Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 8 February 2011 at 22:15:02 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 6 February 2011, Chelsea vs Liverpool; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         25   54  +31      80.14     4.50    45.03    64.42    89.94    97.87    99.74   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         25   50  +27      76.84     4.58    42.11    29.52    76.56    93.29    98.50    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        26   49  +20      68.70     4.44    24.94     0.97     7.40    30.79    72.78    99.53     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         25   44  +24      71.38     4.37    39.87     4.86    23.46    65.36    89.55    99.91     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       25   44   +8      65.55     4.72    13.81     0.22     2.62    12.33    36.17    96.95     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       26   38   +3      57.96     4.60     8.20     0.00     0.02     0.35     2.93    66.28     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland      26   37   +1      52.65     4.49    -0.46     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.23    15.81     0.04R    0.00  
Bolton          26   33   -1      47.15     4.54    -5.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.92     1.86R    0.06  
Stoke           25   33   -1      47.95     4.62    -5.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     2.66     1.58R    0.10  
Newcastle       25   31   +2      49.07     4.84     1.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     6.37     1.00R    0.07  
Blackburn       26   31   -8      45.20     4.52   -11.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.67     5.57R    0.42  
Fulham          26   30   +0      44.28     4.38    -3.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.56     6.18R    0.51  
Everton         25   30   -1      49.80     4.85     1.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     7.32     0.67R    0.04  
Aston_Villa     26   29  -15      46.40     4.64   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.26     4.48R    0.51  
Blackpool       25   28  -11      41.00     4.63   -20.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08    27.20R    5.34  
Birmingham      24   27   -9      43.72     4.81   -12.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.59    11.13R    1.53  
West_Brom       25   26  -17      39.71     4.72   -24.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06    38.85R   10.32  
Wigan           26   26  -18      35.73     4.00   -29.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.30R   33.49  
Wolverhampton   25   24  -17      37.55     4.58   -23.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    56.40R   18.35  
West_Ham        26   24  -18      36.08     4.33   -25.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.73R   29.25  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 6 February 2011, Swansea vs Cardiff; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              30   59  +31      86.19     5.48    38.64    61.40    83.32    99.32    87.87P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    28   52  +16      80.83     5.87    22.39    18.21    45.38    91.33    58.30P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          29   51  +13      79.50     5.77    21.08    12.66    35.43    88.30    50.06P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          30   51   +9      75.23     5.65    12.54     2.91    11.91    66.70    23.84P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          30   50  +10      74.35     5.49    13.67     1.92     8.73    61.64    21.79P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     30   49   +8      72.44     5.75    10.27     1.28     5.72    47.90    14.62P    0.00R    0.00  
Millwall         30   45   +9      66.78     5.51     8.96     0.07     0.60    15.37     3.82P    0.02R    0.00  
Leicester        30   45   -1      67.95     5.53     0.39     0.15     0.84    18.43     4.86P    0.01R    0.00  
Watford          28   43  +12      70.19     6.05    15.75     0.67     3.36    36.47    11.01P    0.01R    0.00  
Burnley          29   43   +7      67.70     5.88     8.84     0.17     1.24    20.73     6.29P    0.01R    0.00  
Reading          29   42  +12      70.45     5.78    19.81     0.53     3.13    38.13    13.72P    0.01R    0.00  
Hull             30   42   +3      64.95     5.55     4.70     0.03     0.26     8.72     2.43P    0.08R    0.00  
Barnsley         30   40   -8      58.69     5.39   -13.23     0.00     0.01     0.71     0.08P    2.16R    0.03  
Ipswich          28   37   -2      60.55     5.93    -3.71     0.00     0.04     2.65     0.56P    1.24R    0.03  
Doncaster        28   37   -5      59.79     5.87    -8.00     0.00     0.02     1.67     0.30P    1.77R    0.02  
Coventry         30   36   -4      55.63     5.37    -7.29     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.03P    5.88R    0.18  
Derby            29   35   -1      57.08     5.69    -3.13     0.00     0.01     0.59     0.13P    4.10R    0.09  
