Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 30 January 2011 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 26 January 2011, Liverpool vs Fulham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         23   51  +30      82.08     4.77    47.53    71.88    92.47    98.80    99.93   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         23   46  +26      76.76     5.01    42.70    21.61    70.43    92.05    98.66    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        24   45  +17      68.57     4.83    23.73     0.81     7.34    29.87    78.93    99.26     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         23   41  +23      72.44     4.78    40.67     5.65    28.70    72.90    94.34    99.89     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       23   38   +6      62.98     5.14    12.85     0.05     1.04     6.09    24.72    90.31     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland      24   37   +4      54.97     4.88     2.15     0.00     0.01     0.17     1.70    36.69     0.01R    0.00  
Liverpool       24   32   +0      54.34     4.95     4.62     0.00     0.00     0.10     1.20    34.88     0.02R    0.00  
Blackburn       24   31   -6      48.10     4.99    -9.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     4.42     1.73R    0.07  
Newcastle       23   30   +3      50.27     5.28     2.20     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.25    12.74     0.68R    0.04  
Stoke           23   30   +0      47.27     4.96    -5.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     3.90     2.23R    0.14  
Bolton          24   30   -1      46.62     4.92    -5.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     3.01     2.84R    0.19  
Blackpool       23   28   -7      43.83     5.07   -16.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.96    10.92R    1.24  
Aston_Villa     24   28  -13      47.47     4.96   -13.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     3.28     2.88R    0.21  
Everton         23   27   -2      49.36     5.22     0.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09     9.23     1.16R    0.05  
Fulham          24   26   -1      42.74     4.80    -4.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.59    11.76R    1.10  
West_Brom       23   25  -14      41.62     5.14   -21.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.40    22.98R    3.88  
Birmingham      22   23  -10      41.65     5.17   -14.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.43    20.38R    3.22  
Wigan           24   22  -19      33.66     4.41   -31.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.60R   41.54  
Wolverhampton   23   21  -17      35.58     4.89   -26.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    68.70R   23.36  
West_Ham        24   21  -19      35.47     4.76   -27.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    70.12R   24.96  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 January 2011, Crystal_Palace vs Norwich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              28   53  +28      82.57     5.94    35.18    45.90    67.75    96.08    75.42P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          28   48   +9      74.95     6.07    12.40     6.38    17.02    65.25    27.48P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          27   47  +12      78.05     6.18    19.82    16.03    34.65    82.10    47.64P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          28   47   +9      74.01     5.92    12.63     4.33    12.97    60.21    24.76P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    26   46  +14      77.82     6.31    20.74    16.20    33.86    80.66    47.00P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     28   45   +7      71.32     6.16     9.46     2.36     7.12    42.76    14.68P    0.01R    0.00  
Watford          26   42  +13      72.29     6.46    17.32     3.91    10.88    51.22    19.70P    0.02R    0.00  
Millwall         28   42   +9      66.54     5.94     8.91     0.34     1.40    17.38     4.91P    0.08R    0.00  
Reading          27   41  +13      72.20     6.18    20.80     3.37    10.04    51.83    22.68P    0.01R    0.00  
Burnley          27   40   +7      68.04     6.34     9.69     0.91     3.06    25.58     8.83P    0.08R    0.00  
Leicester        28   39   -5      64.61     5.93    -3.71     0.13     0.59     9.05     2.51P    0.39R    0.01  
Hull             28   38   -1      63.58     5.96     0.56     0.07     0.33     7.19     1.95P    0.50R    0.01  
Barnsley         28   37   -7      58.51     5.80   -12.17     0.00     0.03     1.09     0.20P    4.13R    0.22  
Coventry         28   36   -2      57.94     5.80    -6.04     0.00     0.02     0.98     0.17P    4.33R    0.27  
Derby            27   34   +0      58.91     6.08    -2.16     0.01     0.04     1.84     0.38P    3.49R    0.19  
Doncaster        26   34   -5      59.30     6.33    -8.47     0.03     0.10     2.29     0.47P    3.75R    0.25  
