Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 12 January 2011 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 12 January 2011, Blackpool vs Liverpool; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         20   44  +24      81.32     5.37    44.69    72.19    91.10    97.51    99.66   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        22   42  +17      69.67     5.23    25.89     2.85    17.28    46.55    83.13    99.28     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         21   40  +20      75.15     5.39    39.69    19.73    64.01    86.35    96.81    99.91     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       21   36   +6      63.08     5.66    11.83     0.27     2.66    10.06    28.10    88.08     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         21   35  +17      70.52     5.17    36.76     4.96    24.86    58.88    87.94    99.48     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland      22   33   +3      53.62     5.33     0.97     0.00     0.04     0.24     1.51    29.18     0.14R    0.01  
Bolton          22   30   +5      49.30     5.37     0.34     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.26    10.27     1.52R    0.09  
Newcastle       21   28   +3      50.86     5.74     1.92     0.00     0.02     0.10     0.66    17.71     1.09R    0.09  
Blackpool       20   28   -4      46.91     5.70   -14.86     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.13     4.91     6.50R    0.81  
Blackburn       22   28   -6      46.85     5.34   -11.66     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.07     3.73     5.47R    0.60  
Stoke           21   27   +0      46.86     5.38    -5.33     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.09     4.57     4.78R    0.51  
Everton         21   25   -2      50.34     5.58     0.66     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.43    14.05     1.47R    0.12  
Liverpool       21   25   -4      52.54     5.62     2.08     0.00     0.01     0.19     1.17    24.47     0.57R    0.04  
Fulham          21   22   -2      42.38     5.39    -6.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.88    19.01R    3.35  
Birmingham      20   22   -5      43.09     5.55   -10.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     1.23    17.51R    3.18  
West_Brom       21   22  -13      41.62     5.62   -19.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.68    27.71R    6.60  
Wolverhampton   21   21  -13      37.25     5.23   -24.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07    59.26R   20.02  
Aston_Villa     21   21  -15      44.10     5.62   -16.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     1.46    15.16R    2.96  
Wigan           21   21  -15      35.65     5.02   -29.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    71.54R   33.15  
West_Ham        22   20  -16      36.02     5.10   -26.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    68.28R   28.49  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 4 January 2011, Cardiff vs Leeds_United; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              25   48  +27      82.26     6.51    35.00    49.31    69.82    95.19    76.76P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          25   43  +10      76.83     6.61    17.85    15.68    33.93    78.41    46.17P    0.00R    0.00  
Norwich          25   43   +8      74.09     6.81    11.36     7.84    20.00    62.96    29.26P    0.01R    0.00  
Swansea          26   43   +6      72.77     6.33     9.61     4.48    13.45    55.79    23.54P    0.01R    0.00  
Leeds_United     26   41   +3      69.60     6.54     4.74     1.96     6.35    36.70    12.65P    0.11R    0.00  
Watford          24   39  +12      72.15     6.91    16.48     5.68    14.75    54.27    23.85P    0.02R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    23   37  +11      73.49     6.99    18.58     8.26    19.75    61.89    31.95P    0.02R    0.00  
Reading          25   37  +10      70.79     6.62    17.50     3.33     9.99    47.08    21.33P    0.05R    0.00  
Millwall         25   36   +7      64.83     6.58     7.31     0.46     1.74    16.32     4.97P    0.81R    0.03  
Burnley          24   35   +6      66.84     7.05     8.08     1.31     4.13    25.81     9.76P    0.55R    0.03  
Coventry         26   35   +0      59.41     6.19    -4.35     0.03     0.14     2.99     0.66P    4.46R    0.28  
Leicester        26   35   -7      63.15     6.37    -6.07     0.14     0.63     8.76     2.48P    1.69R    0.06  
Derby            25   34   +4      61.78     6.56     2.08     0.18     0.63     7.56     2.17P    2.45R    0.13  
Doncaster        23   34   +0      64.94     6.98    -0.99     0.62     2.12    16.55     4.92P    1.15R    0.06  
Hull             25   33   -2      62.26     6.58    -1.10     0.17     0.61     8.12     2.50P    2.20R    0.15  
Barnsley         24   33   -6      58.24     6.56   -13.70     0.05     0.13     2.38     0.49P    8.61R    0.78  
