Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 13 January 2011 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 12 January 2011, Blackpool vs Liverpool; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         20   44  +24      81.22     5.41    44.54    71.83    90.67    97.41    99.69   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        22   42  +17      69.58     5.25    25.77     2.79    16.94    46.20    82.80    99.22     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         21   40  +20      75.14     5.40    39.61    19.93    64.44    86.49    96.90    99.92     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       21   36   +6      63.06     5.63    11.80     0.24     2.66     9.97    28.14    88.13     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         21   35  +17      70.49     5.21    36.69     5.21    25.22    59.27    87.97    99.39     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland      22   33   +3      53.78     5.32     1.22     0.00     0.04     0.30     1.56    29.88     0.15R    0.00  
Bolton          22   30   +5      49.34     5.35     0.43     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.26    10.42     1.61R    0.09  
Newcastle       21   28   +3      50.84     5.74     1.92     0.00     0.01     0.09     0.68    17.46     1.10R    0.06  
Blackpool       20   28   -4      46.88     5.71   -14.95     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.15     4.83     6.52R    0.81  
Blackburn       22   28   -6      46.96     5.34   -11.48     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06     3.79     5.13R    0.53  
Stoke           21   27   +0      46.76     5.40    -5.47     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.09     4.46     5.06R    0.53  
Everton         21   25   -2      50.27     5.59     0.54     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.40    13.58     1.47R    0.13  
Liverpool       21   25   -4      52.59     5.61     2.15     0.00     0.01     0.15     1.24    24.53     0.53R    0.04  
Fulham          21   22   -2      42.40     5.39    -6.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.98    19.18R    3.19  
Birmingham      20   22   -5      43.03     5.54   -10.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.21    17.53R    3.26  
West_Brom       21   22  -13      41.72     5.61   -19.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.68    27.14R    6.48  
Wolverhampton   21   21  -13      37.25     5.19   -24.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05    59.07R   19.97  
Aston_Villa     21   21  -15      44.06     5.62   -16.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.43    15.18R    3.00  
Wigan           21   21  -15      35.68     4.99   -29.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    71.84R   32.93  
West_Ham        22   20  -16      36.00     5.12   -26.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    68.48R   28.97  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 4 January 2011, Cardiff vs Leeds_United; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              25   48  +27      82.20     6.51    34.91    48.71    69.34    95.08    76.37P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          25   43  +10      77.00     6.64    18.08    16.36    34.80    78.65    46.95P    0.00R    0.00  
Norwich          25   43   +8      74.12     6.75    11.40     7.77    19.98    63.10    29.46P    0.02R    0.00  
Swansea          26   43   +6      72.96     6.27     9.91     4.66    13.43    56.96    23.96P    0.01R    0.00  
Leeds_United     26   41   +3      69.55     6.56     4.62     2.09     6.29    36.23    12.46P    0.08R    0.00  
Watford          24   39  +12      72.08     6.88    16.34     5.54    14.42    53.65    23.42P    0.04R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    23   37  +11      73.69     6.92    18.85     8.22    20.18    63.01    32.75P    0.02R    0.00  
Reading          25   37  +10      70.76     6.64    17.42     3.39     9.91    47.02    20.69P    0.07R    0.00  
Millwall         25   36   +7      64.76     6.61     7.21     0.44     1.70    15.71     4.91P    0.78R    0.03  
Burnley          24   35   +6      66.83     7.09     8.09     1.33     4.15    25.53     9.82P    0.56R    0.03  
Coventry         26   35   +0      59.59     6.15    -4.07     0.02     0.11     3.10     0.63P    4.19R    0.26  
Leicester        26   35   -7      63.20     6.37    -5.96     0.17     0.67     8.73     2.62P    1.65R    0.08  
Derby            25   34   +4      61.76     6.52     2.05     0.11     0.51     7.32     1.89P    2.34R    0.12  
Doncaster        23   34   +0      64.85     6.98    -1.11     0.59     2.12    16.17     4.86P    1.17R    0.06  
Hull             25   33   -2      62.39     6.58    -0.87     0.16     0.65     8.21     2.54P    2.12R    0.14  
Barnsley         24   33   -6      58.28     6.56   -13.65     0.03     0.13     2.41     0.47P    8.46R    0.79  
