Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 11 February 2011 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 6 February 2011, Chelsea vs Liverpool; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         25   54  +31      80.19     4.48    45.11    64.46    90.04    98.02    99.78   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         25   50  +27      76.88     4.57    42.17    29.36    76.42    93.28    98.71    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        26   49  +20      68.75     4.42    24.98     0.93     7.55    31.17    73.12    99.54     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         25   44  +24      71.44     4.41    39.97     5.03    23.56    65.23    89.58    99.91     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       25   44   +8      65.46     4.73    13.71     0.21     2.40    11.96    35.59    96.81     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       26   38   +3      57.92     4.60     8.15     0.00     0.02     0.31     2.87    65.84     0.00R    0.00  
Sunderland      26   37   +1      52.66     4.49    -0.44     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.24    16.09     0.06R    0.00  
Bolton          26   33   -1      47.14     4.55    -5.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.14     1.82R    0.07  
Stoke           25   33   -1      47.96     4.59    -5.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     2.63     1.44R    0.10  
Newcastle       25   31   +2      49.09     4.88     1.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     6.44     1.02R    0.05  
Blackburn       26   31   -8      45.15     4.52   -12.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.60     5.76R    0.44  
Fulham          26   30   +0      44.33     4.41    -3.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.63     6.10R    0.49  
Everton         25   30   -1      49.85     4.85     1.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     7.43     0.77R    0.05  
Aston_Villa     26   29  -15      46.32     4.64   -14.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.28     4.49R    0.55  
Blackpool       25   28  -11      41.06     4.62   -20.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09    26.69R    4.87  
Birmingham      24   27   -9      43.65     4.82   -12.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.54    11.49R    1.61  
West_Brom       25   26  -17      39.76     4.73   -24.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06    38.40R   10.08  
Wigan           26   26  -18      35.67     4.03   -29.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.79R   34.14  
Wolverhampton   25   24  -17      37.57     4.59   -23.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.29R   18.40  
West_Ham        26   24  -18      36.07     4.32   -25.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.87R   29.14  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 6 February 2011, Swansea vs Cardiff; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              30   59  +31      85.99     5.50    38.34    60.44    82.59    99.25    87.18P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    28   52  +16      80.86     5.87    22.43    18.66    45.62    91.67    58.45P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          29   51  +13      79.48     5.78    21.03    12.90    35.35    88.30    50.27P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          30   51   +9      75.23     5.62    12.51     2.85    11.70    66.44    23.54P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          30   50  +10      74.40     5.47    13.73     1.97     8.86    62.38    22.20P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     30   49   +8      72.53     5.76    10.45     1.40     6.05    48.67    14.95P    0.00R    0.00  
Millwall         30   45   +8      66.50     5.53     7.63     0.08     0.55    14.38     3.45P    0.01R    0.00  
Leicester        30   45   -1      67.98     5.53     0.45     0.18     0.89    18.49     5.03P    0.02R    0.00  
Watford          28   43  +12      70.10     6.07    15.64     0.67     3.41    35.86    10.72P    0.01R    0.00  
Burnley          29   43   +7      67.71     5.90     8.86     0.21     1.34    20.89     6.30P    0.03R    0.00  
Reading          29   42  +12      70.43     5.75    19.74     0.58     3.18    38.07    13.75P    0.01R    0.00  
Hull             30   42   +4      65.44     5.54     6.39     0.05     0.40    10.30     3.09P    0.04R    0.00  
Barnsley         30   40   -9      58.62     5.40   -14.30     0.00     0.01     0.67     0.10P    2.28R    0.03  
Doncaster        28   37   -6      59.39     5.87    -9.56     0.00     0.03     1.53     0.31P    2.00R    0.04  
Coventry         30   36   -3      55.74     5.37    -6.05     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.03P    5.53R    0.17  
Bristol_City     30   36   -7      56.40     5.52    -9.29     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.04P    4.87R    0.10  
Derby            29   35   -1      57.02     5.70    -3.11     0.00     0.01     0.56     0.11P    4.26R    0.10  
