Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 26 January 2011 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 26 January 2011, Liverpool vs Fulham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         23   51  +30      82.19     4.78    47.78    72.43    92.78    98.76    99.92   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         23   46  +26      76.85     4.99    42.88    21.23    70.80    92.54    98.88    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        24   45  +17      68.51     4.81    23.62     0.70     6.95    29.08    78.98    99.26     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         23   41  +23      72.48     4.81    40.71     5.60    28.47    73.35    94.27    99.86     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       23   38   +6      62.90     5.15    12.69     0.04     0.99     5.98    24.51    90.10     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland      24   37   +4      54.96     4.87     2.11     0.00     0.01     0.16     1.64    37.06     0.02R    0.00  
Liverpool       24   32   +0      54.32     4.94     4.56     0.00     0.01     0.11     1.32    34.55     0.04R    0.00  
Blackburn       24   31   -6      48.16     4.99    -9.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     4.61     1.69R    0.10  
Newcastle       23   30   +3      50.33     5.28     2.30     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.22    12.93     0.72R    0.02  
Stoke           23   30   +0      47.13     4.97    -5.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     3.82     2.49R    0.13  
Bolton          24   30   -1      46.68     4.94    -5.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     3.26     2.88R    0.15  
Blackpool       23   28   -7      43.85     5.06   -16.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.96    10.93R    1.12  
Aston_Villa     24   28  -13      47.40     4.97   -13.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     3.22     2.99R    0.22  
Everton         23   27   -2      49.26     5.20     0.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10     8.90     1.24R    0.07  
Fulham          24   26   -1      42.70     4.78    -4.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.58    11.63R    1.08  
West_Brom       23   25  -14      41.74     5.14   -20.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.44    22.05R    3.82  
Birmingham      22   23  -10      41.62     5.19   -14.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.43    20.54R    3.27  
Wigan           24   22  -19      33.67     4.42   -31.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.44R   41.67  
Wolverhampton   23   21  -17      35.53     4.86   -26.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    69.34R   23.67  
West_Ham        24   21  -19      35.52     4.75   -27.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.02R   24.67  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 25 January 2011, Doncaster vs Barnsley; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              27   52  +28      83.04     6.10    35.37    47.73    68.84    96.28    76.26P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          27   47  +12      78.18     6.20    19.99    15.67    34.24    82.49    47.58P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          27   47   +9      75.47     6.32    12.63     7.38    19.34    67.47    29.44P    0.00R    0.00  
Swansea          28   47   +9      74.01     5.91    12.57     4.03    12.40    60.09    23.88P    0.00R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    26   46  +14      77.91     6.32    20.83    14.98    33.29    81.11    46.79P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     28   45   +7      71.28     6.16     9.40     2.08     6.61    42.17    14.16P    0.01R    0.00  
Watford          26   42  +13      72.47     6.43    17.59     3.74    10.85    51.97    20.35P    0.01R    0.00  
Reading          27   41  +13      72.14     6.20    20.69     3.17     9.37    51.29    21.95P    0.01R    0.00  
Burnley          27   40   +7      67.97     6.34     9.64     0.68     2.83    25.16     8.54P    0.07R    0.00  
Millwall         27   39   +7      64.96     6.19     6.96     0.22     0.86    12.72     3.43P    0.29R    0.01  
Leicester        28   39   -5      64.55     5.93    -3.83     0.12     0.49     8.82     2.40P    0.43R    0.01  
Hull             27   37   -1      64.03     6.21     0.64     0.15     0.58     9.08     2.68P    0.56R    0.02  
Barnsley         27   37   -5      59.70     6.03   -10.41     0.01     0.07     2.02     0.39P    3.17R    0.18  
Coventry         28   36   -2      58.06     5.79    -5.86     0.00     0.03     1.07     0.16P    4.08R    0.23  
Derby            27   34   +0      58.77     6.12    -2.29     0.01     0.04     1.71     0.36P    4.01R    0.22  
Doncaster        26   34   -5      59.29     6.31    -8.52     0.01     0.05     2.15     0.46P    3.78R    0.26  
Bristol_City     28   32  -11      54.18     5.88   -14.83     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.03P   15.39R    1.50  
