Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 29 January 2011 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 26 January 2011, Liverpool vs Fulham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         23   51  +30      82.13     4.79    47.63    72.29    92.54    98.72    99.91   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         23   46  +26      76.79     5.04    42.74    21.35    70.39    92.09    98.78    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        24   45  +17      68.61     4.81    23.79     0.78     7.56    30.06    79.51    99.33     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         23   41  +23      72.44     4.76    40.66     5.53    28.48    72.94    94.28    99.88     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       23   38   +6      62.88     5.15    12.70     0.05     1.00     5.84    24.16    89.93     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland      24   37   +4      54.97     4.88     2.13     0.00     0.02     0.21     1.63    37.05     0.01R    0.00  
Liverpool       24   32   +0      54.27     4.95     4.51     0.00     0.01     0.10     1.20    34.41     0.05R    0.00  
Blackburn       24   31   -6      48.09     4.98    -9.66     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05     4.63     1.86R    0.11  
Newcastle       23   30   +3      50.35     5.31     2.32     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.23    13.33     0.75R    0.03  
Stoke           23   30   +0      47.18     4.98    -5.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     3.68     2.39R    0.15  
Bolton          24   30   -1      46.69     4.94    -5.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     3.14     2.88R    0.18  
Blackpool       23   28   -7      43.80     5.09   -16.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.97    10.94R    1.28  
Aston_Villa     24   28  -13      47.44     4.99   -13.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     3.33     2.97R    0.20  
Everton         23   27   -2      49.33     5.18     0.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.14     8.84     1.11R    0.07  
Fulham          24   26   -1      42.67     4.86    -4.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.61    12.07R    1.15  
West_Brom       23   25  -14      41.73     5.14   -20.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.42    22.12R    3.87  
Birmingham      22   23  -10      41.66     5.19   -14.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.45    20.45R    3.11  
Wigan           24   22  -19      33.66     4.39   -31.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.68R   41.71  
Wolverhampton   23   21  -17      35.56     4.88   -26.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    68.98R   23.62  
West_Ham        24   21  -19      35.52     4.78   -27.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    69.74R   24.52  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 January 2011, Crystal_Palace vs Norwich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              28   53  +28      82.76     5.96    35.42    46.73    68.56    96.23    76.20P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          28   48   +9      74.99     6.03    12.45     6.08    16.78    65.77    27.46P    0.00R    0.00  
Cardiff          27   47  +12      78.13     6.19    19.91    16.18    34.61    82.39    47.55P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          28   47   +9      74.09     5.89    12.71     4.55    13.09    60.67    24.51P    0.00R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    26   46  +14      77.84     6.30    20.76    15.68    33.75    80.83    46.85P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     28   45   +7      71.27     6.21     9.40     2.17     6.97    42.15    14.69P    0.01R    0.00  
Watford          26   42  +13      72.35     6.46    17.46     3.96    10.85    51.45    20.07P    0.01R    0.00  
Millwall         28   42   +9      66.63     5.97     9.02     0.36     1.53    17.57     5.01P    0.08R    0.00  
Reading          27   41  +13      72.22     6.21    20.81     3.38    10.08    51.73    22.82P    0.01R    0.00  
Burnley          27   40   +7      67.90     6.31     9.42     0.70     2.69    24.79     8.36P    0.07R    0.00  
Leicester        28   39   -5      64.57     5.93    -3.79     0.10     0.44     8.91     2.28P    0.36R    0.02  
Hull             28   38   -1      63.44     5.99     0.39     0.06     0.34     7.03     1.83P    0.55R    0.02  
Barnsley         28   37   -7      58.47     5.75   -12.24     0.00     0.02     1.01     0.16P    4.08R    0.22  
Coventry         28   36   -2      58.06     5.80    -5.90     0.01     0.03     1.08     0.19P    4.05R    0.21  
Derby            27   34   +0      58.92     6.11    -2.10     0.01     0.05     1.79     0.39P    3.68R    0.20  
Doncaster        26   34   -5      59.22     6.29    -8.60     0.01     0.09     2.18     0.47P    3.69R    0.27  
Bristol_City     28   32  -11      54.06     5.86   -15.02     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.01P   15.55R    1.54  
