Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 12 February 2011 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 February 2011, Arsenal vs Wolverhampton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         26   57  +32      81.04     4.29    44.89    68.11    92.85    98.96    99.91   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         26   53  +29      77.33     4.45    41.93    27.63    78.61    94.17    98.80   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        27   49  +19      68.13     4.23    25.21     0.24     4.16    24.56    63.76    99.67     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       26   47   +9      67.23     4.47    14.95     0.27     3.61    18.36    48.80    99.38     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         25   44  +24      71.41     4.34    39.86     3.75    20.76    63.87    87.58    99.96     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       27   39   +3      56.37     4.43     6.29     0.00     0.00     0.07     1.06    60.25     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland      27   37   +0      51.25     4.28    -1.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    13.27     0.10R    0.00  
Bolton          26   33   -1      47.12     4.57    -5.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.21     1.81R    0.09  
Stoke           26   33   -2      46.71     4.37    -6.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.95     2.21R    0.17  
Newcastle       26   32   +2      48.85     4.59     2.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     7.63     0.84R    0.03  
Blackburn       27   32   -8      44.69     4.26   -12.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.62     5.51R    0.47  
Fulham          26   30   +0      44.28     4.38    -3.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.97     6.14R    0.58  
Everton         25   30   -1      49.70     4.85     1.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    10.09     0.76R    0.05  
Birmingham      25   30   -8      45.22     4.59   -11.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.39     5.53R    0.61  
Aston_Villa     27   30  -15      45.92     4.42   -14.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.48     4.38R    0.46  
Blackpool       26   29  -11      40.63     4.33   -20.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08    28.51R    5.56  
West_Brom       26   27  -17      39.03     4.47   -24.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    44.28R   12.45  
Wigan           27   27  -18      36.39     3.91   -27.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    70.52R   28.54  
West_Ham        27   25  -18      36.02     4.08   -25.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.02R   29.80  
Wolverhampton   26   24  -19      37.27     4.50   -23.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    58.38R   21.20  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 February 2011, Barnsley vs Ipswich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              30   59  +31      86.22     5.47    38.64    59.41    80.48    99.09    85.85P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          30   54  +14      80.00     5.63    20.17    12.73    34.61    87.87    49.23P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          31   54  +10      76.98     5.39    13.76     4.34    15.55    73.85    28.35P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          31   53  +11      76.39     5.30    15.16     3.33    13.03    71.17    27.44P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    28   52  +16      80.77     5.87    22.25    16.87    41.52    89.31    54.81P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     31   52  +10      74.56     5.52    13.10     2.24     8.53    58.48    19.35P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        31   48   +1      70.02     5.34     3.12     0.30     1.33    24.66     6.81P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          30   46   +9      70.06     5.66    12.03     0.34     2.12    29.06     9.17P    0.00R    0.00  
Millwall         31   46   +8      66.31     5.34     7.84     0.03     0.28    10.44     2.39P    0.00R    0.00  
Hull             31   45   +5      66.21     5.35     6.13     0.05     0.29     9.60     2.75P    0.02R    0.00  
Watford          29   43  +10      67.99     5.87    12.42     0.20     1.08    19.49     5.23P    0.01R    0.00  
Reading          30   42  +11      69.04     5.58    18.70     0.17     1.16    24.21     8.00P    0.01R    0.00  
Barnsley         31   41   -9      58.09     5.16   -14.49     0.00     0.00     0.30     0.04P    1.79R    0.02  
Coventry         31   39   -2      57.28     5.19    -5.23     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.04P    1.82R    0.03  
Doncaster        29   37   -8      57.63     5.66   -12.20     0.00     0.00     0.39     0.08P    2.75R    0.05  
Ipswich          29   36   -4      57.85     5.65    -6.17     0.00     0.01     0.54     0.10P    2.41R    0.05  
Bristol_City     31   36   -9      54.59     5.27   -11.94     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    6.57R    0.17  