Bristol_City     30   35   -9      55.09     5.50   -11.86     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P    7.59R    0.22  
Middlesbrough    29   33   -4      56.23     5.63    -3.94     0.00     0.00     0.31     0.09P    5.01R    0.10  
Portsmouth       29   32   -7      58.01     5.82    -3.00     0.00     0.01     0.71     0.17P    3.82R    0.10  
Crystal_Palace   30   31  -20      49.27     5.29   -25.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.46R    3.00  
Sheff_Utd        29   27  -21      47.74     5.62   -24.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.85R    6.72  
Scunthorpe       27   24  -24      42.61     5.72   -36.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.31R   28.72  
Preston          28   21  -24      38.58     5.60   -36.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.66R   60.80  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 8 February 2011, Leyton_Orient vs Swindon; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         27   53  +27      85.16     6.17    36.07    49.58    72.40    98.21    79.21P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      29   50  +21      76.40     5.97    25.56     6.07    18.30    77.91    31.21P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     28   49  +15      79.49     6.04    24.00    13.65    33.53    88.94    48.33P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      27   45  +22      80.12     6.07    36.28    19.06    41.45    91.25    60.64P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         26   44   +8      77.62     6.51    17.42     9.17    23.93    79.70    39.27P    0.00R    0.00  
Oldham           28   44   +6      68.13     6.00     5.10     0.24     1.29    24.38     5.52P    0.12R    0.00  
MK_Dons          29   44   -2      67.27     5.86    -2.30     0.19     0.84    18.87     4.01P    0.18R    0.00  
Peterborough     27   43   +5      71.83     6.46     8.94     1.45     5.43    47.17    13.53P    0.06R    0.00  
Rochdale         28   41   +7      64.81     6.09     5.53     0.09     0.50    12.17     2.76P    0.72R    0.00  
Colchester       27   38   -2      66.16     6.26     1.13     0.14     0.67    15.71     3.86P    0.67R    0.01  
Leyton_Orient    27   37   +5      63.94     6.20     6.14     0.05     0.27     9.82     2.02P    1.37R    0.05  
Hartlepool       27   37  -11      59.02     6.01   -17.64     0.00     0.04     1.77     0.27P    8.29R    0.28  
Sheff_Wed        27   36   +6      67.02     6.32    13.53     0.24     1.10    21.71     6.85P    0.51R    0.01  
Carlisle         26   35   +6      62.05     6.40     5.12     0.03     0.15     6.59     1.44P    2.93R    0.09  
Brentford        28   35   -5      57.62     5.86    -8.04     0.00     0.01     0.92     0.16P   10.00R    0.45  
Exeter           28   35  -10      56.36     5.87   -15.72     0.00     0.00     0.52     0.04P   16.33R    0.96  
Yeovil           28   33  -12      54.50     5.88   -16.83     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.02P   24.79R    2.28  
Plymouth         30   33  -13      54.06     5.65   -14.54     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P   25.85R    2.12  
Notts_County     25   32   +0      59.77     6.70    -1.50     0.02     0.09     3.68     0.79P    7.25R    0.45  
Tranmere         26   31   -8      54.59     6.20   -14.01     0.00     0.00     0.36     0.05P   25.09R    2.31  
Swindon          30   31  -11      51.76     5.53   -13.32     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    38.53R    4.02  
Walsall          29   27  -16      46.90     5.65   -21.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.23R   19.55  
Bristol_Rovers   29   27  -26      44.85     5.59   -35.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.51R   36.11  
Dag_&_Red        26   25  -12      45.42     6.23   -23.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   78.56R   31.29  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 8 February 2011, Bury vs Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         28   55  +23      84.44     6.14    30.09    54.34    86.75    98.79    89.79P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              27   50  +10      80.59     6.30    16.84    23.74    67.12    94.27    73.82P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           30   48  +18      74.09     5.57    24.20     3.52    28.24    77.86    42.34P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            29   47  +14      74.05     5.87    19.60     4.08    27.55    75.81    40.20P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 27   46  +18      75.88     6.23    23.78     9.26    40.66    83.20    51.27P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           30   45   +6      69.69     5.68    10.02     0.67     8.16    46.26    17.93P    0.00R    0.00  
