Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 22 January 2011 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 January 2011, Arsenal vs Wigan; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         22   48  +29      81.62     4.96    48.38    71.17    92.81    98.63    99.90   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         23   46  +26      76.76     4.98    42.82    23.72    75.51    93.41    98.90   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        24   45  +17      68.58     4.80    23.77     0.98     8.52    35.35    80.21    99.37     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         22   38  +19      70.97     5.02    36.73     4.08    21.87    64.70    90.60    99.69     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       23   38   +6      62.93     5.14    12.76     0.05     1.27     7.51    26.87    90.57     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland      24   37   +4      54.90     4.85     2.04     0.00     0.01     0.23     1.80    38.21     0.02R    0.00  
Newcastle       23   30   +3      50.31     5.30     2.29     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.31    13.79     0.86R    0.02  
Bolton          23   30   +3      47.98     5.08    -1.62     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.10     6.15     1.90R    0.09  
Stoke           23   30   +0      47.20     4.99    -5.33     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.07     4.11     2.75R    0.16  
Liverpool       23   29   -1      53.23     5.15     4.31     0.00     0.00     0.09     1.05    29.07     0.16R    0.00  
Blackpool       22   28   -6      44.25     5.19   -16.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.31    11.25R    1.42  
Blackburn       23   28   -8      46.59     5.19   -11.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     3.09     4.88R    0.45  
Everton         23   27   -2      49.34     5.17     0.20     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.13     9.60     1.26R    0.09  
Fulham          23   26   +0      43.53     4.99    -4.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.17    10.38R    1.03  
West_Brom       22   25  -12      43.07     5.41   -19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.09    17.57R    3.17  
Aston_Villa     23   25  -14      45.81     5.16   -14.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     2.24     6.67R    0.74  
Birmingham      22   23  -10      41.69     5.23   -14.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.53    21.96R    3.91  
Wigan           23   22  -18      35.01     4.68   -30.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.28R   33.27  
Wolverhampton   23   21  -17      35.43     4.88   -27.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    71.54R   27.19  
West_Ham        24   21  -19      35.41     4.74   -27.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    72.50R   28.46  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 January 2011, Barnsley vs Swansea; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              26   49  +27      81.89     6.27    34.99    42.87    63.73    94.23    72.36P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          27   47  +12      78.15     6.17    19.97    17.40    36.22    83.28    48.95P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          27   47   +9      75.51     6.33    12.66     8.65    21.04    68.91    31.51P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          28   47   +9      74.11     5.92    12.73     5.13    14.17    61.51    25.65P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     28   45   +7      71.43     6.16     9.60     2.68     7.74    44.14    15.26P    0.00R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    25   43  +13      76.71     6.52    20.51    13.80    29.69    76.16    42.63P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          26   42  +13      72.47     6.45    17.62     4.41    11.96    53.19    21.34P    0.01R    0.00  
Reading          27   41  +13      72.19     6.20    20.73     3.85    10.69    52.49    23.41P    0.01R    0.00  
Millwall         27   39   +6      64.69     6.18     5.65     0.25     0.94    12.01     3.17P    0.35R    0.01  
Leicester        28   39   -5      64.48     5.97    -3.92     0.12     0.52     9.06     2.44P    0.45R    0.00  
Burnley          26   37   +6      65.73     6.57     7.62     0.49     1.84    17.03     5.88P    0.38R    0.01  
Hull             27   37   +0      64.26     6.22     2.00     0.19     0.68    10.23     3.07P    0.45R    0.01  
Coventry         27   36   +0      58.86     5.97    -4.56     0.01     0.05     1.73     0.33P    3.23R    0.15  
Derby            27   34   +0      58.78     6.09    -2.20     0.00     0.03     1.83     0.37P    3.78R    0.25  
Doncaster        25   34   -4      61.38     6.55    -6.36     0.09     0.30     5.04     1.11P    2.10R    0.17  
Barnsley         26   34   -8      56.96     6.15   -15.19     0.00     0.01     0.88     0.13P    8.25R    0.72  