Bristol_City     25   32   -4      59.02     6.48    -6.68     0.02     0.15     3.02     0.72P    6.12R    0.49  
Portsmouth       24   30   -3      64.20     6.93     3.17     0.47     1.65    14.53     5.37P    1.64R    0.14  
Middlesbrough    25   26   -8      55.40     6.45    -6.88     0.00     0.02     0.82     0.24P   15.26R    1.93  
Ipswich          24   26   -8      53.52     6.63   -11.91     0.00     0.00     0.48     0.13P   24.55R    3.85  
Sheff_Utd        25   26  -16      52.88     6.50   -18.90     0.01     0.01     0.28     0.06P   28.78R    4.97  
Crystal_Palace   25   25  -18      49.30     6.34   -24.82     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.02P   51.55R   11.95  
Scunthorpe       23   23  -14      47.18     6.71   -26.52     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   63.98R   21.78  
Preston          24   19  -18      42.19     6.50   -29.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   85.98R   53.36  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 11 January 2011, Bristol_Rovers vs Walsall; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         22   43  +22      82.37     7.27    31.68    31.30    55.53    91.88    64.55P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      23   40  +23      83.53     6.91    41.71    40.72    64.80    94.84    76.20P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      23   39  +19      74.24     7.35    24.44     6.05    15.93    62.55    26.37P    0.08R    0.00  
Huddersfield     24   39   +8      75.60     6.93    17.81     6.20    17.55    69.24    30.79P    0.02R    0.00  
Peterborough     22   36   +2      70.70     7.60     4.21     2.46     7.16    40.88    13.79P    0.47R    0.01  
Charlton         22   34   +4      73.37     7.28    13.83     4.26    12.09    56.55    24.28P    0.11R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        22   33  +12      74.94     7.34    25.53     6.82    18.17    66.57    34.01P    0.07R    0.00  
MK_Dons          23   33   -4      64.43     7.11    -4.57     0.22     0.90    13.13     3.22P    2.87R    0.05  
Oldham           22   32   -1      63.55     7.22    -3.12     0.16     0.74    11.41     2.65P    4.00R    0.11  
Hartlepool       21   32   -3      63.68     7.38    -7.69     0.27     1.04    11.86     2.81P    4.46R    0.12  
Rochdale         22   31   +4      62.60     7.48     1.57     0.19     0.81    10.84     2.84P    5.33R    0.13  
Colchester       21   31   +0      66.82     7.54     2.20     0.73     2.66    22.98     7.06P    1.67R    0.04  
Brentford        23   31   -2      61.84     6.92    -2.98     0.06     0.32     6.75     1.49P    5.55R    0.13  
Exeter           23   30   -7      56.81     6.87   -15.07     0.01     0.05     1.49     0.24P   20.42R    1.28  
Plymouth         24   30   -7      60.31     6.97    -6.95     0.03     0.14     4.61     1.08P    8.69R    0.36  
Notts_County     21   29   +1      62.52     7.60    -0.44     0.23     0.83    10.31     2.76P    5.78R    0.22  
Carlisle         21   28   +5      62.88     7.49     5.62     0.20     0.77    11.62     3.02P    5.05R    0.16  
Swindon          23   28   -4      61.43     7.08    -1.55     0.05     0.28     6.70     1.68P    6.84R    0.26  
Leyton_Orient    21   27   -2      59.36     7.45    -5.23     0.04     0.23     4.72     0.99P   12.21R    0.67  
Tranmere         22   26   -8      53.10     7.00   -17.27     0.00     0.01     0.51     0.10P   38.87R    3.56  
Yeovil           22   23  -13      50.25     7.04   -21.81     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.03P   55.19R    8.46  
Bristol_Rovers   22   23  -14      51.37     7.18   -21.83     0.00     0.01     0.34     0.05P   48.89R    6.90  
Walsall          23   19  -20      44.70     6.84   -29.54     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   82.64R   28.21  
Dag_&_Red        22   18  -15      41.48     6.91   -30.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.79R   49.34  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 11 January 2011, Stockport vs Rotherham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         22   45  +20      84.53     7.37    29.99    46.18    79.03    96.94    83.41P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            22   41  +16      79.58     7.29    24.60    19.26    56.17    89.22    64.88P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              23   40   +7      77.11     7.21    15.25    10.43    40.72    81.21    51.43P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            22   39   +9      76.95     7.18    16.41    10.14    39.50    81.28    49.29P    0.00R    0.00  
Crewe                23   35  +17      73.66     7.23    28.12     5.47    26.26    69.75    38.41P    0.00R    0.00  
Bury                 22   35  +12      71.37     7.28    17.15     3.04    16.71    56.17    26.41P    0.01R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           22   34  +10      71.15     7.20    16.31     2.43    15.38    55.02    25.71P    0.01R    0.00  
