Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 25 January 2011 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 25 January 2011, Blackpool vs Man_Utd; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         23   51  +30      82.14     4.77    47.69    72.20    92.55    98.79    99.94   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         23   46  +26      76.81     5.05    42.80    21.32    70.15    92.00    98.78    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        24   45  +17      68.62     4.83    23.79     0.79     7.33    29.92    79.53    99.32     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         23   41  +23      72.50     4.78    40.77     5.63    28.91    73.00    94.42    99.90     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       23   38   +6      62.92     5.13    12.75     0.06     1.05     6.02    24.32    90.72     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland      24   37   +4      54.95     4.86     2.08     0.00     0.01     0.17     1.55    38.27     0.01R    0.00  
Blackburn       24   31   -6      48.13     4.97    -9.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     5.00     1.79R    0.10  
Newcastle       23   30   +3      50.32     5.28     2.30     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.23    13.69     0.71R    0.03  
Stoke           23   30   +0      47.15     4.98    -5.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     4.01     2.54R    0.11  
Bolton          24   30   -1      46.66     4.94    -5.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     3.46     2.88R    0.15  
Liverpool       23   29   -1      53.26     5.15     4.33     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.94    29.40     0.12R    0.00  
Blackpool       23   28   -7      43.80     5.09   -16.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.06    11.20R    1.36  
Aston_Villa     24   28  -13      47.49     4.97   -13.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     3.66     2.88R    0.19  
Everton         23   27   -2      49.30     5.19     0.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.13     9.49     1.12R    0.05  
Fulham          23   26   +0      43.48     4.98    -4.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.09     9.79R    0.84  
West_Brom       23   25  -14      41.74     5.11   -20.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.43    22.09R    3.90  
Birmingham      22   23  -10      41.69     5.18   -14.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.48    20.43R    3.16  
Wigan           24   22  -19      33.67     4.40   -31.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.69R   41.28  
Wolverhampton   23   21  -17      35.53     4.86   -26.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    69.50R   23.50  
West_Ham        24   21  -19      35.43     4.76   -27.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    71.25R   25.33  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 25 January 2011, Doncaster vs Barnsley; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              27   52  +28      82.91     6.14    35.15    46.69    68.07    95.97    75.71P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          27   47  +12      78.30     6.18    20.13    15.81    34.81    83.03    48.02P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          27   47   +9      75.63     6.27    12.85     7.66    19.61    68.46    30.42P    0.00R    0.00  
Swansea          28   47   +9      74.10     5.88    12.71     4.10    12.41    60.78    24.28P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    26   46  +14      77.85     6.30    20.76    15.22    33.03    80.85    46.35P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     28   45   +7      71.32     6.13     9.51     2.18     6.77    42.76    14.18P    0.00R    0.00  
Watford          26   42  +13      72.38     6.48    17.49     3.89    10.76    51.61    19.73P    0.01R    0.00  
Reading          27   41  +13      72.09     6.21    20.58     3.16     9.53    50.79    21.99P    0.01R    0.00  
Burnley          27   40   +7      68.03     6.36     9.68     0.83     2.92    25.26     8.74P    0.09R    0.00  
Millwall         27   39   +6      64.60     6.17     5.52     0.17     0.74    11.42     3.03P    0.30R    0.01  
Leicester        28   39   -5      64.58     5.98    -3.79     0.08     0.50     9.18     2.44P    0.41R    0.01  
Hull             27   37   +0      64.04     6.19     1.75     0.17     0.56     9.10     2.65P    0.52R    0.02  
Barnsley         27   37   -6      59.55     6.02   -11.59     0.01     0.05     1.82     0.32P    3.25R    0.18  
Coventry         28   36   -1      58.04     5.84    -4.80     0.00     0.02     1.11     0.21P    4.06R    0.27  
Derby            27   34   +0      58.89     6.08    -2.07     0.01     0.04     1.67     0.36P    3.72R    0.23  
Doncaster        26   34   -6      59.00     6.32    -9.91     0.02     0.05     2.03     0.36P    4.19R    0.24  
