Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 27 January 2011 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 26 January 2011, Liverpool vs Fulham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         23   51  +30      82.17     4.78    47.67    72.46    92.50    98.87    99.93   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         23   46  +26      76.80     5.01    42.74    21.33    70.34    92.45    98.73    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        24   45  +17      68.57     4.80    23.73     0.75     7.38    29.17    79.23    99.32     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         23   41  +23      72.43     4.78    40.68     5.41    28.65    73.01    94.15    99.89     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       23   38   +6      62.95     5.16    12.82     0.05     1.11     6.16    24.58    90.18     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland      24   37   +4      54.93     4.86     2.06     0.00     0.01     0.17     1.55    36.62     0.01R    0.00  
Liverpool       24   32   +0      54.33     4.97     4.57     0.00     0.01     0.12     1.32    34.79     0.04R    0.00  
Blackburn       24   31   -6      48.10     4.98    -9.65     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06     4.48     1.86R    0.10  
Newcastle       23   30   +3      50.34     5.26     2.33     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.23    12.87     0.67R    0.03  
Stoke           23   30   +0      47.22     4.95    -5.32     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03     4.03     2.29R    0.11  
Bolton          24   30   -1      46.67     4.91    -5.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     3.10     2.70R    0.13  
Blackpool       23   28   -7      43.74     5.05   -16.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.96    11.29R    1.21  
Aston_Villa     24   28  -13      47.51     4.97   -13.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     3.46     2.80R    0.22  
Everton         23   27   -2      49.30     5.20     0.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12     8.92     1.03R    0.06  
Fulham          24   26   -1      42.75     4.79    -4.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.52    11.47R    1.09  
West_Brom       23   25  -14      41.70     5.11   -20.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.40    22.17R    3.95  
Birmingham      22   23  -10      41.65     5.19   -14.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.44    20.65R    3.23  
Wigan           24   22  -19      33.71     4.41   -31.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.25R   41.27  
Wolverhampton   23   21  -17      35.52     4.86   -26.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    69.37R   23.66  
West_Ham        24   21  -19      35.46     4.75   -27.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.38R   24.93  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 25 January 2011, Doncaster vs Barnsley; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              27   52  +28      82.94     6.15    35.24    47.15    68.31    95.93    75.57P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          27   47  +12      78.09     6.19    19.83    15.23    34.05    82.18    47.23P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          27   47   +9      75.44     6.29    12.56     7.34    18.78    67.45    29.18P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          28   47   +9      74.21     5.90    12.84     4.41    12.99    61.24    24.90P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    26   46  +14      77.87     6.28    20.78    15.12    33.27    81.04    46.50P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     28   45   +7      71.31     6.12     9.45     2.18     6.66    42.21    14.17P    0.01R    0.00  
Watford          26   42  +13      72.44     6.46    17.52     3.96    10.99    51.78    20.30P    0.01R    0.00  
Reading          27   41  +13      72.18     6.18    20.74     3.35     9.71    51.28    22.50P    0.00R    0.00  
Burnley          27   40   +7      68.05     6.35     9.76     0.77     2.95    25.47     8.82P    0.06R    0.00  
Millwall         27   39   +7      64.92     6.19     6.89     0.21     0.97    12.37     3.48P    0.29R    0.01  
Leicester        28   39   -5      64.55     5.92    -3.80     0.09     0.44     8.69     2.32P    0.39R    0.01  
Hull             27   37   -1      63.99     6.20     0.59     0.13     0.55     8.85     2.40P    0.57R    0.02  
Barnsley         27   37   -5      59.75     6.01   -10.34     0.01     0.05     2.03     0.32P    3.05R    0.16  
Coventry         28   36   -2      58.08     5.80    -5.83     0.00     0.01     1.00     0.22P    4.18R    0.25  
Derby            27   34   +0      58.89     6.09    -2.14     0.01     0.05     1.66     0.38P    3.69R    0.22  
Doncaster        26   34   -5      59.16     6.32    -8.68     0.02     0.07     2.17     0.46P    4.09R    0.29  
