Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 14 January 2011 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 12 January 2011, Blackpool vs Liverpool; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         20   44  +24      81.26     5.44    44.63    72.40    90.85    97.41    99.65   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        22   42  +17      69.61     5.26    25.79     3.06    17.44    46.79    82.79    99.23     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         21   40  +20      75.05     5.39    39.47    19.23    63.96    86.00    96.77    99.90     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       21   36   +6      63.13     5.61    11.89     0.26     2.75    10.30    28.77    88.35     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         21   35  +17      70.43     5.20    36.61     5.04    24.93    58.82    87.46    99.41     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland      22   33   +3      53.66     5.33     1.05     0.00     0.03     0.24     1.53    29.01     0.14R    0.00  
Bolton          22   30   +5      49.32     5.35     0.37     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.33    10.11     1.50R    0.08  
Newcastle       21   28   +3      50.95     5.76     2.08     0.00     0.01     0.09     0.72    18.00     1.15R    0.05  
Blackpool       20   28   -4      46.95     5.71   -14.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.14     4.90     6.50R    0.82  
Blackburn       22   28   -6      46.93     5.33   -11.51     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.07     3.70     5.36R    0.52  
Stoke           21   27   +0      46.75     5.34    -5.50     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.07     4.07     4.96R    0.50  
Everton         21   25   -2      50.38     5.58     0.75     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.43    14.29     1.50R    0.11  
Liverpool       21   25   -4      52.61     5.60     2.17     0.00     0.02     0.21     1.22    24.55     0.55R    0.03  
Fulham          21   22   -2      42.31     5.40    -6.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.93    19.36R    3.50  
Birmingham      20   22   -5      43.09     5.54   -10.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.29    17.23R    3.07  
West_Brom       21   22  -13      41.61     5.62   -19.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.62    27.52R    6.74  
Wolverhampton   21   21  -13      37.26     5.19   -24.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05    59.01R   19.82  
Aston_Villa     21   21  -15      44.18     5.62   -16.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     1.54    14.60R    2.89  
Wigan           21   21  -15      35.66     4.98   -29.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    71.79R   33.01  
West_Ham        22   20  -16      36.00     5.10   -26.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    68.82R   28.84  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 4 January 2011, Cardiff vs Leeds_United; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              25   48  +27      82.20     6.52    35.00    48.92    69.34    94.98    76.30P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          25   43  +10      76.91     6.62    17.98    15.99    34.33    78.17    46.37P    0.00R    0.00  
Norwich          25   43   +8      73.89     6.79    11.09     7.67    19.21    61.86    28.58P    0.01R    0.00  
Swansea          26   43   +6      72.91     6.27     9.77     4.59    13.33    56.79    23.97P    0.01R    0.00  
Leeds_United     26   41   +3      69.43     6.55     4.39     1.95     6.18    35.49    12.03P    0.11R    0.00  
Watford          24   39  +12      72.31     6.84    16.74     5.67    15.06    54.72    24.49P    0.04R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    23   37  +11      73.58     6.95    18.69     8.26    19.92    62.16    32.00P    0.02R    0.00  
Reading          25   37  +10      70.91     6.59    17.63     3.49    10.33    47.27    21.40P    0.07R    0.00  
Millwall         25   36   +8      65.19     6.59     8.72     0.57     2.05    17.38     5.53P    0.70R    0.03  
Burnley          24   35   +6      66.78     7.06     8.04     1.27     4.12    25.35     9.61P    0.61R    0.02  
Coventry         26   35   -1      59.39     6.19    -5.58     0.02     0.14     2.85     0.63P    4.89R    0.32  
Leicester        26   35   -7      63.05     6.36    -6.21     0.13     0.56     8.53     2.40P    1.72R    0.07  
Derby            25   34   +4      61.94     6.57     2.23     0.18     0.64     7.84     2.20P    2.37R    0.10  
Doncaster        23   34   +1      65.25     7.05     0.48     0.70     2.42    17.87     5.40P    1.10R    0.05  
Hull             25   33   -3      62.12     6.60    -2.28     0.13     0.59     7.69     2.31P    2.58R    0.17  
Barnsley         24   33   -5      58.45     6.56   -12.49     0.03     0.12     2.62     0.53P    8.36R    0.74  
Bristol_City     25   31   -6      57.48     6.48    -9.56     0.01     0.07     1.71     0.38P   10.17R    1.04  
