Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 7 February 2011 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 6 February 2011, Chelsea vs Liverpool; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         25   54  +31      80.14     4.53    45.05    64.18    89.65    97.78    99.74   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         25   50  +27      76.87     4.58    42.17    29.72    76.72    93.37    98.65   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        26   49  +20      68.67     4.45    24.87     0.90     7.41    30.35    72.11    99.60     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         25   44  +24      71.43     4.36    39.93     4.98    23.69    65.50    89.75    99.93     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       25   44   +8      65.58     4.72    13.86     0.22     2.50    12.60    36.56    97.09     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       26   38   +3      57.97     4.56     8.24     0.00     0.03     0.38     2.84    66.09     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland      26   37   +1      52.65     4.48    -0.47     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.22    15.85     0.05R    0.00  
Bolton          26   33   -1      47.17     4.55    -5.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     2.07     1.74R    0.09  
Stoke           25   33   -1      48.01     4.60    -5.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     2.75     1.48R    0.08  
Newcastle       25   31   +2      49.07     4.86     1.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     6.22     1.07R    0.05  
Blackburn       26   31   -8      45.19     4.50   -12.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.64     5.48R    0.44  
Fulham          26   30   +0      44.27     4.37    -3.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.54     6.07R    0.48  
Everton         25   30   -1      49.77     4.88     1.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     7.29     0.77R    0.04  
Aston_Villa     26   29  -15      46.37     4.63   -14.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.25     4.45R    0.52  
Blackpool       25   28  -11      41.02     4.63   -20.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08    26.86R    5.36  
Birmingham      24   27   -9      43.65     4.79   -12.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.51    11.24R    1.55  
West_Brom       25   26  -17      39.79     4.76   -24.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08    38.44R    9.98  
Wigan           26   26  -18      35.73     4.02   -29.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.52R   33.42  
Wolverhampton   25   24  -17      37.58     4.58   -23.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    56.41R   18.13  
West_Ham        26   24  -18      36.00     4.31   -25.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.42R   29.84  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 6 February 2011, Swansea vs Cardiff; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              30   59  +31      86.19     5.49    38.62    61.41    83.27    99.34    87.73P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    28   52  +16      80.78     5.90    22.31    18.07    45.04    91.47    58.08P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          29   51  +13      79.54     5.77    21.15    12.81    35.57    88.62    50.42P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          30   51   +9      75.25     5.62    12.55     2.83    11.94    67.07    23.86P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          30   50  +10      74.38     5.47    13.71     1.85     8.78    62.33    22.15P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     30   49   +8      72.55     5.75    10.48     1.41     5.97    48.72    15.12P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         30   45   +8      66.45     5.51     7.52     0.09     0.57    13.96     3.43P    0.02R    0.00  
Leicester        30   45   -1      67.91     5.56     0.39     0.12     0.93    18.55     4.93P    0.01R    0.00  
Watford          28   43  +12      70.06     6.04    15.60     0.65     3.19    35.88    10.64P    0.01R    0.00  
Burnley          29   43   +7      67.70     5.88     8.81     0.19     1.27    21.01     6.21P    0.03R    0.00  
Reading          29   42  +12      70.42     5.78    19.74     0.55     3.14    38.01    13.61P    0.00R    0.00  
Hull             30   42   +4      65.28     5.50     6.16     0.03     0.28     9.91     2.70P    0.07R    0.00  
Barnsley         30   40   -9      58.56     5.38   -14.43     0.00     0.00     0.64     0.14P    2.34R    0.03  
Doncaster        28   37   -6      59.51     5.85    -9.40     0.00     0.04     1.47     0.33P    1.96R    0.03  
Coventry         30   36   -3      55.76     5.40    -6.02     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.03P    5.62R    0.15  
Bristol_City     30   36   -7      56.32     5.50    -9.41     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.04P    5.00R    0.14  
