Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 2 February 2011 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 2 February 2011, Birmingham vs Man_City; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         24   54  +32      82.72     4.65    47.88    71.99    92.33    99.13    99.95   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         24   49  +27      77.65     4.81    42.57    21.32    70.96    93.99    99.02    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        25   46  +17      67.83     4.60    23.20     0.31     3.66    18.97    69.56    99.22     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         24   44  +25      73.71     4.54    42.37     6.32    31.92    80.51    95.71    99.96     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       24   41   +7      64.63     4.90    13.87     0.06     1.13     7.26    33.39    95.50     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland      25   37   +2      53.99     4.71     0.60     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.76    29.78     0.02R    0.00  
Liverpool       25   35   +2      55.39     4.74     5.77     0.00     0.00     0.11     1.40    46.25     0.00R    0.00  
Bolton          25   33   +0      47.77     4.72    -5.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     4.19     1.35R    0.03  
Blackburn       25   31   -7      46.70     4.73   -10.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     2.26     2.79R    0.18  
Newcastle       24   30   +2      49.00     5.06     1.26     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.09     8.39     1.10R    0.06  
Stoke           24   30   -2      46.38     4.78    -6.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     2.46     3.19R    0.23  
Fulham          25   29   +0      44.28     4.58    -3.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.97     6.03R    0.40  
Blackpool       24   28   -9      41.68     4.77   -19.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.24    20.51R    2.99  
Aston_Villa     25   28  -15      47.04     4.86   -13.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.77     3.35R    0.27  
Everton         24   27   -3      48.76     5.05     0.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     7.35     1.40R    0.11  
West_Brom       24   26  -14      40.64     4.88   -22.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.21    28.76R    5.32  
Birmingham      23   24  -10      41.73     5.04   -14.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.43    20.20R    3.29  
West_Ham        25   24  -17      37.72     4.57   -24.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    52.67R   12.70  
Wigan           25   23  -19      33.92     4.22   -30.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.16R   41.56  
Wolverhampton   24   21  -18      34.65     4.68   -27.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.48R   32.86  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 February 2011, Barnsley vs Preston; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              29   56  +30      84.03     5.73    36.91    51.71    73.98    97.77    80.48P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          29   51  +10      76.32     5.81    13.07     6.65    19.16    72.71    30.71P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          29   50  +11      76.13     5.68    15.20     5.87    18.00    73.06    31.55P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    27   49  +15      79.53     6.10    21.83    19.04    40.56    87.12    53.55P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          28   48  +12      77.38     5.97    19.37    10.69    26.53    79.53    40.86P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     29   46   +7      71.33     5.96    10.02     1.50     5.37    41.10    12.95P    0.00R    0.00  
Watford          27   43  +13      71.07     6.28    15.91     1.98     6.35    41.83    14.56P    0.01R    0.00  
Reading          28   42  +13      72.09     5.95    21.21     2.08     7.37    49.98    20.18P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         29   42   +8      65.46     5.76     8.36     0.10     0.56    11.96     2.95P    0.06R    0.00  
Leicester        29   42   -4      66.55     5.72    -2.30     0.15     0.69    13.60     3.48P    0.07R    0.00  
Burnley          28   40   +6      66.47     6.12     8.45     0.19     1.12    17.16     5.40P    0.09R    0.00  
Barnsley         29   40   -5      59.97     5.60   -10.42     0.00     0.02     1.45     0.26P    1.67R    0.06  
Hull             29   39   -1      62.89     5.76     0.06     0.02     0.13     5.06     1.36P    0.46R    0.02  
Doncaster        27   37   -4      61.00     6.07    -7.30     0.01     0.08     3.07     0.65P    1.30R    0.04  
Coventry         29   36   -3      56.63     5.57    -7.02     0.00     0.00     0.40     0.07P    5.05R    0.28  
Derby            28   34   -1      56.97     5.89    -3.96     0.01     0.01     0.65     0.13P    5.15R    0.28  
Ipswich          27   34   -5      58.66     6.07    -7.23     0.00     0.02     1.33     0.29P    3.45R    0.19  
