Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 6 February 2011 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 6 February 2011, Chelsea vs Liverpool; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         25   54  +31      80.18     4.47    45.12    64.31    90.12    97.91    99.76   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         25   50  +27      76.94     4.56    42.30    29.78    77.14    93.40    98.60   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        26   49  +20      68.73     4.44    25.01     0.95     7.25    30.82    72.68    99.53     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         25   44  +24      71.41     4.36    39.94     4.77    23.00    65.27    89.54    99.92     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       25   44   +8      65.56     4.73    13.86     0.18     2.47    12.25    36.24    96.86     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       26   38   +3      57.93     4.61     8.19     0.00     0.03     0.33     2.82    65.76     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland      26   37   +1      52.61     4.50    -0.53     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.23    15.94     0.04R    0.00  
Bolton          26   33   -1      47.14     4.55    -5.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     2.17     1.86R    0.09  
Stoke           25   33   -1      47.98     4.60    -5.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     2.77     1.51R    0.12  
Newcastle       25   31   +2      49.14     4.83     2.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     6.46     0.98R    0.03  
Blackburn       26   31   -8      45.18     4.51   -12.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.65     5.45R    0.49  
Fulham          26   30   +0      44.29     4.41    -3.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.58     6.30R    0.47  
Everton         25   30   -1      49.78     4.85     1.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     7.35     0.71R    0.05  
Aston_Villa     26   29  -15      46.36     4.64   -14.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.39     4.45R    0.52  
Blackpool       25   28  -11      41.00     4.62   -20.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09    26.93R    5.19  
Birmingham      24   27   -9      43.67     4.81   -12.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.48    11.32R    1.56  
West_Brom       25   26  -17      39.75     4.70   -24.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    38.37R    9.86  
Wigan           26   26  -18      35.69     4.03   -29.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.56R   33.83  
Wolverhampton   25   24  -17      37.57     4.60   -23.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    56.21R   18.12  
West_Ham        26   24  -18      36.02     4.30   -25.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.31R   29.67  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 6 February 2011, Swansea vs Cardiff; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              30   59  +31      86.14     5.50    38.54    61.50    82.99    99.31    87.43P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    28   52  +16      80.73     5.88    22.24    17.86    45.13    91.08    58.05P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          29   51  +13      79.49     5.74    21.07    12.84    35.62    88.64    50.46P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          30   51   +9      75.23     5.65    12.55     2.93    12.06    66.82    24.18P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          30   50  +10      74.37     5.47    13.69     1.88     8.77    62.44    21.84P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     30   49   +8      72.49     5.74    10.36     1.34     5.80    48.45    14.80P    0.00R    0.00  
Millwall         30   45   +8      66.55     5.55     7.70     0.09     0.62    14.74     3.65P    0.02R    0.00  
Leicester        30   45   -1      67.97     5.54     0.48     0.12     0.87    18.40     4.99P    0.01R    0.00  
Watford          28   43  +12      70.09     6.05    15.61     0.69     3.36    35.68    10.70P    0.01R    0.00  
Burnley          29   43   +7      67.68     5.88     8.78     0.19     1.34    21.07     6.39P    0.03R    0.00  
Reading          29   42  +12      70.41     5.80    19.71     0.53     3.10    38.29    13.83P    0.02R    0.00  
Hull             30   42   +4      65.25     5.52     6.14     0.04     0.28     9.83     2.65P    0.08R    0.00  
Barnsley         30   40   -9      58.53     5.40   -14.41     0.00     0.01     0.68     0.10P    2.45R    0.03  
Doncaster        28   37   -6      59.48     5.89    -9.48     0.00     0.03     1.59     0.30P    1.92R    0.02  
Coventry         30   36   -3      55.79     5.40    -6.02     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.03P    5.64R    0.14  
Bristol_City     30   36   -7      56.42     5.49    -9.29     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.05P    4.99R    0.10  
Derby            29   35   -1      56.97     5.67    -3.20     0.00     0.01     0.51     0.09P    4.33R    0.08  
