Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 17 January 2011 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 16 January 2011, Birmingham vs Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         21   45  +24      80.55     5.17    44.01    65.18    88.08    96.63    99.67   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        23   45  +18      70.29     5.05    25.33     3.13    16.59    46.72    85.59    99.63     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         22   43  +23      76.32     5.13    41.99    26.11    70.13    89.86    98.17    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         22   38  +19      71.00     5.05    36.72     5.44    23.54    58.86    89.35    99.71     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       22   37   +6      63.08     5.45    12.38     0.15     1.65     7.66    24.82    90.34     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland      23   34   +3      53.00     5.09     0.65     0.00     0.01     0.10     0.76    27.46     0.14R    0.01  
Bolton          23   30   +3      47.98     5.13    -1.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08     7.09     2.13R    0.14  
Stoke           22   30   +2      48.52     5.20    -3.24     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.13     8.12     1.83R    0.14  
Newcastle       22   29   +3      50.67     5.56     2.22     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.44    17.94     0.93R    0.04  
Blackpool       21   28   -5      45.81     5.49   -15.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     3.71     7.68R    1.02  
Blackburn       23   28   -8      46.60     5.19   -11.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     3.53     5.02R    0.45  
Everton         22   26   -2      50.57     5.42     1.56     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.32    16.63     1.00R    0.09  
Liverpool       22   26   -4      51.69     5.38     1.36     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.58    21.36     0.67R    0.04  
West_Brom       22   25  -12      42.93     5.39   -19.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.13    18.87R    3.45  
Fulham          22   23   -2      41.92     5.18    -6.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.80    19.40R    2.98  
Birmingham      21   23   -5      42.56     5.36   -10.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.00    18.16R    2.93  
Aston_Villa     22   22  -15      43.90     5.44   -15.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.49    14.16R    2.45  
Wigan           22   22  -15      35.40     4.79   -29.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    73.27R   31.76  
Wolverhampton   22   21  -14      36.84     5.09   -23.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05    61.17R   19.32  
West_Ham        23   20  -19      34.94     4.90   -28.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    75.55R   35.19  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 January 2011, Bristol_City vs Middlesbrough; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              26   49  +27      81.89     6.29    35.01    45.31    65.71    94.39    73.39P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          27   46   +9      74.56     6.10    12.82     6.63    17.44    64.16    28.78P    0.00R    0.00  
Cardiff          26   44  +10      76.64     6.44    18.13    13.89    29.94    75.50    42.51P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          26   44   +8      73.46     6.52    10.97     5.79    14.89    56.41    23.96P    0.01R    0.00  
Leeds_United     27   44   +7      71.13     6.35     8.51     2.94     8.20    42.25    15.25P    0.01R    0.00  
Watford          25   42  +15      73.69     6.60    19.40     7.33    17.90    60.37    27.51P    0.01R    0.00  
Reading          26   40  +13      73.08     6.40    21.54     5.77    15.10    58.13    28.18P    0.01R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    24   40  +12      74.96     6.73    19.40    10.26    23.07    66.93    35.50P    0.01R    0.00  
Millwall         26   39   +8      66.18     6.34     7.92     0.55     1.92    17.89     5.43P    0.21R    0.01  
Burnley          25   36   +6      66.38     6.80     8.03     0.76     2.72    20.60     7.39P    0.43R    0.02  
Coventry         27   36   +0      58.90     5.96    -4.49     0.01     0.06     1.81     0.32P    3.44R    0.19  
Hull             26   36   +0      64.06     6.39     1.21     0.24     0.91    10.45     3.13P    0.70R    0.05  
Leicester        27   36   -7      62.87     6.11    -5.88     0.07     0.34     6.28     1.62P    1.10R    0.04  
Derby            26   34   +1      60.37     6.33    -0.89     0.05     0.23     3.87     0.98P    2.65R    0.13  
Doncaster        24   34   -3      62.76     6.71    -5.20     0.16     0.65     7.73     1.92P    1.71R    0.06  
Barnsley         25   33   -8      57.16     6.34   -15.35     0.02     0.06     1.18     0.22P    8.77R    0.78  