Ipswich          28   35   -4      58.18     5.84    -6.24     0.00     0.01     0.97     0.19P    3.07R    0.10  
Middlesbrough    29   33   -3      56.42     5.65    -2.68     0.00     0.00     0.38     0.10P    4.72R    0.12  
Portsmouth       29   32   -7      58.06     5.82    -2.92     0.00     0.00     0.77     0.21P    3.55R    0.12  
Crystal_Palace   30   31  -20      49.12     5.25   -25.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.48R    3.15  
Sheff_Utd        29   27  -21      47.76     5.65   -24.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.97R    6.34  
Scunthorpe       27   24  -24      42.65     5.76   -36.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.17R   27.93  
Preston          28   21  -24      38.40     5.56   -36.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.00R   61.80  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 8 February 2011, Leyton_Orient vs Swindon; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         27   53  +27      85.07     6.22    35.93    49.68    71.86    98.07    78.58P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      29   50  +21      76.57     5.96    25.82     6.39    19.06    78.82    32.06P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     28   49  +15      79.48     6.05    23.94    14.01    33.66    88.99    48.31P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      27   45  +22      80.06     6.07    36.15    18.73    41.18    91.33    60.25P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         26   44   +8      77.51     6.43    17.31     8.69    23.62    79.53    39.31P    0.00R    0.00  
Oldham           28   44   +6      68.04     5.99     4.99     0.27     1.29    23.96     5.30P    0.13R    0.00  
MK_Dons          29   44   -2      67.37     5.86    -2.16     0.16     0.89    19.17     4.11P    0.19R    0.00  
Peterborough     27   43   +5      71.77     6.47     8.84     1.49     5.54    46.69    13.73P    0.06R    0.00  
Rochdale         28   41   +7      64.94     6.13     5.71     0.08     0.55    12.47     2.89P    0.61R    0.01  
Colchester       27   38   -2      66.19     6.20     1.20     0.13     0.60    15.46     3.62P    0.70R    0.01  
Leyton_Orient    27   37   +5      63.92     6.25     6.12     0.05     0.34     9.69     2.03P    1.41R    0.04  
Hartlepool       27   37  -11      58.89     5.99   -17.82     0.01     0.03     1.58     0.23P    8.58R    0.31  
Sheff_Wed        27   36   +6      66.97     6.31    13.44     0.25     1.08    21.63     6.80P    0.40R    0.01  
Carlisle         26   35   +6      62.10     6.40     5.20     0.04     0.19     6.68     1.53P    2.88R    0.07  
Brentford        28   35   -5      57.63     5.87    -8.03     0.00     0.01     0.95     0.19P   10.07R    0.47  
Exeter           28   35  -10      56.33     5.85   -15.76     0.00     0.00     0.50     0.08P   16.52R    1.01  
Yeovil           28   33  -12      54.47     5.87   -16.87     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.05P   25.11R    2.14  
Plymouth         30   33  -13      54.08     5.64   -14.51     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.01P   25.85R    2.02  
Notts_County     25   32   +0      59.79     6.69    -1.47     0.02     0.09     3.78     0.86P    7.15R    0.35  
Tranmere         26   31   -8      54.66     6.16   -13.89     0.00     0.01     0.33     0.06P   24.53R    2.23  
Swindon          30   31  -11      51.80     5.54   -13.24     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   38.65R    4.16  
Walsall          29   27  -16      46.96     5.65   -21.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   72.87R   19.07  
Bristol_Rovers   29   27  -26      44.85     5.59   -35.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.57R   36.25  
Dag_&_Red        26   25  -12      45.38     6.21   -23.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.70R   31.84  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 11 February 2011, Burton_Albion vs Chesterfield; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         29   55  +22      82.64     5.88    28.40    44.55    81.36    97.99    85.40P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              27   50  +10      80.65     6.36    16.93    28.20    67.91    94.17    74.61P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           30   48  +18      74.19     5.55    24.32     4.81    29.33    78.55    43.15P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            29   47  +14      74.01     5.86    19.53     4.92    27.98    75.48    40.20P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 27   46  +18      75.93     6.25    23.87    11.27    41.64    82.84    51.87P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           30   45   +6      69.63     5.68    10.01     0.86     8.38    45.64    18.31P    0.00R    0.00  
Port_Vale            28   44   +7      71.80     5.92    11.69     2.12    15.56    60.18    25.73P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                28   41  +12      70.90     6.18    20.31     2.26    15.24    57.45    25.57P    0.00R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           29   40   +0      61.61     5.75    -2.30     0.02     0.45     6.81     1.58P    0.15R    0.01  
