Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 18 January 2011 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 16 January 2011, Birmingham vs Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         21   45  +24      80.57     5.16    44.03    65.18    88.32    96.59    99.66   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        23   45  +18      70.25     5.05    25.25     3.12    16.31    46.72    85.20    99.61     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         22   43  +23      76.37     5.11    42.05    26.24    70.39    90.19    98.35    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         22   38  +19      70.95     5.07    36.67     5.30    23.35    58.47    89.09    99.65     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       22   37   +6      63.12     5.42    12.46     0.16     1.61     7.78    25.20    90.40     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland      23   34   +3      53.06     5.11     0.75     0.00     0.01     0.13     0.89    27.55     0.13R    0.01  
Bolton          23   30   +3      47.93     5.11    -1.66     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.09     6.97     2.10R    0.10  
Stoke           22   30   +2      48.47     5.21    -3.36     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.11     8.12     1.97R    0.15  
Newcastle       22   29   +3      50.64     5.55     2.22     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.45    17.86     0.94R    0.04  
Blackpool       21   28   -5      45.87     5.52   -15.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     3.81     7.76R    0.95  
Blackburn       23   28   -8      46.57     5.20   -11.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     3.57     5.07R    0.45  
Everton         22   26   -2      50.64     5.40     1.68     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.34    16.65     1.05R    0.08  
Liverpool       22   26   -4      51.67     5.39     1.38     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.51    21.50     0.62R    0.04  
West_Brom       22   25  -12      42.92     5.37   -19.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.11    19.01R    3.37  
Fulham          22   23   -2      41.97     5.19    -6.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.77    19.02R    2.89  
Birmingham      21   23   -5      42.56     5.33   -10.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.00    17.70R    2.90  
Aston_Villa     22   22  -15      43.85     5.43   -15.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.41    14.40R    2.48  
Wigan           22   22  -15      35.39     4.77   -29.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    73.70R   31.87  
Wolverhampton   22   21  -14      36.78     5.12   -23.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    61.27R   19.97  
West_Ham        23   20  -19      34.99     4.89   -28.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.25R   34.71  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 January 2011, Bristol_City vs Middlesbrough; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              26   49  +27      81.88     6.35    35.06    45.00    65.45    94.22    73.28P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          27   46   +9      74.43     6.09    12.69     6.41    16.83    62.88    27.87P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          26   44  +10      76.61     6.38    18.06    13.48    29.37    75.49    41.87P    0.00R    0.00  
Norwich          26   44   +8      73.49     6.48    11.06     5.62    15.07    56.69    24.12P    0.01R    0.00  
Leeds_United     27   44   +7      71.15     6.36     8.52     2.87     8.12    42.51    15.16P    0.01R    0.00  
Watford          25   42  +15      73.80     6.68    19.54     7.90    18.68    60.86    28.63P    0.01R    0.00  
Reading          26   40  +13      73.10     6.41    21.60     5.98    15.27    57.82    28.08P    0.01R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    24   40  +12      74.98     6.72    19.44    10.43    23.04    66.94    35.21P    0.00R    0.00  
Millwall         26   39   +9      66.54     6.43     9.33     0.75     2.46    19.80     6.41P    0.24R    0.00  
Burnley          25   36   +6      66.43     6.82     8.08     0.82     2.78    20.62     7.55P    0.40R    0.02  
Coventry         27   36   -1      58.83     5.97    -5.76     0.01     0.05     1.66     0.30P    4.00R    0.22  
Hull             26   36   -1      63.57     6.40    -0.58     0.18     0.78     9.07     2.78P    0.94R    0.04  
Leicester        27   36   -7      62.82     6.10    -6.00     0.06     0.35     6.03     1.60P    1.19R    0.04  
Derby            26   34   +1      60.42     6.34    -0.93     0.04     0.19     3.79     0.91P    2.93R    0.11  
Doncaster        24   34   -2      62.96     6.75    -4.03     0.25     0.77     8.37     2.16P    1.70R    0.14  
Barnsley         25   33   -7      57.39     6.36   -14.03     0.01     0.06     1.23     0.26P    8.74R    0.74  
Bristol_City     26   31  -10      55.05     6.30   -15.30     0.00     0.01     0.50     0.09P   15.63R    1.77  