Portsmouth       27   31   -5      60.11     6.28    -0.48     0.02     0.09     2.68     0.80P    3.14R    0.22  
Ipswich          26   31   -6      56.52     6.25    -8.98     0.00     0.00     0.79     0.15P    8.94R    0.85  
Middlesbrough    27   30   -5      56.82     6.02    -3.72     0.00     0.01     0.69     0.17P    6.83R    0.54  
Sheff_Utd        27   27  -17      50.97     6.08   -20.16     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   33.69R    5.94  
Crystal_Palace   27   26  -21      47.24     5.89   -28.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   60.79R   15.71  
Scunthorpe       25   24  -18      45.59     6.25   -30.05     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    69.71R   26.01  
Preston          26   21  -18      42.06     6.11   -28.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.08R   48.30  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 25 January 2011, Brighton vs Colchester; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         25   49  +25      84.20     6.56    34.52    50.14    72.23    96.98    78.56P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      26   43  +19      74.08     6.63    24.35     5.33    15.86    64.89    26.76P    0.03R    0.00  
Huddersfield     26   43  +10      76.02     6.52    18.55     8.23    22.04    74.14    35.25P    0.01R    0.00  
Southampton      25   41  +21      79.65     6.49    36.24    22.51    46.60    89.15    62.98P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          27   40   -3      65.34     6.23    -4.34     0.19     0.85    13.76     3.24P    1.13R    0.01  
Peterborough     24   39   +4      71.44     7.16     7.04     2.89     8.88    46.46    16.34P    0.26R    0.00  
Oldham           25   39   +2      67.21     6.58     1.07     0.54     2.06    22.60     5.60P    0.69R    0.00  
Charlton         24   38   +6      74.85     6.95    16.18     6.72    18.85    66.62    32.29P    0.05R    0.00  
Rochdale         25   36   +5      63.75     6.76     3.22     0.21     0.91    11.92     3.00P    2.73R    0.02  
Sheff_Wed        25   35   +8      69.69     6.74    16.85     1.59     5.28    38.58    15.24P    0.32R    0.00  
Colchester       24   35   -1      67.21     6.91     2.00     0.62     2.49    23.82     7.09P    1.14R    0.01  
Carlisle         23   34  +10      67.05     7.03    12.06     0.81     2.84    25.54     8.02P    1.02R    0.01  
Exeter           25   34   -6      58.59     6.47   -13.16     0.01     0.07     2.27     0.36P   13.44R    0.38  
Hartlepool       25   34   -8      58.68     6.42   -14.64     0.02     0.11     2.26     0.46P   12.72R    0.29  
Plymouth         27   33   -9      58.98     6.30    -9.23     0.01     0.04     2.24     0.51P   10.52R    0.29  
Leyton_Orient    24   32   +2      61.72     6.84     1.09     0.09     0.40     7.26     1.65P    5.62R    0.15  
Brentford        25   32   -3      59.78     6.55    -4.41     0.02     0.14     3.53     0.76P    8.82R    0.22  
Notts_County     24   31   +0      60.80     6.97    -0.56     0.06     0.33     6.11     1.52P    7.70R    0.24  
Tranmere         25   30   -8      54.93     6.43   -13.98     0.00     0.01     0.66     0.10P   27.98R    1.29  
Swindon          26   29   -7      56.16     6.37    -7.89     0.00     0.02     0.90     0.21P   20.07R    0.82  
Yeovil           25   27  -13      51.55     6.45   -19.40     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.03P   48.98R    4.58  
Bristol_Rovers   25   27  -16      51.15     6.45   -23.75     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.04P   52.62R    5.35  
Dag_&_Red        24   21  -15      42.31     6.53   -29.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.76R   40.94  
Walsall          26   20  -23      41.72     6.17   -32.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.38R   45.41  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 25 January 2011, Cheltenham vs Lincoln_City; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         25   52  +23      87.92     6.70    33.79    70.06    93.88    99.56    95.28P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              25   46   +9      79.94     6.75    16.74    15.76    64.07    92.29    71.50P    0.00R    0.00  
Crewe                26   41  +18      74.51     6.53    27.73     4.58    35.34    78.56    47.18P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            25   41  +11      74.15     6.68    17.61     3.92    31.42    74.51    42.41P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            25   40   +7      72.01     6.48    11.87     1.73    19.12    62.79    29.65P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           26   39  +10      69.61     6.33    14.84     0.72    11.31    49.73    21.21P    0.00R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           26   38   +1      62.92     6.43    -2.49     0.06     1.55    14.02     3.76P    0.19R    0.02  
Bury                 24   37  +12      70.34     6.89    16.79     1.83    16.28    54.29    25.84P    0.00R    0.00  
