     7.09     0.09     0.62    17.27     3.70P    0.13R    0.00  
Peterborough     28   43   +4      70.85     6.28     8.79     0.66     2.89    40.00    10.12P    0.06R    0.00  
Colchester       28   41   -1      67.61     6.02     1.86     0.10     0.61    19.70     4.59P    0.17R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    28   40   +8      65.59     6.07     9.16     0.06     0.42    13.72     2.89P    0.50R    0.00  
Exeter           29   38   -8      58.71     5.68   -12.58     0.00     0.00     1.06     0.14P    6.79R    0.20  
Hartlepool       28   37  -14      57.54     5.79   -20.89     0.00     0.01     0.69     0.09P   10.69R    0.39  
Sheff_Wed        28   36   +5      65.52     6.07    12.36     0.06     0.36    13.74     4.12P    0.53R    0.01  
Brentford        29   36   -5      57.69     5.68    -7.36     0.00     0.00     0.62     0.12P    7.94R    0.33  
Carlisle         27   35   +5      61.10     6.24     4.85     0.01     0.07     4.31     1.00P    3.26R    0.10  
Tranmere         27   34   -6      57.07     6.07   -10.74     0.00     0.00     0.84     0.13P   11.85R    0.68  
Yeovil           29   33  -13      52.99     5.65   -18.09     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00P   30.47R    2.57  
Plymouth         31   33  -15      51.83     5.41   -17.89     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    36.87R    3.58  
Notts_County     26   32   -2      57.19     6.41    -5.32     0.00     0.01     1.30     0.30P   11.75R    0.81  
Swindon          31   31  -12      50.75     5.29   -13.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.46R    4.63  
Dag_&_Red        27   28  -11      47.11     6.00   -22.60     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    69.15R   19.50  
Walsall          30   27  -17      45.62     5.43   -22.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.09R   23.78  
Bristol_Rovers   30   27  -29      43.66     5.37   -38.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.13R   43.43  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 February 2011, Aldershot vs Macclesfield; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         29   55  +22      82.66     5.91    28.47    52.73    84.23    98.22    87.76P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           31   51  +19      75.50     5.30    24.85     8.65    43.34    86.68    55.36P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              28   50   +9      78.69     6.10    15.02    21.38    61.29    91.65    68.80P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            30   47  +13      72.26     5.68    17.96     3.39    21.96    67.96    33.96P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 28   46  +17      73.61     6.05    21.44     7.11    31.91    74.78    42.62P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           31   46   +6      69.44     5.46    10.29     0.91     8.88    47.05    18.95P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            29   45   +7      71.27     5.70    11.43     2.09    16.01    59.29    26.24P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           30   43   +1      63.61     5.60    -0.77     0.06     1.24    12.77     3.28P    0.03R    0.00  
Crewe                29   42  +12      70.17     5.97    19.75     2.00    14.72    55.38    24.78P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              27   39  +10      66.32     6.24    11.84     0.67     5.72    29.79    11.36P    0.02R    0.00  
Southend             28   39   +3      68.09     6.11     9.54     0.83     7.81    38.94    16.61P    0.00R    0.00  
Cheltenham           30   39   -4      60.30     5.61    -5.20     0.01     0.32     4.78     1.10P    0.38R    0.05  
Lincoln_City         28   37  -12      56.73     5.74   -19.22     0.00     0.09     1.53     0.27P    1.94R    0.29  
Northampton          28   36   -3      62.19     6.02    -0.70     0.05     0.88     9.93     3.23P    0.22R    0.02  
Stevenage            28   35   +5      60.04     6.04     5.75     0.03     0.45     6.50     1.94P    0.55R    0.09  
Aldershot            29   35   -7      57.86     5.70    -7.46     0.00     0.08     2.08     0.45P    1.21R    0.20  
Bradford             29   34  -10      55.48     5.69   -12.48     0.00     0.03     0.79     0.17P    3.02R    0.52  
Accrington_Stanley   26   33   -2      58.59     6.43    -5.19     0.02     0.38     4.63     1.13P    1.53R    0.26  
Morecambe            29   33   -7      54.59     5.75    -9.84     0.00     0.02     0.66     0.16P    4.34R    0.87  
Hereford             28   32   -9      53.10     5.90   -14.53     0.00     0.01     0.32     0.07P    7.36R    1.59  
Macclesfield         27   29  -13      50.03     5.98   -20.76     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P   18.28R    5.38  
Burton_Albion        23   28   +0      58.50     7.09    -1.82     0.04     0.65     6.17     1.76P    2.46R    0.59  
Stockport            31   28  -36      42.04     5.03   -47.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.48R   45.19  
Barnet               30   26  -21      41.61     5.26   -31.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.18R   44.94  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 February 2011, AFC_Wimbledon vs York; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
AFC_Wimbledon      32   64  +25      87.47     5.13    31.52    10.59    98.60    29.58P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       27   60  +34      93.59     6.00    45.94    53.93    99.81    66.51P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              29   57  +33      91.01     5.41    50.69    33.76    99.62    62.45P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            30   55  +17      81.79     5.31    24.55     1.68    88.12    20.17P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      32   55  +11      72.59     5.01     8.32     0.03    25.06     3.89P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     32   51  +16      72.44     5.11    19.64     0.01    27.92     4.66P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            30   44  +12      71.70     5.56    21.07     0.01    25.85     6.08P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     30   44   +8      66.11     5.68     8.26     0.00     5.14     0.76P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   30   43   +3      67.77     5.36     7.82     0.00     7.35     1.47P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          30   42   +4      65.88     5.61     6.79     0.00     4.25     0.65P    0.00R    0.00  
Bath_City          31   41   +0      60.20     5.40    -2.44     0.00     0.36     0.04P    0.03R    0.00  
York               29   41   +0      67.71     5.68     5.24     0.00     7.12     1.29P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington         28   39   +9      67.75     5.96    14.92     0.00    10.14     2.36P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          28   36   -4      57.40     5.78    -9.11     0.00     0.18     0.02P    0.59R    0.02  
Kettering          29   36   -5      60.70     5.68    -2.88     0.00     0.48     0.07P    0.11R    0.00  
Tamworth           30   35   -6      53.81     5.31   -11.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.19R    0.06  
Cambridge_Utd      31   34   -7      55.47     5.34    -5.48     0.00     0.02     0.00     1.09R    0.04  
Southport          29   32   -3      51.52     5.64    -9.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.29R    0.56  
Forest_Green       30   30  -21      46.71     5.23   -29.99     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.19R    3.15  
Barrow             29   28  -14      46.63     5.40   -22.15     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.87R    3.54  
Histon             30   28  -23      44.09     5.24   -32.20     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.53R    8.77  
Hayes_&_Yeading    31   28  -27      42.10     4.94   -38.35     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.62R   14.75  
Altrincham         29   25  -32      44.71     5.54   -38.08     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.27R    9.22  
Eastbourne_Boro    30   22  -30      36.86     5.10   -43.52     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.22R   59.88