Bristol_City     26   32   -8      56.56     6.26   -12.35     0.01     0.02     0.84     0.19P    9.70R    0.97  
Portsmouth       25   30   -4      63.19     6.74     2.67     0.20     0.79     9.39     3.22P    1.60R    0.11  
Middlesbrough    26   29   -4      58.09     6.23    -1.36     0.01     0.04     1.48     0.40P    5.64R    0.45  
Sheff_Utd        26   27  -16      52.62     6.29   -18.70     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.04P   25.64R    3.73  
Ipswich          25   26   -9      52.55     6.44   -12.36     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.05P   24.71R    3.71  
Crystal_Palace   26   25  -21      47.79     6.14   -28.18     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    57.54R   13.79  
Scunthorpe       24   23  -18      45.66     6.46   -30.78     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   69.67R   25.45  
Preston          25   20  -18      41.67     6.29   -30.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.44R   50.52  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 January 2011, Brighton vs Peterborough; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         23   46  +24      83.92     7.05    33.50    41.18    64.99    95.13    72.25P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     25   42  +10      77.11     6.73    19.65     9.00    23.69    76.96    37.12P    0.01R    0.00  
Southampton      24   41  +23      82.32     6.70    40.29    32.54    58.34    93.69    71.59P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      24   39  +18      72.87     7.12    23.46     3.94    11.50    55.63    21.31P    0.10R    0.00  
Peterborough     23   36   +0      68.88     7.37     1.37     1.17     4.16    31.24     9.42P    0.77R    0.01  
MK_Dons          24   36   -2      66.04     6.88    -2.46     0.30     1.34    17.56     4.40P    1.31R    0.02  
Charlton         23   35   +4      73.45     7.15    14.52     4.00    11.74    57.06    24.26P    0.09R    0.00  
Oldham           23   35   +1      66.00     7.05     0.13     0.35     1.50    18.32     4.38P    1.52R    0.03  
Sheff_Wed        23   34  +12      74.21     7.13    25.03     5.36    14.77    62.99    30.22P    0.05R    0.00  
Colchester       22   34   +1      68.87     7.33     3.85     1.31     4.17    31.41    10.10P    0.75R    0.02  
Rochdale         23   32   +4      61.90     7.26     1.15     0.09     0.56     8.61     2.13P    5.56R    0.16  
Brentford        24   32   -2      60.90     6.68    -3.73     0.03     0.18     4.77     1.07P    6.11R    0.20  
Hartlepool       22   32   -4      61.12     7.16   -10.43     0.11     0.40     6.30     1.32P    7.53R    0.30  
Carlisle         22   31   +9      65.10     7.21    10.57     0.34     1.39    17.24     4.98P    1.98R    0.04  
Exeter           24   31   -7      57.13     6.66   -13.93     0.01     0.04     1.48     0.22P   17.65R    1.02  
Notts_County     22   30   +1      63.14     7.42     1.26     0.20     0.89    11.45     3.07P    4.43R    0.13  
Plymouth         25   30   -9      58.04     6.73   -10.28     0.01     0.05     2.00     0.46P   13.77R    0.68  
Leyton_Orient    22   28   -2      59.21     7.25    -4.82     0.04     0.19     4.28     0.87P   11.51R    0.59  
Swindon          24   28   -5      59.08     6.83    -4.05     0.01     0.10     3.05     0.70P   10.48R    0.54  
Tranmere         23   26  -10      51.82     6.78   -19.01     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.03P   44.73R    5.33  
Yeovil           23   26  -12      52.85     6.85   -19.08     0.00     0.00     0.37     0.06P   39.23R    4.19  
Bristol_Rovers   23   23  -18      49.48     6.99   -26.69     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.03P   59.86R   11.37  
Dag_&_Red        23   21  -14      43.85     6.77   -28.22     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    84.59R   35.20  
Walsall          24   19  -22      43.10     6.55   -32.08     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   87.95R   40.19  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 January 2011, Barnet vs Shrewsbury; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         23   48  +21      86.04     7.22    30.85    55.51    85.17    98.14    88.38P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              24   43   +8      78.42     6.98    15.83    12.70    48.18    86.24    58.13P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            23   41  +15      77.86     7.08    23.12    12.33    47.49    85.23    57.65P    0.00R    0.00  
Port_Vale            23   39   +8      75.54     6.94    15.40     6.27    32.14    76.82    42.83P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                24   38  +18      75.27     6.98    29.18     7.00    34.09    77.90    46.13P    0.00R    0.00  
Bury                 23   36  +12      70.43     7.06    16.33     2.00    13.59    51.37    22.90P    0.00R    0.00  
