Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 23 January 2011 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 23 January 2011, Blackburn vs West_Brom; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         22   48  +29      81.52     4.95    48.22    70.69    92.46    98.52    99.89   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         23   46  +26      76.73     5.00    42.67    23.97    75.50    93.26    98.91    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        24   45  +17      68.50     4.81    23.69     0.92     8.38    35.09    79.39    99.25     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         22   38  +19      70.97     5.04    36.73     4.33    22.37    64.85    90.82    99.67     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       23   38   +6      62.97     5.16    12.83     0.08     1.27     7.86    27.37    90.44     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland      24   37   +4      54.95     4.88     2.08     0.00     0.02     0.24     1.84    37.97     0.03R    0.00  
Blackburn       24   31   -6      48.06     4.96    -9.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     4.68     1.97R    0.11  
Newcastle       23   30   +3      50.37     5.32     2.39     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.29    14.02     0.77R    0.03  
Bolton          23   30   +3      47.89     5.12    -1.77     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.09     6.09     1.96R    0.12  
Stoke           23   30   +0      47.28     4.97    -5.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     4.02     2.76R    0.17  
Liverpool       23   29   -1      53.24     5.17     4.33     0.00     0.00     0.14     1.07    28.86     0.16R    0.00  
Blackpool       22   28   -6      44.21     5.19   -17.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.29    11.15R    1.34  
Everton         23   27   -2      49.33     5.20     0.17     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.19     9.44     1.25R    0.08  
Fulham          23   26   +0      43.52     4.97    -4.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.10    10.30R    1.07  
West_Brom       23   25  -14      41.70     5.12   -20.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.40    23.73R    4.54  
Aston_Villa     23   25  -14      45.83     5.19   -14.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     2.31     6.77R    0.85  
Birmingham      22   23  -10      41.71     5.18   -14.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.46    21.30R    3.68  
Wigan           23   22  -18      35.03     4.66   -30.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    75.79R   33.17  
Wolverhampton   23   21  -17      35.51     4.85   -26.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.79R   26.79  
West_Ham        24   21  -19      35.47     4.78   -27.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    71.28R   28.04  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 23 January 2011, QPR vs Coventry; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              27   52  +28      82.94     6.11    35.23    48.03    69.44    96.24    76.75P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          27   47  +12      78.22     6.20    20.08    16.34    35.69    83.13    48.83P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          27   47   +9      75.60     6.24    12.86     7.64    20.02    69.20    30.76P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          28   47   +9      74.10     5.92    12.68     4.63    13.44    61.29    24.83P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     28   45   +7      71.37     6.16     9.51     2.27     7.16    43.43    14.91P    0.01R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    25   43  +13      76.79     6.50    20.62    12.73    28.65    76.15    41.72P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          26   42  +13      72.40     6.45    17.53     3.89    10.97    52.33    20.12P    0.01R    0.00  
Reading          27   41  +13      72.15     6.18    20.69     3.34    10.05    52.01    22.93P    0.01R    0.00  
Millwall         27   39   +7      65.10     6.22     7.18     0.27     1.08    13.40     3.83P    0.26R    0.00  
Leicester        28   39   -5      64.56     5.96    -3.80     0.13     0.51     9.30     2.54P    0.39R    0.02  
Burnley          26   37   +6      65.61     6.59     7.42     0.39     1.58    16.45     5.51P    0.45R    0.01  
Hull             27   37   -1      63.97     6.20     0.55     0.15     0.59     9.21     2.67P    0.51R    0.02  
Coventry         28   36   -2      57.89     5.78    -6.14     0.00     0.00     1.02     0.21P    4.32R    0.27  
Derby            27   34   +0      58.75     6.07    -2.35     0.01     0.06     1.72     0.33P    3.98R    0.23  
Doncaster        25   34   -3      61.76     6.59    -4.81     0.09     0.35     5.72     1.44P    2.02R    0.14  
Barnsley         26   34   -7      57.06     6.18   -14.09     0.01     0.03     0.94     0.14P    8.15R    0.69  