Bristol_City     25   32   -4      59.03     6.53    -6.63     0.02     0.13     3.01     0.73P    6.17R    0.48  
Portsmouth       24   30   -3      64.13     6.95     3.02     0.39     1.43    14.50     5.08P    1.63R    0.09  
Middlesbrough    25   26   -8      55.35     6.43    -6.99     0.01     0.02     0.75     0.20P   15.13R    1.88  
Ipswich          24   26   -8      53.55     6.61   -11.85     0.00     0.01     0.44     0.08P   23.92R    3.59  
Sheff_Utd        25   26  -16      52.82     6.50   -18.96     0.00     0.01     0.30     0.09P   29.03R    4.83  
Crystal_Palace   25   25  -18      49.16     6.34   -25.01     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   52.01R   12.03  
Scunthorpe       23   23  -14      47.12     6.69   -26.67     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   64.15R   21.63  
Preston          24   19  -18      42.02     6.49   -30.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.44R   53.94  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 11 January 2011, Bristol_Rovers vs Walsall; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         22   43  +22      82.51     7.24    31.85    31.84    56.25    92.41    65.27P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      23   40  +23      83.58     6.86    41.75    40.70    65.11    95.03    76.61P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      23   39  +19      74.13     7.30    24.27     5.76    15.37    62.28    26.02P    0.07R    0.00  
Huddersfield     24   39   +8      75.58     6.96    17.82     6.40    18.04    69.27    30.93P    0.04R    0.00  
Peterborough     22   36   +2      70.56     7.58     3.94     2.46     7.05    39.83    13.44P    0.53R    0.00  
Charlton         22   34   +4      73.34     7.27    13.84     4.02    11.88    56.76    24.20P    0.13R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        22   33  +12      74.87     7.33    25.43     6.63    17.65    66.31    33.55P    0.08R    0.00  
MK_Dons          23   33   -4      64.35     7.10    -4.67     0.21     0.90    12.85     3.13P    3.03R    0.06  
Oldham           22   32   -1      63.42     7.21    -3.31     0.16     0.63    11.07     2.38P    4.10R    0.10  
Hartlepool       21   32   -3      63.63     7.37    -7.71     0.25     0.95    11.84     2.64P    4.37R    0.11  
Rochdale         22   31   +4      62.68     7.45     1.69     0.18     0.75    10.89     2.71P    5.18R    0.11  
Colchester       21   31   +0      66.78     7.52     2.10     0.81     2.67    23.06     7.16P    1.78R    0.04  
Brentford        23   31   -2      61.93     6.91    -2.80     0.06     0.30     7.18     1.60P    5.49R    0.14  
Exeter           23   30   -7      56.90     6.91   -14.88     0.01     0.05     1.72     0.30P   20.11R    1.18  
Plymouth         24   30   -7      60.23     7.04    -7.12     0.02     0.16     4.67     1.14P    9.21R    0.34  
Notts_County     21   29   +1      62.61     7.63    -0.27     0.21     0.84    10.84     2.85P    5.94R    0.23  
Carlisle         21   28   +5      63.10     7.40     5.94     0.18     0.80    11.71     3.22P    4.50R    0.12  
Swindon          23   28   -4      61.52     7.09    -1.39     0.05     0.34     6.73     1.72P    6.81R    0.25  
Leyton_Orient    21   27   -2      59.37     7.40    -5.23     0.05     0.23     4.52     0.94P   11.99R    0.61  
Tranmere         22   26   -8      53.16     6.93   -17.20     0.00     0.01     0.51     0.10P   37.97R    3.45  
Yeovil           22   23  -13      50.27     6.99   -21.75     0.00     0.01     0.18     0.03P   55.55R    8.36  
Bristol_Rovers   22   23  -14      51.40     7.17   -21.71     0.00     0.01     0.34     0.07P   48.82R    6.76  
Walsall          23   19  -20      44.63     6.77   -29.69     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    83.27R   27.82  
Dag_&_Red        22   18  -15      41.34     6.91   -30.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.03R   50.33  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 11 January 2011, Stockport vs Rotherham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         22   45  +20      84.64     7.43    30.19    47.22    79.57    96.80    84.05P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            22   41  +16      79.68     7.27    24.74    19.47    56.85    89.36    65.46P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              23   40   +7      76.93     7.17    15.04     9.96    39.45    80.79    50.34P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            22   39   +9      76.71     7.16    16.09     9.34    38.40    80.33    48.26P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                23   35  +17      73.63     7.22    28.11     5.25    26.38    69.70    38.46P    0.00R    0.00  
Bury                 22   35  +12      71.51     7.35    17.37     3.39    17.39    56.75    27.16P    0.01R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           22   34  +10      71.16     7.18    16.33     2.42    15.46    55.06    25.90P    0.01R    0.00  