Portsmouth       25   30   -4      63.21     6.68     2.74     0.17     0.68     9.41     3.15P    1.57R    0.12  
Middlesbrough    26   29   -5      57.95     6.28    -2.59     0.01     0.03     1.38     0.40P    6.26R    0.53  
Ipswich          25   28   -7      54.93     6.46    -9.87     0.01     0.01     0.55     0.14P   15.46R    1.84  
Sheff_Utd        26   27  -16      52.80     6.25   -18.48     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.05P   25.91R    3.53  
Crystal_Palace   26   25  -21      47.86     6.12   -28.13     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    58.74R   13.94  
Scunthorpe       24   23  -18      45.97     6.47   -30.23     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   69.31R   24.56  
Preston          25   20  -18      41.64     6.29   -30.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.93R   52.40  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 18 January 2011, Bristol_Rovers vs Hartlepool; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         23   46  +24      84.01     7.01    33.62    41.59    65.60    95.60    72.89P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     25   42  +10      77.26     6.73    19.89     9.04    24.23    78.32    37.94P    0.01R    0.00  
Southampton      24   41  +23      82.33     6.69    40.26    32.97    58.69    93.92    72.20P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      25   40  +18      72.31     6.85    23.18     3.11     9.56    53.83    19.45P    0.08R    0.00  
Peterborough     23   36   +0      69.10     7.40     1.81     1.28     4.44    33.42     9.72P    0.78R    0.01  
MK_Dons          25   36   -4      63.93     6.68    -5.64     0.13     0.55    10.70     2.37P    2.48R    0.04  
Charlton         23   35   +4      73.52     7.17    14.62     4.12    12.31    58.51    25.04P    0.08R    0.00  
Oldham           23   35   +1      65.99     7.05     0.15     0.33     1.44    18.82     4.33P    1.49R    0.04  
Sheff_Wed        23   34  +12      74.38     7.11    25.28     5.44    15.70    65.10    31.75P    0.06R    0.00  
Colchester       22   34   +1      68.58     7.27     3.37     1.20     3.93    30.27     9.51P    0.77R    0.01  
Rochdale         24   33   +4      61.49     6.99     1.18     0.10     0.38     7.28     1.63P    5.52R    0.16  
Hartlepool       23   33   -4      60.75     6.91   -10.28     0.05     0.28     5.41     1.02P    7.47R    0.23  
Plymouth         26   33   -7      60.46     6.51    -7.08     0.02     0.12     3.90     0.96P    6.81R    0.23  
Brentford        24   32   -2      60.95     6.69    -3.66     0.03     0.18     5.28     1.13P    6.04R    0.16  
Carlisle         22   31   +9      65.14     7.27    10.58     0.35     1.48    18.10     5.07P    2.05R    0.05  
Exeter           24   31   -7      57.05     6.70   -14.06     0.00     0.03     1.53     0.23P   18.03R    0.99  
Notts_County     22   30   +1      63.09     7.40     1.22     0.18     0.80    11.60     2.99P    4.50R    0.18  
Leyton_Orient    22   28   -2      59.19     7.25    -4.93     0.03     0.18     4.28     0.86P   11.43R    0.69  
Swindon          24   28   -5      59.18     6.89    -3.95     0.02     0.08     3.43     0.80P   10.57R    0.50  
Tranmere         23   26  -10      51.74     6.74   -19.16     0.00     0.01     0.25     0.03P   45.28R    5.26  
Yeovil           23   26  -12      52.68     6.79   -19.38     0.00     0.01     0.37     0.07P   40.28R    4.44  
Bristol_Rovers   24   24  -18      48.84     6.68   -26.90     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   63.72R   12.41  
Dag_&_Red        23   21  -14      43.86     6.77   -28.20     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   84.57R   34.91  
Walsall          24   19  -22      43.14     6.58   -31.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   88.00R   39.67  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 18 January 2011, Accrington_Stanley vs Shrewsbury; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         23   48  +21      86.06     7.18    30.87    55.36    84.88    98.17    88.14P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              24   43   +8      78.49     6.95    15.95    12.41    48.00    86.28    58.10P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            23   41  +15      77.71     7.08    22.86    11.82    45.43    84.44    55.52P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            23   39   +8      75.40     6.96    15.16     6.19    30.84    75.31    41.31P    0.00R    0.00  
Crewe                24   38  +18      75.35     6.98    29.33     6.95    34.22    77.74    46.03P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           24   38  +12      72.25     6.82    18.04     2.62    17.99    61.37    29.41P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 23   36  +12      70.46     7.05    16.36     1.99    13.13    51.14    22.33P    0.01R    0.00  