Derby            30   35   -3      55.09     5.49    -5.93     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P    6.02R    0.12  
Portsmouth       30   35   -5      59.98     5.63    -0.46     0.00     0.00     1.11     0.31P    1.25R    0.04  
Middlesbrough    30   33   -4      54.83     5.49    -4.05     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.02P    6.07R    0.17  
Crystal_Palace   31   31  -21      47.97     5.09   -26.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.26R    3.40  
Sheff_Utd        30   28  -21      47.37     5.44   -24.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.71R    5.57  
Scunthorpe       28   24  -25      42.06     5.66   -35.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.02R   27.66  
Preston          29   21  -25      37.77     5.42   -35.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.27R   62.73  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 February 2011, Brighton vs Hartlepool; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         28   56  +30      86.54     5.98    38.75    55.64    78.09    99.05    83.74P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      30   53  +22      78.24     5.72    26.89     7.41    22.94    86.03    37.03P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     29   50  +15      78.46     5.84    22.92     7.59    23.13    85.87    40.07P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      28   48  +23      81.15     5.90    36.36    19.15    44.15    93.84    62.85P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         27   47   +9      78.74     6.23    17.65     9.02    25.59    84.31    41.78P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           29   45   +6      68.28     5.81     6.00     0.17     0.87    23.33     4.84P    0.05R    0.00  
MK_Dons          30   45   -2      66.65     5.60    -2.64     0.05     0.36    14.35     2.78P    0.11R    0.00  
Rochdale         29   44   +8      66.82     5.85     7.14     0.13     0.65    17.60     3.85P    0.12R    0.00  
Peterborough     28   43   +4      70.90     6.27     8.88     0.61     2.82    40.40    10.29P    0.07R    0.00  
Colchester       28   41   -1      67.47     6.03     1.64     0.12     0.63    19.06     4.34P    0.21R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    28   40   +8      65.54     6.01     9.12     0.04     0.33    13.21     2.67P    0.41R    0.00  
Exeter           29   38   -8      58.70     5.71   -12.57     0.00     0.01     0.99     0.11P    6.92R    0.17  
Hartlepool       28   37  -14      57.71     5.85   -20.56     0.00     0.00     0.84     0.13P    9.99R    0.36  
Sheff_Wed        28   36   +5      65.45     6.09    12.18     0.06     0.34    13.74     4.02P    0.61R    0.01  
Brentford        29   36   -5      57.67     5.69    -7.38     0.00     0.00     0.69     0.11P    8.15R    0.36  
Carlisle         27   35   +5      61.15     6.21     4.93     0.01     0.07     4.35     0.93P    3.02R    0.07  
Tranmere         27   34   -6      57.11     6.05   -10.70     0.00     0.01     0.93     0.17P   11.67R    0.57  
Yeovil           29   33  -13      53.07     5.64   -17.99     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P   29.59R    2.62  
Plymouth         31   33  -15      51.79     5.40   -17.90     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00    37.21R    3.50  
Notts_County     26   32   -2      57.27     6.42    -5.14     0.00     0.01     1.28     0.29P   11.58R    0.74  
Swindon          31   31  -12      50.67     5.30   -13.87     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   43.20R    4.64  
Dag_&_Red        27   28  -11      47.11     6.03   -22.62     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    69.18R   19.32  
Walsall          30   27  -17      45.51     5.43   -22.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.72R   24.23  
Bristol_Rovers   30   27  -29      43.59     5.37   -38.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.19R   43.40  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 February 2011, Aldershot vs Macclesfield; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         29   55  +22      82.68     5.91    28.48    52.24    84.19    98.20    87.61P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           31   51  +19      75.46     5.33    24.81     8.31    43.07    86.48    54.93P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              28   50   +9      78.77     6.10    15.16    21.65    61.92    91.72    69.65P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            30   47  +13      72.31     5.68    18.06     3.47    22.51    68.34    34.66P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 28   46  +17      73.74     6.05    21.58     7.52    32.53    75.34    43.47P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           31   46   +6      69.36     5.42    10.19     0.89     8.41    46.33    18.27P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            29   45   +7      71.23     5.72    11.33     2.09    15.56    59.12    25.59P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           30   43   +1      63.64     5.62    -0.71     0.08     1.21    12.76     3.17P    0.04R    0.01  
