Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 1 February 2011 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 February 2011, Arsenal vs Everton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         24   54  +32      82.75     4.64    47.93    72.18    92.23    99.06    99.97   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         24   49  +27      77.57     4.84    42.46    20.85    69.86    93.54    99.19    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        24   45  +17      68.61     4.85    23.75     0.57     5.42    23.72    78.56    99.30     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         24   44  +25      73.72     4.54    42.40     6.37    31.69    78.91    96.51    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       23   38   +6      62.99     5.16    12.81     0.03     0.79     4.65    23.36    91.18     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland      25   37   +2      54.01     4.71     0.65     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.83    31.10     0.02R    0.00  
Liverpool       24   32   +0      54.32     4.97     4.53     0.00     0.00     0.06     1.13    37.55     0.04R    0.00  
Blackburn       24   31   -6      48.04     5.00    -9.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     4.99     1.65R    0.06  
Newcastle       23   30   +3      50.37     5.31     2.29     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.23    14.61     0.63R    0.02  
Stoke           23   30   +0      47.16     4.99    -5.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     4.43     2.34R    0.16  
Bolton          24   30   -1      46.67     4.93    -5.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     3.45     2.67R    0.16  
Blackpool       23   28   -7      43.82     5.05   -16.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.02    10.40R    1.29  
Aston_Villa     25   28  -15      47.07     4.90   -13.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     3.17     3.13R    0.27  
Everton         24   27   -3      48.77     5.03     0.55     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06     7.80     1.20R    0.06  
Fulham          24   26   -1      42.63     4.84    -4.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.65    11.71R    1.18  
West_Brom       24   26  -14      40.65     4.90   -22.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.24    26.91R    4.49  
Birmingham      22   23  -10      41.67     5.22   -14.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.52    19.99R    3.36  
Wigan           25   23  -19      33.95     4.21   -30.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.47R   38.36  
Wolverhampton   23   21  -17      35.57     4.87   -26.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    67.62R   24.47  
West_Ham        24   21  -19      35.42     4.78   -27.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.22R   26.13  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 February 2011, Barnsley vs Preston; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              29   56  +30      84.04     5.71    36.98    51.60    73.84    97.91    80.35P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          29   51  +10      76.50     5.82    13.33     7.03    19.94    73.95    31.59P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          29   50  +11      76.13     5.74    15.23     6.42    18.18    72.72    31.58P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    27   49  +15      79.48     6.09    21.77    18.28    39.98    86.94    52.91P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          28   48  +12      77.46     5.97    19.50    10.66    26.67    79.98    41.64P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     29   46   +7      71.33     5.96    10.04     1.54     5.30    41.43    12.97P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          27   43  +13      71.02     6.23    15.90     1.81     5.95    41.61    13.96P    0.01R    0.00  
Reading          28   42  +13      72.07     5.99    21.15     2.13     7.32    49.54    20.05P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         29   42   +8      65.36     5.78     8.23     0.12     0.62    11.45     2.82P    0.08R    0.00  
Leicester        29   42   -4      66.55     5.77    -2.25     0.15     0.77    13.52     3.74P    0.10R    0.00  
Burnley          28   40   +6      66.49     6.11     8.44     0.21     1.13    16.97     5.16P    0.12R    0.00  
Barnsley         29   40   -5      60.07     5.59   -10.23     0.01     0.03     1.64     0.25P    1.44R    0.03  
Hull             29   39   -1      62.84     5.74    -0.02     0.02     0.13     4.77     1.31P    0.42R    0.01  
Doncaster        27   37   -4      60.87     6.05    -7.52     0.01     0.08     2.90     0.57P    1.41R    0.05  
Coventry         29   36   -3      56.68     5.58    -6.95     0.00     0.00     0.40     0.06P    4.90R    0.23  
Derby            28   34   -1      56.93     5.87    -4.05     0.00     0.01     0.65     0.15P    5.27R    0.28  