Portsmouth       24   30   -3      64.20     6.91     3.13     0.41     1.53    14.43     5.26P    1.65R    0.14  
Ipswich          24   28   -6      56.15     6.66    -9.06     0.01     0.04     1.28     0.35P   14.49R    1.80  
Middlesbrough    25   26   -9      55.10     6.47    -8.36     0.00     0.02     0.67     0.20P   17.31R    2.19  
Sheff_Utd        25   26  -16      52.89     6.44   -18.91     0.00     0.01     0.27     0.05P   29.61R    4.84  
Crystal_Palace   25   25  -18      49.32     6.32   -24.93     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   52.96R   11.74  
Scunthorpe       23   23  -14      47.23     6.71   -26.52     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   64.52R   22.02  
Preston          24   19  -18      42.13     6.52   -30.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.71R   54.71  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 14 January 2011, Brentford vs Exeter; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         22   43  +22      82.47     7.24    31.79    32.28    56.87    92.30    65.68P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      23   40  +23      83.52     6.91    41.69    41.19    65.58    94.91    76.64P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      24   39  +18      72.61     7.11    23.07     3.68    11.01    54.67    20.76P    0.11R    0.00  
Huddersfield     24   39   +8      75.68     6.92    17.96     6.62    18.51    69.82    31.70P    0.03R    0.00  
Peterborough     22   36   +2      70.47     7.55     3.83     2.19     7.00    39.69    13.44P    0.54R    0.01  
Charlton         22   34   +4      73.40     7.32    13.84     4.35    12.50    56.96    24.72P    0.15R    0.00  
Colchester       22   34   +1      68.58     7.27     3.38     1.18     3.86    30.07     9.47P    0.81R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        22   33  +12      74.95     7.40    25.54     7.12    18.69    66.78    34.81P    0.09R    0.00  
MK_Dons          23   33   -4      64.58     7.07    -4.32     0.25     0.90    13.68     3.30P    2.71R    0.05  
Oldham           22   32   -1      63.53     7.20    -3.13     0.13     0.69    11.42     2.62P    4.04R    0.11  
Brentford        24   32   -2      60.85     6.72    -3.82     0.04     0.18     5.06     1.06P    6.43R    0.18  
Hartlepool       21   32   -3      63.51     7.36    -7.92     0.23     0.92    11.57     2.58P    4.53R    0.14  
Rochdale         22   31   +4      62.72     7.49     1.77     0.21     0.83    11.24     2.90P    5.38R    0.16  
Exeter           24   31   -7      56.94     6.66   -14.27     0.00     0.03     1.38     0.20P   19.22R    0.91  
Plymouth         24   30   -7      60.34     6.97    -6.93     0.03     0.20     4.75     1.24P    8.90R    0.29  
Notts_County     21   29   +1      62.59     7.67    -0.38     0.20     0.88    11.03     2.93P    6.14R    0.21  
Carlisle         21   28   +5      63.01     7.49     5.84     0.18     0.80    11.88     3.16P    4.77R    0.14  
Swindon          23   28   -4      61.51     7.08    -1.43     0.06     0.28     6.96     1.63P    6.84R    0.23  
Leyton_Orient    21   27   -2      59.37     7.40    -5.23     0.04     0.22     4.73     0.97P   12.25R    0.59  
Tranmere         22   26   -8      53.23     7.00   -17.03     0.00     0.01     0.58     0.10P   37.81R    3.48  
Yeovil           22   23  -13      50.30     6.96   -21.71     0.00     0.01     0.17     0.04P   55.09R    8.05  
Bristol_Rovers   22   23  -14      51.27     7.19   -21.93     0.00     0.01     0.33     0.06P   49.99R    7.13  
Walsall          23   19  -20      44.59     6.75   -29.76     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    83.27R   28.15  
Dag_&_Red        22   18  -15      41.32     6.98   -30.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.91R   50.17  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 11 January 2011, Stockport vs Rotherham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         22   45  +20      84.64     7.39    30.17    47.02    79.62    96.93    83.96P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            22   41  +16      79.77     7.30    24.88    19.70    57.10    89.73    65.69P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              23   40   +7      77.01     7.20    15.13    10.27    40.13    81.15    51.13P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            22   39   +9      76.68     7.13    16.00     9.22    38.15    80.27    47.88P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                23   35  +17      73.52     7.22    27.92     5.23    26.11    69.20    37.99P    0.01R    0.00  
Bury                 22   35  +12      71.35     7.31    17.12     2.99    16.89    55.96    26.78P    0.01R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           22   34  +10      71.13     7.26    16.31     2.63    15.65    54.77    25.84P    0.01R    0.00  
Cheltenham           23   34   +1      65.73     7.11     1.02     0.41     3.81    24.73     7.68P    0.14R    0.03  
