Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 28 January 2011 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 26 January 2011, Liverpool vs Fulham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         23   51  +30      82.13     4.80    47.66    72.46    92.57    98.73    99.94   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         23   46  +26      76.82     5.01    42.78    21.10    70.39    92.32    98.86    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        24   45  +17      68.55     4.81    23.68     0.73     7.42    29.29    78.95    99.30     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         23   41  +23      72.45     4.78    40.66     5.66    28.66    73.33    94.32    99.90     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       23   38   +6      62.91     5.16    12.68     0.05     0.94     5.98    24.48    89.98     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland      24   37   +4      54.96     4.88     2.12     0.00     0.01     0.18     1.63    36.98     0.02R    0.00  
Liverpool       24   32   +0      54.37     4.98     4.64     0.00     0.01     0.13     1.30    34.72     0.05R    0.00  
Blackburn       24   31   -6      48.12     4.97    -9.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     4.43     1.64R    0.08  
Newcastle       23   30   +3      50.30     5.29     2.24     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.24    12.92     0.75R    0.02  
Stoke           23   30   +0      47.22     4.97    -5.21     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06     3.83     2.20R    0.13  
Bolton          24   30   -1      46.68     4.93    -5.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     3.19     2.75R    0.14  
Blackpool       23   28   -7      43.83     5.09   -16.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.96    10.94R    1.21  
Aston_Villa     24   28  -13      47.51     4.97   -13.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     3.42     2.70R    0.19  
Everton         23   27   -2      49.35     5.18     0.20     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.11     9.00     1.05R    0.05  
Fulham          24   26   -1      42.66     4.78    -4.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.57    11.70R    1.03  
West_Brom       23   25  -14      41.62     5.12   -21.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.39    22.69R    3.95  
Birmingham      22   23  -10      41.70     5.23   -14.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.41    20.17R    3.16  
Wigan           24   22  -19      33.71     4.42   -31.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.20R   41.18  
Wolverhampton   23   21  -17      35.49     4.84   -26.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.34R   23.62  
West_Ham        24   21  -19      35.42     4.73   -27.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    70.79R   25.24  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 28 January 2011, Millwall vs Barnsley; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              27   52  +28      83.02     6.11    35.31    47.81    68.91    96.06    76.31P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          27   47  +12      78.20     6.16    20.01    15.48    34.44    82.76    47.95P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          27   47   +9      75.61     6.33    12.80     7.61    19.72    67.83    30.18P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          28   47   +9      74.15     5.91    12.81     4.13    12.66    60.69    24.31P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    26   46  +14      77.73     6.31    20.61    14.54    32.17    80.21    45.39P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     28   45   +7      71.18     6.14     9.27     1.92     6.21    41.43    13.49P    0.02R    0.00  
Watford          26   42  +13      72.47     6.42    17.64     3.86    10.75    52.02    20.07P    0.02R    0.00  
Millwall         28   42   +8      66.15     5.96     7.41     0.28     1.17    15.41     4.24P    0.09R    0.00  
Reading          27   41  +13      72.21     6.20    20.77     3.39     9.95    51.12    22.41P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          27   40   +7      68.00     6.36     9.64     0.73     2.78    25.03     8.40P    0.06R    0.00  
Leicester        28   39   -5      64.53     5.97    -3.83     0.07     0.46     8.70     2.29P    0.38R    0.01  
Hull             27   37   +0      64.13     6.22     1.83     0.14     0.59     9.28     2.69P    0.48R    0.02  
Barnsley         28   37   -8      58.28     5.79   -13.51     0.00     0.02     0.93     0.16P    4.61R    0.30  
Coventry         28   36   -1      58.07     5.76    -4.73     0.00     0.01     0.94     0.21P    3.79R    0.25  
Derby            27   34   +0      58.77     6.12    -2.22     0.01     0.04     1.65     0.35P    3.91R    0.23  
Doncaster        26   34   -6      59.07     6.30    -9.79     0.01     0.05     1.90     0.40P    4.06R    0.28  