Ipswich          28   35   -4      58.19     5.84    -6.24     0.00     0.01     0.96     0.16P    3.24R    0.10  
Middlesbrough    29   33   -3      56.42     5.64    -2.67     0.00     0.00     0.32     0.10P    4.87R    0.13  
Portsmouth       29   32   -7      57.99     5.79    -3.02     0.00     0.01     0.70     0.19P    3.68R    0.12  
Crystal_Palace   30   31  -20      49.24     5.27   -25.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.89R    3.26  
Sheff_Utd        29   27  -21      47.79     5.61   -24.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.06R    6.33  
Scunthorpe       27   24  -24      42.73     5.79   -36.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.96R   28.19  
Preston          28   21  -24      38.51     5.62   -36.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.83R   61.50  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 February 2011, Bournemouth vs Leyton_Orient; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         27   53  +27      85.11     6.17    36.03    49.61    72.24    98.29    78.90P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      29   50  +21      76.51     5.97    25.70     6.17    18.34    79.28    31.90P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     28   49  +15      79.56     6.04    24.09    13.93    33.86    89.41    48.82P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      27   45  +22      80.13     6.11    36.23    18.74    41.39    91.42    60.51P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         26   44   +8      77.65     6.46    17.46     9.12    23.96    80.82    39.61P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           28   44   +6      68.04     6.04     4.99     0.29     1.28    24.58     5.42P    0.15R    0.00  
MK_Dons          29   44   -2      67.44     5.87    -2.06     0.19     0.89    19.87     4.20P    0.20R    0.00  
Peterborough     27   43   +5      71.88     6.50     9.09     1.45     5.56    48.44    13.83P    0.05R    0.00  
Rochdale         27   38   +5      63.50     6.29     4.04     0.05     0.31     9.41     1.98P    1.74R    0.05  
Colchester       27   38   -2      65.98     6.24     0.84     0.16     0.61    15.43     3.59P    0.78R    0.02  
Hartlepool       27   37  -11      58.85     6.01   -17.90     0.00     0.02     1.62     0.24P    9.27R    0.36  
Sheff_Wed        27   36   +6      67.03     6.33    13.50     0.20     1.07    22.59     6.96P    0.46R    0.02  
Carlisle         26   35   +6      62.20     6.36     5.33     0.04     0.20     6.74     1.48P    2.96R    0.10  
Brentford        28   35   -5      57.52     5.89    -8.18     0.00     0.01     0.89     0.18P   11.43R    0.61  
Exeter           28   35  -10      56.33     5.87   -15.74     0.00     0.00     0.55     0.06P   17.63R    1.18  
Leyton_Orient    26   34   +2      61.89     6.37     2.50     0.02     0.13     5.87     1.28P    3.71R    0.15  
Yeovil           28   33  -12      54.46     5.83   -16.90     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.05P   26.40R    2.48  
Plymouth         30   33  -13      54.08     5.67   -14.52     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.02P   26.80R    2.39  
Notts_County     25   32   +0      59.81     6.75    -1.48     0.03     0.11     3.99     0.88P    7.91R    0.50  
Swindon          29   31   -8      53.39     5.72    -9.85     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P   29.72R    2.90  
Tranmere         26   31   -8      54.61     6.18   -13.94     0.00     0.00     0.35     0.05P   25.99R    2.64  
Walsall          29   27  -16      46.95     5.69   -21.67     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    74.02R   21.32  
Bristol_Rovers   28   27  -24      46.11     5.80   -33.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.35R   30.06  
Dag_&_Red        26   25  -12      45.26     6.19   -23.91     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    80.43R   35.22  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 February 2011, Chesterfield vs Aldershot; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         28   55  +23      84.52     6.15    30.24    55.38    87.75    98.98    90.64P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              27   50  +10      80.63     6.30    16.90    23.95    69.20    94.93    75.76P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            28   47  +16      75.72     6.07    22.03     7.63    40.87    84.21    52.24P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           29   45  +14      72.00     5.72    19.55     1.95    18.77    67.03    31.73P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            28   44   +7      71.78     5.91    11.63     1.79    16.54    62.50    27.19P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 26   43  +15      73.96     6.45    20.36     6.03    31.21    74.75    42.35P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           29   42   +4      67.58     5.90     7.34     0.42     5.33    34.41    12.94P    0.00R    0.00  