Bristol_City     27   33   -8      56.20     6.08   -12.32     0.00     0.01     0.64     0.10P    9.19R    0.83  
Portsmouth       26   31   -4      62.25     6.48     1.77     0.06     0.35     6.50     2.01P    1.65R    0.11  
Middlesbrough    27   30   -4      56.87     6.09    -2.64     0.00     0.01     0.78     0.22P    6.92R    0.56  
Ipswich          26   29   -8      54.07     6.24   -11.59     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.05P   16.67R    2.22  
Sheff_Utd        27   27  -17      50.99     6.06   -20.10     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   32.80R    5.90  
Crystal_Palace   27   26  -21      47.29     5.92   -28.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.00R   15.53  
Scunthorpe       25   24  -18      45.60     6.22   -30.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.28R   25.81  
Preston          26   21  -18      42.14     6.11   -28.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.47R   47.71  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 January 2011, Bournemouth vs Brighton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         24   46  +23      82.50     6.84    32.40    41.17    62.82    93.41    70.28P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      26   43  +19      74.00     6.59    24.29     5.95    15.97    62.62    26.49P    0.03R    0.00  
Huddersfield     26   43  +10      76.20     6.52    18.75     9.73    23.57    72.82    36.13P    0.01R    0.00  
Southampton      25   41  +21      79.62     6.50    36.16    25.13    47.12    88.01    62.78P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     24   39   +4      71.30     7.15     6.83     3.32     9.05    43.40    16.17P    0.28R    0.00  
MK_Dons          26   39   -3      65.48     6.41    -4.73     0.30     1.14    13.81     3.45P    1.25R    0.01  
Charlton         24   38   +6      74.89     6.86    16.31     7.70    19.13    64.97    31.66P    0.05R    0.00  
Oldham           24   38   +2      67.55     6.84     1.01     0.81     2.74    23.48     6.32P    0.84R    0.01  
Rochdale         25   36   +5      63.70     6.79     3.16     0.25     0.96    11.11     2.97P    2.86R    0.03  
Colchester       23   35   +1      68.62     7.12     4.03     1.44     4.39    29.28    10.02P    0.80R    0.01  
Carlisle         23   34  +10      67.04     7.01    12.05     0.90     2.99    23.84     7.65P    1.12R    0.02  
Sheff_Wed        24   34   +8      71.17     6.92    18.49     2.92     8.52    45.54    19.83P    0.24R    0.00  
Exeter           25   34   -6      58.50     6.48   -13.32     0.02     0.08     1.91     0.29P   13.52R    0.35  
Hartlepool       24   33   -8      59.14     6.64   -14.60     0.03     0.15     2.69     0.53P   11.95R    0.33  
Plymouth         27   33   -9      59.07     6.30    -9.09     0.01     0.06     2.02     0.46P   10.36R    0.24  
Brentford        25   32   -3      59.66     6.47    -4.56     0.01     0.10     2.92     0.62P    8.88R    0.21  
Leyton_Orient    23   31   +2      62.63     7.13     1.87     0.20     0.75     9.25     2.24P    4.83R    0.12  
Notts_County     23   30   +0      61.18     7.14    -0.53     0.10     0.41     6.52     1.62P    7.43R    0.23  
Tranmere         24   29   -8      54.78     6.66   -15.00     0.00     0.02     0.65     0.13P   29.89R    1.64  
Swindon          25   28   -7      57.10     6.66    -7.05     0.01     0.03     1.44     0.32P   17.54R    0.75  
Bristol_Rovers   25   27  -16      51.16     6.48   -23.75     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.04P   52.62R    5.59  
Yeovil           24   26  -13      50.96     6.56   -20.83     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.02P   52.65R    5.76  
Dag_&_Red        24   21  -15      42.38     6.53   -29.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.44R   40.29  
Walsall          25   19  -23      41.95     6.36   -32.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.42R   44.41  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 January 2011, Aldershot vs Crewe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         24   49  +21      85.66     6.92    30.82    57.02    86.84    98.49    89.64P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              25   46   +9      80.15     6.76    16.98    19.22    61.88    91.93    69.77P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            24   41  +14      76.19     6.91    21.63     8.91    40.98    80.92    51.77P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           25   39  +12      71.77     6.61    17.95     2.20    18.21    61.02    29.48P    0.00R    0.00  
Port_Vale            24   39   +7      73.19     6.72    13.03     3.56    22.72    66.79    33.14P    0.00R    0.00  
Crewe                25   38  +17      73.34     6.76    27.38     4.33    26.82    70.80    38.69P    0.00R    0.00  
Bury                 24   37  +12      70.32     6.87    16.75     2.14    14.39    52.43    23.97P    0.01R    0.00  
Gillingham           25   37   +5      69.55     6.82    10.55     1.35    11.22    45.96    20.77P    0.01R    0.00  