Crewe                29   42  +12      70.24     5.93    19.88     2.11    14.77    55.99    25.01P    0.00R    0.00  
Torquay              27   39  +10      66.25     6.34    11.71     0.69     5.59    30.24    11.26P    0.02R    0.01  
Southend             28   39   +3      68.05     6.11     9.49     0.81     7.60    38.57    16.39P    0.01R    0.00  
Cheltenham           30   39   -4      60.26     5.59    -5.23     0.00     0.22     4.67     1.01P    0.40R    0.05  
Lincoln_City         28   37  -12      56.74     5.71   -19.24     0.00     0.06     1.41     0.24P    1.90R    0.26  
Northampton          28   36   -3      62.33     6.03    -0.56     0.06     0.94    10.46     3.34P    0.18R    0.01  
Stevenage            28   35   +5      59.86     6.01     5.49     0.01     0.41     6.10     1.80P    0.60R    0.06  
Aldershot            29   35   -7      57.96     5.75    -7.31     0.00     0.09     2.17     0.56P    1.22R    0.19  
Bradford             29   34  -10      55.35     5.71   -12.65     0.00     0.01     0.79     0.15P    3.20R    0.54  
Accrington_Stanley   26   33   -2      58.76     6.37    -4.95     0.03     0.38     4.68     1.12P    1.43R    0.30  
Morecambe            29   33   -7      54.64     5.73    -9.76     0.00     0.02     0.62     0.13P    4.06R    0.71  
Hereford             28   32   -9      53.07     5.87   -14.55     0.00     0.02     0.40     0.08P    7.42R    1.71  
Macclesfield         27   29  -13      50.07     5.97   -20.68     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P   18.03R    5.25  
Burton_Albion        23   28   +0      58.30     6.97    -2.16     0.03     0.50     5.52     1.54P    2.39R    0.57  
Stockport            31   28  -36      42.00     5.06   -47.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.74R   45.74  
Barnet               30   26  -21      41.64     5.26   -31.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.33R   44.59  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 February 2011, AFC_Wimbledon vs York; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
AFC_Wimbledon      32   64  +25      87.56     5.10    31.66    10.88    98.74    29.99P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       27   60  +34      93.48     6.03    45.84    53.40    99.81    65.66P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              29   57  +33      91.02     5.41    50.70    33.95    99.68    62.39P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            30   55  +17      81.73     5.34    24.50     1.73    87.99    20.77P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      32   55  +11      72.48     4.99     8.13     0.02    24.57     3.80P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     32   51  +16      72.37     5.10    19.54     0.01    27.73     4.49P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            30   44  +12      71.75     5.52    21.11     0.01    26.32     6.22P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     30   44   +8      66.06     5.66     8.18     0.00     5.00     0.64P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   30   43   +3      67.75     5.36     7.77     0.00     7.25     1.51P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          30   42   +4      65.98     5.61     6.93     0.00     4.58     0.71P    0.00R    0.00  
Bath_City          31   41   +0      60.22     5.40    -2.41     0.00     0.40     0.07P    0.05R    0.00  
York               29   41   +0      67.66     5.68     5.19     0.00     6.94     1.24P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington         28   39   +9      67.80     5.99    15.01     0.00    10.38     2.44P    0.00R    0.00  
Gateshead          28   36   -4      57.36     5.77    -9.17     0.00     0.17     0.01P    0.65R    0.02  
Kettering          29   36   -5      60.73     5.59    -2.89     0.00     0.41     0.07P    0.10R    0.01  
Tamworth           30   35   -6      53.88     5.29   -11.05     0.00     0.01     0.00P    2.04R    0.05  
Cambridge_Utd      31   34   -7      55.51     5.38    -5.43     0.00     0.02     0.00P    1.16R    0.04  
Southport          29   32   -3      51.57     5.63    -9.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.16R    0.59  
Forest_Green       30   30  -21      46.69     5.24   -30.03     0.00     0.00     0.00P   26.36R    3.38  
Barrow             29   28  -14      46.60     5.42   -22.17     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.22R    3.76  
Histon             30   28  -23      44.08     5.22   -32.20     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.35R    8.92  
Hayes_&_Yeading    31   28  -27      42.11     4.93   -38.31     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.56R   14.74  
Altrincham         29   25  -32      44.67     5.49   -38.13     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.39R    9.39  
Eastbourne_Boro    30   22  -30      36.93     5.06   -43.41     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.97R   59.10