Crewe                28   41  +12      70.74     6.22    20.10     1.88    15.60    58.92    26.16P    0.00R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           29   40   +0      61.40     5.76    -2.56     0.02     0.48     7.39     1.73P    0.13R    0.02  
Southend             28   39   +3      68.18     6.09     9.65     0.50     6.76    39.54    16.29P    0.01R    0.00  
Cheltenham           29   39   -1      62.67     5.88    -0.64     0.04     0.82    11.17     2.81P    0.14R    0.01  
Torquay              26   36   +7      64.11     6.50     7.98     0.20     2.70    20.04     6.73P    0.11R    0.01  
Stevenage            26   35   +9      63.15     6.45    10.27     0.12     1.94    16.74     5.48P    0.13R    0.01  
Northampton          27   35   -3      62.46     6.25    -0.81     0.05     1.03    11.69     3.70P    0.23R    0.04  
Lincoln_City         26   34  -10      56.48     6.19   -17.07     0.00     0.08     1.87     0.35P    2.43R    0.35  
Accrington_Stanley   26   33   -2      58.88     6.43    -4.77     0.01     0.31     4.97     1.16P    1.13R    0.16  
Aldershot            27   33   -7      58.83     6.15    -7.19     0.01     0.22     3.87     1.01P    1.02R    0.16  
Morecambe            27   32   -5      57.08     6.17    -6.72     0.00     0.11     2.35     0.57P    1.88R    0.24  
Bradford             28   31  -11      53.34     5.95   -14.23     0.00     0.01     0.39     0.07P    5.99R    1.26  
Hereford             26   28  -12      51.18     6.26   -18.59     0.00     0.01     0.25     0.05P   13.32R    3.09  
Macclesfield         25   27  -13      49.95     6.39   -22.08     0.00     0.01     0.18     0.04P   18.17R    5.32  
Barnet               29   26  -18      43.05     5.48   -28.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.58R   25.59  
Burton_Albion        22   25   -1      56.33     7.32    -3.79     0.02     0.26     3.82     1.02P    4.39R    1.15  
Stockport            30   25  -37      39.61     5.23   -49.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.33R   62.59  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 February 2011, AFC_Wimbledon vs Fleetwood_Town; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
AFC_Wimbledon      31   61  +24      86.01     5.33    30.80     6.18    96.91    25.64P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              28   57  +35      93.65     5.54    54.63    53.40    99.90    73.92P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       26   57  +33      92.14     6.24    45.14    37.75    99.53    55.01P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            29   55  +18      82.73     5.51    24.94     2.63    90.08    22.47P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      31   52  +10      71.60     5.19     8.29     0.02    19.76     3.18P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     31   48  +14      69.37     5.26    15.40     0.00    12.22     2.00P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            29   43  +12      73.04     5.76    22.60     0.01    35.27     8.68P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     29   43   +8      66.16     5.85     7.68     0.00     5.37     0.79P    0.00R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   29   43   +5      70.42     5.55    11.78     0.00    16.51     3.60P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          29   41   +4      66.90     5.82     7.84     0.00     6.64     1.08P    0.00     0.00  
York               28   41   +1      68.80     5.81     5.88     0.01    10.06     1.92P    0.00     0.00  
Bath_City          30   38   -2      58.55     5.62    -4.57     0.00     0.23     0.03P    0.25R    0.01  
Darlington         27   36   +4      66.25     6.13    10.25     0.00     6.49     1.51P    0.00R    0.00  
Tamworth           29   35   -4      55.15     5.53    -9.19     0.00     0.04     0.01P    1.39R    0.04  
Kettering          28   35   -5      61.92     5.86    -1.68     0.00     0.92     0.16P    0.09R    0.01  
Gateshead          27   33   -6      54.48     5.88   -13.21     0.00     0.04     0.01P    2.66R    0.18  
Cambridge_Utd      30   33   -7      55.31     5.50    -6.36     0.00     0.03     0.01P    1.39R    0.06  
Forest_Green       29   30  -17      48.09     5.44   -25.98     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.81R    2.23  
Southport          28   29   -7      49.28     5.80   -14.49     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.59R    2.02  
Histon             29   28  -22      46.26     5.44   -30.01     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.74R    5.30  
Barrow             28   27  -14      46.34     5.59   -23.10     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.84R    5.03  
Hayes_&_Yeading    30   25  -28      40.12     5.15   -40.07     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.54R   30.47  
Altrincham         28   25  -31      45.41     5.70   -38.22     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.66R    8.51  
Eastbourne_Boro    29   22  -25      38.18     5.27   -38.34     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.04R   46.14