Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 19 January 2011 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 16 January 2011, Birmingham vs Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         21   45  +24      80.56     5.13    43.95    64.98    88.32    96.72    99.68   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        23   45  +18      70.29     5.06    25.36     3.17    16.31    46.79    85.63    99.64     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         22   43  +23      76.35     5.12    42.04    26.38    70.39    89.98    98.18    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         22   38  +19      70.98     5.03    36.73     5.33    23.34    58.70    89.22    99.68     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       22   37   +6      63.11     5.38    12.46     0.14     1.63     7.55    24.93    90.72     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland      23   34   +3      53.11     5.09     0.77     0.00     0.01     0.11     0.79    28.01     0.11R    0.01  
Bolton          23   30   +3      47.90     5.13    -1.68     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.10     7.00     2.24R    0.13  
Stoke           22   30   +2      48.48     5.14    -3.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12     7.80     1.83R    0.11  
Newcastle       22   29   +3      50.74     5.51     2.37     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.46    18.21     0.89R    0.04  
Blackpool       21   28   -5      45.79     5.49   -15.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     3.61     7.81R    0.96  
Blackburn       23   28   -8      46.57     5.20   -11.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     3.57     5.07R    0.49  
Everton         22   26   -2      50.54     5.38     1.51     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.29    16.06     1.00R    0.08  
Liverpool       22   26   -4      51.62     5.39     1.29     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.48    21.28     0.65R    0.05  
West_Brom       22   25  -12      42.95     5.38   -19.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.12    18.75R    3.44  
Fulham          22   23   -2      41.92     5.20    -6.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.81    19.26R    2.87  
Birmingham      21   23   -5      42.60     5.33   -10.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.00    17.67R    3.01  
Aston_Villa     22   22  -15      43.90     5.43   -15.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.44    14.23R    2.50  
Wigan           22   22  -15      35.41     4.78   -29.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    73.60R   31.78  
Wolverhampton   22   21  -14      36.80     5.11   -23.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06    61.17R   19.41  
West_Ham        23   20  -19      34.92     4.87   -28.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    75.73R   35.11  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 January 2011, Bristol_City vs Middlesbrough; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              26   49  +27      81.67     6.33    34.70    43.63    64.19    93.79    72.25P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          27   46   +9      74.52     6.07    12.80     6.66    17.16    63.42    28.21P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          26   44  +10      76.70     6.38    18.24    13.96    30.09    75.95    42.62P    0.00R    0.00  
Norwich          26   44   +8      73.56     6.50    11.16     6.12    15.31    57.33    24.29P    0.00R    0.00  
Leeds_United     27   44   +7      71.24     6.34     8.69     3.02     8.43    42.78    15.54P    0.01R    0.00  
Watford          25   42  +15      73.86     6.62    19.64     7.90    18.61    60.77    28.30P    0.01R    0.00  
Reading          26   40  +13      73.07     6.42    21.46     5.95    15.06    57.86    28.14P    0.00R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    24   40  +12      75.06     6.72    19.48    10.58    23.38    67.10    35.79P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         26   39   +8      66.29     6.40     8.04     0.62     2.14    18.48     5.68P    0.18R    0.00  
Hull             26   37   +1      65.23     6.38     2.42     0.37     1.37    13.65     4.40P    0.39R    0.01  
Burnley          25   36   +6      66.30     6.84     7.87     0.78     2.67    20.39     7.31P    0.42R    0.01  
Coventry         27   36   +0      58.85     5.95    -4.54     0.00     0.04     1.79     0.32P    3.55R    0.16  
Leicester        27   36   -7      62.84     6.13    -5.92     0.07     0.34     6.08     1.66P    1.09R    0.05  
Derby            26   34   +1      60.32     6.31    -0.97     0.03     0.17     3.50     0.79P    2.72R    0.12  
Barnsley         25   33   -8      57.20     6.36   -15.28     0.01     0.03     1.18     0.21P    8.87R    0.77  
Doncaster        24   32   -4      60.34     6.69    -6.91     0.07     0.26     4.07     0.93P    3.59R    0.26  
Bristol_City     26   32   -8      56.46     6.25   -12.49     0.01     0.02     0.84     0.14P    9.93R    0.97  
