Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 4 February 2011 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 2 February 2011, Birmingham vs Man_City; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         24   54  +32      82.77     4.63    48.00    72.16    92.46    99.22    99.96   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         24   49  +27      77.60     4.79    42.46    21.29    70.83    94.03    99.06    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        25   46  +17      67.74     4.60    23.04     0.26     3.44    18.56    69.54    99.18     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         24   44  +25      73.71     4.58    42.37     6.22    31.98    80.59    95.73    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       24   41   +7      64.57     4.93    13.80     0.07     1.28     7.45    33.23    95.37     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland      25   37   +2      53.95     4.70     0.56     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.83    29.98     0.03R    0.00  
Liverpool       25   35   +2      55.38     4.74     5.75     0.00     0.00     0.10     1.46    45.98     0.01R    0.00  
Bolton          25   33   +0      47.79     4.71    -5.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     4.22     1.32R    0.02  
Blackburn       25   31   -7      46.74     4.73   -10.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     2.28     2.87R    0.17  
Newcastle       24   30   +2      48.95     5.02     1.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07     8.26     1.15R    0.04  
Stoke           24   30   -2      46.36     4.82    -6.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     2.35     3.36R    0.25  
Fulham          25   29   +0      44.34     4.56    -3.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.07     5.77R    0.38  
Blackpool       24   28   -9      41.66     4.77   -19.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.25    20.70R    2.93  
Aston_Villa     25   28  -15      47.08     4.85   -13.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     2.83     3.16R    0.25  
Everton         24   27   -3      48.81     5.03     0.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     7.66     1.30R    0.07  
West_Brom       24   26  -14      40.67     4.89   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.20    28.68R    5.43  
Birmingham      23   24  -10      41.68     4.99   -14.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.38    20.26R    3.39  
West_Ham        25   24  -17      37.74     4.59   -24.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    52.75R   12.85  
Wigan           25   23  -19      33.95     4.20   -30.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.47R   41.62  
Wolverhampton   24   21  -18      34.71     4.68   -26.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.16R   32.59  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 4 February 2011, Reading vs QPR; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              30   59  +31      86.07     5.50    38.43    63.55    83.84    99.41    88.19P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          29   51  +10      76.43     5.85    13.24     5.38    18.40    74.71    30.72P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          29   50  +11      76.15     5.69    15.25     4.62    16.95    74.57    31.43P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    27   49  +15      79.55     6.06    21.89    14.78    39.30    88.07    52.84P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          28   48  +12      77.43     5.97    19.39     8.21    25.17    80.97    40.79P    0.00R    0.00  
Leeds_United     29   46   +7      71.28     5.93     9.96     1.15     4.86    42.51    13.02P    0.00R    0.00  
Watford          27   43  +13      71.09     6.22    15.99     1.41     5.68    43.90    14.20P    0.01R    0.00  
Reading          29   42  +12      70.30     5.82    19.50     0.58     3.46    38.99    14.05P    0.01R    0.00  
Millwall         29   42   +7      65.17     5.75     7.05     0.05     0.46    11.53     2.81P    0.10R    0.00  
Leicester        29   42   -4      66.43     5.74    -2.42     0.09     0.57    13.98     3.54P    0.08R    0.00  
Burnley          28   40   +6      66.35     6.11     8.21     0.15     1.06    17.17     5.23P    0.12R    0.00  
Barnsley         29   40   -6      59.81     5.57   -11.53     0.00     0.03     1.50     0.24P    1.72R    0.05  
Hull             29   39   -1      62.85     5.73     0.03     0.02     0.11     5.00     1.26P    0.46R    0.00  
Doncaster        27   37   -4      60.89     6.10    -7.42     0.01     0.08     3.34     0.71P    1.51R    0.07  
Coventry         29   36   -2      56.83     5.54    -5.65     0.00     0.00     0.47     0.08P    4.56R    0.25  
Derby            28   34   -1      56.81     5.84    -4.06     0.00     0.00     0.68     0.12P    5.40R    0.28  
Middlesbrough    28   33   -2      58.14     5.87    -1.18     0.00     0.01     1.08     0.28P    3.20R    0.13  