Cheltenham           23   34   +1      65.67     7.11     0.90     0.41     3.74    23.88     7.40P    0.13R    0.03  
Gillingham           23   33   +4      68.32     7.21     9.54     1.07     7.90    38.47    16.34P    0.06R    0.01  
Torquay              22   32   +8      67.68     7.35    12.10     1.02     7.53    36.37    14.39P    0.08R    0.01  
Oxford_Utd           23   32   -1      60.10     6.92    -5.72     0.03     0.56     7.22     1.82P    0.88R    0.20  
Bradford             23   30   -7      58.88     6.93   -10.80     0.02     0.40     4.80     1.25P    1.46R    0.40  
Accrington_Stanley   22   28   -1      58.24     7.22    -5.45     0.03     0.41     5.18     1.24P    2.19R    0.63  
Northampton          23   28   -7      60.73     7.08    -5.21     0.05     0.70     8.36     2.65P    0.90R    0.18  
Stevenage            21   27   +5      60.69     7.44     4.50     0.10     1.22    10.52     3.43P    1.06R    0.29  
Morecambe            22   27   -3      59.65     7.29    -3.75     0.03     0.63     7.33     2.07P    1.52R    0.40  
Southend             22   26   -2      63.85     7.38     5.31     0.24     2.51    18.87     7.35P    0.47R    0.11  
Macclesfield         22   26   -8      53.71     7.02   -15.80     0.00     0.05     1.12     0.23P    8.06R    2.68  
Burton_Albion        21   25   +2      58.26     7.47     0.14     0.03     0.47     5.91     1.71P    2.50R    0.78  
Aldershot            22   25   -8      55.63     7.12   -11.35     0.01     0.10     2.18     0.54P    4.80R    1.45  
Stockport            25   24  -27      44.56     6.32   -41.01     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   50.32R   26.59  
Barnet               24   22  -16      43.88     6.45   -29.56     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   51.71R   28.42  
Lincoln_City         20   19  -14      46.39     7.17   -25.76     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P   36.63R   18.87  
Hereford             22   19  -17      46.24     7.01   -25.91     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.02P   37.19R   18.95  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 12 January 2011, AFC_Wimbledon vs Luton; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
AFC_Wimbledon      25   50  +19      84.10     6.60    27.01    11.50    89.45    28.91P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              24   47  +25      91.10     6.28    47.30    53.52    99.07    72.38P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       21   46  +27      88.21     7.28    39.41    32.18    95.65    48.65P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     25   43  +15      73.89     6.61    18.50     0.75    40.21     8.12P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     27   42  +10      68.73     6.36    10.93     0.08    14.42     2.40P    0.01R    0.00  
Kidderminster      26   42   +4      69.51     6.23     3.91     0.09    15.62     2.79P    0.00R    0.00  
Wrexham            24   40  +12      75.08     6.46    19.52     0.94    47.51    11.66P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          26   37   +4      68.14     6.40     9.84     0.06    12.60     2.41P    0.03R    0.00  
Grimsby            24   35  +11      73.04     6.80    23.34     0.63    38.10    10.85P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington         24   34   +8      69.20     6.72    15.50     0.11    17.84     4.89P    0.01R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      25   33   +5      63.47     6.49     7.68     0.01     3.91     0.83P    0.12R    0.01  
York               23   32   +5      68.07     6.81    12.01     0.09    13.44     3.28P    0.03R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   24   32   +0      67.15     6.61     7.93     0.04    10.20     2.47P    0.04R    0.00  
Bath_City          25   31   -6      56.00     6.67   -12.55     0.00     0.28     0.04P    3.83R    0.39  
Tamworth           24   29   -6      55.72     6.53   -11.72     0.00     0.22     0.02P    4.21R    0.50  
Kettering          23   28   -7      60.75     6.77    -5.14     0.00     1.44     0.28P    0.89R    0.08  
Gateshead          23   26  -10      50.30     6.52   -21.89     0.00     0.01     0.00P   18.49R    4.18  
Forest_Green       25   26  -15      48.64     6.23   -25.60     0.00     0.01     0.00    25.24R    5.77  
Southport          24   25   -5      49.23     6.63   -14.43     0.00     0.01     0.00    21.89R    5.49  
Barrow             23   23   -9      49.17     6.70   -18.14     0.00     0.01     0.00    22.63R    5.61  
Hayes_&_Yeading    25   23  -21      43.46     6.13   -35.33     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.29R   24.10  
Eastbourne_Boro    25   22  -15      44.81     6.23   -25.89     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.99R   15.96  
Altrincham         24   21  -29      45.88     6.45   -37.77     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.51R   15.16  
Histon             23   20  -22      44.07     6.69   -34.41     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.82R   22.74