Portsmouth       25   30   -4      63.18     6.68     2.65     0.19     0.70     9.11     2.93P    1.44R    0.08  
Middlesbrough    26   29   -4      58.15     6.27    -1.23     0.02     0.05     1.55     0.43P    5.38R    0.40  
Sheff_Utd        26   27  -16      52.69     6.29   -18.62     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.02P   24.95R    3.73  
Ipswich          25   26   -9      52.39     6.46   -12.58     0.00     0.01     0.20     0.04P   25.31R    3.93  
Crystal_Palace   26   25  -21      47.86     6.12   -28.05     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   57.17R   13.50  
Scunthorpe       24   23  -18      45.77     6.54   -30.49     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   68.79R   24.84  
Preston          25   20  -18      41.64     6.27   -30.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.19R   51.15  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 18 January 2011, Bristol_Rovers vs Hartlepool; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         23   46  +24      83.97     7.05    33.57    41.66    65.63    95.54    73.03P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     25   42  +10      77.22     6.70    19.85     9.26    24.44    78.08    37.77P    0.01R    0.00  
Southampton      24   41  +23      82.25     6.70    40.14    32.37    58.45    93.77    71.81P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      25   40  +18      72.31     6.85    23.17     3.11     9.65    53.73    19.42P    0.08R    0.00  
Peterborough     23   36   +0      69.08     7.39     1.76     1.24     4.59    33.46    10.13P    0.76R    0.01  
MK_Dons          25   36   -4      63.99     6.65    -5.53     0.11     0.62    10.92     2.43P    2.40R    0.04  
Charlton         23   35   +4      73.46     7.20    14.56     4.40    12.35    58.55    25.03P    0.10R    0.00  
Oldham           23   35   +1      66.13     7.02     0.36     0.43     1.52    19.24     4.43P    1.46R    0.03  
Sheff_Wed        23   34  +12      74.17     7.13    24.95     5.38    14.95    63.94    30.98P    0.07R    0.00  
Colchester       22   34   +1      68.74     7.31     3.66     1.24     4.16    31.17    10.12P    0.72R    0.02  
Rochdale         24   33   +4      61.68     7.00     1.48     0.08     0.41     7.96     1.79P    5.11R    0.11  
Hartlepool       23   33   -4      60.89     6.87   -10.04     0.05     0.26     5.49     1.11P    7.08R    0.21  
Plymouth         26   33   -7      60.44     6.52    -7.16     0.02     0.12     3.85     0.90P    6.92R    0.19  
Brentford        24   32   -2      60.93     6.69    -3.71     0.03     0.25     5.13     1.08P    6.13R    0.21  
Carlisle         22   31   +9      65.05     7.33    10.49     0.39     1.53    18.24     5.26P    2.16R    0.04  
Exeter           24   31   -7      56.92     6.69   -14.27     0.00     0.04     1.49     0.23P   18.72R    1.08  
Notts_County     22   30   +1      63.02     7.40     1.08     0.17     0.72    11.32     2.73P    4.51R    0.18  
Leyton_Orient    22   28   -2      59.19     7.23    -4.90     0.03     0.18     4.11     0.90P   11.53R    0.65  
Swindon          24   28   -5      59.16     6.86    -3.96     0.02     0.12     3.29     0.74P   10.66R    0.55  
Tranmere         23   26  -10      51.84     6.76   -19.02     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.03P   44.67R    5.18  
Yeovil           23   26  -12      52.61     6.80   -19.42     0.00     0.01     0.39     0.06P   40.55R    4.54  
Bristol_Rovers   24   24  -18      48.97     6.75   -26.71     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P   63.38R   11.86  
Dag_&_Red        23   21  -14      43.88     6.82   -28.19     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   84.60R   34.66  
Walsall          24   19  -22      43.01     6.55   -32.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.38R   40.44  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 18 January 2011, Accrington_Stanley vs Shrewsbury; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         23   48  +21      86.05     7.20    30.85    55.58    84.86    98.05    88.04P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              24   43   +8      78.36     6.99    15.76    12.39    47.59    85.70    57.82P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            23   41  +15      77.69     7.13    22.81    11.87    45.82    84.51    55.81P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            23   39   +8      75.41     6.93    15.17     6.02    30.87    75.71    40.99P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                24   38  +18      75.26     7.00    29.17     6.79    33.59    77.30    45.48P    0.00R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           24   38  +12      72.31     6.78    18.18     2.72    18.57    61.66    30.03P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 23   36  +12      70.48     7.06    16.40     2.05    13.49    50.86    22.76P    0.01R    0.00  