Gillingham           26   37   +3      67.42     6.51     7.42     0.36     6.43    35.40    14.11P    0.04R    0.01  
Cheltenham           26   37   +0      63.97     6.45    -0.93     0.09     2.23    17.53     4.99P    0.18R    0.04  
Stevenage            24   33   +9      64.44     6.80    11.14     0.14     3.51    23.05     8.25P    0.14R    0.03  
Torquay              24   33   +7      65.69     6.91    10.79     0.30     5.14    28.50    10.80P    0.11R    0.02  
Southend             25   33   +2      67.25     6.78    10.09     0.38     7.08    35.99    15.87P    0.05R    0.01  
Aldershot            25   32   -6      59.75     6.50    -7.44     0.02     0.37     6.14     1.55P    1.02R    0.16  
Accrington_Stanley   24   31   -2      58.95     6.80    -5.79     0.01     0.53     5.92     1.48P    1.56R    0.33  
Northampton          25   31   -7      61.02     6.62    -5.11     0.03     0.74     9.06     2.67P    0.68R    0.12  
Morecambe            25   30   -5      58.06     6.64    -6.43     0.01     0.28     4.04     1.08P    2.05R    0.45  
Bradford             26   30  -10      54.96     6.27   -13.39     0.00     0.05     1.12     0.30P    4.55R    1.11  
Macclesfield         24   27  -11      51.44     6.54   -19.75     0.00     0.02     0.40     0.07P   14.00R    4.38  
Burton_Albion        21   25   +2      58.04     7.47    -0.18     0.02     0.63     6.55     1.91P    3.08R    0.85  
Hereford             24   25  -13      50.35     6.65   -20.55     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.06P   18.30R    6.29  
Lincoln_City         23   25  -13      49.80     6.68   -22.79     0.00     0.01     0.26     0.05P   20.98R    7.23  
Barnet               27   25  -16      44.03     5.91   -27.41     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   55.62R   25.77  
Stockport            27   24  -31      41.13     5.76   -46.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.43R   53.20  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 25 January 2011, Altrincham vs Hayes_&_Yeading; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Crawley_Town       25   56  +33      92.79     6.41    45.56    47.62    99.62    61.72P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      28   55  +24      84.87     5.97    31.92     6.94    94.23    26.11P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              27   54  +31      92.13     5.76    50.54    44.14    99.67    67.89P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            26   46  +15      78.61     6.11    23.04     1.12    72.19    16.97P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      29   46   +5      68.46     5.57     3.48     0.01    10.61     1.60P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     28   45  +14      70.68     5.94    15.71     0.03    22.32     3.75P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     28   42   +8      66.53     6.14     7.69     0.00     8.13     1.15P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          28   41   +5      68.91     5.97     9.91     0.02    14.28     2.36P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            27   39  +11      72.62     6.20    22.79     0.06    36.00     9.20P    0.00     0.00  
York               26   38   +2      68.83     6.26     7.30     0.03    14.17     2.76P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington         26   36   +8      67.89     6.27    14.66     0.01    12.58     3.11P    0.00R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   26   36   +2      68.35     6.19    10.04     0.02    12.96     2.89P    0.00     0.00  
Bath_City          28   35   -5      56.98     5.97    -9.73     0.00     0.23     0.03P    0.91R    0.05  
Tamworth           27   34   -3      56.91     5.90    -8.28     0.00     0.19     0.02P    1.05R    0.07  
Kettering          27   34   -5      62.35     6.05    -1.55     0.00     1.71     0.26P    0.11R    0.01  
Cambridge_Utd      27   33   +0      60.41     6.13     2.18     0.00     1.03     0.18P    0.26R    0.01  
Gateshead          25   30   -7      53.46     6.27   -15.46     0.00     0.07     0.01P    5.23R    0.67  
Barrow             27   27  -13      47.50     5.82   -22.44     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.11R    4.70  
Forest_Green       27   27  -16      47.92     5.83   -24.90     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.78R    4.46  
Southport          26   25  -11      46.16     6.12   -21.26     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.55R    8.71  
Hayes_&_Yeading    28   25  -23      42.67     5.54   -35.46     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.23R   20.32  
Altrincham         27   25  -30      45.72     5.77   -38.89     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.25R   10.06  
Eastbourne_Boro    27   22  -21      41.58     5.75   -32.97     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.12R   26.64  
Histon             26   21  -24      42.33     6.10   -33.89     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.39R   24.29