Gillingham           24   36   +5      69.82     7.04    10.39     1.54    10.76    45.77    20.26P    0.01R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           24   35   +0      61.80     6.77    -4.63     0.08     0.87     9.83     2.37P    0.40R    0.06  
Cheltenham           24   34   +0      63.76     6.85    -0.86     0.13     1.82    15.77     4.50P    0.28R    0.06  
Torquay              23   32   +7      66.09     7.12    10.77     0.44     4.52    27.78    10.03P    0.09R    0.01  
Accrington_Stanley   24   31   -2      58.94     6.82    -5.89     0.00     0.31     4.90     1.09P    1.32R    0.31  
Morecambe            23   30   -2      61.46     7.09    -2.38     0.06     1.03    10.02     2.90P    0.68R    0.15  
Bradford             25   30   -9      55.85     6.48   -13.24     0.00     0.05     1.49     0.30P    3.16R    0.72  
Southend             23   29   -1      66.18     7.21     7.37     0.34     4.48    27.61    11.22P    0.14R    0.02  
Aldershot            24   29   -7      57.46     6.68    -9.43     0.00     0.13     2.79     0.70P    2.15R    0.58  
Northampton          24   28   -8      59.23     6.83    -6.41     0.01     0.28     4.82     1.32P    1.23R    0.29  
Stevenage            22   27   +4      59.65     7.27     4.02     0.05     0.72     7.75     2.52P    1.25R    0.33  
Macclesfield         22   26   -8      53.66     7.00   -15.91     0.00     0.04     1.05     0.23P    7.98R    2.59  
Burton_Albion        21   25   +2      58.21     7.51     0.08     0.02     0.50     5.80     1.67P    2.37R    0.70  
Stockport            26   24  -30      42.93     6.09   -44.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   60.73R   35.06  
Barnet               25   23  -16      43.91     6.26   -28.97     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    50.41R   26.20  
Hereford             23   22  -14      48.19     6.85   -22.40     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.03P   25.18R   10.49  
Lincoln_City         21   19  -15      45.20     6.95   -26.53     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   42.61R   22.43  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 18 January 2011, Bath_City vs Crawley_Town; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Crawley_Town       23   52  +30      91.06     6.83    41.86    37.03    98.61    53.47P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      26   51  +19      83.86     6.35    27.25     6.35    89.39    24.00P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              25   50  +30      92.95     6.03    53.02    55.14    99.61    74.66P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     26   44  +15      73.48     6.39    18.34     0.21    37.02     6.98P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            25   43  +13      76.48     6.34    20.24     0.75    55.81    13.65P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     27   42  +10      68.56     6.35    10.67     0.02    13.46     2.06P    0.00R    0.00  
Kidderminster      27   42   +3      67.75     6.01     2.22     0.02     9.05     1.46P    0.00R    0.00  
Grimsby            25   38  +12      74.16     6.61    23.59     0.39    43.44    11.87P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          26   37   +4      68.26     6.41    10.07     0.02    12.58     2.31P    0.01R    0.00  
York               25   35   +1      67.86     6.44     7.36     0.02    10.78     2.29P    0.01R    0.00  
Darlington         24   34   +8      69.21     6.70    15.50     0.05    17.39     4.49P    0.01R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      25   33   +5      63.82     6.54     8.16     0.01     4.37     0.90P    0.13R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   25   33   +0      66.22     6.43     7.15     0.00     7.57     1.71P    0.03R    0.00  
Bath_City          26   31   -8      54.42     6.40   -14.90     0.00     0.09     0.01P    5.43R    0.68  
Tamworth           25   30   -6      54.69     6.24   -12.88     0.00     0.11     0.00P    4.68R    0.57  
Gateshead          24   29   -7      52.43     6.38   -18.06     0.00     0.05     0.01P   10.27R    1.73  
Kettering          25   28   -9      59.24     6.44    -5.33     0.00     0.63     0.13P    1.17R    0.11  
Barrow             25   26  -11      49.36     6.21   -20.41     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.31R    4.24  
Forest_Green       25   26  -15      48.71     6.23   -25.51     0.00     0.01     0.00    24.47R    5.71  
Southport          25   25   -6      47.79     6.41   -15.65     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.06R    7.50  
Hayes_&_Yeading    26   24  -21      43.71     5.99   -34.54     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.48R   21.48  
Eastbourne_Boro    25   22  -15      44.98     6.19   -25.79     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.26R   14.95  
Altrincham         25   22  -29      46.13     6.26   -36.73     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.37R   13.48  
Histon             24   20  -23      42.63     6.44   -35.61     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.30R   29.54