Gillingham           24   36   +5      69.85     7.00    10.39     1.46    10.63    46.09    20.31P    0.01R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           24   35   +0      61.74     6.75    -4.77     0.04     0.92     9.69     2.48P    0.39R    0.07  
Cheltenham           24   34   +0      63.88     6.88    -0.71     0.12     1.96    16.38     4.65P    0.25R    0.05  
Torquay              23   32   +7      66.04     7.10    10.77     0.44     4.40    27.38     9.71P    0.09R    0.01  
Accrington_Stanley   24   31   -2      58.98     6.78    -5.80     0.01     0.32     4.84     1.18P    1.24R    0.30  
Morecambe            23   30   -2      61.50     7.11    -2.35     0.06     0.99    10.33     3.08P    0.61R    0.16  
Bradford             25   30   -9      55.89     6.47   -13.26     0.00     0.04     1.41     0.31P    3.03R    0.79  
Southend             23   29   -1      66.09     7.17     7.21     0.36     4.22    27.00    10.90P    0.13R    0.02  
Aldershot            24   29   -7      57.58     6.80    -9.25     0.01     0.19     3.20     0.81P    2.01R    0.51  
Northampton          24   28   -8      59.30     6.83    -6.27     0.02     0.39     5.23     1.58P    1.13R    0.31  
Stevenage            22   27   +4      59.57     7.19     3.95     0.02     0.62     7.48     2.21P    1.31R    0.27  
Macclesfield         22   26   -8      53.48     7.02   -16.21     0.00     0.03     1.11     0.23P    8.34R    2.76  
Burton_Albion        21   25   +2      58.29     7.48     0.18     0.05     0.49     5.89     1.59P    2.31R    0.64  
Stockport            26   24  -30      42.83     6.03   -44.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   61.57R   35.66  
Barnet               25   23  -16      43.95     6.29   -28.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   50.50R   26.08  
Hereford             23   22  -14      48.25     6.86   -22.33     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P   25.09R   10.56  
Lincoln_City         21   19  -15      45.28     6.97   -26.40     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   41.98R   21.80  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 18 January 2011, Bath_City vs Crawley_Town; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Crawley_Town       23   52  +30      91.16     6.87    42.02    37.54    98.56    53.73P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      26   51  +19      83.85     6.39    27.21     6.45    89.52    24.11P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              25   50  +30      92.91     6.03    52.95    54.55    99.60    74.45P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     26   44  +15      73.40     6.39    18.28     0.23    36.46     6.73P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            25   43  +13      76.47     6.31    20.17     0.72    55.37    13.20P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     27   42  +10      68.63     6.31    10.78     0.03    13.58     2.15P    0.00R    0.00  
Kidderminster      27   42   +3      67.73     6.00     2.13     0.02     9.12     1.51P    0.00R    0.00  
Grimsby            25   38  +12      74.31     6.59    23.84     0.39    44.46    12.39P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          26   37   +4      68.27     6.39    10.06     0.02    12.56     2.27P    0.01R    0.00  
York               25   35   +1      67.84     6.42     7.30     0.01    10.52     2.27P    0.01R    0.00  
Darlington         24   34   +8      69.25     6.74    15.54     0.04    17.66     4.48P    0.01R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      25   33   +5      63.77     6.56     8.13     0.00     4.38     0.96P    0.13R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   25   33   +0      66.30     6.38     7.25     0.01     7.32     1.59P    0.03R    0.00  
Bath_City          26   31   -8      54.35     6.40   -15.01     0.00     0.13     0.02P    5.45R    0.67  
Tamworth           25   30   -6      54.70     6.29   -12.79     0.00     0.10     0.02P    4.80R    0.61  
Gateshead          24   29   -7      52.34     6.30   -18.25     0.00     0.04     0.00P   10.02R    1.70  
Kettering          25   28   -9      59.27     6.45    -5.29     0.00     0.60     0.12P    1.21R    0.13  
Barrow             25   26  -11      49.30     6.17   -20.51     0.00     0.01     0.00P   20.45R    4.36  
Forest_Green       25   26  -15      48.66     6.27   -25.59     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.94R    5.96  
Southport          25   25   -6      47.75     6.39   -15.68     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.21R    7.69  
Hayes_&_Yeading    26   24  -21      43.67     5.96   -34.63     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.50R   21.73  
Eastbourne_Boro    25   22  -15      44.91     6.19   -25.85     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.00R   15.27  
Altrincham         25   22  -29      46.18     6.24   -36.67     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.86R   13.28  
Histon             24   20  -23      42.77     6.39   -35.40     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.36R   28.57