Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 10 February 2011 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 6 February 2011, Chelsea vs Liverpool; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         25   54  +31      80.19     4.49    45.11    64.65    90.02    97.86    99.74   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         25   50  +27      76.87     4.59    42.20    29.41    76.49    93.33    98.64   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        26   49  +20      68.69     4.43    24.91     0.88     7.35    30.64    72.69    99.57     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         25   44  +24      71.43     4.36    39.94     4.85    23.67    65.68    89.77    99.93     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       25   44   +8      65.52     4.72    13.77     0.22     2.46    12.09    35.92    96.80     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       26   38   +3      57.99     4.60     8.22     0.00     0.02     0.38     2.94    66.00     0.00R    0.00  
Sunderland      26   37   +1      52.64     4.49    -0.51     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.17    16.05     0.05R    0.00  
Bolton          26   33   -1      47.17     4.55    -5.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     2.08     1.82R    0.08  
Stoke           25   33   -1      48.01     4.58    -5.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     2.78     1.37R    0.09  
Newcastle       25   31   +2      49.08     4.85     1.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     6.43     1.04R    0.03  
Blackburn       26   31   -8      45.17     4.50   -12.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.63     5.53R    0.51  
Fulham          26   30   +0      44.29     4.41    -3.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.59     6.26R    0.46  
Everton         25   30   -1      49.78     4.89     1.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     7.18     0.85R    0.05  
Aston_Villa     26   29  -15      46.32     4.66   -14.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.27     4.58R    0.52  
Blackpool       25   28  -11      41.05     4.64   -20.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09    26.69R    5.27  
Birmingham      24   27   -9      43.62     4.80   -12.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.51    11.47R    1.60  
West_Brom       25   26  -17      39.82     4.72   -24.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07    38.00R    9.81  
Wigan           26   26  -18      35.69     4.04   -29.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.56R   33.66  
Wolverhampton   25   24  -17      37.51     4.58   -24.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    56.82R   18.34  
West_Ham        26   24  -18      36.04     4.33   -25.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.96R   29.56  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 6 February 2011, Swansea vs Cardiff; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              30   59  +31      86.15     5.53    38.61    61.28    82.97    99.31    87.69P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    28   52  +16      80.78     5.87    22.34    18.06    45.16    91.35    58.22P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          29   51  +13      79.51     5.78    21.11    12.93    35.77    88.35    50.19P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          30   51   +9      75.18     5.58    12.48     2.68    11.50    66.36    23.51P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          30   50  +10      74.44     5.49    13.77     1.97     9.09    62.40    22.35P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     30   49   +8      72.41     5.71    10.26     1.27     5.58    47.82    14.53P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         30   45   +9      66.79     5.56     8.97     0.11     0.68    15.64     3.92P    0.03R    0.00  
Leicester        30   45   -1      68.06     5.57     0.58     0.17     0.99    18.90     5.21P    0.02R    0.00  
Watford          28   43  +12      70.04     6.06    15.57     0.66     3.21    35.47    10.52P    0.01R    0.00  
Burnley          29   43   +7      67.70     5.91     8.80     0.23     1.32    20.88     6.24P    0.01R    0.00  
Reading          29   42  +12      70.45     5.75    19.76     0.63     3.39    38.06    13.81P    0.01R    0.00  
Hull             30   42   +3      65.04     5.51     4.79     0.02     0.26     8.78     2.41P    0.06R    0.00  
Barnsley         30   40   -8      58.72     5.40   -13.19     0.00     0.01     0.68     0.12P    2.17R    0.03  
Ipswich          28   37   -2      60.56     5.90    -3.76     0.00     0.04     2.38     0.49P    1.20R    0.03  
Doncaster        28   37   -5      59.71     5.88    -8.16     0.00     0.02     1.63     0.33P    1.77R    0.03  
Coventry         30   36   -4      55.65     5.40    -7.28     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.03P    6.09R    0.17  
Derby            29   35   -1      57.13     5.69    -3.02     0.00     0.00     0.56     0.11P    4.14R    0.11  