Cheltenham           25   37   +1      65.97     6.70     1.05     0.31     3.96    25.31     7.75P    0.07R    0.02  
Oxford_Utd           25   35   -1      60.60     6.61    -5.45     0.03     0.65     7.60     1.93P    0.63R    0.10  
Torquay              24   33   +7      65.61     6.92    10.66     0.39     4.46    26.35     9.63P    0.10R    0.02  
Aldershot            25   32   -6      59.64     6.52    -7.59     0.02     0.37     5.47     1.37P    0.92R    0.18  
Accrington_Stanley   24   31   -2      59.01     6.84    -5.65     0.02     0.38     5.63     1.41P    1.36R    0.31  
Northampton          25   31   -7      60.95     6.65    -5.20     0.04     0.69     8.10     2.45P    0.59R    0.11  
Stevenage            23   30   +6      61.73     7.00     6.71     0.10     1.42    12.77     4.18P    0.44R    0.08  
Southend             24   30   -1      65.44     6.94     6.80     0.29     3.81    24.96     9.90P    0.15R    0.02  
Morecambe            24   30   -4      59.79     6.84    -4.90     0.03     0.55     6.59     1.81P    1.02R    0.21  
Bradford             25   30   -9      55.85     6.47   -13.19     0.00     0.07     1.61     0.37P    3.15R    0.76  
Macclesfield         23   27   -8      52.86     6.80   -16.49     0.00     0.04     0.81     0.15P    8.79R    2.64  
Burton_Albion        21   25   +2      57.96     7.52    -0.30     0.03     0.56     6.13     1.75P    2.76R    0.76  
Barnet               26   24  -16      43.74     6.06   -28.49     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    52.63R   25.26  
Stockport            27   24  -31      41.23     5.81   -46.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.90R   47.41  
Hereford             23   22  -14      48.46     6.85   -21.91     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.03P   24.33R    9.74  
Lincoln_City         22   22  -14      47.47     6.85   -24.79     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P   30.12R   12.38  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 January 2011, AFC_Wimbledon vs Southport; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
AFC_Wimbledon      27   54  +24      85.42     6.21    32.15    11.28    93.61    29.68P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       24   53  +30      91.11     6.66    42.49    42.16    98.74    56.97P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              26   51  +30      91.15     5.96    50.61    44.30    99.24    67.37P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            26   46  +15      78.77     6.12    23.20     1.72    69.79    16.89P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     27   45  +15      72.12     6.17    16.83     0.15    27.72     4.93P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      28   45   +5      68.95     5.86     3.58     0.02    11.59     1.86P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     28   42   +8      66.62     6.09     7.78     0.00     7.06     1.00P    0.00R    0.00  
Mansfield          27   40   +5      68.85     6.24     9.24     0.03    13.32     2.35P    0.00R    0.00  
Grimsby            26   39  +12      73.40     6.39    22.89     0.26    37.91     9.88P    0.00     0.00  
York               26   38   +2      68.83     6.25     7.28     0.03    12.25     2.36P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   26   36   +2      68.28     6.15     9.91     0.01    11.26     2.54P    0.01R    0.00  
Darlington         25   35   +8      68.70     6.51    15.28     0.03    14.60     3.71P    0.01R    0.00  
Bath_City          27   34   -5      57.07     6.19   -10.23     0.00     0.25     0.02P    1.32R    0.09  
Cambridge_Utd      26   33   +3      61.67     6.31     4.95     0.00     1.71     0.32P    0.18R    0.01  
Tamworth           26   31   -6      54.61     6.13   -12.38     0.00     0.07     0.01P    3.69R    0.40  
Kettering          26   31   -6      60.66     6.28    -2.65     0.00     0.84     0.12P    0.38R    0.02  
Gateshead          25   30   -7      53.44     6.29   -15.52     0.00     0.04     0.00P    5.82R    0.81  
Barrow             26   26  -13      48.33     6.03   -21.77     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.51R    4.58  
Forest_Green       26   26  -16      48.22     6.08   -25.09     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.97R    5.05  
Southport          26   25  -11      46.21     6.15   -21.16     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.04R    9.23  
Hayes_&_Yeading    27   25  -21      44.14     5.81   -33.13     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.06R   16.08  
Eastbourne_Boro    26   22  -18      43.64     6.03   -28.73     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.30R   17.88  
Altrincham         26   22  -32      44.00     6.03   -40.96     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.35R   18.93  
Histon             25   20  -24      42.31     6.26   -34.56     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.36R   26.92