Gillingham           23   33   +4      68.33     7.27     9.57     1.12     8.23    38.67    16.68P    0.04R    0.01  
Torquay              22   32   +8      67.41     7.32    11.74     0.83     7.04    35.10    13.56P    0.08R    0.01  
Oxford_Utd           23   32   -1      60.20     6.95    -5.60     0.05     0.64     7.31     1.82P    0.91R    0.20  
Bradford             23   30   -7      59.03     6.87   -10.60     0.02     0.40     4.97     1.27P    1.42R    0.32  
Accrington_Stanley   22   28   -1      58.31     7.23    -5.37     0.02     0.39     5.33     1.36P    2.26R    0.65  
Northampton          23   28   -7      60.68     7.05    -5.25     0.05     0.68     8.44     2.59P    0.99R    0.23  
Stevenage            21   27   +5      60.80     7.48     4.63     0.11     1.21    11.05     3.54P    1.01R    0.26  
Morecambe            22   27   -3      59.82     7.25    -3.45     0.06     0.64     7.44     2.17P    1.35R    0.38  
Southend             22   26   -2      63.90     7.45     5.34     0.22     2.63    19.47     7.63P    0.46R    0.10  
Macclesfield         22   26   -8      53.60     6.97   -16.05     0.00     0.03     1.05     0.20P    8.16R    2.72  
Burton_Albion        21   25   +2      58.17     7.48     0.01     0.03     0.53     5.88     1.60P    2.54R    0.79  
Aldershot            22   25   -8      55.49     7.12   -11.57     0.01     0.12     2.28     0.59P    5.05R    1.53  
Stockport            25   24  -27      44.68     6.35   -40.83     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   49.43R   26.25  
Barnet               24   22  -16      43.97     6.43   -29.43     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   51.43R   28.21  
Lincoln_City         20   19  -14      46.40     7.17   -25.71     0.00     0.01     0.12     0.02P   37.19R   18.93  
Hereford             22   19  -17      46.20     7.03   -26.00     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.03P   37.51R   19.38  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 12 January 2011, AFC_Wimbledon vs Luton; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
AFC_Wimbledon      25   50  +19      83.83     6.55    26.63    10.57    88.81    27.85P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              24   47  +25      91.13     6.29    47.30    54.35    99.02    72.78P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       21   46  +27      88.20     7.34    39.38    32.13    95.44    48.20P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     25   43  +15      74.11     6.64    18.77     0.79    41.56     8.72P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     27   42  +10      68.72     6.34    10.94     0.06    14.29     2.34P    0.00R    0.00  
Kidderminster      26   42   +4      69.58     6.29     3.93     0.12    15.73     2.80P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            24   40  +12      75.08     6.56    19.56     1.04    47.18    12.00P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          26   37   +4      68.13     6.47     9.78     0.05    12.79     2.49P    0.01R    0.00  
Grimsby            24   35  +11      73.03     6.84    23.34     0.64    37.60    10.88P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington         24   34   +8      69.31     6.74    15.66     0.09    18.17     4.87P    0.01R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      25   33   +5      63.55     6.55     7.85     0.01     4.07     0.96P    0.13R    0.01  
York               23   32   +5      67.93     6.80    11.79     0.10    12.93     3.13P    0.03R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   24   32   +0      67.24     6.59     8.07     0.03    10.38     2.63P    0.03R    0.00  
Bath_City          25   31   -6      55.96     6.64   -12.64     0.00     0.27     0.04P    3.77R    0.40  
Tamworth           24   29   -6      55.69     6.58   -11.82     0.00     0.20     0.03P    4.33R    0.61  
Kettering          23   28   -7      60.78     6.77    -5.08     0.00     1.52     0.28P    0.81R    0.08  
Gateshead          23   26  -10      50.28     6.50   -21.90     0.00     0.01     0.00    18.31R    4.05  
Forest_Green       25   26  -15      48.51     6.26   -25.75     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.97R    6.19  
Southport          24   25   -5      49.21     6.64   -14.36     0.00     0.01     0.00    22.15R    5.52  
Barrow             23   23   -9      49.22     6.65   -18.10     0.00     0.01     0.00    22.47R    5.52  
Hayes_&_Yeading    25   23  -21      43.51     6.16   -35.26     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.80R   23.78  
Eastbourne_Boro    25   22  -15      44.84     6.21   -25.95     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.83R   15.95  
Altrincham         24   21  -29      45.95     6.44   -37.66     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.11R   14.74  
Histon             23   20  -22      44.00     6.67   -34.49     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.24R   23.15