Derby            29   35   -1      57.04     5.70    -3.10     0.00     0.00     0.52     0.10P    4.23R    0.08  
Ipswich          28   35   -4      58.10     5.83    -6.38     0.00     0.00     0.91     0.20P    3.11R    0.09  
Middlesbrough    29   33   -3      56.51     5.67    -2.49     0.00     0.00     0.37     0.08P    4.70R    0.09  
Portsmouth       29   32   -7      58.04     5.81    -2.98     0.00     0.00     0.77     0.22P    3.61R    0.14  
Crystal_Palace   30   31  -20      49.12     5.27   -25.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.69R    3.28  
Sheff_Utd        29   27  -21      47.74     5.66   -24.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   51.22R    6.43  
Scunthorpe       27   24  -24      42.71     5.79   -36.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.61R   27.95  
Preston          28   21  -24      38.47     5.55   -36.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.77R   61.58  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 February 2011, Bournemouth vs Leyton_Orient; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         27   53  +27      85.28     6.15    36.23    50.55    73.01    98.39    79.57P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      29   50  +21      76.61     5.96    25.85     6.33    19.07    79.57    32.46P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     28   49  +15      79.41     6.07    23.84    13.33    32.71    88.96    47.65P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      27   45  +22      80.13     6.07    36.23    18.36    41.02    91.58    60.35P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         26   44   +8      77.66     6.51    17.52     9.07    24.09    80.46    39.47P    0.00R    0.00  
Oldham           28   44   +6      68.15     6.02     5.11     0.32     1.38    24.91     5.34P    0.13R    0.00  
MK_Dons          29   44   -2      67.33     5.85    -2.23     0.18     0.79    19.75     4.11P    0.20R    0.00  
Peterborough     27   43   +5      71.87     6.45     9.04     1.38     5.44    48.23    13.69P    0.06R    0.00  
Rochdale         27   38   +5      63.34     6.32     3.79     0.05     0.29     9.11     1.95P    1.78R    0.04  
Colchester       27   38   -2      66.08     6.26     1.02     0.12     0.63    15.85     3.88P    0.76R    0.01  
Hartlepool       27   37  -11      58.87     5.97   -17.85     0.00     0.02     1.62     0.25P    9.14R    0.34  
Sheff_Wed        27   36   +6      67.09     6.33    13.64     0.24     1.12    22.61     7.25P    0.45R    0.01  
Carlisle         26   35   +6      62.11     6.38     5.22     0.02     0.16     6.78     1.57P    3.06R    0.11  
Brentford        28   35   -5      57.59     5.86    -8.06     0.00     0.01     0.88     0.17P   11.08R    0.52  
Exeter           28   35  -10      56.32     5.89   -15.76     0.00     0.00     0.52     0.07P   17.76R    1.25  
Leyton_Orient    26   34   +2      61.88     6.42     2.49     0.02     0.13     5.97     1.16P    3.81R    0.17  
Yeovil           28   33  -12      54.41     5.92   -16.98     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.06P   26.73R    2.61  
Plymouth         30   33  -13      54.04     5.66   -14.60     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.03P   27.14R    2.42  
Notts_County     25   32   +0      59.78     6.68    -1.51     0.03     0.11     3.90     0.89P    7.59R    0.40  
Swindon          29   31   -8      53.44     5.73    -9.78     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   29.20R    2.93  
Tranmere         26   31   -8      54.61     6.22   -13.98     0.00     0.01     0.41     0.08P   26.24R    2.58  
Walsall          29   27  -16      46.89     5.66   -21.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.24R   21.56  
Bristol_Rovers   28   27  -24      46.07     5.80   -33.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   80.81R   30.37  
Dag_&_Red        26   25  -12      45.33     6.23   -23.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.80R   34.66  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 February 2011, Chesterfield vs Aldershot; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         28   55  +23      84.45     6.10    30.17    54.89    87.75    99.05    90.62P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              27   50  +10      80.71     6.32    16.99    24.59    69.67    94.90    76.06P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            28   47  +16      75.78     6.11    22.11     7.86    41.19    84.22    52.61P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           29   45  +14      72.16     5.72    19.74     1.98    19.55    67.70    32.35P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            28   44   +7      71.77     5.87    11.60     1.74    15.80    62.23    26.62P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 26   43  +15      73.90     6.40    20.22     5.73    30.72    74.51    41.70P    0.00R    0.00  
Gillingham           29   42   +4      67.60     5.89     7.40     0.37     5.29    34.72    12.90P    0.00R    0.00  
