Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 5 February 2011 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 February 2011, Aston_Villa vs Fulham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         25   54  +31      80.11     4.48    45.01    60.52    85.55    97.34    99.74   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         25   50  +27      76.90     4.58    42.22    27.06    68.69    91.98    98.59   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        26   49  +20      68.71     4.43    24.92     0.78     5.87    23.45    71.68    99.73     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         24   44  +25      73.78     4.56    42.60    11.45    37.96    78.11    94.77    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       25   44   +8      65.58     4.71    13.86     0.19     1.92     9.04    33.93    97.72     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland      26   37   +1      52.71     4.49    -0.40     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.20    22.31     0.05R    0.00  
Liverpool       25   35   +2      55.38     4.77     5.73     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.98    48.24     0.02R    0.00  
Bolton          26   33   -1      47.10     4.54    -5.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     3.10     2.02R    0.11  
Stoke           25   33   -1      47.99     4.58    -5.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     4.11     1.57R    0.11  
Newcastle       25   31   +2      49.22     4.86     2.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     9.48     1.07R    0.06  
Blackburn       26   31   -8      45.21     4.50   -11.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.03     5.70R    0.49  
Fulham          26   30   +0      44.32     4.36    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.95     6.32R    0.66  
Everton         25   30   -1      49.82     4.84     1.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05    10.55     0.70R    0.05  
Aston_Villa     26   29  -15      46.33     4.64   -14.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.10     4.64R    0.48  
Blackpool       25   28  -11      41.06     4.60   -20.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.13    27.21R    5.61  
West_Brom       25   26  -17      39.74     4.71   -24.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11    39.46R   11.02  
Wigan           26   26  -18      35.72     4.03   -29.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.52R   36.48  
Birmingham      23   24  -10      41.55     5.01   -14.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.42    23.68R    5.62  
West_Ham        25   24  -17      37.81     4.56   -24.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    55.04R   19.09  
Wolverhampton   25   24  -17      37.56     4.61   -23.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    56.99R   20.21  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 February 2011, Burnley vs Norwich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              30   59  +31      86.13     5.49    38.61    62.35    83.84    99.29    88.20P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    28   52  +16      80.89     5.86    22.47    19.03    47.05    91.66    59.39P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          30   51   +9      75.16     5.62    12.46     2.83    12.17    66.29    23.90P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          29   50  +11      76.11     5.73    15.20     4.48    16.27    72.27    30.38P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     30   49   +8      72.41     5.72    10.22     1.39     5.87    47.27    14.65P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          28   48  +12      77.42     5.99    19.49     8.09    24.65    79.32    39.56P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         30   45   +9      66.89     5.51     9.10     0.12     0.71    15.82     4.05P    0.02R    0.00  
Leicester        30   45   -1      68.00     5.52     0.49     0.18     0.98    18.27     4.97P    0.02R    0.00  
Watford          28   43  +12      70.15     6.04    15.69     0.75     3.37    35.57    10.70P    0.01R    0.00  
Burnley          29   43   +7      67.75     5.90     8.93     0.20     1.46    20.76     6.41P    0.03R    0.00  
Reading          29   42  +12      70.44     5.79    19.77     0.55     3.19    38.00    13.88P    0.01R    0.00  
Hull             30   42   +3      64.94     5.54     4.68     0.03     0.33     8.85     2.47P    0.09R    0.00  
Barnsley         30   40   -8      58.80     5.39   -13.07     0.00     0.01     0.72     0.11P    2.13R    0.02  
Ipswich          28   37   -2      60.58     5.89    -3.71     0.01     0.06     2.44     0.55P    1.27R    0.03  
Doncaster        28   37   -5      59.71     5.87    -8.16     0.00     0.03     1.59     0.30P    1.88R    0.03  
Coventry         30   36   -4      55.66     5.40    -7.23     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.03P    5.85R    0.17  
Derby            29   35   -1      57.05     5.68    -3.19     0.00     0.00     0.50     0.11P    4.27R    0.08  