Bristol_City     28   32  -11      54.03     5.87   -15.07     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.04P   15.57R    1.65  
Portsmouth       27   31   -5      60.14     6.26    -0.46     0.02     0.09     2.76     0.82P    3.02R    0.23  
Ipswich          26   31   -6      56.55     6.25    -8.92     0.00     0.02     0.81     0.18P    8.82R    0.86  
Middlesbrough    27   30   -5      56.83     6.07    -3.73     0.00     0.02     0.73     0.18P    6.90R    0.51  
Sheff_Utd        27   27  -17      51.05     6.08   -20.01     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   32.47R    5.94  
Crystal_Palace   28   27  -21      46.99     5.65   -28.13     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    62.49R   15.95  
Scunthorpe       25   24  -18      45.65     6.23   -29.86     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    69.21R   25.35  
Preston          26   21  -18      42.07     6.15   -28.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.74R   48.55  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 January 2011, Brentford vs Yeovil; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         25   49  +25      84.12     6.56    34.39    48.89    71.26    96.79    77.73P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      27   46  +20      76.18     6.38    26.12     8.58    23.33    76.15    35.37P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     26   43  +10      76.25     6.55    18.88     8.57    22.54    74.89    35.79P    0.00R    0.00  
Southampton      25   41  +21      79.51     6.51    36.03    21.81    44.43    88.50    61.36P    0.00R    0.00  
Oldham           26   40   +2      67.21     6.42     1.60     0.44     1.80    22.03     5.20P    0.56R    0.01  
MK_Dons          27   40   -3      65.46     6.22    -4.17     0.18     0.82    14.04     3.33P    1.06R    0.00  
Peterborough     25   39   +3      69.89     6.95     5.77     1.55     5.45    37.42    11.84P    0.33R    0.01  
Charlton         24   38   +6      74.89     6.91    16.26     6.73    18.29    66.60    31.57P    0.04R    0.00  
Colchester       25   38   +0      68.79     6.66     2.91     0.87     3.22    30.18     8.88P    0.48R    0.01  
Rochdale         25   36   +5      63.68     6.73     3.11     0.17     0.71    11.74     2.83P    2.58R    0.05  
Carlisle         24   35  +10      66.19     6.82    11.34     0.53     2.01    20.90     6.20P    1.10R    0.02  
Sheff_Wed        25   35   +8      69.85     6.76    17.05     1.52     5.30    39.52    15.27P    0.31R    0.00  
Exeter           26   35   -6      58.78     6.27   -12.06     0.01     0.06     2.12     0.34P   11.42R    0.33  
Hartlepool       25   34   -8      58.61     6.41   -14.77     0.02     0.08     2.17     0.42P   12.45R    0.44  
Plymouth         28   33  -10      57.39     6.09   -10.59     0.00     0.01     0.96     0.17P   14.74R    0.59  
Leyton_Orient    24   32   +2      61.83     6.78     1.24     0.05     0.38     7.28     1.64P    5.17R    0.14  
Brentford        26   32   -4      57.67     6.31    -6.48     0.00     0.02     1.38     0.26P   13.74R    0.49  
Notts_County     24   31   +0      60.90     6.94    -0.37     0.07     0.29     5.87     1.52P    7.20R    0.27  
Swindon          27   30   -7      55.02     6.15    -9.07     0.00     0.00     0.47     0.11P   24.32R    1.46  
Tranmere         25   30   -8      54.99     6.41   -13.85     0.00     0.00     0.62     0.12P   27.06R    1.61  
Yeovil           26   30  -12      53.87     6.27   -17.41     0.00     0.00     0.34     0.05P   33.53R    2.60  
Bristol_Rovers   26   27  -21      48.87     6.26   -30.48     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   67.02R   12.20  
Walsall          27   23  -18      44.15     6.00   -26.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.83R   31.89  
Dag_&_Red        24   21  -15      42.40     6.54   -29.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.04R   47.89  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 January 2011, Barnet vs Southend; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         26   53  +23      86.74     6.53    32.59    64.82    91.85    99.35    93.64P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              25   46   +9      79.98     6.74    16.74    17.30    63.54    92.17    70.84P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            26   44  +15      75.60     6.52    21.25     6.49    39.06    81.09    50.00P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                26   41  +18      74.46     6.56    27.67     5.13    34.63    77.53    45.97P    0.00R    0.00  
Bury                 25   40  +13      72.21     6.66    18.12     2.90    22.09    64.73    32.73P    0.00R    0.00  
Port_Vale            26   40   +6      70.16     6.30    10.17     0.96    11.62    50.82    20.82P    0.00R    0.00  
Gillingham           27   40   +4      68.79     6.27     8.04     0.55     8.11    42.24    17.16P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           27   39   +9      68.20     6.15    13.75     0.39     6.99    40.51    15.80P    0.01R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           27   39   +1      62.34     6.16    -2.72     0.04     0.99    10.68     2.79P    0.19R    0.02  