Port_Vale            28   44   +7      71.76     5.91    11.63     1.76    15.07    59.89    25.36P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                28   41  +12      70.81     6.16    20.13     1.80    14.44    57.21    24.92P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           29   40   +0      61.60     5.77    -2.32     0.02     0.48     6.93     1.67P    0.15R    0.02  
Southend             28   39   +3      68.12     6.11     9.59     0.46     5.96    36.90    14.63P    0.01R    0.00  
Cheltenham           29   39   -1      62.68     5.88    -0.59     0.02     0.75    10.32     2.54P    0.12R    0.01  
Torquay              26   36   +7      64.28     6.50     8.18     0.21     2.50    19.35     6.23P    0.08R    0.01  
Stevenage            27   35   +6      61.25     6.18     6.55     0.03     0.65     8.79     2.69P    0.29R    0.04  
Northampton          27   35   -3      62.45     6.24    -0.90     0.05     0.94    10.70     3.38P    0.19R    0.02  
Aldershot            28   34   -7      58.76     5.98    -6.73     0.00     0.13     3.14     0.70P    0.82R    0.11  
Lincoln_City         27   34  -14      54.55     5.91   -22.13     0.00     0.02     0.69     0.13P    4.38R    0.65  
Accrington_Stanley   26   33   -2      58.88     6.40    -4.76     0.01     0.28     4.48     1.03P    1.15R    0.25  
Morecambe            28   33   -5      56.54     6.03    -6.99     0.00     0.04     1.50     0.32P    2.17R    0.30  
Bradford             28   31  -11      53.41     5.89   -14.13     0.00     0.01     0.35     0.09P    5.50R    1.09  
Hereford             27   29  -12      50.43     6.00   -19.16     0.00     0.01     0.15     0.03P   14.48R    3.34  
Macclesfield         26   28  -13      50.03     6.20   -21.49     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.03P   16.64R    4.60  
Barnet               29   26  -18      43.13     5.49   -27.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.50R   25.31  
Burton_Albion        22   25   -1      56.22     7.31    -3.91     0.01     0.26     3.29     0.92P    4.52R    1.20  
Stockport            30   25  -37      39.63     5.21   -49.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.00R   63.08  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 February 2011, AFC_Wimbledon vs Fleetwood_Town; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
AFC_Wimbledon      31   61  +24      86.01     5.36    30.80     6.19    96.81    26.02P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              28   57  +35      93.54     5.51    54.45    52.69    99.88    73.52P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       26   57  +33      92.18     6.23    45.17    38.40    99.51    55.24P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            29   55  +18      82.75     5.50    24.96     2.67    90.23    22.76P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      31   52  +10      71.67     5.23     8.39     0.01    20.34     3.32P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     31   48  +14      69.40     5.24    15.45     0.00    12.50     2.07P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            29   43  +12      72.91     5.74    22.38     0.02    34.14     8.10P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     29   43   +8      66.15     5.81     7.68     0.00     5.26     0.77P    0.01R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   29   43   +5      70.40     5.53    11.78     0.01    16.53     3.52P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          29   41   +4      67.09     5.81     8.13     0.00     7.03     1.19P    0.00R    0.00  
York               28   41   +1      68.75     5.85     5.80     0.00    10.08     1.86P    0.00R    0.00  
Bath_City          30   38   -2      58.65     5.63    -4.42     0.00     0.27     0.02P    0.24R    0.00  
Darlington         27   36   +4      66.18     6.13    10.17     0.00     6.41     1.47P    0.01R    0.00  
Tamworth           29   35   -4      55.05     5.51    -9.41     0.00     0.02     0.00P    1.60R    0.05  
Kettering          28   35   -5      61.86     5.84    -1.81     0.00     0.89     0.12P    0.09R    0.00  
Gateshead          27   33   -6      54.45     5.89   -13.25     0.00     0.08     0.01P    2.61R    0.19  
Cambridge_Utd      30   33   -7      55.40     5.50    -6.21     0.00     0.03     0.01P    1.33R    0.06  
Forest_Green       29   30  -17      48.24     5.48   -25.67     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.22R    2.10  
Southport          28   29   -7      49.36     5.78   -14.37     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.00R    1.96  
Histon             29   28  -22      46.28     5.47   -30.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.90R    5.25  
Barrow             28   27  -14      46.28     5.62   -23.18     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.22R    5.06  
Hayes_&_Yeading    30   25  -28      40.07     5.14   -40.14     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.74R   30.28  
Altrincham         28   25  -31      45.40     5.69   -38.24     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.55R    8.29  
Eastbourne_Boro    29   22  -25      38.10     5.24   -38.45     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.49R   46.75