Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Thursday 20 January 2011 at 22:15:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 16 January 2011, Birmingham vs Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- Expected ------------------------- Percentage chance ------------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_Utd 21 45 +24 80.59 5.15 44.01 65.49 88.49 96.78 99.71 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_City 23 45 +18 70.28 5.06 25.29 3.09 16.48 46.73 85.16 99.69 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 22 43 +23 76.29 5.12 41.97 25.86 69.97 89.79 98.17 99.98 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 22 38 +19 70.99 5.03 36.72 5.42 23.35 58.59 89.12 99.74 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 22 37 +6 63.17 5.42 12.53 0.13 1.68 7.85 25.50 90.63 0.00 0.00 Sunderland 23 34 +3 53.10 5.06 0.77 0.00 0.01 0.11 0.78 27.68 0.13R 0.00 Bolton 23 30 +3 47.92 5.15 -1.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.08 6.97 2.24R 0.13 Stoke 22 30 +2 48.55 5.14 -3.20 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.13 7.82 1.73R 0.10 Newcastle 22 29 +3 50.69 5.52 2.28 0.00 0.01 0.06 0.40 17.79 0.87R 0.02 Blackpool 21 28 -5 45.83 5.51 -15.40 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.07 3.70 7.73R 0.96 Blackburn 23 28 -8 46.58 5.24 -11.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 3.60 5.20R 0.50 Everton 22 26 -2 50.66 5.40 1.69 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.31 16.76 1.05R 0.09 Liverpool 22 26 -4 51.62 5.39 1.30 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.50 21.22 0.59R 0.04 West_Brom 22 25 -12 42.91 5.38 -19.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 1.11 18.78R 3.39 Fulham 22 23 -2 41.90 5.18 -6.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.84 19.34R 2.90 Birmingham 21 23 -5 42.52 5.31 -10.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.99 17.94R 3.02 Aston_Villa 22 22 -15 43.92 5.44 -15.83 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 1.41 13.96R 2.32 Wigan 22 22 -15 35.37 4.78 -29.88 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 73.72R 31.88 Wolverhampton 22 21 -14 36.79 5.11 -23.95 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06 61.12R 19.43 West_Ham 23 20 -19 34.93 4.90 -28.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 75.60R 35.21Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 January 2011, Bristol_City vs Middlesbrough; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 QPR 26 49 +27 81.81 6.28 34.95 44.45 65.13 94.17 73.01P 0.00 0.00 Swansea 27 46 +9 74.44 6.10 12.68 6.53 17.10 63.18 28.40P 0.00R 0.00 Cardiff 26 44 +10 76.64 6.38 18.21 13.78 29.71 75.49 42.37P 0.00 0.00 Norwich 26 44 +8 73.50 6.50 11.11 5.75 14.84 56.74 23.69P 0.02R 0.00 Leeds_United 27 44 +7 71.13 6.39 8.49 3.01 8.33 42.10 15.27P 0.01R 0.00 Watford 25 42 +15 73.82 6.56 19.61 7.68 18.20 60.85 27.98P 0.01R 0.00 Reading 26 40 +13 73.04 6.38 21.47 5.85 15.09 57.62 28.13P 0.01R 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 24 40 +12 75.13 6.71 19.58 10.76 23.64 67.59 35.86P 0.00R 0.00 Millwall 26 39 +9 66.68 6.41 9.61 0.75 2.43 20.27 6.44P 0.18R 0.01 Burnley 25 36 +6 66.26 6.81 7.81 0.77 2.61 19.90 7.09P 0.38R 0.02 Coventry 27 36 -1 58.74 5.94 -5.86 0.01 0.04 1.59 0.33P 4.04R 0.20 Hull 26 36 -1 63.73 6.36 -0.35 0.16 0.78 9.20 2.78P 0.87R 0.02 Leicester 27 36 -7 62.72 6.12 -6.15 0.09 0.32 5.93 1.58P 1.24R 0.05 Derby 26 34 +1 60.43 6.32 -0.92 0.04 0.21 3.57 0.83P 2.79R 0.14 Doncaster 24 34 -2 62.93 6.75 -4.10 0.16 0.70 8.38 2.15P 1.71R 0.11 Barnsley 25 33 -7 57.28 6.36 -14.24 0.01 0.05 1.18 0.20P 8.98R 0.78 Bristol_City 26 31 -10 55.16 6.30 -15.14 0.00 0.01 0.48 0.10P 14.99R 1.61 Portsmouth 25 30 -4 63.32 6.72 2.92 0.18 0.74 9.53 3.22P 1.56R 0.11 Middlesbrough 26 29 -5 57.99 6.29 -2.53 0.01 0.05 1.50 0.43P 6.17R 0.49 Ipswich 25 28 -7 55.03 6.45 -9.68 0.00 0.02 0.55 0.11P 15.17R 1.79 Sheff_Utd 26 27 -16 52.65 6.28 -18.66 0.00 0.00 0.15 0.03P 26.43R 3.93 Crystal_Palace 26 25 -21 47.91 6.12 -28.07 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 58.30R 13.56 Scunthorpe 24 23 -18 45.82 6.45 -30.51 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 70.04R 24.87 Preston 25 20 -18 41.60 6.28 -30.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 87.10R 52.33League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 18 January 2011, Bristol_Rovers vs Hartlepool; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Brighton 23 46 +24 83.96 7.08 33.61 41.37 65.16 95.49 72.73P 0.00 0.00 Huddersfield 25 42 +10 77.28 6.74 19.95 9.42 24.78 78.29 38.29P 0.00R 0.00 Southampton 24 41 +23 82.31 6.73 40.22 33.04 58.87 93.77 72.12P 0.00 0.00 Bournemouth 25 40 +18 72.29 6.87 23.15 3.09 9.50 53.63 19.26P 0.08R 0.00 Peterborough 23 36 +0 69.10 7.41 1.73 1.28 4.61 33.29 9.96P 0.77R 0.02 MK_Dons 25 36 -4 63.92 6.64 -5.64 0.12 0.56 10.42 2.35P 2.47R 0.06 Charlton 23 35 +4 73.40 7.15 14.47 3.91 12.18 58.17 24.77P 0.11R 0.00 Oldham 23 35 +1 66.05 7.02 0.25 0.36 1.50 19.06 4.42P 1.47R 0.03 Sheff_Wed 23 34 +12 74.13 7.10 24.90 5.33 14.95 63.81 30.56P 0.09R 0.00 Colchester 22 34 +1 68.78 7.31 3.67 1.24 4.15 31.53 10.15P 0.69R 0.02 Rochdale 24 33 +4 61.59 7.02 1.35 0.07 0.37 7.88 1.81P 5.49R 0.14 Hartlepool 23 33 -4 60.83 6.94 -10.14 0.06 0.31 5.74 1.18P 7.36R 0.24 Plymouth 26 33 -7 60.48 6.53 -7.12 0.02 0.13 4.11 0.99P 6.85R 0.19 Brentford 24 32 -2 61.07 6.73 -3.52 0.05 0.20 5.33 1.18P 6.09R 0.19 Carlisle 22 31 +9 64.93 7.28 10.32 0.36 1.45 17.55 5.00P 2.35R 0.06 Exeter 24 31 -7 57.06 6.71 -14.06 0.01 0.04 1.66 0.20P 18.31R 1.01 Notts_County 22 30 +1 63.04 7.47 1.09 0.21 0.89 11.82 3.18P 4.83R 0.17 Leyton_Orient 22 28 -2 59.26 7.23 -4.76 0.05 0.21 4.32 0.88P 11.09R 0.56 Swindon 24 28 -5 59.23 6.84 -3.78 0.01 0.10 3.39 0.82P 10.31R 0.47 Tranmere 23 26 -10 51.76 6.78 -19.13 0.00 0.01 0.28 0.05P 45.29R 5.21 Yeovil 23 26 -12 52.63 6.76 -19.43 0.00 0.00 0.35 0.07P 40.58R 4.45 Bristol_Rovers 24 24 -18 48.98 6.72 -26.73 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.01P 63.09R 12.02 Dag_&_Red 23 21 -14 43.81 6.83 -28.33 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 84.65R 35.14 Walsall 24 19 -22 43.08 6.61 -32.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 88.01R 40.03League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 18 January 2011, Accrington_Stanley vs Shrewsbury; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Chesterfield 23 48 +21 85.95 7.18 30.71 54.85 84.53 98.11 87.85P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 24 43 +8 78.26 7.00 15.64 12.25 46.92 85.47 56.93P 0.00 0.00 Rotherham 23 41 +15 77.75 7.11 22.99 12.19 46.35 84.67 56.42P 0.00 0.00 Port_Vale 23 39 +8 75.53 6.99 15.38 6.47 31.73 76.22 42.18P 0.00 0.00 Crewe 24 38 +18 75.30 6.98 29.23 6.95 34.01 77.48 45.97P 0.00R 0.00 Shrewsbury 24 38 +12 72.12 6.79 17.88 2.53 17.58 60.36 28.56P 0.00R 0.00 Bury 23 36 +12 70.50 7.10 16.41 2.16 13.59 51.21 22.95P 0.00R 0.00 Gillingham 