Crewe                28   41  +12      70.80     6.18    20.17     1.92    15.51    59.28    26.46P    0.00R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           29   40   +0      61.34     5.75    -2.69     0.02     0.48     6.96     1.70P    0.17R    0.01  
Southend             28   39   +3      68.18     6.09     9.68     0.49     6.70    39.61    16.25P    0.01R    0.00  
Cheltenham           29   39   -1      62.60     5.90    -0.73     0.03     0.84    11.04     2.74P    0.13R    0.01  
Torquay              26   36   +7      64.13     6.53     7.98     0.23     2.69    20.09     6.81P    0.11R    0.01  
Stevenage            26   35   +9      63.07     6.40    10.19     0.07     1.83    16.38     5.31P    0.16R    0.02  
Northampton          27   35   -3      62.50     6.26    -0.79     0.05     1.04    11.82     3.85P    0.16R    0.01  
Lincoln_City         26   34  -10      56.47     6.18   -17.10     0.00     0.07     1.85     0.31P    2.44R    0.33  
Accrington_Stanley   26   33   -2      58.79     6.47    -4.86     0.01     0.32     4.92     1.12P    1.32R    0.21  
Aldershot            27   33   -7      58.70     6.15    -7.39     0.00     0.14     3.68     0.89P    1.06R    0.16  
Morecambe            27   32   -5      57.09     6.21    -6.71     0.00     0.11     2.46     0.59P    1.93R    0.29  
Bradford             28   31  -11      53.41     5.92   -14.10     0.00     0.00     0.37     0.08P    5.86R    1.16  
Hereford             26   28  -12      51.19     6.25   -18.54     0.00     0.01     0.26     0.06P   13.33R    3.09  
Macclesfield         25   27  -13      49.92     6.34   -22.14     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.03P   18.43R    5.04  
Barnet               29   26  -18      43.15     5.49   -27.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.75R   25.33  
Burton_Albion        22   25   -1      56.34     7.27    -3.76     0.01     0.27     3.75     0.96P    4.28R    1.09  
Stockport            30   25  -37      39.59     5.19   -49.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.86R   63.25  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 February 2011, AFC_Wimbledon vs Fleetwood_Town; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
AFC_Wimbledon      31   61  +24      86.04     5.33    30.84     6.08    96.86    25.59P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              28   57  +35      93.60     5.52    54.53    52.71    99.90    73.63P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       26   57  +33      92.21     6.23    45.26    38.43    99.47    55.29P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            29   55  +18      82.76     5.52    24.98     2.71    90.06    22.75P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      31   52  +10      71.63     5.21     8.35     0.02    20.38     3.34P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     31   48  +14      69.26     5.30    15.27     0.00    12.05     2.07P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            29   43  +12      72.98     5.75    22.51     0.02    34.72     8.43P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     29   43   +8      66.15     5.84     7.66     0.00     5.40     0.76P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   29   43   +5      70.44     5.56    11.84     0.00    16.78     3.51P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          29   41   +4      66.77     5.83     7.61     0.00     6.41     1.06P    0.00     0.00  
York               28   41   +1      68.80     5.84     5.87     0.01    10.28     1.94P    0.00     0.00  
Bath_City          30   38   -2      58.69     5.61    -4.35     0.00     0.25     0.03P    0.24R    0.01  
Darlington         27   36   +4      66.27     6.10    10.31     0.00     6.47     1.48P    0.01R    0.00  
Tamworth           29   35   -4      55.11     5.48    -9.29     0.00     0.03     0.01P    1.48R    0.05  
Kettering          28   35   -5      61.93     5.84    -1.69     0.00     0.87     0.11P    0.09R    0.00  
Gateshead          27   33   -6      54.50     5.84   -13.21     0.00     0.04     0.00     2.54R    0.16  
Cambridge_Utd      30   33   -7      55.37     5.50    -6.25     0.00     0.03     0.00P    1.34R    0.04  
Forest_Green       29   30  -17      48.16     5.50   -25.85     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.80R    2.13  
Southport          28   29   -7      49.23     5.79   -14.56     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.56R    2.07  
Histon             29   28  -22      46.25     5.47   -30.05     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.02R    5.43  
Barrow             28   27  -14      46.26     5.60   -23.23     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.04R    5.06  
Hayes_&_Yeading    30   25  -28      40.11     5.12   -40.06     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.62R   30.52  
Altrincham         28   25  -31      45.39     5.69   -38.24     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.67R    8.43  
Eastbourne_Boro    29   22  -25      38.24     5.28   -38.26     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.59R   46.11