Ipswich          27   34   -5      58.79     6.07    -7.02     0.00     0.04     1.48     0.30P    3.27R    0.18  
Middlesbrough    28   33   -3      57.95     5.90    -2.49     0.00     0.00     0.86     0.25P    3.46R    0.14  
Bristol_City     29   32  -13      52.49     5.65   -17.40     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P   19.35R    2.13  
Portsmouth       28   31   -7      58.75     6.04    -2.49     0.00     0.01     1.23     0.34P    3.50R    0.24  
Crystal_Palace   29   28  -21      47.34     5.50   -26.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.97R   10.96  
Sheff_Utd        28   27  -18      49.24     5.83   -21.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   40.34R    7.04  
Scunthorpe       26   24  -20      44.65     6.06   -31.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.32R   26.34  
Preston          27   21  -20      40.84     5.91   -30.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.05R   52.37  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 February 2011, Bournemouth vs Swindon; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         26   50  +25      83.58     6.38    34.12    41.93    64.93    96.50    73.10P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      28   49  +21      77.36     6.18    26.43     9.92    25.29    80.88    37.68P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     27   46  +12      77.61     6.28    20.53    10.12    25.43    80.93    40.03P    0.00R    0.00  
Southampton      26   44  +22      80.87     6.27    36.74    25.92    49.41    91.98    65.41P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           27   43   +6      69.17     6.26     6.10     0.77     2.58    29.81     7.52P    0.13R    0.00  
Peterborough     26   42   +5      71.84     6.65     8.34     2.16     6.86    46.71    14.95P    0.11R    0.00  
Charlton         25   41   +7      76.10     6.68    16.64     7.74    19.45    72.13    34.23P    0.02R    0.00  
MK_Dons          27   40   -3      65.49     6.23    -4.14     0.15     0.66    13.27     3.00P    0.92R    0.02  
Colchester       26   38   -1      67.60     6.45     2.24     0.36     1.47    21.94     5.79P    0.59R    0.02  
Rochdale         26   37   +5      63.65     6.54     3.61     0.11     0.54    10.26     2.40P    2.11R    0.06  
Carlisle         25   35   +8      64.60     6.56     8.98     0.13     0.69    13.06     3.40P    1.63R    0.05  
Sheff_Wed        26   35   +6      68.02     6.47    14.49     0.59     2.18    26.92     9.20P    0.50R    0.00  
Exeter           27   35   -7      57.76     6.06   -12.57     0.00     0.02     1.12     0.16P   13.20R    0.65  
Hartlepool       26   34  -12      56.98     6.21   -19.32     0.01     0.02     0.96     0.19P   17.55R    1.05  
Leyton_Orient    25   33   +2      61.71     6.60     1.66     0.04     0.23     6.06     1.23P    4.78R    0.22  
Plymouth         29   33  -11      55.74     5.85   -11.99     0.00     0.00     0.32     0.08P   20.11R    1.26  
Yeovil           27   33  -11      55.82     6.03   -15.93     0.00     0.00     0.49     0.07P   21.05R    1.45  
Brentford        27   32   -7      55.77     6.06   -10.37     0.00     0.00     0.48     0.11P   20.18R    1.28  
Notts_County     24   31   +0      60.86     6.98    -0.48     0.05     0.21     5.62     1.35P    6.95R    0.39  
Tranmere         26   31   -8      54.41     6.17   -14.25     0.00     0.00     0.33     0.06P   28.75R    2.52  
Swindon          28   30   -8      54.17     5.91    -9.23     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.05P   27.10R    2.33  
Bristol_Rovers   26   27  -21      48.84     6.24   -30.51     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   65.99R   15.27  
Dag_&_Red        25   24  -12      44.95     6.43   -25.05     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    82.02R   35.00  
Walsall          27   23  -18      44.23     5.94   -26.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.33R   38.44  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 February 2011, Accrington_Stanley vs Morecambe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         27   54  +23      85.51     6.35    31.17    58.18    89.61    99.11    91.97P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              26   49  +10      81.28     6.55    17.29    24.77    71.16    94.86    77.13P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            27   44  +14      73.99     6.32    19.91     4.25    29.84    74.42    41.76P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 26   43  +15      73.90     6.47    20.22     5.12    30.22    73.69    41.01P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            27   43   +7      71.71     6.10    11.06     1.64    15.99    59.90    25.96P    0.00R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           28   42  +12      69.85     6.00    16.81     0.90    11.16    50.68    21.55P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                27   41  +14      72.36     6.38    22.47     3.04    22.84    66.78    34.15P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           28   41   +4      68.58     6.12     8.23     0.54     7.41    40.38    15.71P    0.01R    0.00  