Bristol_City     30   35   -9      55.10     5.48   -11.83     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.02P    7.64R    0.21  
Middlesbrough    29   33   -4      56.19     5.63    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.30     0.07P    5.09R    0.14  
Portsmouth       29   32   -7      58.07     5.83    -2.87     0.00     0.01     0.81     0.24P    3.52R    0.12  
Crystal_Palace   30   31  -20      49.20     5.30   -25.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.19R    3.06  
Sheff_Utd        29   27  -21      47.82     5.63   -24.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   50.23R    6.39  
Scunthorpe       27   24  -24      42.66     5.77   -36.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.99R   28.16  
Preston          28   21  -24      38.45     5.60   -36.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.83R   61.55  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 8 February 2011, Leyton_Orient vs Swindon; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         27   53  +27      85.16     6.17    36.07    49.91    72.56    98.20    79.13P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      29   50  +21      76.42     5.96    25.60     6.04    18.19    78.15    31.16P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     28   49  +15      79.52     6.04    24.00    13.92    33.71    89.14    48.19P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      27   45  +22      80.11     6.08    36.23    18.63    41.73    91.33    61.03P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         26   44   +8      77.56     6.44    17.36     9.08    23.61    79.69    39.32P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           28   44   +6      67.98     5.99     4.90     0.27     1.28    23.34     5.14P    0.13R    0.00  
MK_Dons          29   44   -2      67.38     5.79    -2.08     0.15     0.78    18.88     4.07P    0.18R    0.00  
Peterborough     27   43   +5      71.80     6.42     8.90     1.45     5.42    46.91    13.33P    0.04R    0.00  
Rochdale         28   41   +7      64.93     6.11     5.67     0.11     0.50    12.61     2.69P    0.63R    0.01  
Colchester       27   38   -2      66.14     6.25     1.09     0.10     0.56    15.60     3.76P    0.71R    0.01  
Leyton_Orient    27   37   +5      64.11     6.22     6.42     0.06     0.30    10.18     2.22P    1.28R    0.04  
Hartlepool       27   37  -11      58.82     5.99   -17.98     0.00     0.03     1.49     0.25P    8.77R    0.33  
Sheff_Wed        27   36   +6      67.09     6.31    13.62     0.26     1.10    22.31     7.11P    0.49R    0.00  
Carlisle         26   35   +6      62.04     6.35     5.11     0.02     0.15     6.39     1.47P    2.94R    0.08  
Brentford        28   35   -5      57.55     5.88    -8.12     0.00     0.01     0.91     0.15P   10.43R    0.45  
Exeter           28   35  -10      56.39     5.84   -15.68     0.00     0.00     0.50     0.07P   16.17R    0.93  
Yeovil           28   33  -12      54.46     5.85   -16.87     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.02P   24.96R    2.22  
Plymouth         30   33  -13      54.06     5.65   -14.53     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.01P   25.57R    1.97  
Notts_County     25   32   +0      59.80     6.65    -1.44     0.02     0.08     3.68     0.81P    7.04R    0.41  
Tranmere         26   31   -8      54.56     6.18   -14.08     0.00     0.00     0.37     0.06P   25.05R    2.35  
Swindon          30   31  -11      51.85     5.51   -13.13     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   37.94R    4.06  
Walsall          29   27  -16      46.94     5.65   -21.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.90R   19.07  
Bristol_Rovers   29   27  -26      44.92     5.58   -35.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.30R   35.49  
Dag_&_Red        26   25  -12      45.24     6.24   -23.91     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   79.47R   32.58  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 8 February 2011, Bury vs Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         28   55  +23      84.44     6.15    30.15    54.23    86.62    98.79    89.58P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              27   50  +10      80.58     6.36    16.79    23.72    66.90    94.19    73.61P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           30   48  +18      74.08     5.55    24.21     3.57    28.29    77.93    42.03P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            29   47  +14      74.08     5.86    19.63     4.08    27.74    75.88    40.31P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 27   46  +18      75.95     6.23    23.87     9.41    40.83    83.37    51.55P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           30   45   +6      69.54     5.68     9.79     0.59     7.82    45.45    17.56P    0.00R    0.00  