Cheltenham           27   38   +0      63.71     6.23    -0.76     0.08     1.59    15.63     4.20P    0.11R    0.02  
Southend             26   36   +4      68.88     6.48    12.06     0.70     9.29    44.54    19.79P    0.02R    0.00  
Stevenage            24   33   +9      64.25     6.81    10.89     0.21     3.04    21.97     7.81P    0.10R    0.01  
Torquay              24   33   +7      65.55     6.93    10.62     0.35     4.77    27.56    10.08P    0.14R    0.02  
Aldershot            26   32   -7      58.62     6.36    -8.08     0.01     0.21     3.95     0.98P    1.32R    0.22  
Accrington_Stanley   24   31   -2      59.12     6.80    -5.49     0.02     0.54     6.14     1.52P    1.35R    0.27  
Northampton          25   31   -7      60.93     6.63    -5.24     0.02     0.74     8.52     2.55P    0.65R    0.09  
Bradford             27   31  -10      55.37     6.13   -12.27     0.00     0.03     1.06     0.26P    3.20R    0.62  
Morecambe            25   30   -5      57.91     6.62    -6.71     0.01     0.26     3.85     1.03P    1.90R    0.31  
Lincoln_City         24   28  -12      51.88     6.49   -21.08     0.00     0.01     0.44     0.08P   11.51R    2.88  
Macclesfield         24   27  -11      51.53     6.57   -19.55     0.00     0.01     0.41     0.07P   12.42R    3.42  
Burton_Albion        21   25   +2      58.05     7.48    -0.17     0.03     0.60     6.55     1.83P    2.82R    0.71  
Hereford             24   25  -13      50.25     6.61   -20.71     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.06P   17.21R    5.06  
Barnet               28   25  -18      42.88     5.65   -29.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.75R   28.17  
Stockport            28   24  -35      40.01     5.58   -50.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.30R   58.19  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 January 2011, Bath_City vs Cambridge_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
AFC_Wimbledon      29   58  +26      86.53     5.76    34.00     9.65    96.59    28.93P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       25   56  +33      92.68     6.44    45.44    45.73    99.49    60.12P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              27   54  +31      92.13     5.73    50.47    42.68    99.67    66.74P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            27   49  +16      80.69     5.88    24.71     1.79    81.57    19.42P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      30   49   +9      70.32     5.39     7.87     0.02    15.43     2.42P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     29   48  +16      72.08     5.74    17.38     0.06    26.97     4.64P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     29   43   +8      66.32     5.85     7.97     0.00     5.85     0.82P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            28   42  +12      73.65     5.97    22.96     0.06    39.96     9.88P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          29   41   +4      67.01     5.82     8.07     0.00     6.97     1.11P    0.00     0.00  
Bath_City          29   38   -1      59.41     5.81    -4.42     0.00     0.48     0.05P    0.14R    0.01  
York               27   38   -2      66.60     6.08     1.99     0.00     5.97     1.14P    0.00R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   27   37   +2      67.19     5.97     8.82     0.00     7.99     1.76P    0.00R    0.00  
Darlington         26   36   +8      67.87     6.21    14.61     0.01    11.17     2.67P    0.01R    0.00  
Tamworth           28   35   -3      57.28     5.74    -7.05     0.00     0.17     0.02P    0.64R    0.02  
Kettering          27   34   -5      62.23     6.07    -1.76     0.00     1.35     0.22P    0.08R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      28   33   -4      58.21     5.94    -3.06     0.00     0.35     0.06P    0.48R    0.02  
Gateshead          26   30   -9      51.94     6.05   -17.75     0.00     0.02     0.00P    6.95R    0.90  
Southport          27   28   -7      49.17     6.02   -15.09     0.00     0.01     0.00P   14.76R    2.61  
Barrow             27   27  -13      47.36     5.77   -22.64     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.71R    3.96  
Forest_Green       28   27  -18      46.88     5.70   -26.38     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.16R    5.05  
Hayes_&_Yeading    29   25  -27      41.19     5.35   -39.72     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.88R   26.06  
Altrincham         27   25  -30      45.81     5.80   -38.81     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.72R    8.56  
Eastbourne_Boro    28   22  -22      40.47     5.59   -33.65     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.56R   29.73  
Histon             27   22  -24      41.86     5.81   -33.95     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.91R   23.08