Bristol_City     27   32  -10      54.78     6.01   -15.08     0.00     0.01     0.33     0.08P   14.01R    1.47  
Portsmouth       26   31   -4      62.33     6.47     1.85     0.08     0.35     6.53     2.02P    1.73R    0.13  
Ipswich          26   31   -6      56.53     6.21    -8.98     0.00     0.02     0.81     0.18P    9.05R    0.86  
Middlesbrough    27   30   -5      56.73     6.08    -3.86     0.00     0.00     0.72     0.18P    7.54R    0.62  
Sheff_Utd        27   27  -17      51.19     6.09   -19.85     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.02P   32.19R    5.64  
Crystal_Palace   27   26  -21      47.29     5.89   -28.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.70R   15.66  
Scunthorpe       25   24  -18      45.64     6.24   -30.01     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   69.47R   25.59  
Preston          26   21  -18      42.05     6.13   -28.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.19R   48.64  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 January 2011, Bournemouth vs Brighton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         24   46  +23      82.47     6.81    32.35    40.96    62.13    93.53    69.84P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      26   43  +19      74.12     6.58    24.43     6.16    16.30    63.33    27.01P    0.02R    0.00  
Huddersfield     26   43  +10      76.23     6.48    18.86     9.60    23.38    73.34    36.19P    0.01R    0.00  
Southampton      25   41  +21      79.63     6.49    36.19    25.10    47.24    88.24    63.09P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     24   39   +4      71.20     7.15     6.62     3.16     8.69    42.85    15.59P    0.31R    0.00  
MK_Dons          26   39   -3      65.42     6.40    -4.81     0.27     1.10    13.64     3.32P    1.37R    0.01  
Charlton         24   38   +6      74.99     6.94    16.41     7.96    19.95    65.04    32.49P    0.05R    0.00  
Oldham           24   38   +2      67.64     6.79     1.17     0.81     2.93    23.43     6.39P    0.79R    0.01  
Rochdale         25   36   +5      63.56     6.72     2.94     0.23     0.82    10.44     2.58P    2.91R    0.03  
Colchester       23   35   +1      68.63     7.04     4.08     1.39     4.30    29.14     9.78P    0.76R    0.01  
Carlisle         23   34  +10      67.10     7.00    12.10     0.92     2.97    23.99     7.59P    1.07R    0.01  
Sheff_Wed        24   34   +8      71.15     6.97    18.49     3.07     8.61    45.50    19.81P    0.27R    0.00  
Exeter           25   34   -6      58.55     6.48   -13.25     0.01     0.08     2.10     0.34P   13.46R    0.38  
Hartlepool       24   33   -8      59.10     6.65   -14.61     0.04     0.13     2.65     0.52P   12.07R    0.30  
Plymouth         27   33   -9      59.09     6.29    -9.06     0.01     0.04     1.97     0.46P   10.40R    0.24  
Brentford        25   32   -3      59.67     6.51    -4.60     0.02     0.10     3.03     0.66P    9.14R    0.20  
Leyton_Orient    23   31   +2      62.52     7.06     1.74     0.19     0.70     9.07     2.22P    5.05R    0.10  
Notts_County     23   30   +0      61.19     7.15    -0.53     0.11     0.44     6.45     1.65P    7.37R    0.20  
Tranmere         24   29   -8      54.80     6.66   -14.94     0.00     0.02     0.64     0.12P   29.95R    1.57  
Swindon          25   28   -7      57.20     6.58    -6.85     0.00     0.05     1.37     0.29P   16.77R    0.66  
Bristol_Rovers   25   27  -16      51.13     6.46   -23.78     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.02P   52.57R    5.56  
Yeovil           24   26  -13      51.08     6.53   -20.67     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P   52.22R    5.46  
Dag_&_Red        24   21  -15      42.23     6.50   -29.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.93R   41.34  
Walsall          25   19  -23      41.91     6.33   -32.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.53R   43.91  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 January 2011, Aldershot vs Crewe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         24   49  +21      85.81     6.95    31.04    57.89    87.16    98.50    90.04P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              25   46   +9      80.10     6.75    16.93    18.45    61.91    91.73    69.73P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            24   41  +14      76.30     6.87    21.86     8.97    41.44    81.56    52.10P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           25   39  +12      71.63     6.56    17.77     2.05    17.17    59.84    28.32P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            24   39   +7      73.39     6.74    13.26     3.69    23.56    67.76    33.90P    0.00R    0.00  
Crewe                25   38  +17      73.32     6.78    27.36     4.29    26.46    70.40    38.33P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 24   37  +12      70.35     6.90    16.80     2.03    14.50    52.58    24.00P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           25   37   +5      69.55     6.77    10.54     1.38    10.90    46.10    20.51P    0.01R    0.00  