Portsmouth       27   31   -5      60.07     6.27    -0.50     0.01     0.08     2.80     0.79P    3.05R    0.22  
Ipswich          26   31   -6      56.56     6.22    -8.94     0.00     0.02     0.76     0.17P    8.48R    0.87  
Middlesbrough    27   30   -5      56.76     6.07    -3.79     0.00     0.02     0.69     0.18P    6.83R    0.60  
Sheff_Utd        27   27  -17      50.96     6.02   -20.15     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   33.14R    5.79  
Crystal_Palace   28   27  -21      47.01     5.67   -28.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.41R   16.00  
Scunthorpe       25   24  -18      45.58     6.23   -29.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.52R   26.12  
Preston          26   21  -18      42.12     6.13   -28.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.44R   47.93  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 January 2011, Brentford vs Yeovil; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         25   49  +25      84.26     6.61    34.54    49.75    71.40    96.89    78.04P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      27   46  +20      76.03     6.39    25.88     8.15    22.67    75.67    34.70P    0.00R    0.00  
Huddersfield     26   43  +10      76.24     6.49    18.88     8.48    22.40    75.09    35.66P    0.00R    0.00  
Southampton      25   41  +21      79.53     6.51    36.04    21.53    45.13    88.59    61.55P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           26   40   +2      67.23     6.45     1.62     0.48     1.89    22.18     5.45P    0.61R    0.01  
MK_Dons          27   40   -3      65.31     6.20    -4.42     0.16     0.77    13.70     3.14P    1.13R    0.01  
Peterborough     25   39   +3      69.98     6.94     5.88     1.68     5.60    37.76    11.97P    0.34R    0.00  
Charlton         24   38   +6      74.88     6.87    16.21     6.42    18.04    66.64    31.26P    0.03R    0.00  
Colchester       25   38   +0      68.86     6.67     3.06     0.92     3.34    30.33     9.26P    0.43R    0.00  
Rochdale         25   36   +5      63.61     6.75     3.05     0.19     0.78    11.49     2.85P    2.77R    0.04  
Carlisle         24   35  +10      66.17     6.86    11.30     0.55     2.03    20.86     6.20P    1.24R    0.02  
Sheff_Wed        25   35   +8      69.74     6.80    16.95     1.53     5.12    39.11    15.28P    0.33R    0.00  
Exeter           26   35   -6      58.72     6.25   -12.16     0.01     0.04     1.95     0.31P   11.55R    0.35  
Hartlepool       25   34   -8      58.74     6.44   -14.56     0.01     0.07     2.46     0.44P   12.10R    0.34  
Plymouth         28   33  -10      57.33     6.06   -10.66     0.00     0.01     0.99     0.22P   14.97R    0.63  
Leyton_Orient    24   32   +2      61.82     6.81     1.20     0.10     0.40     7.35     1.64P    5.36R    0.16  
Brentford        26   32   -4      57.73     6.27    -6.40     0.01     0.04     1.53     0.31P   13.43R    0.49  
Notts_County     24   31   +0      60.89     6.87    -0.41     0.04     0.26     5.94     1.46P    6.94R    0.20  
Swindon          27   30   -7      55.22     6.15    -8.68     0.00     0.00     0.48     0.10P   23.65R    1.39  
Tranmere         25   30   -8      54.96     6.40   -13.92     0.00     0.01     0.60     0.11P   27.35R    1.76  
Yeovil           26   30  -12      53.91     6.29   -17.39     0.00     0.00     0.34     0.05P   33.50R    2.58  
Bristol_Rovers   26   27  -21      48.88     6.24   -30.43     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   66.99R   11.75  
Walsall          27   23  -18      44.15     6.01   -26.19     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    86.90R   32.02  
Dag_&_Red        24   21  -15      42.32     6.50   -29.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.36R   48.24  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 January 2011, Barnet vs Southend; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         26   53  +23      86.80     6.54    32.65    65.01    92.01    99.31    93.86P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              25   46   +9      80.03     6.72    16.85    17.35    64.03    92.39    71.37P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            26   44  +15      75.55     6.46    21.18     6.04    39.33    81.32    50.54P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                26   41  +18      74.47     6.55    27.67     5.39    34.36    78.13    45.96P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 25   40  +13      72.03     6.65    17.88     2.87    21.31    63.50    31.80P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            26   40   +6      69.95     6.27     9.90     0.93    11.03    49.44    19.81P    0.00R    0.00  
Gillingham           27   40   +4      68.82     6.30     8.08     0.62     8.50    42.69    17.52P    0.02R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           27   39   +9      68.13     6.15    13.65     0.37     6.81    40.25    15.42P    0.00R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           27   39   +1      62.40     6.18    -2.69     0.03     1.01    11.19     2.79P    0.17R    0.02  