Middlesbrough    28   33   -3      57.87     5.90    -2.55     0.00     0.00     0.91     0.25P    3.53R    0.15  
Bristol_City     29   32  -13      52.49     5.65   -17.37     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   19.33R    1.99  
Portsmouth       28   31   -7      58.87     6.03    -2.25     0.00     0.02     1.27     0.31P    3.34R    0.27  
Crystal_Palace   29   28  -21      47.38     5.50   -26.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.69R   11.07  
Sheff_Utd        28   27  -18      49.23     5.83   -21.64     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   40.24R    7.36  
Scunthorpe       26   24  -20      44.64     6.03   -31.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.56R   26.28  
Preston          27   21  -20      40.92     5.88   -30.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.01R   52.01  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 2 February 2011, Bristol_Rovers vs MK_Dons; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         26   50  +25      83.59     6.38    34.14    41.81    65.24    96.19    73.43P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      28   49  +21      77.41     6.19    26.55    10.23    25.61    80.94    38.02P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     27   46  +12      77.63     6.25    20.53    10.20    25.10    80.89    39.73P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      26   44  +22      80.78     6.26    36.58    25.58    48.73    91.77    65.13P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           27   43   +6      69.06     6.25     5.93     0.68     2.52    28.96     7.06P    0.13R    0.00  
MK_Dons          28   43   -2      67.19     6.01    -3.02     0.26     1.03    18.38     4.11P    0.31R    0.00  
Peterborough     26   42   +5      71.80     6.65     8.31     2.03     6.64    46.14    14.51P    0.09R    0.00  
Charlton         25   41   +7      76.10     6.68    16.66     7.90    19.94    71.69    34.39P    0.01R    0.00  
Colchester       26   38   -1      67.68     6.41     2.38     0.42     1.53    21.97     5.98P    0.52R    0.01  
Rochdale         26   37   +5      63.58     6.51     3.54     0.15     0.49     9.94     2.42P    1.94R    0.05  
Carlisle         25   35   +8      64.61     6.57     8.98     0.12     0.66    13.03     3.33P    1.49R    0.03  
Sheff_Wed        26   35   +6      68.01     6.51    14.47     0.53     2.13    26.96     9.19P    0.44R    0.01  
Exeter           27   35   -7      57.86     6.07   -12.45     0.00     0.02     1.10     0.21P   12.32R    0.53  
Hartlepool       26   34  -12      56.92     6.19   -19.42     0.00     0.01     0.91     0.16P   16.83R    0.99  
Leyton_Orient    25   33   +2      61.64     6.58     1.52     0.05     0.20     5.69     1.19P    4.71R    0.22  
Plymouth         29   33  -11      55.78     5.86   -11.98     0.00     0.00     0.35     0.08P   19.22R    1.14  
Yeovil           27   33  -11      55.85     6.07   -15.89     0.00     0.00     0.48     0.08P   20.14R    1.50  
Notts_County     25   32   +0      59.80     6.70    -1.47     0.03     0.13     3.57     0.83P    7.84R    0.41  
Brentford        27   32   -7      55.90     6.07   -10.17     0.00     0.00     0.48     0.08P   18.83R    1.13  
Tranmere         26   31   -8      54.57     6.17   -14.01     0.00     0.00     0.33     0.04P   26.72R    2.29  
Swindon          28   30   -8      54.09     5.94    -9.31     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.04P   26.79R    2.19  
Bristol_Rovers   27   27  -22      47.25     5.99   -31.84     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   74.80R   20.84  
Dag_&_Red        25   24  -12      45.09     6.42   -24.77     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   81.06R   32.98  
Walsall          28   24  -18      44.38     5.83   -25.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.81R   35.68  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 February 2011, Accrington_Stanley vs Morecambe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         27   54  +23      85.58     6.32    31.28    58.35    89.95    99.25    92.27P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              26   49  +10      81.41     6.51    17.49    25.16    71.75    95.10    77.70P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            27   44  +14      74.02     6.30    19.90     4.22    29.75    74.92    41.39P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 26   43  +15      73.93     6.45    20.26     5.16    30.28    73.93    40.94P    0.00R    0.00  
Port_Vale            27   43   +7      71.80     6.09    11.15     1.59    16.53    60.74    26.85P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           28   42  +12      69.89     5.95    16.87     0.78    10.95    51.02    21.68P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                27   41  +14      72.22     6.37    22.23     2.69    21.92    66.18    33.08P    0.00R    0.00  
Gillingham           28   41   +4      68.63     6.09     8.31     0.55     7.42    40.52    16.16P    0.01R    0.00  