Bristol_City     29   33  -11      53.87     5.66   -14.67     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P   13.53R    1.17  
Ipswich          27   32   -7      56.24     6.04    -9.74     0.00     0.00     0.57     0.11P    7.67R    0.59  
Portsmouth       28   31   -7      58.84     6.05    -2.31     0.00     0.02     1.44     0.37P    3.53R    0.22  
Crystal_Palace   29   28  -21      47.41     5.52   -26.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.37R   10.64  
Sheff_Utd        28   27  -18      49.34     5.84   -21.45     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   40.00R    6.88  
Scunthorpe       26   24  -20      44.61     6.01   -31.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.36R   26.32  
Preston          27   21  -20      40.78     5.91   -30.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.36R   53.39  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 2 February 2011, Bristol_Rovers vs MK_Dons; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         26   50  +25      83.58     6.39    34.13    41.80    64.73    96.20    72.63P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      28   49  +21      77.36     6.16    26.44     9.91    25.10    80.43    37.49P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     27   46  +12      77.74     6.24    20.70    10.43    25.91    80.98    40.18P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      26   44  +22      80.78     6.30    36.58    25.52    48.46    91.58    65.02P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           27   43   +6      69.15     6.26     6.08     0.69     2.52    29.35     7.32P    0.11R    0.00  
MK_Dons          28   43   -2      67.24     6.02    -2.95     0.25     1.12    18.49     4.21P    0.25R    0.00  
Peterborough     26   42   +5      71.93     6.68     8.49     2.37     7.23    46.34    15.20P    0.08R    0.00  
Charlton         25   41   +7      76.10     6.66    16.60     7.79    19.65    71.58    34.06P    0.01R    0.00  
Colchester       26   38   -1      67.81     6.43     2.55     0.42     1.53    22.59     6.23P    0.47R    0.00  
Rochdale         26   37   +5      63.60     6.56     3.57     0.09     0.53     9.80     2.35P    2.11R    0.06  
Carlisle         25   35   +8      64.59     6.59     8.94     0.16     0.67    12.97     3.26P    1.50R    0.03  
Sheff_Wed        26   35   +6      68.05     6.50    14.50     0.50     2.21    26.70     9.39P    0.36R    0.00  
Exeter           27   35   -7      57.88     6.05   -12.39     0.00     0.00     1.13     0.16P   12.00R    0.61  
Hartlepool       26   34  -12      57.05     6.20   -19.23     0.00     0.02     0.85     0.15P   16.37R    0.89  
Leyton_Orient    25   33   +2      61.74     6.59     1.68     0.04     0.18     5.78     1.20P    4.44R    0.18  
Plymouth         29   33  -11      55.72     5.84   -12.02     0.00     0.00     0.31     0.06P   19.01R    1.18  
Yeovil           27   33  -11      55.65     6.03   -16.17     0.00     0.01     0.41     0.07P   20.93R    1.54  
Notts_County     25   32   +0      59.85     6.70    -1.35     0.02     0.11     3.54     0.83P    7.75R    0.37  
Brentford        27   32   -7      55.76     6.05   -10.38     0.00     0.01     0.42     0.09P   19.25R    1.26  
Tranmere         26   31   -8      54.43     6.17   -14.25     0.00     0.01     0.36     0.06P   27.32R    2.23  
Swindon          28   30   -8      54.04     5.93    -9.40     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.04P   26.65R    2.34  
Bristol_Rovers   27   27  -22      47.20     5.97   -31.94     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    74.77R   20.29  
Dag_&_Red        25   24  -12      45.03     6.41   -24.88     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   80.99R   33.58  
Walsall          28   24  -18      44.35     5.83   -25.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.64R   35.41  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 February 2011, Accrington_Stanley vs Morecambe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         27   54  +23      85.53     6.33    31.24    58.36    89.75    99.16    92.18P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              26   49  +10      81.35     6.52    17.40    24.87    71.86    94.99    77.84P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            27   44  +14      74.06     6.33    19.95     4.37    29.96    74.90    41.76P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 26   43  +15      73.95     6.43    20.34     4.97    30.17    74.04    41.10P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            27   43   +7      71.78     6.10    11.17     1.77    16.49    60.43    26.70P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           28   42  +12      69.91     5.97    16.87     0.76    10.99    51.50    21.79P    0.00R    0.00  
Crewe                27   41  +14      72.18     6.41    22.16     2.90    21.96    65.91    32.84P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           28   41   +4      68.54     6.13     8.20     0.52     7.49    39.86    15.66P    0.01R    0.00  