Bristol_City     28   33   -9      55.45     5.87   -12.35     0.00     0.00     0.32     0.07P   10.59R    0.89  
Portsmouth       27   31   -5      60.10     6.27    -0.46     0.02     0.07     2.64     0.85P    3.08R    0.26  
Middlesbrough    27   30   -4      56.90     6.05    -2.60     0.00     0.01     0.76     0.18P    6.70R    0.55  
Ipswich          26   29   -8      54.05     6.21   -11.59     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.06P   16.58R    2.09  
Sheff_Utd        27   27  -17      51.06     6.06   -19.98     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00P   32.00R    5.80  
Crystal_Palace   27   26  -21      47.29     5.87   -28.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   59.79R   15.32  
Scunthorpe       25   24  -18      45.56     6.22   -30.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.37R   25.80  
Preston          26   21  -18      42.08     6.16   -28.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.47R   48.18  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 28 January 2011, Colchester vs Peterborough; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         25   49  +25      84.20     6.58    34.47    50.42    72.78    97.04    79.01P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      26   43  +19      74.16     6.62    24.47     5.53    16.09    65.44    27.31P    0.03R    0.00  
Huddersfield     26   43  +10      76.15     6.50    18.74     8.27    22.53    74.51    35.96P    0.01R    0.00  
Southampton      25   41  +21      79.62     6.44    36.16    22.57    46.50    89.31    62.74P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          27   40   -3      65.38     6.25    -4.29     0.18     0.85    14.07     3.13P    1.12R    0.00  
Peterborough     25   39   +3      69.98     6.94     5.91     1.66     5.94    38.21    12.42P    0.36R    0.00  
Oldham           25   39   +2      67.13     6.58     0.91     0.49     2.15    22.08     5.51P    0.71R    0.00  
Charlton         24   38   +6      75.01     6.88    16.42     7.17    19.28    67.64    33.04P    0.04R    0.00  
Colchester       25   38   +0      68.70     6.65     2.78     0.87     3.34    29.73     9.02P    0.51R    0.00  
Rochdale         25   36   +5      63.71     6.74     3.16     0.21     0.88    11.85     2.98P    2.67R    0.02  
Sheff_Wed        25   35   +8      69.81     6.77    17.03     1.61     5.55    39.44    15.50P    0.31R    0.00  
Carlisle         23   34  +10      67.01     7.06    11.98     0.80     3.01    25.36     7.84P    1.14R    0.00  
Exeter           25   34   -6      58.55     6.44   -13.22     0.01     0.06     2.21     0.36P   13.25R    0.35  
Hartlepool       25   34   -8      58.71     6.42   -14.63     0.02     0.08     2.30     0.41P   12.63R    0.27  
Plymouth         27   33   -9      59.00     6.37    -9.22     0.00     0.05     2.30     0.55P   10.87R    0.26  
Leyton_Orient    24   32   +2      61.79     6.79     1.20     0.09     0.44     7.29     1.72P    5.48R    0.12  
Brentford        25   32   -3      59.78     6.56    -4.41     0.02     0.12     3.34     0.71P    9.07R    0.22  
Notts_County     24   31   +0      60.86     6.94    -0.46     0.07     0.31     6.00     1.39P    7.41R    0.20  
Tranmere         25   30   -8      54.87     6.42   -14.07     0.00     0.02     0.62     0.12P   28.24R    1.20  
Swindon          26   29   -7      56.23     6.36    -7.73     0.00     0.02     0.97     0.22P   19.92R    0.78  
Yeovil           25   27  -13      51.56     6.44   -19.41     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.03P   48.86R    4.48  
Bristol_Rovers   25   27  -16      51.00     6.44   -23.97     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P   53.27R    5.69  
Dag_&_Red        24   21  -15      42.31     6.51   -29.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   90.72R   40.68  
Walsall          26   20  -23      41.66     6.12   -32.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.37R   45.74  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 28 January 2011, Bury vs Shrewsbury; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         25   52  +23      87.84     6.75    33.68    69.34    93.47    99.48    94.95P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              25   46   +9      80.01     6.76    16.83    15.81    64.33    92.36    71.96P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                26   41  +18      74.59     6.59    27.83     4.89    35.66    78.63    47.24P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            25   41  +11      74.04     6.73    17.45     3.82    30.72    73.80    42.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 25   40  +13      71.97     6.65    17.80     2.51    21.04    63.82    31.62P    0.00R    0.00  
Port_Vale            25   40   +7      72.10     6.54    11.97     1.85    19.51    63.21    29.88P    0.00R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           27   39   +9      68.12     6.18    13.63     0.32     7.23    40.57    15.72P    0.01R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           26   38   +1      62.90     6.38    -2.51     0.06     1.41    13.51     3.68P    0.22R    0.03  