Bristol_City     28   33   -9      55.48     5.84   -12.32     0.00     0.00     0.31     0.06P   10.25R    0.88  
Portsmouth       27   31   -5      60.06     6.24    -0.53     0.02     0.09     2.70     0.84P    2.89R    0.27  
Middlesbrough    27   30   -4      56.93     6.08    -2.52     0.00     0.02     0.80     0.22P    6.74R    0.49  
Ipswich          26   29   -8      54.11     6.29   -11.54     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.06P   16.62R    2.08  
Sheff_Utd        27   27  -17      50.99     6.08   -20.09     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.02P   32.91R    5.87  
Crystal_Palace   27   26  -21      47.25     5.94   -28.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   60.32R   15.82  
Scunthorpe       25   24  -18      45.62     6.20   -29.91     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   69.24R   25.78  
Preston          26   21  -18      42.11     6.13   -28.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.46R   47.87  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 25 January 2011, Brighton vs Colchester; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         25   49  +25      84.19     6.65    34.48    50.43    72.26    96.81    78.67P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      26   43  +19      74.08     6.59    24.38     5.37    15.83    65.07    26.75P    0.03R    0.00  
Huddersfield     26   43  +10      76.13     6.41    18.72     8.20    22.22    74.69    36.10P    0.01R    0.00  
Southampton      25   41  +21      79.48     6.51    35.97    22.06    45.75    88.51    61.88P    0.00R    0.00  
MK_Dons          27   40   -3      65.33     6.21    -4.37     0.16     0.85    13.85     3.18P    1.14R    0.00  
Peterborough     24   39   +4      71.28     7.14     6.77     2.76     8.69    45.30    15.87P    0.29R    0.00  
Oldham           25   39   +2      67.18     6.62     1.01     0.56     2.17    22.69     5.67P    0.78R    0.01  
Charlton         24   38   +6      74.95     6.90    16.33     6.92    19.03    67.41    32.39P    0.04R    0.00  
Rochdale         25   36   +5      63.53     6.75     2.90     0.15     0.76    11.35     2.79P    2.95R    0.02  
Sheff_Wed        25   35   +8      69.86     6.79    17.10     1.67     5.79    39.79    16.05P    0.34R    0.00  
Colchester       24   35   -1      67.25     6.88     2.05     0.66     2.54    23.77     7.18P    1.09R    0.02  
Carlisle         23   34  +10      66.97     7.07    11.92     0.84     3.04    24.90     7.86P    1.14R    0.01  
Exeter           25   34   -6      58.71     6.50   -12.98     0.02     0.08     2.48     0.42P   13.09R    0.33  
Hartlepool       25   34   -8      58.72     6.42   -14.62     0.02     0.08     2.33     0.43P   12.52R    0.27  
Plymouth         27   33   -9      59.11     6.31    -9.05     0.00     0.04     2.25     0.49P   10.53R    0.27  
Leyton_Orient    24   32   +2      61.80     6.79     1.20     0.08     0.38     7.37     1.64P    5.32R    0.12  
Brentford        25   32   -3      59.82     6.52    -4.36     0.02     0.14     3.54     0.80P    8.75R    0.17  
Notts_County     24   31   +0      60.84     6.97    -0.48     0.06     0.29     6.16     1.50P    7.58R    0.20  
Tranmere         25   30   -8      54.89     6.41   -14.05     0.00     0.03     0.58     0.11P   28.37R    1.29  
Swindon          26   29   -7      56.08     6.35    -8.00     0.00     0.01     0.83     0.16P   20.56R    0.83  
Yeovil           25   27  -13      51.58     6.42   -19.33     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.03P   48.70R    4.44  
Bristol_Rovers   25   27  -16      51.15     6.53   -23.76     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.02P   52.55R    5.67  
Dag_&_Red        24   21  -15      42.29     6.47   -29.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.74R   41.00  
Walsall          26   20  -23      41.71     6.15   -32.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.50R   45.34  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 25 January 2011, Cheltenham vs Lincoln_City; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         25   52  +23      87.87     6.68    33.71    70.18    93.83    99.57    95.29P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              25   46   +9      79.94     6.77    16.73    15.65    64.36    92.12    71.72P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                26   41  +18      74.49     6.59    27.65     4.68    35.55    78.23    47.40P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            25   41  +11      74.05     6.67    17.52     3.73    30.95    74.02    42.03P    0.00R    0.00  
Port_Vale            25   40   +7      71.96     6.51    11.76     1.81    19.16    62.40    29.38P    0.00R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           26   39  +10      69.57     6.37    14.76     0.71    11.47    49.78    21.53P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           26   38   +1      62.86     6.42    -2.59     0.04     1.48    13.61     3.64P    0.21R    0.03  
