Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 31 January 2011 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 26 January 2011, Liverpool vs Fulham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         23   51  +30      82.14     4.77    47.67    72.77    92.49    98.84    99.94   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         23   46  +26      76.72     5.00    42.64    20.86    70.01    92.14    98.77    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        24   45  +17      68.57     4.83    23.72     0.81     7.37    29.53    79.11    99.28     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         23   41  +23      72.44     4.78    40.65     5.51    29.00    72.98    94.06    99.88     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       23   38   +6      62.92     5.17    12.74     0.04     1.11     6.18    24.70    89.99     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland      24   37   +4      54.96     4.86     2.12     0.00     0.01     0.18     1.61    37.15     0.02R    0.00  
Liverpool       24   32   +0      54.29     4.94     4.52     0.00     0.00     0.11     1.28    34.66     0.05R    0.00  
Blackburn       24   31   -6      48.14     4.96    -9.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     4.52     1.73R    0.07  
Newcastle       23   30   +3      50.34     5.28     2.31     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.25    13.11     0.69R    0.02  
Stoke           23   30   +0      47.16     4.96    -5.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     3.74     2.38R    0.16  
Bolton          24   30   -1      46.72     4.92    -5.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     3.15     2.77R    0.15  
Blackpool       23   28   -7      43.82     5.08   -16.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.89    11.27R    1.18  
Aston_Villa     24   28  -13      47.43     4.96   -13.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     3.29     2.86R    0.17  
Everton         23   27   -2      49.33     5.17     0.21     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.13     8.89     1.16R    0.06  
Fulham          24   26   -1      42.74     4.84    -4.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.55    11.75R    1.12  
West_Brom       23   25  -14      41.73     5.14   -20.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.42    22.19R    3.93  
Birmingham      22   23  -10      41.65     5.17   -14.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.47    20.43R    3.23  
Wigan           24   22  -19      33.68     4.40   -31.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.40R   41.56  
Wolverhampton   23   21  -17      35.57     4.87   -26.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    68.97R   23.13  
West_Ham        24   21  -19      35.43     4.76   -27.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.33R   25.21  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 January 2011, Crystal_Palace vs Norwich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              28   53  +28      82.58     5.94    35.16    45.39    67.37    96.10    75.40P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          28   48   +9      75.06     6.08    12.56     6.49    17.11    65.90    27.62P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          27   47  +12      78.24     6.17    20.07    16.63    35.46    82.96    48.63P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          28   47   +9      73.99     5.95    12.58     4.38    12.93    60.19    24.50P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    26   46  +14      77.89     6.29    20.83    15.89    34.00    81.08    47.18P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     28   45   +7      71.26     6.18     9.36     2.26     6.81    42.20    14.11P    0.01R    0.00  
Watford          26   42  +13      72.43     6.47    17.55     4.17    11.21    52.10    20.28P    0.01R    0.00  
Millwall         28   42   +8      66.12     5.97     7.33     0.27     1.14    15.63     4.21P    0.08R    0.00  
Reading          27   41  +13      72.15     6.22    20.69     3.47     9.90    51.45    22.43P    0.01R    0.00  
Burnley          27   40   +7      67.98     6.36     9.60     0.83     2.96    25.32     8.66P    0.07R    0.00  
Leicester        28   39   -5      64.58     6.00    -3.79     0.12     0.49     9.10     2.47P    0.37R    0.01  
Hull             28   38   +0      63.73     5.95     1.81     0.07     0.38     7.88     2.14P    0.43R    0.01  
Barnsley         28   37   -8      58.22     5.79   -13.56     0.00     0.01     1.01     0.14P    4.70R    0.31  
Coventry         28   36   -1      58.12     5.78    -4.64     0.00     0.02     1.13     0.23P    3.77R    0.20  
Derby            27   34   +0      58.77     6.07    -2.17     0.01     0.05     1.72     0.37P    3.62R    0.22  
Doncaster        26   34   -6      59.03     6.34    -9.86     0.02     0.08     2.10     0.46P    4.25R    0.32  
Bristol_City     28   33   -9      55.45     5.89   -12.34     0.00     0.00     0.30     0.07P   10.41R    0.91  