Cheltenham           23   34   +1      65.50     7.08     0.63     0.34     3.46    23.39     7.07P    0.15R    0.02  
Gillingham           23   33   +4      68.43     7.31     9.70     1.16     8.56    39.69    16.99P    0.02R    0.00  
Torquay              22   32   +8      67.47     7.35    11.82     0.95     7.19    35.24    13.81P    0.08R    0.01  
Oxford_Utd           23   32   -1      60.01     6.97    -5.89     0.03     0.59     6.94     1.67P    1.02R    0.22  
Bradford             23   30   -7      58.92     6.91   -10.71     0.02     0.35     4.85     1.29P    1.58R    0.36  
Accrington_Stanley   22   28   -1      58.44     7.24    -5.16     0.04     0.45     5.53     1.42P    2.20R    0.63  
Northampton          23   28   -7      60.75     7.07    -5.18     0.03     0.68     8.46     2.55P    0.87R    0.20  
Stevenage            21   27   +5      60.79     7.36     4.62     0.08     1.10    10.48     3.32P    0.95R    0.23  
Morecambe            22   27   -3      59.79     7.28    -3.45     0.04     0.67     7.46     2.15P    1.42R    0.38  
Southend             22   26   -2      63.98     7.44     5.47     0.23     2.84    19.73     7.73P    0.42R    0.12  
Macclesfield         22   26   -8      53.51     7.03   -16.21     0.00     0.06     1.14     0.24P    8.55R    2.94  
Burton_Albion        21   25   +2      58.26     7.46     0.14     0.03     0.46     5.98     1.56P    2.39R    0.70  
Aldershot            22   25   -8      55.38     7.10   -11.73     0.00     0.10     2.12     0.53P    5.15R    1.62  
Stockport            25   24  -27      44.68     6.36   -40.81     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    49.61R   26.03  
Barnet               24   22  -16      43.91     6.46   -29.56     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   51.78R   28.60  
Lincoln_City         20   19  -14      46.50     7.19   -25.58     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P   36.39R   18.76  
Hereford             22   19  -17      46.23     7.04   -25.98     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   37.43R   19.17  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 12 January 2011, AFC_Wimbledon vs Luton; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
AFC_Wimbledon      25   50  +19      83.94     6.57    26.77    11.03    89.11    28.03P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              24   47  +25      91.05     6.33    47.27    53.98    98.86    72.56P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       21   46  +27      88.15     7.26    39.33    32.15    95.52    48.26P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     25   43  +15      74.03     6.65    18.70     0.79    41.00     8.41P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     27   42  +10      68.73     6.35    10.96     0.06    14.26     2.45P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      26   42   +4      69.51     6.25     3.87     0.12    15.44     2.69P    0.00R    0.00  
Wrexham            24   40  +12      75.06     6.53    19.51     1.00    46.93    12.11P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          26   37   +4      68.29     6.41    10.08     0.06    12.81     2.53P    0.01R    0.00  
Grimsby            24   35  +11      73.18     6.78    23.58     0.56    38.38    11.20P    0.00R    0.00  
Darlington         24   34   +8      69.17     6.70    15.41     0.07    17.61     4.58P    0.02R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      25   33   +5      63.50     6.53     7.68     0.00     3.92     0.89P    0.14R    0.00  
York               23   32   +5      68.22     6.84    12.19     0.12    13.93     3.39P    0.02R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   24   32   +0      67.16     6.63     7.97     0.05    10.14     2.52P    0.03R    0.00  
Bath_City          25   31   -6      56.02     6.70   -12.50     0.00     0.29     0.03P    3.69R    0.42  
Tamworth           24   29   -6      55.59     6.51   -11.98     0.00     0.19     0.03P    4.09R    0.57  
Kettering          23   28   -7      60.85     6.81    -4.99     0.00     1.58     0.30P    0.80R    0.08  
Gateshead          23   26  -10      50.27     6.51   -21.90     0.00     0.01     0.00    18.40R    4.15  
Forest_Green       25   26  -15      48.73     6.28   -25.46     0.00     0.01     0.00    24.76R    5.77  
Southport          24   25   -5      49.11     6.58   -14.60     0.00     0.01     0.00P   22.20R    5.40  
Barrow             23   23   -9      49.00     6.66   -18.37     0.00     0.01     0.00P   23.33R    5.91  
Hayes_&_Yeading    25   23  -21      43.43     6.18   -35.37     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.20R   24.07  
Eastbourne_Boro    25   22  -15      44.80     6.25   -25.98     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.02R   15.74  
Altrincham         24   21  -29      45.91     6.43   -37.73     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.10R   14.99  
Histon             23   20  -22      44.01     6.62   -34.44     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.19R   22.89