Gillingham           24   36   +5      69.87     6.96    10.40     1.40    10.72    46.85    20.34P    0.01R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           23   35  +10      70.27     7.08    15.56     1.60    12.75    50.20    22.47P    0.00R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           24   35   +0      61.89     6.79    -4.52     0.06     1.10    10.45     2.77P    0.38R    0.06  
Cheltenham           24   34   +0      63.96     6.89    -0.60     0.13     2.12    16.88     4.85P    0.21R    0.04  
Torquay              23   32   +7      66.04     7.16    10.70     0.48     4.63    28.32    10.25P    0.09R    0.02  
Accrington_Stanley   23   31   +0      60.64     7.09    -3.21     0.03     0.82     8.62     2.19P    0.88R    0.19  
Morecambe            23   30   -2      61.45     7.03    -2.48     0.05     0.94     9.95     2.98P    0.60R    0.13  
Bradford             24   30   -8      57.27     6.70   -12.21     0.01     0.16     2.78     0.63P    2.14R    0.53  
Southend             23   29   -1      66.16     7.19     7.35     0.34     4.36    28.01    11.27P    0.11R    0.02  
Northampton          24   28   -8      59.23     6.84    -6.40     0.01     0.34     5.36     1.53P    1.18R    0.24  
Stevenage            22   27   +4      59.43     7.22     3.71     0.04     0.70     7.43     2.24P    1.26R    0.31  
Macclesfield         22   26   -8      53.47     7.03   -16.28     0.00     0.05     1.08     0.21P    8.32R    2.79  
Aldershot            23   26   -8      55.72     6.97   -10.67     0.01     0.13     2.09     0.53P    4.18R    1.26  
Burton_Albion        21   25   +2      58.26     7.48     0.16     0.04     0.50     6.11     1.68P    2.41R    0.67  
Stockport            26   24  -30      42.95     6.05   -44.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.38R   34.63  
Barnet               25   23  -16      43.84     6.26   -29.02     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   51.05R   26.67  
Hereford             23   22  -14      48.29     6.86   -22.27     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.03P   24.70R   10.47  
Lincoln_City         21   19  -15      45.27     7.00   -26.48     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00P   42.10R   21.95  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 January 2011, Barrow vs Kidderminster; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
AFC_Wimbledon      25   50  +19      83.90     6.59    26.73    10.02    88.83    26.91P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       22   49  +28      89.39     7.09    39.77    36.83    97.09    52.63P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              24   47  +25      91.11     6.30    47.31    50.68    98.95    70.75P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     25   43  +15      73.96     6.65    18.56     0.67    41.06     8.12P    0.00R    0.00  
Newport_County     27   42  +10      68.65     6.38    10.84     0.04    14.21     2.37P    0.00R    0.00  
Kidderminster      27   42   +3      67.93     6.05     2.52     0.03    10.08     1.68P    0.00R    0.00  
Wrexham            24   40  +12      74.88     6.57    19.29     0.87    46.26    11.44P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          26   37   +4      68.13     6.40     9.78     0.04    12.54     2.37P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            24   35  +11      73.10     6.87    23.45     0.56    38.46    11.02P    0.00R    0.00  
York               24   35   +6      69.67     6.61    12.94     0.14    18.36     4.30P    0.01R    0.00  
Darlington         24   34   +8      69.20     6.76    15.48     0.09    17.88     4.80P    0.01R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      25   33   +5      63.61     6.52     7.89     0.00     4.18     0.92P    0.15R    0.01  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   24   32   +0      67.23     6.64     8.06     0.02    10.51     2.44P    0.04R    0.00  
Bath_City          25   31   -6      56.03     6.65   -12.47     0.00     0.27     0.02P    3.67R    0.42  
Tamworth           24   29   -6      55.69     6.55   -11.85     0.00     0.21     0.04P    4.22R    0.47  
Kettering          24   28   -8      59.99     6.61    -5.21     0.00     1.03     0.19P    1.00R    0.10  
Barrow             24   26   -8      51.08     6.47   -16.67     0.00     0.01     0.00    14.36R    2.92  
Gateshead          23   26  -10      50.43     6.53   -21.67     0.00     0.02     0.00    17.89R    3.72  
Forest_Green       25   26  -15      48.69     6.23   -25.58     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.74R    5.54  
Southport          24   25   -5      49.08     6.60   -14.68     0.00     0.01     0.00P   22.45R    5.35  
Hayes_&_Yeading    25   23  -21      43.52     6.19   -35.25     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.22R   22.86  
Eastbourne_Boro    25   22  -15      44.88     6.24   -25.86     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.56R   15.31  
Altrincham         24   21  -29      45.90     6.47   -37.76     0.00     0.01     0.00    43.76R   14.62  
Histon             24   20  -23      42.59     6.41   -35.63     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.91R   28.67