Bury                 24   37  +12      70.39     6.85    16.88     1.75    16.26    54.89    26.02P    0.01R    0.00  
Gillingham           26   37   +3      67.48     6.54     7.49     0.40     6.60    36.13    14.30P    0.02R    0.00  
Cheltenham           26   37   +0      63.87     6.42    -1.08     0.10     2.04    17.26     4.68P    0.15R    0.01  
Stevenage            24   33   +9      64.41     6.83    11.10     0.18     3.52    23.21     8.38P    0.15R    0.02  
Torquay              24   33   +7      65.66     6.93    10.76     0.33     5.17    28.54    10.79P    0.12R    0.02  
Southend             25   33   +2      67.15     6.71     9.93     0.34     6.62    35.36    15.12P    0.04R    0.01  
Aldershot            25   32   -6      59.73     6.52    -7.48     0.01     0.42     6.13     1.54P    1.10R    0.20  
Accrington_Stanley   24   31   -2      59.07     6.84    -5.59     0.01     0.55     6.17     1.55P    1.63R    0.43  
Northampton          25   31   -7      60.96     6.66    -5.25     0.02     0.85     9.15     2.88P    0.73R    0.13  
Morecambe            25   30   -5      58.16     6.68    -6.31     0.00     0.30     4.38     1.17P    2.07R    0.42  
Bradford             26   30  -10      55.00     6.31   -13.36     0.00     0.05     1.14     0.28P    4.66R    1.11  
Macclesfield         24   27  -11      51.43     6.60   -19.72     0.00     0.01     0.45     0.09P   14.35R    4.64  
Burton_Albion        21   25   +2      58.17     7.52    -0.02     0.04     0.78     6.88     2.10P    2.97R    0.83  
Hereford             24   25  -13      50.37     6.66   -20.47     0.00     0.01     0.30     0.05P   18.41R    6.30  
Lincoln_City         23   25  -13      49.81     6.71   -22.75     0.00     0.01     0.28     0.06P   21.28R    7.50  
Barnet               27   25  -16      44.06     5.91   -27.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.21R   25.64  
Stockport            27   24  -31      41.25     5.82   -46.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.90R   52.73  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 25 January 2011, Altrincham vs Hayes_&_Yeading; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Crawley_Town       25   56  +33      92.81     6.47    45.63    47.73    99.57    61.88P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      28   55  +24      84.82     5.97    31.84     6.77    94.23    26.07P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              27   54  +31      92.18     5.76    50.59    44.14    99.72    67.81P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            26   46  +15      78.65     6.15    23.04     1.17    72.12    17.01P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      29   46   +5      68.47     5.61     3.50     0.01    10.79     1.74P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     28   45  +14      70.72     5.91    15.83     0.05    22.47     3.83P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     28   42   +8      66.51     6.09     7.63     0.01     7.85     1.02P    0.01R    0.00  
Mansfield          28   41   +5      68.77     6.03     9.68     0.02    14.02     2.31P    0.00R    0.00  
Grimsby            27   39  +11      72.63     6.19    22.81     0.07    36.26     9.20P    0.00     0.00  
York               26   38   +2      68.84     6.23     7.34     0.02    13.82     2.68P    0.00R    0.00  
Darlington         26   36   +8      67.84     6.30    14.55     0.01    12.48     3.04P    0.01R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   26   36   +2      68.43     6.17    10.17     0.01    13.42     2.87P    0.00     0.00  
Bath_City          28   35   -5      57.18     5.98    -9.44     0.00     0.24     0.02P    0.85R    0.05  
Tamworth           27   34   -3      56.87     5.93    -8.35     0.00     0.18     0.02P    1.03R    0.06  
Kettering          27   34   -5      62.26     6.06    -1.67     0.00     1.57     0.26P    0.10R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      27   33   +0      60.41     6.17     2.20     0.00     1.21     0.22P    0.26R    0.02  
Gateshead          25   30   -7      53.36     6.28   -15.62     0.00     0.05     0.00     5.49R    0.76  
Barrow             27   27  -13      47.50     5.79   -22.41     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.08R    4.52  
Forest_Green       27   27  -16      47.91     5.88   -24.92     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.99R    4.53  
Southport          26   25  -11      46.13     6.13   -21.28     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.88R    8.65  
Hayes_&_Yeading    28   25  -23      42.77     5.58   -35.30     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.73R   19.69  
Altrincham         27   25  -30      45.84     5.80   -38.71     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.56R    9.73  
Eastbourne_Boro    27   22  -21      41.62     5.81   -32.95     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.58R   26.69  
Histon             26   21  -24      42.16     6.08   -34.17     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.43R   25.30