Southend             27   39   +5      70.11     6.33    12.54     1.03    12.27    51.25    23.98P    0.01R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           28   39   +0      61.33     6.02    -3.26     0.02     0.62     7.67     1.96P    0.24R    0.03  
Cheltenham           28   38   -1      62.83     6.08    -0.98     0.03     0.89    11.70     2.82P    0.21R    0.02  
Stevenage            25   34   +9      63.95     6.61    10.92     0.14     2.64    19.57     6.83P    0.15R    0.02  
Northampton          26   34   -3      63.61     6.48     0.29     0.09     1.77    15.61     5.12P    0.19R    0.02  
Torquay              25   33   +5      63.12     6.69     6.98     0.14     2.10    16.12     5.29P    0.23R    0.04  
Accrington_Stanley   25   32   -2      58.76     6.57    -5.50     0.00     0.34     4.78     1.11P    1.46R    0.25  
Aldershot            26   32   -7      58.69     6.32    -8.03     0.01     0.24     3.90     0.93P    1.28R    0.21  
Morecambe            26   31   -5      57.71     6.46    -6.39     0.00     0.17     3.15     0.80P    2.01R    0.34  
Bradford             28   31  -11      53.39     5.91   -14.17     0.00     0.02     0.35     0.11P    6.10R    1.37  
Lincoln_City         25   31  -11      54.15     6.39   -19.15     0.00     0.02     0.91     0.16P    6.44R    1.32  
Hereford             25   28  -11      53.08     6.48   -16.83     0.00     0.02     0.60     0.12P    8.57R    2.03  
Macclesfield         25   27  -13      49.96     6.38   -22.11     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.03P   18.88R    5.80  
Burton_Albion        22   25   -1      56.29     7.23    -3.86     0.02     0.25     3.47     0.88P    4.51R    1.23  
Barnet               28   25  -18      42.73     5.62   -29.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.23R   30.89  
Stockport            29   25  -35      40.51     5.45   -48.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.50R   56.42  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 3 February 2011, Kettering vs Crawley_Town; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
AFC_Wimbledon      30   58  +23      84.82     5.56    30.47     4.73    95.25    24.10P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              28   57  +35      93.67     5.51    54.68    54.28    99.92    74.65P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       26   57  +33      92.24     6.24    45.27    38.92    99.60    56.15P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            28   52  +17      81.39     5.73    24.35     2.02    86.43    21.17P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      30   49   +9      70.50     5.40     8.11     0.01    17.40     2.85P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     30   48  +15      70.23     5.50    15.70     0.01    18.52     3.21P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            29   43  +12      72.98     5.76    22.51     0.02    37.33     9.18P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     29   43   +8      66.07     5.80     7.54     0.00     5.82     0.80P    0.00R    0.00  
Mansfield          29   41   +4      66.92     5.82     7.88     0.00     7.54     1.28P    0.00     0.00  
York               28   41   +1      68.69     5.84     5.73     0.01    11.24     2.10P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   28   40   +3      68.38     5.80     9.18     0.00    11.50     2.48P    0.00     0.00  
Bath_City          29   38   -1      59.57     5.85    -4.24     0.00     0.57     0.09P    0.16R    0.01  
Darlington         27   36   +4      66.30     6.15    10.35     0.00     7.39     1.69P    0.01R    0.00  
Tamworth           28   35   -3      57.25     5.72    -7.21     0.00     0.14     0.02P    0.63R    0.02  
Kettering          28   35   -5      61.89     5.84    -1.74     0.00     1.08     0.18P    0.10R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      29   33   -5      57.28     5.73    -3.45     0.00     0.20     0.03P    0.65R    0.03  
Gateshead          27   33   -6      54.57     5.90   -13.12     0.00     0.06     0.01P    2.44R    0.19  
Southport          28   29   -7      49.37     5.81   -14.31     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.10R    1.84  
Barrow             27   27  -13      47.43     5.78   -22.59     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.82R    3.66  
Forest_Green       28   27  -18      46.95     5.68   -26.31     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.44R    4.22  
Histon             28   25  -23      43.92     5.65   -32.23     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.19R   11.92  
Hayes_&_Yeading    29   25  -27      41.06     5.33   -39.98     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.63R   24.45  
Altrincham         28   25  -31      45.25     5.66   -38.47     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.49R    8.74  
Eastbourne_Boro    29   22  -25      38.32     5.29   -38.11     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.34R   44.93