Bristol_City     28   32  -11      54.14     5.85   -14.93     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.04P   15.37R    1.54  
Portsmouth       27   31   -5      60.21     6.26    -0.29     0.02     0.09     2.94     0.84P    2.95R    0.18  
Ipswich          26   31   -6      56.48     6.24    -9.02     0.01     0.02     0.78     0.16P    9.05R    0.85  
Middlesbrough    27   30   -5      56.74     6.12    -3.82     0.00     0.02     0.71     0.20P    7.36R    0.54  
Sheff_Utd        27   27  -17      51.03     6.07   -20.04     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   33.08R    5.92  
Crystal_Palace   27   26  -21      47.15     5.89   -28.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   61.26R   16.13  
Scunthorpe       25   24  -18      45.56     6.25   -30.09     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    69.87R   25.82  
Preston          26   21  -18      42.10     6.12   -28.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.70R   48.06  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 25 January 2011, Brighton vs Colchester; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         25   49  +25      84.16     6.59    34.47    50.13    71.89    97.00    78.28P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      26   43  +19      74.09     6.65    24.40     5.65    16.27    64.80    27.12P    0.02R    0.00  
Huddersfield     26   43  +10      76.16     6.48    18.74     8.17    22.54    74.78    36.00P    0.01R    0.00  
Southampton      25   41  +21      79.48     6.55    35.96    22.32    45.50    88.54    61.88P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          27   40   -3      65.31     6.23    -4.39     0.19     0.89    13.84     3.29P    1.24R    0.01  
Peterborough     24   39   +4      71.33     7.21     6.84     2.91     9.01    45.83    16.51P    0.29R    0.00  
Oldham           25   39   +2      67.14     6.62     0.96     0.52     2.11    22.45     5.48P    0.81R    0.01  
Charlton         24   38   +6      74.90     6.92    16.28     6.77    19.09    67.17    32.48P    0.04R    0.00  
Rochdale         25   36   +5      63.52     6.71     2.88     0.17     0.73    11.42     2.79P    2.87R    0.03  
Sheff_Wed        25   35   +8      69.77     6.75    16.98     1.53     5.46    39.66    15.51P    0.32R    0.00  
Colchester       24   35   -1      67.09     6.92     1.84     0.63     2.45    23.18     7.01P    1.13R    0.01  
Carlisle         23   34  +10      67.04     7.06    12.03     0.83     2.96    25.74     8.07P    1.05R    0.00  
Exeter           25   34   -6      58.56     6.47   -13.18     0.02     0.08     2.31     0.43P   13.52R    0.34  
Hartlepool       25   34   -8      58.79     6.43   -14.49     0.02     0.08     2.43     0.46P   12.49R    0.29  
Plymouth         27   33   -9      59.10     6.33    -9.08     0.01     0.08     2.38     0.53P   10.49R    0.29  
Leyton_Orient    24   32   +2      61.75     6.82     1.07     0.06     0.38     7.35     1.62P    5.68R    0.14  
Brentford        25   32   -3      59.70     6.49    -4.55     0.01     0.10     3.32     0.68P    9.06R    0.21  
Notts_County     24   31   +0      60.85     6.91    -0.50     0.05     0.34     6.01     1.55P    7.32R    0.22  
Tranmere         25   30   -8      54.95     6.38   -13.99     0.00     0.01     0.62     0.10P   28.12R    1.21  
Swindon          26   29   -7      56.23     6.38    -7.76     0.00     0.01     0.91     0.18P   20.19R    0.85  
Yeovil           25   27  -13      51.67     6.43   -19.21     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.02P   48.59R    4.43  
Bristol_Rovers   25   27  -16      51.22     6.47   -23.64     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.02P   52.61R    5.43  
Dag_&_Red        24   21  -15      42.39     6.50   -29.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.64R   40.94  
Walsall          26   20  -23      41.73     6.13   -32.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.51R   45.58  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 25 January 2011, Cheltenham vs Lincoln_City; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         25   52  +23      87.97     6.71    33.88    70.52    93.96    99.56    95.36P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              25   46   +9      79.91     6.74    16.68    15.35    63.87    92.27    71.32P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                26   41  +18      74.48     6.58    27.68     4.54    35.23    78.38    47.14P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            25   41  +11      74.08     6.66    17.50     3.86    31.13    74.03    42.24P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            25   40   +7      71.96     6.50    11.80     1.78    19.09    62.37    29.03P    0.00R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           26   39  +10      69.65     6.37    14.86     0.70    11.80    50.05    21.78P    0.00R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           26   38   +1      62.88     6.40    -2.55     0.07     1.53    13.67     3.79P    0.18R    0.03  