Cheltenham           25   37   +1      66.02     6.64     1.15     0.30     3.81    25.16     7.80P    0.07R    0.02  
Oxford_Utd           25   35   -1      60.54     6.58    -5.55     0.04     0.64     7.28     1.81P    0.52R    0.10  
Torquay              24   33   +7      65.54     6.93    10.59     0.38     4.29    26.10     9.54P    0.10R    0.01  
Aldershot            25   32   -6      59.54     6.53    -7.72     0.01     0.37     5.30     1.38P    0.89R    0.18  
Accrington_Stanley   24   31   -2      59.07     6.83    -5.57     0.02     0.47     5.56     1.34P    1.30R    0.29  
Northampton          25   31   -7      60.96     6.70    -5.22     0.03     0.70     8.31     2.48P    0.60R    0.10  
Stevenage            23   30   +6      61.72     7.02     6.69     0.09     1.44    12.75     4.20P    0.45R    0.09  
Southend             24   30   -1      65.54     6.98     6.93     0.31     3.95    25.69    10.28P    0.15R    0.02  
Morecambe            24   30   -4      59.68     6.85    -5.06     0.03     0.49     6.45     1.72P    1.13R    0.22  
Bradford             25   30   -9      55.87     6.45   -13.18     0.00     0.06     1.56     0.39P    3.01R    0.67  
Macclesfield         23   27   -8      52.80     6.78   -16.62     0.00     0.03     0.75     0.14P    8.85R    2.73  
Burton_Albion        21   25   +2      58.23     7.48     0.13     0.04     0.64     6.39     1.93P    2.44R    0.76  
Barnet               26   24  -16      43.80     6.08   -28.41     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   52.02R   24.72  
Stockport            27   24  -31      41.15     5.85   -46.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.24R   47.89  
Hereford             23   22  -14      48.27     6.82   -22.25     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.01P   25.08R    9.81  
Lincoln_City         22   22  -14      47.35     6.80   -24.98     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P   30.13R   12.39  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 January 2011, AFC_Wimbledon vs Southport; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
AFC_Wimbledon      27   54  +24      85.44     6.17    32.19    11.00    94.00    29.37P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       24   53  +30      91.18     6.68    42.54    42.28    98.74    56.95P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              26   51  +30      91.25     5.93    50.75    44.65    99.33    67.70P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            26   46  +15      78.68     6.12    23.10     1.57    69.64    16.92P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     27   45  +15      71.96     6.17    16.58     0.15    26.87     4.79P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      28   45   +5      68.97     5.85     3.60     0.03    11.86     1.88P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     28   42   +8      66.66     6.07     7.84     0.00     6.93     1.02P    0.00R    0.00  
Mansfield          27   40   +5      68.82     6.20     9.20     0.03    13.04     2.11P    0.00R    0.00  
Grimsby            26   39  +12      73.49     6.41    23.06     0.23    38.78    10.19P    0.00     0.00  
York               26   38   +2      68.71     6.22     7.10     0.03    11.96     2.33P    0.00R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   26   36   +2      68.28     6.19     9.87     0.02    11.19     2.61P    0.01R    0.00  
Darlington         25   35   +8      68.82     6.50    15.46     0.02    14.80     3.63P    0.01R    0.00  
Bath_City          27   34   -5      57.08     6.24   -10.18     0.00     0.27     0.03P    1.29R    0.08  
Cambridge_Utd      26   33   +3      61.63     6.34     4.95     0.00     1.70     0.35P    0.22R    0.01  
Tamworth           26   31   -6      54.58     6.07   -12.47     0.00     0.05     0.00P    3.68R    0.39  
Kettering          26   31   -6      60.67     6.24    -2.63     0.00     0.78     0.12P    0.32R    0.02  
Gateshead          25   30   -7      53.45     6.29   -15.51     0.00     0.06     0.00P    5.72R    0.82  
Barrow             26   26  -13      48.43     6.01   -21.61     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.90R    4.29  
Forest_Green       26   26  -16      48.18     6.09   -25.17     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.95R    5.13  
Southport          26   25  -11      46.13     6.12   -21.25     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.73R    9.55  
Hayes_&_Yeading    27   25  -21      44.16     5.83   -33.06     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.55R   15.77  
Eastbourne_Boro    26   22  -18      43.69     6.01   -28.64     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.02R   17.57  
Altrincham         26   22  -32      43.91     6.02   -41.14     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.84R   19.28  
Histon             25   20  -24      42.27     6.25   -34.58     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.75R   27.09