Southend             27   39   +5      70.12     6.31    12.53     1.04    12.31    51.36    23.75P    0.01R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           28   39   +0      61.40     5.95    -3.12     0.01     0.57     7.49     1.77P    0.24R    0.04  
Cheltenham           28   38   -1      62.76     6.08    -1.10     0.04     0.97    11.40     2.91P    0.18R    0.02  
Stevenage            25   34   +9      63.82     6.66    10.78     0.14     2.66    19.19     6.64P    0.16R    0.02  
Northampton          26   34   -3      63.67     6.45     0.40     0.11     1.84    15.71     5.41P    0.18R    0.03  
Torquay              25   33   +5      63.14     6.67     7.01     0.13     2.01    16.06     5.22P    0.25R    0.04  
Accrington_Stanley   25   32   -2      58.66     6.58    -5.60     0.02     0.36     4.74     1.12P    1.51R    0.29  
Aldershot            26   32   -7      58.61     6.32    -8.10     0.00     0.20     3.75     0.93P    1.41R    0.25  
Morecambe            26   31   -5      57.70     6.41    -6.39     0.01     0.22     3.17     0.91P    1.84R    0.30  
Bradford             28   31  -11      53.43     5.89   -14.10     0.00     0.01     0.37     0.07P    6.19R    1.34  
Lincoln_City         25   31  -11      54.33     6.34   -18.91     0.00     0.03     1.01     0.19P    5.83R    1.18  
Hereford             25   28  -11      53.06     6.49   -16.86     0.00     0.02     0.68     0.11P    8.75R    2.12  
Macclesfield         25   27  -13      49.92     6.38   -22.18     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.03P   18.91R    5.96  
Burton_Albion        22   25   -1      56.09     7.26    -4.15     0.01     0.25     3.26     0.88P    4.78R    1.32  
Barnet               28   25  -18      42.78     5.63   -29.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.04R   30.77  
Stockport            29   25  -35      40.51     5.42   -48.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.71R   56.34  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 February 2011, Eastbourne_Boro vs Gateshead; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
AFC_Wimbledon      30   58  +23      84.77     5.56    30.39     4.56    95.10    23.98P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              28   57  +35      93.59     5.52    54.52    51.33    99.90    72.89P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       25   56  +33      92.83     6.42    45.74    42.20    99.60    58.32P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            28   52  +17      81.40     5.76    24.36     1.85    86.15    20.98P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      30   49   +9      70.56     5.42     8.18     0.01    17.77     2.94P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     30   48  +15      70.30     5.46    15.75     0.00    18.26     2.94P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            29   43  +12      73.00     5.75    22.51     0.03    37.24     9.26P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     29   43   +8      66.10     5.87     7.59     0.00     6.29     0.84P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          29   41   +4      66.97     5.80     7.99     0.00     7.49     1.24P    0.00R    0.00  
York               28   41   +1      68.77     5.84     5.81     0.01    11.21     2.05P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   28   40   +3      68.40     5.77     9.22     0.00    11.28     2.50P    0.00     0.00  
Bath_City          29   38   -1      59.50     5.84    -4.32     0.00     0.60     0.07P    0.18R    0.00  
Darlington         27   36   +4      66.26     6.11    10.33     0.00     7.28     1.71P    0.00R    0.00  
Tamworth           28   35   -3      57.29     5.77    -7.07     0.00     0.16     0.02P    0.65R    0.03  
Kettering          27   34   -5      62.20     6.06    -1.83     0.00     1.45     0.25P    0.13R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      29   33   -5      57.26     5.76    -3.47     0.00     0.14     0.02P    0.68R    0.02  
Gateshead          27   33   -6      54.52     5.91   -13.22     0.00     0.06     0.01P    2.51R    0.14  
Southport          28   29   -7      49.25     5.80   -14.54     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.50R    1.93  
Barrow             27   27  -13      47.45     5.77   -22.60     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.87R    3.57  
Forest_Green       28   27  -18      46.93     5.70   -26.34     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.36R    4.22  
Histon             28   25  -23      44.00     5.64   -32.16     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.45R   11.38  
Hayes_&_Yeading    29   25  -27      41.03     5.36   -40.06     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.51R   24.34  
Altrincham         28   25  -31      45.31     5.68   -38.36     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.22R    8.32  
Eastbourne_Boro    29   22  -25      38.16     5.24   -38.41     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.95R   46.04