Southend             27   39   +5      70.19     6.33    12.67     1.13    12.60    51.67    24.17P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           28   39   +0      61.33     5.94    -3.26     0.02     0.54     7.46     1.72P    0.24R    0.02  
Cheltenham           28   38   -1      62.90     6.11    -0.84     0.04     1.07    12.12     3.13P    0.16R    0.02  
Stevenage            25   34   +9      63.88     6.61    10.80     0.14     2.60    19.40     6.84P    0.12R    0.02  
Northampton          26   34   -3      63.73     6.48     0.46     0.09     1.78    15.95     5.17P    0.21R    0.03  
Torquay              25   33   +5      63.13     6.69     6.97     0.10     2.07    16.26     5.48P    0.26R    0.04  
Accrington_Stanley   25   32   -2      58.67     6.62    -5.57     0.01     0.37     4.93     1.16P    1.61R    0.30  
Aldershot            26   32   -7      58.64     6.32    -8.05     0.01     0.19     3.74     0.95P    1.39R    0.23  
Morecambe            26   31   -5      57.56     6.43    -6.60     0.01     0.17     2.89     0.74P    2.05R    0.36  
Bradford             28   31  -11      53.50     5.91   -14.01     0.00     0.01     0.43     0.09P    5.80R    1.27  
Lincoln_City         25   31  -11      54.34     6.32   -18.92     0.00     0.04     0.99     0.19P    5.86R    1.17  
Hereford             25   28  -11      53.07     6.49   -16.88     0.00     0.03     0.70     0.17P    8.85R    2.10  
Macclesfield         25   27  -13      49.95     6.38   -22.17     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.03P   19.32R    5.90  
Burton_Albion        22   25   -1      56.19     7.27    -4.06     0.01     0.28     3.45     0.92P    4.64R    1.25  
Barnet               28   25  -18      42.87     5.63   -29.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.62R   29.88  
Stockport            29   25  -35      40.43     5.44   -48.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.87R   57.41  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 February 2011, Eastbourne_Boro vs Gateshead; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
AFC_Wimbledon      30   58  +23      84.84     5.54    30.46     4.64    95.11    24.01P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              28   57  +35      93.62     5.55    54.60    52.05    99.92    73.28P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       25   56  +33      92.70     6.43    45.53    41.38    99.61    57.76P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            28   52  +17      81.39     5.72    24.38     1.88    86.15    21.13P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      30   49   +9      70.56     5.42     8.19     0.00    17.57     2.87P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     30   48  +15      70.33     5.45    15.82     0.01    18.45     2.97P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            29   43  +12      72.96     5.78    22.46     0.02    37.13     9.14P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     29   43   +8      66.06     5.83     7.50     0.00     5.97     0.84P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          29   41   +4      66.92     5.82     7.84     0.00     7.50     1.19P    0.00R    0.00  
York               28   41   +1      68.75     5.87     5.78     0.00    11.48     2.15P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   28   40   +3      68.44     5.76     9.25     0.01    11.22     2.51P    0.00     0.00  
Bath_City          29   38   -1      59.62     5.78    -4.14     0.00     0.53     0.07P    0.15R    0.00  
Darlington         27   36   +4      66.29     6.20    10.34     0.00     7.53     1.82P    0.00R    0.00  
Tamworth           28   35   -3      57.31     5.75    -7.06     0.00     0.16     0.02P    0.67R    0.01  
Kettering          27   34   -5      62.14     6.08    -1.90     0.00     1.46     0.22P    0.08R    0.01  
Cambridge_Utd      29   33   -5      57.22     5.77    -3.52     0.00     0.17     0.02P    0.73R    0.03  
Gateshead          27   33   -6      54.50     5.85   -13.20     0.00     0.05     0.00P    2.38R    0.17  
Southport          28   29   -7      49.42     5.82   -14.30     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.13R    1.89  
Barrow             27   27  -13      47.46     5.77   -22.52     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.70R    3.45  
Forest_Green       28   27  -18      46.88     5.68   -26.40     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.76R    4.23  
Histon             28   25  -23      43.89     5.62   -32.25     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.02R   11.54  
Hayes_&_Yeading    29   25  -27      40.98     5.34   -40.18     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.71R   24.58  
Altrincham         28   25  -31      45.38     5.65   -38.25     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.65R    8.38  
Eastbourne_Boro    29   22  -25      38.18     5.25   -38.42     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.02R   45.71