Portsmouth       27   31   -5      60.02     6.24    -0.62     0.01     0.08     2.72     0.82P    2.98R    0.27  
Middlesbrough    27   30   -4      56.97     6.06    -2.44     0.00     0.01     0.81     0.23P    6.42R    0.44  
Ipswich          26   29   -8      54.07     6.26   -11.57     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.05P   16.26R    2.16  
Sheff_Utd        27   27  -17      51.10     6.01   -19.92     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   31.65R    5.53  
Crystal_Palace   28   27  -21      47.09     5.71   -27.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.94R   15.64  
Scunthorpe       25   24  -18      45.53     6.20   -30.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.42R   26.08  
Preston          26   21  -18      42.10     6.08   -28.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.62R   47.88  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 January 2011, Brentford vs Yeovil; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         25   49  +25      84.03     6.59    34.24    48.93    71.23    96.59    77.48P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      27   46  +20      76.10     6.38    26.01     8.74    23.36    75.76    35.08P    0.00R    0.00  
Huddersfield     26   43  +10      76.26     6.44    18.91     8.46    22.17    75.11    35.78P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      25   41  +21      79.37     6.53    35.82    21.64    44.23    88.14    60.88P    0.00R    0.00  
Oldham           26   40   +2      67.16     6.40     1.56     0.44     1.82    21.69     5.12P    0.53R    0.00  
MK_Dons          27   40   -3      65.36     6.24    -4.33     0.19     0.81    13.63     3.15P    1.17R    0.01  
Peterborough     25   39   +3      69.88     6.95     5.74     1.58     5.42    37.27    11.86P    0.35R    0.00  
Charlton         24   38   +6      74.94     6.88    16.35     6.71    18.56    67.23    32.39P    0.03R    0.00  
Colchester       25   38   +0      68.77     6.67     2.91     0.86     3.35    29.86     9.00P    0.47R    0.00  
Rochdale         25   36   +5      63.70     6.75     3.18     0.19     0.81    11.78     2.90P    2.68R    0.07  
Carlisle         24   35  +10      66.15     6.82    11.28     0.54     1.96    20.88     5.96P    1.21R    0.03  
Sheff_Wed        25   35   +8      69.90     6.73    17.14     1.57     5.36    39.74    15.46P    0.30R    0.00  
Exeter           26   35   -6      58.81     6.30   -12.04     0.02     0.07     2.31     0.38P   11.27R    0.37  
Hartlepool       25   34   -8      58.76     6.46   -14.58     0.01     0.09     2.36     0.42P   11.90R    0.44  
Plymouth         28   33  -10      57.26     6.10   -10.78     0.00     0.01     0.94     0.19P   15.51R    0.66  
Leyton_Orient    24   32   +2      62.03     6.83     1.49     0.08     0.41     7.83     1.86P    4.97R    0.16  
Brentford        26   32   -4      57.65     6.26    -6.50     0.00     0.03     1.35     0.28P   13.66R    0.65  
Notts_County     24   31   +0      60.95     6.94    -0.34     0.04     0.30     6.15     1.54P    6.98R    0.26  
Swindon          27   30   -7      55.05     6.14    -8.97     0.00     0.01     0.44     0.12P   24.20R    1.47  
Tranmere         25   30   -8      54.98     6.41   -13.91     0.00     0.01     0.59     0.07P   27.19R    1.87  
Yeovil           26   30  -12      53.79     6.25   -17.59     0.00     0.01     0.34     0.06P   33.85R    2.76  
Bristol_Rovers   26   27  -21      48.86     6.23   -30.45     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   67.12R   11.94  
Walsall          27   23  -18      44.32     5.99   -25.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.54R   31.06  
Dag_&_Red        24   21  -15      42.42     6.51   -29.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   90.07R   48.25  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 January 2011, Barnet vs Southend; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         26   53  +23      86.81     6.54    32.64    64.92    92.08    99.39    93.77P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              25   46   +9      79.93     6.76    16.71    17.03    62.97    92.05    70.53P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            26   44  +15      75.65     6.53    21.37     6.48    39.53    81.38    50.72P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                26   41  +18      74.44     6.59    27.59     5.35    34.26    77.52    45.70P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 25   40  +13      72.16     6.66    18.06     2.85    21.58    64.24    32.03P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            26   40   +6      70.20     6.29    10.22     0.96    11.73    51.06    20.91P    0.00R    0.00  
Gillingham           27   40   +4      68.75     6.31     7.99     0.62     8.26    41.99    16.90P    0.01R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           27   39   +9      68.05     6.18    13.55     0.39     6.81    39.44    15.24P    0.01R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           27   39   +1      62.41     6.17    -2.67     0.03     1.02    11.14     2.88P    0.18R    0.02  