Port_Vale            28   44   +7      71.80     5.92    11.62     1.69    15.37    60.26    25.56P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                28   41  +12      70.81     6.20    20.20     1.94    14.53    57.24    25.26P    0.00R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           29   40   +0      61.62     5.80    -2.27     0.02     0.47     7.04     1.67P    0.16R    0.02  
Southend             28   39   +3      68.17     6.16     9.63     0.42     6.13    37.50    15.01P    0.01R    0.00  
Cheltenham           29   39   -1      62.64     5.83    -0.67     0.03     0.68    10.02     2.39P    0.09R    0.01  
Torquay              26   36   +7      64.21     6.50     8.09     0.20     2.49    19.10     6.30P    0.09R    0.01  
Stevenage            27   35   +6      61.30     6.18     6.59     0.01     0.62     8.93     2.67P    0.22R    0.02  
Northampton          27   35   -3      62.43     6.19    -0.93     0.05     0.81    10.57     3.25P    0.17R    0.02  
Aldershot            28   34   -7      58.79     5.99    -6.70     0.00     0.12     3.08     0.72P    0.85R    0.12  
Lincoln_City         27   34  -14      54.56     5.92   -22.11     0.00     0.01     0.64     0.12P    4.20R    0.63  
Accrington_Stanley   26   33   -2      58.75     6.43    -4.99     0.02     0.27     4.50     1.04P    1.23R    0.18  
Morecambe            28   33   -5      56.56     5.96    -6.95     0.00     0.05     1.48     0.33P    1.97R    0.29  
Bradford             28   31  -11      53.42     5.90   -14.11     0.00     0.01     0.35     0.08P    5.59R    1.13  
Hereford             27   29  -12      50.44     6.07   -19.16     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.03P   14.65R    3.48  
Macclesfield         26   28  -13      50.05     6.18   -21.43     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.04P   16.87R    4.47  
Barnet               29   26  -18      43.13     5.49   -27.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.19R   25.12  
Burton_Albion        22   25   -1      56.37     7.27    -3.65     0.02     0.25     3.42     0.90P    4.27R    1.05  
Stockport            30   25  -37      39.55     5.23   -49.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.46R   63.45  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 February 2011, AFC_Wimbledon vs Fleetwood_Town; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
AFC_Wimbledon      31   61  +24      86.00     5.36    30.78     6.08    96.80    25.54P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              28   57  +35      93.58     5.53    54.52    52.18    99.90    73.29P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       26   57  +33      92.29     6.25    45.35    38.90    99.53    55.64P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            29   55  +18      82.84     5.52    25.07     2.78    90.39    22.70P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      31   52  +10      71.64     5.18     8.40     0.03    19.90     3.36P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     31   48  +14      69.41     5.27    15.46     0.00    12.27     1.98P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            29   43  +12      72.93     5.75    22.39     0.02    34.14     8.30P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     29   43   +8      66.17     5.89     7.68     0.00     5.55     0.79P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   29   43   +5      70.46     5.51    11.89     0.00    16.52     3.76P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          29   41   +4      66.91     5.79     7.83     0.00     6.71     1.03P    0.00R    0.00  
York               28   41   +1      68.92     5.84     6.03     0.00    10.64     1.96P    0.00R    0.00  
Bath_City          30   38   -2      58.61     5.57    -4.46     0.00     0.20     0.03P    0.21R    0.01  
Darlington         27   36   +4      66.18     6.15    10.22     0.00     6.31     1.43P    0.01R    0.00  
Tamworth           29   35   -4      55.06     5.52    -9.38     0.00     0.04     0.00P    1.45R    0.05  
Kettering          28   35   -5      61.96     5.88    -1.66     0.00     1.05     0.17P    0.09R    0.00  
Gateshead          27   33   -6      54.41     5.87   -13.36     0.00     0.05     0.01P    2.60R    0.20  
Cambridge_Utd      30   33   -7      55.33     5.51    -6.30     0.00     0.01     0.00     1.39R    0.05  
Forest_Green       29   30  -17      48.14     5.41   -25.82     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.99R    1.93  
Southport          28   29   -7      49.30     5.75   -14.40     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.96R    1.93  
Histon             29   28  -22      46.24     5.45   -30.07     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.80R    5.35  
Barrow             28   27  -14      46.27     5.59   -23.26     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.24R    5.03  
Hayes_&_Yeading    30   25  -28      40.05     5.12   -40.12     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.86R   30.36  
Altrincham         28   25  -31      45.29     5.67   -38.39     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.23R    8.63  
Eastbourne_Boro    29   22  -25      38.17     5.26   -38.40     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.15R   46.46