Southend             28   39   +3      68.22     6.11     9.73     0.57     6.35    37.67    15.43P    0.00R    0.00  
Cheltenham           29   39   -1      62.64     5.86    -0.69     0.05     0.73     9.72     2.34P    0.12R    0.01  
Torquay              26   36   +7      64.30     6.52     8.27     0.26     2.67    19.32     6.50P    0.10R    0.01  
Stevenage            27   35   +6      61.09     6.19     6.30     0.02     0.60     8.54     2.41P    0.29R    0.05  
Northampton          27   35   -3      62.44     6.23    -0.86     0.04     0.91    10.56     3.39P    0.17R    0.02  
Aldershot            28   34   -7      58.77     5.95    -6.71     0.00     0.10     2.91     0.63P    0.90R    0.13  
Lincoln_City         27   34  -14      54.56     5.92   -22.15     0.00     0.02     0.63     0.10P    4.33R    0.66  
Accrington_Stanley   26   33   -2      58.63     6.38    -5.18     0.01     0.25     4.09     0.90P    1.27R    0.24  
Morecambe            28   33   -5      56.46     5.98    -7.08     0.00     0.06     1.36     0.35P    2.12R    0.28  
Bradford             28   31  -11      53.43     5.89   -14.11     0.00     0.01     0.35     0.08P    5.59R    1.06  
Hereford             27   29  -12      50.35     6.06   -19.33     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.01P   15.12R    3.58  
Burton_Albion        23   28   +0      58.50     7.06    -1.89     0.02     0.44     5.51     1.45P    2.03R    0.41  
Macclesfield         26   28  -13      50.07     6.18   -21.41     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P   16.88R    4.69  
Barnet               29   26  -18      43.12     5.44   -27.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.89R   25.01  
Stockport            30   25  -37      39.51     5.20   -49.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.01R   63.84  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 February 2011, AFC_Wimbledon vs Fleetwood_Town; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
AFC_Wimbledon      31   61  +24      86.06     5.38    30.88     6.44    96.93    25.75P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              28   57  +35      93.62     5.51    54.55    52.85    99.87    73.45P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       26   57  +33      92.19     6.22    45.22    37.88    99.50    55.05P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            29   55  +18      82.91     5.52    25.17     2.79    90.41    23.05P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      31   52  +10      71.63     5.17     8.34     0.01    20.11     3.41P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     31   48  +14      69.36     5.29    15.36     0.00    12.39     2.06P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            29   43  +12      72.97     5.74    22.46     0.02    34.17     8.20P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     29   43   +8      66.07     5.81     7.55     0.00     5.13     0.69P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   29   43   +5      70.38     5.58    11.76     0.01    16.44     3.55P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          29   41   +4      67.02     5.85     8.06     0.00     6.98     1.14P    0.00R    0.00  
York               28   41   +1      68.88     5.85     6.01     0.01    10.38     2.02P    0.00R    0.00  
Bath_City          30   38   -2      58.57     5.61    -4.54     0.00     0.23     0.03P    0.24R    0.00  
Darlington         27   36   +4      66.31     6.11    10.36     0.00     6.51     1.45P    0.01R    0.00  
Tamworth           29   35   -4      55.03     5.53    -9.40     0.00     0.03     0.00P    1.50R    0.06  
Kettering          28   35   -5      61.84     5.84    -1.80     0.00     0.87     0.14P    0.10R    0.00  
Gateshead          27   33   -6      54.43     5.89   -13.35     0.00     0.04     0.00P    2.71R    0.18  
Cambridge_Utd      30   33   -7      55.28     5.55    -6.36     0.00     0.02     0.01P    1.34R    0.05  
Forest_Green       29   30  -17      48.17     5.44   -25.84     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.22R    2.06  
Southport          28   29   -7      49.30     5.73   -14.39     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.04R    1.94  
Histon             29   28  -22      46.27     5.45   -30.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.90R    5.31  
Barrow             28   27  -14      46.36     5.56   -23.09     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.45R    4.79  
Hayes_&_Yeading    30   25  -28      40.08     5.13   -40.12     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.61R   30.19  
Altrincham         28   25  -31      45.30     5.68   -38.36     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.38R    8.61  
Eastbourne_Boro    29   22  -25      38.11     5.24   -38.47     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.49R   46.81