Cheltenham           27   38   +0      63.63     6.22    -0.84     0.08     1.59    15.10     4.03P    0.14R    0.01  
Southend             26   36   +4      68.98     6.56    12.20     0.68     9.80    45.32    20.71P    0.01R    0.00  
Stevenage            24   33   +9      64.37     6.83    11.06     0.16     3.26    22.44     7.96P    0.16R    0.01  
Torquay              24   33   +7      65.65     6.92    10.73     0.41     4.77    28.13    10.28P    0.12R    0.02  
Aldershot            26   32   -7      58.56     6.34    -8.17     0.01     0.22     3.86     0.89P    1.21R    0.20  
Accrington_Stanley   24   31   -2      58.96     6.77    -5.71     0.01     0.44     5.71     1.35P    1.50R    0.29  
Northampton          25   31   -7      60.92     6.63    -5.25     0.01     0.71     8.56     2.62P    0.68R    0.12  
Bradford             27   31  -10      55.31     6.09   -12.34     0.00     0.05     1.04     0.27P    3.18R    0.66  
Morecambe            25   30   -5      57.92     6.61    -6.66     0.00     0.25     3.81     1.03P    1.86R    0.31  
Lincoln_City         24   28  -12      51.98     6.48   -20.92     0.00     0.01     0.51     0.09P   11.12R    2.77  
Macclesfield         24   27  -11      51.36     6.59   -19.83     0.00     0.01     0.40     0.07P   13.14R    3.75  
Burton_Albion        21   25   +2      58.12     7.49    -0.07     0.01     0.63     6.62     1.97P    2.66R    0.69  
Hereford             24   25  -13      50.33     6.63   -20.54     0.00     0.01     0.27     0.07P   17.16R    4.98  
Barnet               28   25  -18      42.80     5.65   -29.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.21R   28.32  
Stockport            28   24  -35      40.09     5.58   -49.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.65R   57.84  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 January 2011, Bath_City vs Cambridge_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
AFC_Wimbledon      29   58  +26      86.53     5.77    34.03     9.69    96.74    29.02P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       25   56  +33      92.84     6.41    45.70    46.64    99.59    60.85P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              27   54  +31      92.11     5.75    50.44    41.66    99.65    66.35P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            27   49  +16      80.69     5.91    24.77     1.90    81.65    19.37P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      30   49   +9      70.44     5.38     8.08     0.01    15.88     2.54P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     29   48  +16      72.00     5.70    17.29     0.03    26.53     4.29P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     29   43   +8      66.12     5.85     7.62     0.00     5.50     0.76P    0.00R    0.00  
Grimsby            28   42  +12      73.68     5.97    22.98     0.06    40.31    10.03P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          29   41   +4      67.02     5.78     8.06     0.00     6.79     1.02P    0.00     0.00  
Bath_City          29   38   -1      59.56     5.79    -4.22     0.00     0.48     0.05P    0.17R    0.00  
York               27   38   -2      66.52     6.08     1.89     0.00     5.90     1.06P    0.01R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   27   37   +2      67.16     5.97     8.74     0.00     7.95     1.63P    0.00R    0.00  
Darlington         26   36   +8      67.79     6.30    14.52     0.00    11.25     2.78P    0.00     0.00  
Tamworth           28   35   -3      57.30     5.80    -7.04     0.00     0.19     0.02P    0.65R    0.03  
Kettering          27   34   -5      62.15     6.05    -1.84     0.00     1.29     0.18P    0.10R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      28   33   -4      58.32     5.93    -2.91     0.00     0.28     0.04P    0.50R    0.01  
Gateshead          26   30   -9      52.05     6.07   -17.55     0.00     0.01     0.00P    6.77R    0.90  
Southport          27   28   -7      49.27     6.04   -14.94     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.05R    2.41  
Barrow             27   27  -13      47.42     5.79   -22.57     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.31R    3.76  
Forest_Green       28   27  -18      46.84     5.70   -26.44     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.38R    4.84  
Hayes_&_Yeading    29   25  -27      41.06     5.35   -39.98     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.56R   26.59  
Altrincham         27   25  -30      45.87     5.84   -38.75     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.38R    8.24  
Eastbourne_Boro    28   22  -22      40.34     5.55   -33.84     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.32R   30.09  
Histon             27   22  -24      41.81     5.85   -34.04     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.80R   23.13