Gillingham           26   37   +3      67.48     6.52     7.49     0.37     6.35    35.37    14.12P    0.03R    0.00  
Cheltenham           26   37   +0      63.99     6.44    -0.89     0.11     2.15    17.77     5.00P    0.12R    0.02  
Stevenage            24   33   +9      64.35     6.79    11.03     0.12     3.35    22.96     8.25P    0.13R    0.01  
Torquay              24   33   +7      65.68     6.94    10.80     0.33     5.10    28.92    10.71P    0.13R    0.01  
Southend             25   33   +2      67.29     6.75    10.15     0.38     7.00    35.85    15.53P    0.05R    0.01  
Aldershot            25   32   -6      59.79     6.50    -7.37     0.01     0.42     6.18     1.61P    0.98R    0.19  
Accrington_Stanley   24   31   -2      59.10     6.80    -5.52     0.01     0.50     6.24     1.48P    1.58R    0.36  
Northampton          25   31   -7      60.86     6.58    -5.36     0.02     0.75     8.59     2.72P    0.72R    0.16  
Morecambe            25   30   -5      58.08     6.60    -6.37     0.00     0.28     4.04     1.15P    1.91R    0.39  
Bradford             26   30  -10      54.88     6.28   -13.55     0.00     0.04     1.03     0.24P    4.78R    1.18  
Macclesfield         24   27  -11      51.42     6.54   -19.75     0.00     0.01     0.42     0.06P   14.27R    4.68  
Burton_Albion        21   25   +2      58.05     7.47    -0.17     0.04     0.67     6.66     1.97P    3.04R    0.86  
Hereford             24   25  -13      50.24     6.62   -20.70     0.00     0.01     0.28     0.07P   18.85R    6.10  
Lincoln_City         23   25  -13      49.83     6.68   -22.71     0.00     0.01     0.31     0.05P   20.96R    7.30  
Barnet               27   25  -16      44.03     5.89   -27.34     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    55.26R   25.53  
Stockport            27   24  -31      41.19     5.80   -46.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.94R   53.15  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 28 January 2011, Gateshead vs AFC_Wimbledon; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
AFC_Wimbledon      29   58  +26      86.45     5.77    33.87     9.67    96.73    29.73P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       25   56  +33      92.75     6.49    45.50    45.82    99.49    60.18P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              27   54  +31      92.24     5.75    50.66    43.27    99.70    67.15P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            26   46  +15      78.68     6.13    23.14     1.10    71.92    16.41P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      29   46   +5      68.57     5.60     3.67     0.01    11.04     1.72P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     28   45  +14      70.69     5.98    15.70     0.04    22.11     3.66P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     28   42   +8      66.66     6.11     7.88     0.00     8.06     1.13P    0.00R    0.00  
Mansfield          28   41   +5      68.76     6.01     9.65     0.01    13.49     2.20P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            27   39  +11      72.60     6.16    22.77     0.05    35.19     8.76P    0.00     0.00  
York               26   38   +2      68.87     6.27     7.37     0.02    13.68     2.65P    0.00R    0.00  
Darlington         26   36   +8      67.94     6.26    14.69     0.00    12.39     3.08P    0.01R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   26   36   +2      68.45     6.20    10.18     0.01    13.30     2.86P    0.00R    0.00  
Bath_City          28   35   -5      57.09     5.99    -9.50     0.00     0.22     0.02P    0.89R    0.05  
Tamworth           27   34   -3      56.83     5.91    -8.41     0.00     0.16     0.02P    1.08R    0.08  
Kettering          27   34   -5      62.28     6.05    -1.62     0.00     1.55     0.23P    0.10R    0.01  
Cambridge_Utd      27   33   +0      60.30     6.13     2.05     0.00     0.97     0.19P    0.22R    0.01  
Gateshead          26   30   -9      52.05     6.05   -17.57     0.00     0.02     0.00     7.29R    1.04  
Barrow             27   27  -13      47.49     5.78   -22.43     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.62R    4.43  
Forest_Green       27   27  -16      47.78     5.85   -25.08     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.52R    4.52  
Southport          26   25  -11      46.12     6.16   -21.27     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.52R    8.74  
Hayes_&_Yeading    28   25  -23      42.80     5.60   -35.24     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.12R   19.48  
Altrincham         27   25  -30      45.73     5.75   -38.89     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.76R    9.76  
Eastbourne_Boro    27   22  -21      41.58     5.76   -33.02     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.34R   26.71  
Histon             26   21  -24      42.20     6.09   -34.11     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.51R   25.18