Bury                 24   37  +12      70.30     6.84    16.73     1.78    15.78    54.09    25.28P    0.01R    0.01  
Gillingham           26   37   +3      67.52     6.53     7.57     0.40     6.78    36.07    14.70P    0.04R    0.02  
Cheltenham           26   37   +0      63.91     6.44    -1.01     0.07     2.09    17.22     4.96P    0.17R    0.03  
Stevenage            24   33   +9      64.34     6.79    11.02     0.15     3.48    22.66     8.19P    0.15R    0.02  
Torquay              24   33   +7      65.75     6.93    10.88     0.29     5.29    29.17    11.08P    0.15R    0.03  
Southend             25   33   +2      67.31     6.74    10.16     0.39     7.08    36.26    15.79P    0.07R    0.01  
Aldershot            25   32   -6      59.71     6.53    -7.51     0.02     0.49     6.06     1.52P    1.09R    0.21  
Accrington_Stanley   24   31   -2      58.99     6.82    -5.69     0.02     0.50     6.12     1.49P    1.66R    0.36  
Northampton          25   31   -7      60.84     6.67    -5.41     0.02     0.79     8.82     2.76P    0.76R    0.17  
Morecambe            25   30   -5      58.15     6.65    -6.32     0.00     0.27     4.38     1.12P    1.90R    0.36  
Bradford             26   30  -10      54.97     6.28   -13.41     0.00     0.05     1.11     0.25P    4.60R    1.04  
Macclesfield         24   27  -11      51.43     6.53   -19.75     0.00     0.02     0.38     0.06P   14.10R    4.63  
Burton_Albion        21   25   +2      58.17     7.52    -0.01     0.02     0.75     6.82     2.08P    2.96R    0.84  
Hereford             24   25  -13      50.32     6.71   -20.57     0.00     0.01     0.25     0.05P   18.70R    6.53  
Lincoln_City         23   25  -13      49.69     6.64   -22.93     0.00     0.01     0.25     0.03P   21.47R    7.43  
Barnet               27   25  -16      44.05     5.87   -27.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   55.49R   26.13  
Stockport            27   24  -31      41.27     5.79   -46.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.52R   52.16  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 25 January 2011, Altrincham vs Hayes_&_Yeading; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Crawley_Town       25   56  +33      92.76     6.45    45.59    47.32    99.58    61.28P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      28   55  +24      84.74     5.98    31.74     6.75    94.03    25.92P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              27   54  +31      92.22     5.73    50.64    44.59    99.71    67.67P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            26   46  +15      78.66     6.14    23.08     1.20    72.16    17.32P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      29   46   +5      68.46     5.62     3.49     0.01    10.87     1.70P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     28   45  +14      70.66     5.93    15.65     0.03    22.11     3.82P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     28   42   +8      66.52     6.07     7.68     0.00     7.89     1.12P    0.00R    0.00  
Mansfield          28   41   +5      68.90     6.03     9.89     0.02    14.27     2.42P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            27   39  +11      72.57     6.19    22.73     0.06    35.62     9.20P    0.00     0.00  
York               26   38   +2      68.93     6.26     7.45     0.02    14.27     2.83P    0.00R    0.00  
Darlington         26   36   +8      67.95     6.32    14.74     0.01    13.12     3.32P    0.01R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   26   36   +2      68.49     6.17    10.31     0.01    13.35     2.93P    0.00     0.00  
Bath_City          28   35   -5      57.04     5.99    -9.66     0.00     0.21     0.02P    0.88R    0.04  
Tamworth           27   34   -3      56.97     5.96    -8.24     0.00     0.22     0.03P    1.07R    0.06  
Kettering          27   34   -5      62.35     6.03    -1.53     0.00     1.59     0.26P    0.09R    0.01  
Cambridge_Utd      27   33   +0      60.35     6.08     2.11     0.00     0.92     0.15P    0.23R    0.01  
Gateshead          25   30   -7      53.41     6.28   -15.53     0.00     0.08     0.00P    5.19R    0.75  
Barrow             27   27  -13      47.47     5.80   -22.48     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.07R    4.41  
Forest_Green       27   27  -16      47.91     5.89   -24.90     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.98R    4.49  
Southport          26   25  -11      46.00     6.12   -21.48     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.42R    8.91  
Hayes_&_Yeading    28   25  -23      42.78     5.61   -35.34     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.61R   19.64  
Altrincham         27   25  -30      45.74     5.80   -38.87     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.05R   10.15  
Eastbourne_Boro    27   22  -21      41.57     5.77   -33.07     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.94R   26.74  
Histon             26   21  -24      42.26     6.06   -34.01     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.46R   24.78