Bristol_City     30   35   -9      55.06     5.47   -11.89     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.02P    7.75R    0.22  
Middlesbrough    29   33   -4      56.27     5.66    -3.90     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.08P    4.90R    0.13  
Portsmouth       29   32   -7      57.98     5.85    -3.06     0.00     0.00     0.77     0.24P    3.67R    0.15  
Crystal_Palace   30   31  -20      49.23     5.29   -25.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.80R    3.09  
Sheff_Utd        29   27  -21      47.81     5.61   -24.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   50.63R    6.23  
Scunthorpe       27   24  -24      42.71     5.80   -36.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.81R   27.80  
Preston          28   21  -24      38.42     5.60   -36.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.87R   62.04  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 February 2011, Bournemouth vs Leyton_Orient; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         27   53  +27      85.14     6.16    36.02    49.72    72.46    98.36    78.99P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      29   50  +21      76.64     6.02    25.86     6.60    19.28    79.35    32.57P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     28   49  +15      79.48     6.06    23.93    13.73    33.30    89.24    48.34P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      27   45  +22      80.01     6.09    36.05    18.43    40.61    91.28    59.77P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         26   44   +8      77.57     6.48    17.39     8.99    23.70    79.99    39.08P    0.00R    0.00  
Oldham           28   44   +6      68.10     6.08     5.06     0.30     1.39    24.77     5.35P    0.11R    0.00  
MK_Dons          29   44   -2      67.41     5.83    -2.07     0.19     0.85    19.67     4.27P    0.22R    0.00  
Peterborough     27   43   +5      72.04     6.47     9.33     1.60     5.89    48.98    14.40P    0.07R    0.00  
Rochdale         27   38   +5      63.53     6.30     4.05     0.07     0.38     9.66     2.11P    1.67R    0.03  
Colchester       27   38   -2      66.10     6.26     1.03     0.12     0.55    16.06     3.80P    0.76R    0.00  
Hartlepool       27   37  -11      58.96     6.05   -17.72     0.00     0.03     1.67     0.22P    9.30R    0.36  
Sheff_Wed        27   36   +6      67.07     6.31    13.60     0.18     1.12    22.44     7.23P    0.49R    0.01  
Carlisle         26   35   +6      62.09     6.36     5.20     0.02     0.15     6.69     1.51P    3.12R    0.10  
Brentford        28   35   -5      57.53     5.84    -8.15     0.00     0.02     0.84     0.16P   11.02R    0.54  
Exeter           28   35  -10      56.16     5.88   -15.98     0.00     0.00     0.47     0.06P   18.24R    1.27  
Leyton_Orient    26   34   +2      61.83     6.43     2.40     0.02     0.16     5.97     1.18P    3.90R    0.18  
Yeovil           28   33  -12      54.48     5.89   -16.91     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.03P   26.32R    2.51  
Plymouth         30   33  -13      54.18     5.66   -14.39     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.02P   26.38R    2.34  
Notts_County     25   32   +0      59.70     6.62    -1.60     0.02     0.10     3.67     0.84P    7.58R    0.43  
Swindon          29   31   -8      53.41     5.71    -9.82     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P   29.33R    2.93  
Tranmere         26   31   -8      54.57     6.19   -14.02     0.00     0.00     0.40     0.05P   26.62R    2.69  
Walsall          29   27  -16      46.86     5.69   -21.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.50R   21.90  
Bristol_Rovers   28   27  -24      46.05     5.81   -33.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.58R   30.48  
Dag_&_Red        26   25  -12      45.38     6.22   -23.71     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    79.78R   34.20  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 February 2011, Chesterfield vs Aldershot; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         28   55  +23      84.45     6.15    30.11    55.24    87.73    99.01    90.54P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              27   50  +10      80.65     6.29    16.95    24.30    69.46    94.92    75.98P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            28   47  +16      75.65     6.10    21.93     7.53    40.66    83.59    51.78P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           29   45  +14      72.15     5.77    19.73     2.09    19.81    67.75    32.92P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            28   44   +7      71.78     5.88    11.66     1.64    16.05    62.30    26.83P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 26   43  +15      73.96     6.43    20.36     6.03    30.95    75.06    41.96P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           29   42   +4      67.71     5.90     7.54     0.41     5.58    35.62    13.59P    0.01R    0.00  