24 36 +5 69.80 6.96 10.33 1.43 10.37 45.58 19.78P 0.01R 0.00 Oxford_Utd 24 35 +0 61.79 6.71 -4.66 0.06 0.89 9.69 2.46P 0.41R 0.06 Cheltenham 24 34 +0 63.65 6.86 -1.04 0.16 1.77 15.45 4.26P 0.23R 0.04 Torquay 23 32 +7 66.06 7.12 10.73 0.41 4.54 27.94 9.98P 0.11R 0.01 Accrington_Stanley 24 31 -2 58.86 6.81 -5.91 0.02 0.35 4.93 1.14P 1.32R 0.31 Morecambe 23 30 -2 61.44 7.11 -2.45 0.07 0.97 10.24 2.96P 0.68R 0.14 Bradford 25 30 -9 55.78 6.52 -13.40 0.01 0.07 1.52 0.36P 3.22R 0.83 Southend 23 29 -1 66.27 7.19 7.43 0.34 4.62 28.10 11.73P 0.14R 0.03 Aldershot 24 29 -7 57.44 6.69 -9.49 0.00 0.12 2.74 0.67P 2.21R 0.56 Northampton 24 28 -8 59.38 6.86 -6.17 0.03 0.32 5.23 1.58P 1.21R 0.29 Stevenage 22 27 +4 59.71 7.27 4.07 0.02 0.75 7.99 2.42P 1.22R 0.33 Macclesfield 22 26 -8 53.81 7.03 -15.70 0.00 0.05 1.20 0.25P 7.79R 2.43 Burton_Albion 21 25 +2 58.16 7.48 0.01 0.03 0.47 5.66 1.52P 2.54R 0.77 Stockport 26 24 -30 42.93 6.06 -44.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00P 61.14R 35.55 Barnet 25 23 -16 43.95 6.27 -28.85 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 50.91R 26.36 Hereford 23 22 -14 48.28 6.84 -22.30 0.00 0.00 0.14 0.03P 24.99R 10.37 Lincoln_City 21 19 -15 45.36 7.00 -26.29 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.00P 41.86R 21.93Conference (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 18 January 2011, Bath_City vs Crawley_Town; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected ---------------- Percentage chance ---------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Crawley_Town 23 52 +30 91.10 6.84 41.94 37.30 98.61 53.82P 0.00 0.00 AFC_Wimbledon 26 51 +19 83.82 6.34 27.14 6.19 89.57 23.98P 0.00 0.00 Luton 25 50 +30 92.99 6.05 53.12 54.98 99.56 74.46P 0.00 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 26 44 +15 73.46 6.36 18.33 0.25 37.10 6.79P 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 25 43 +13 76.50 6.32 20.26 0.75 56.02 13.47P 0.00 0.00 Newport_County 27 42 +10 68.60 6.36 10.77 0.02 13.45 2.14P 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 27 42 +3 67.74 6.02 2.17 0.02 9.15 1.62P 0.01R 0.00 Grimsby 25 38 +12 74.15 6.58 23.58 0.38 43.48 11.96P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 26 37 +4 68.26 6.42 10.01 0.03 12.75 2.35P 0.01R 0.00 York 25 35 +1 67.90 6.48 7.37 0.02 10.84 2.35P 0.01R 0.00 Darlington 24 34 +8 69.17 6.75 15.41 0.05 17.36 4.45P 0.01R 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 25 33 +5 63.63 6.51 7.93 0.01 3.94 0.85P 0.13R 0.00 Rushden_&_D'mnds 25 33 +0 66.15 6.43 7.03 0.00 7.33 1.66P 0.03R 0.00 Bath_City 26 31 -8 54.46 6.39 -14.81 0.00 0.09 0.01P 5.38R 0.66 Tamworth 25 30 -6 54.65 6.27 -12.91 0.00 0.10 0.01P 4.98R 0.64 Gateshead 24 29 -7 52.44 6.37 -18.11 0.00 0.04 0.00P 10.07R 1.72 Kettering 25 28 -9 59.22 6.48 -5.36 0.00 0.61 0.08P 1.16R 0.13 Barrow 25 26 -11 49.33 6.22 -20.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 20.73R 4.40 Forest_Green 25 26 -15 48.79 6.22 -25.43 0.00 0.01 0.00P 24.07R 5.60 Southport 25 25 -6 47.75 6.38 -15.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 28.50R 7.84 Hayes_&_Yeading 26 24 -21 43.73 5.99 -34.51 0.00 0.00 0.00 56.47R 21.51 Eastbourne_Boro 25 22 -15 44.97 6.21 -25.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 45.99R 15.25 Altrincham 25 22 -29 46.22 6.24 -36.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 41.03R 13.05 Histon 24 20 -23 42.79 6.49 -35.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 61.44R 29.20