Cheltenham           27   38   +0      63.82     6.22    -0.53     0.07     1.74    15.83     4.39P    0.11R    0.02  
Southend             26   36   +4      68.77     6.53    11.92     0.68     9.22    44.14    19.76P    0.01R    0.00  
Stevenage            24   33   +9      64.45     6.76    11.18     0.17     3.33    22.52     8.05P    0.11R    0.01  
Torquay              24   33   +7      65.53     6.90    10.54     0.34     4.76    27.60    10.12P    0.12R    0.02  
Aldershot            26   32   -7      58.66     6.34    -8.02     0.00     0.21     3.97     0.96P    1.22R    0.19  
Accrington_Stanley   24   31   -2      58.99     6.82    -5.68     0.03     0.54     6.04     1.47P    1.46R    0.27  
Northampton          25   31   -7      61.00     6.65    -5.13     0.04     0.77     8.89     2.79P    0.61R    0.09  
Bradford             27   31  -10      55.29     6.10   -12.34     0.00     0.03     1.06     0.26P    3.33R    0.66  
Morecambe            25   30   -5      57.97     6.63    -6.59     0.01     0.28     3.99     1.04P    1.78R    0.29  
Lincoln_City         24   28  -12      51.89     6.49   -21.02     0.00     0.01     0.44     0.06P   11.34R    2.89  
Macclesfield         24   27  -11      51.37     6.57   -19.77     0.00     0.01     0.45     0.08P   13.01R    3.78  
Burton_Albion        21   25   +2      58.12     7.49    -0.09     0.04     0.69     6.57     1.88P    2.63R    0.64  
Hereford             24   25  -13      50.35     6.65   -20.49     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.05P   17.04R    4.99  
Barnet               28   25  -18      42.84     5.66   -29.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.05R   28.14  
Stockport            28   24  -35      40.05     5.57   -50.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.98R   57.98  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 January 2011, Bath_City vs Cambridge_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
AFC_Wimbledon      29   58  +26      86.60     5.72    34.10     9.88    96.70    29.15P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       25   56  +33      92.78     6.45    45.59    46.02    99.53    60.16P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              27   54  +31      92.08     5.77    50.37    42.10    99.63    66.23P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            27   49  +16      80.69     5.89    24.76     1.84    81.67    19.98P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      30   49   +9      70.54     5.42     8.24     0.01    16.43     2.68P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     29   48  +16      72.01     5.74    17.27     0.06    26.77     4.47P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     29   43   +8      66.14     5.83     7.66     0.00     5.61     0.75P    0.00R    0.00  
Grimsby            28   42  +12      73.59     5.98    22.83     0.07    39.60     9.68P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          29   41   +4      67.01     5.80     8.03     0.00     6.97     1.15P    0.00R    0.00  
Bath_City          29   38   -1      59.59     5.82    -4.20     0.00     0.45     0.06P    0.15R    0.00  
York               27   38   -2      66.56     6.07     1.89     0.01     5.91     1.12P    0.01R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   27   37   +2      67.25     6.00     8.89     0.01     8.25     1.77P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington         26   36   +8      67.65     6.27    14.29     0.00    10.60     2.48P    0.01R    0.00  
Tamworth           28   35   -3      57.31     5.76    -7.00     0.00     0.19     0.02P    0.64R    0.02  
Kettering          27   34   -5      62.20     6.07    -1.80     0.00     1.35     0.23P    0.10R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      28   33   -4      58.20     5.96    -3.07     0.00     0.30     0.05P    0.50R    0.03  
Gateshead          26   30   -9      51.97     6.01   -17.65     0.00     0.01     0.00     6.82R    0.93  
Southport          27   28   -7      49.26     6.02   -14.97     0.00     0.00     0.00P   14.15R    2.43  
Barrow             27   27  -13      47.39     5.79   -22.57     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.64R    3.81  
Forest_Green       28   27  -18      46.95     5.70   -26.23     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.98R    4.94  
Hayes_&_Yeading    29   25  -27      41.09     5.38   -39.91     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.63R   26.72  
Altrincham         27   25  -30      45.78     5.79   -38.83     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.72R    8.49  
Eastbourne_Boro    28   22  -22      40.37     5.56   -33.84     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.07R   30.05  
Histon             27   22  -24      41.92     5.85   -33.85     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.59R   22.59