Crewe                28   41  +12      70.67     6.18    19.96     1.82    15.01    58.38    25.68P    0.00R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           29   40   +0      61.42     5.82    -2.57     0.02     0.54     7.52     1.86P    0.14R    0.02  
Southend             28   39   +3      68.11     6.10     9.56     0.49     6.63    39.11    15.86P    0.01R    0.00  
Cheltenham           29   39   -1      62.66     5.83    -0.64     0.04     0.78    10.81     2.73P    0.11R    0.01  
Torquay              26   36   +7      64.17     6.49     8.06     0.20     2.82    20.25     6.89P    0.08R    0.01  
Stevenage            26   35   +9      63.07     6.41    10.20     0.08     1.79    16.37     5.41P    0.17R    0.02  
Northampton          27   35   -3      62.40     6.26    -0.94     0.06     1.10    11.67     3.69P    0.23R    0.02  
Lincoln_City         26   34  -10      56.34     6.15   -17.27     0.00     0.07     1.83     0.29P    2.57R    0.32  
Accrington_Stanley   26   33   -2      58.80     6.43    -4.84     0.01     0.33     4.91     1.14P    1.24R    0.19  
Aldershot            27   33   -7      58.76     6.19    -7.28     0.00     0.22     3.91     1.05P    1.08R    0.16  
Morecambe            27   32   -5      57.13     6.20    -6.69     0.00     0.13     2.30     0.62P    1.92R    0.31  
Bradford             28   31  -11      53.48     5.89   -14.00     0.00     0.02     0.37     0.10P    5.62R    1.11  
Hereford             26   28  -12      51.13     6.25   -18.63     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.05P   13.43R    3.15  
Macclesfield         25   27  -13      50.11     6.41   -21.80     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.03P   17.86R    4.84  
Barnet               29   26  -18      43.19     5.49   -27.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.82R   24.51  
Burton_Albion        22   25   -1      56.35     7.32    -3.78     0.02     0.33     3.92     1.03P    4.33R    1.07  
Stockport            30   25  -37      39.46     5.19   -49.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.39R   64.27  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 February 2011, AFC_Wimbledon vs Fleetwood_Town; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
AFC_Wimbledon      31   61  +24      85.99     5.33    30.78     5.99    96.77    25.22P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              28   57  +35      93.63     5.52    54.57    53.17    99.84    73.80P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       26   57  +33      92.19     6.26    45.19    38.19    99.45    55.23P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            29   55  +18      82.80     5.52    25.01     2.61    90.09    22.62P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      31   52  +10      71.62     5.18     8.34     0.01    19.85     3.26P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     31   48  +14      69.40     5.27    15.44     0.00    12.38     2.06P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            29   43  +12      73.06     5.76    22.62     0.02    34.94     8.81P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     29   43   +8      66.20     5.85     7.76     0.00     5.52     0.84P    0.00R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   29   43   +5      70.44     5.54    11.85     0.00    16.57     3.60P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          29   41   +4      66.88     5.80     7.83     0.00     6.48     1.00P    0.00R    0.00  
York               28   41   +1      68.86     5.85     5.97     0.00    10.40     1.96P    0.00     0.00  
Bath_City          30   38   -2      58.60     5.59    -4.52     0.00     0.21     0.02P    0.27R    0.01  
Darlington         27   36   +4      66.33     6.13    10.38     0.00     6.49     1.42P    0.00R    0.00  
Tamworth           29   35   -4      55.00     5.53    -9.47     0.00     0.03     0.00P    1.56R    0.07  
Kettering          28   35   -5      61.89     5.82    -1.74     0.00     0.89     0.17P    0.11R    0.00  
Gateshead          27   33   -6      54.39     5.83   -13.37     0.00     0.06     0.00P    2.55R    0.20  
Cambridge_Utd      30   33   -7      55.25     5.51    -6.44     0.00     0.03     0.00P    1.43R    0.05  
Forest_Green       29   30  -17      48.12     5.45   -25.84     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.66R    2.16  
Southport          28   29   -7      49.32     5.79   -14.41     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.29R    1.99  
Histon             29   28  -22      46.22     5.49   -30.11     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.26R    5.58  
Barrow             28   27  -14      46.29     5.58   -23.25     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.07R    5.14  
Hayes_&_Yeading    30   25  -28      40.17     5.14   -39.96     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.15R   30.02  
Altrincham         28   25  -31      45.32     5.67   -38.34     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.93R    8.70  
Eastbourne_Boro    29   22  -25      38.24     5.25   -38.29     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.73R   46.08