Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 11 January 2011 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 5 January 2011, Arsenal vs Man_City; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         20   44  +24      81.24     5.40    44.60    72.08    90.91    97.47    99.67   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        22   42  +17      69.65     5.21    25.79     2.88    17.21    46.44    82.45    99.19     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         21   40  +20      75.15     5.37    39.62    19.73    64.38    86.18    96.67    99.91     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       21   36   +6      63.16     5.60    11.95     0.29     2.62     9.97    28.10    87.22     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         21   35  +17      70.51     5.16    36.74     5.02    24.75    58.94    87.40    99.40     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland      22   33   +3      53.63     5.31     0.99     0.00     0.03     0.27     1.45    26.42     0.14R    0.01  
Bolton          22   30   +5      49.33     5.34     0.43     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.23     9.09     1.30R    0.06  
Newcastle       21   28   +3      50.92     5.73     2.10     0.00     0.02     0.11     0.66    16.27     1.04R    0.07  
Blackburn       22   28   -6      47.00     5.30   -11.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     3.35     4.72R    0.51  
Stoke           21   27   +0      46.74     5.38    -5.52     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.10     3.71     4.71R    0.44  
Everton         21   25   -2      50.39     5.55     0.80     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.43    12.69     1.24R    0.14  
Liverpool       20   25   -3      54.69     5.80     4.22     0.00     0.07     0.53     2.70    36.59     0.24R    0.02  
Blackpool       19   25   -5      44.41     5.93   -17.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     2.37    14.48R    2.66  
Fulham          21   22   -2      42.38     5.40    -6.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.85    18.03R    3.23  
Birmingham      20   22   -5      43.00     5.50   -10.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.03    16.87R    3.11  
West_Brom       21   22  -13      41.58     5.59   -19.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.53    27.09R    6.50  
Wolverhampton   21   21  -13      37.26     5.20   -24.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    57.85R   19.63  
Aston_Villa     21   21  -15      44.03     5.64   -16.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.31    14.68R    2.97  
Wigan           21   21  -15      35.70     4.98   -29.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    70.74R   32.16  
West_Ham        22   20  -16      36.04     5.12   -26.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    66.84R   28.47  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 4 January 2011, Cardiff vs Leeds_United; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              25   48  +27      82.20     6.50    34.85    48.83    69.51    95.00    76.50P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          25   43  +10      76.94     6.60    17.98    16.11    34.90    78.69    46.83P    0.00R    0.00  
Norwich          25   43   +8      74.08     6.79    11.39     8.01    19.90    62.85    29.46P    0.02R    0.00  
Swansea          26   43   +6      72.87     6.27     9.77     4.51    13.27    56.42    23.74P    0.01R    0.00  
Leeds_United     26   41   +3      69.53     6.54     4.66     2.02     6.32    36.07    12.44P    0.10R    0.00  
Watford          24   39  +12      72.22     6.88    16.57     5.81    15.05    54.75    24.35P    0.05R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    23   37  +11      73.50     6.88    18.60     7.85    19.32    61.87    31.65P    0.02R    0.00  
Reading          25   37  +10      70.86     6.59    17.55     3.44     9.98    47.34    21.10P    0.05R    0.00  
Millwall         25   36   +7      64.72     6.54     7.13     0.46     1.61    15.37     4.62P    0.77R    0.04  
Burnley          24   35   +6      66.96     7.07     8.33     1.45     4.31    26.23    10.08P    0.46R    0.02  
Coventry         26   35   +0      59.55     6.14    -4.15     0.02     0.13     2.94     0.67P    4.22R    0.24  
Leicester        26   35   -7      63.10     6.33    -6.13     0.11     0.54     8.53     2.39P    1.67R    0.08  
Derby            25   34   +4      61.66     6.54     1.93     0.12     0.57     7.29     1.95P    2.40R    0.12  
Doncaster        23   34   +0      64.99     6.97    -0.90     0.61     2.06    16.68     4.99P    1.14R    0.04  
Hull             25   33   -2      62.56     6.60    -0.67     0.19     0.78     8.67     2.75P    2.04R    0.13  
Barnsley         24   33   -6      58.35     6.59   -13.55     0.02     0.12     2.54     0.48P    8.46R    0.85  
Bristol_City     25   32   -4      58.93     6.52    -6.83     0.02     0.13     2.98     0.68P    6.44R    0.59  
Portsmouth       24   30   -3      64.11     6.89     2.95     0.40     1.47    14.24     4.95P    1.52R    0.11  
Middlesbrough    25   26   -8      55.30     6.45    -7.04     0.00     0.02     0.74     0.21P   15.52R    1.87  
Ipswich          24   26   -8      53.55     6.62   -11.79     0.00     0.02     0.50     0.10P   23.63R    3.75  
Sheff_Utd        25   26  -16      52.91     6.46   -18.81     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.05P   28.42R    4.64  
Crystal_Palace   25   25  -18      49.12     6.27   -25.11     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   52.59R   11.89  
Scunthorpe       23   23  -14      47.08     6.70   -26.68     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   64.27R   21.72  
Preston          24   19  -18      42.06     6.54   -30.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.19R   53.91  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 11 January 2011, Bristol_Rovers vs Walsall; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         22   43  +22      82.42     7.28    31.76    31.50    55.94    91.97    64.94P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      23   40  +23      83.51     6.86    41.65    40.63    64.92    94.84    76.38P    0.00R    0.00  
Bournemouth      23   39  +19      74.13     7.33    24.34     5.83    15.50    62.07    25.80P    0.05R    0.00  
Huddersfield     24   39   +8      75.65     6.92    17.90     6.26    17.74    69.48    30.94P    0.03R    0.00  
Peterborough     22   36   +2      70.65     7.56     4.11     2.27     7.03    40.41    13.41P    0.51R    0.01  
Charlton         22   34   +4      73.36     7.37    13.83     4.40    12.18    56.35    24.14P    0.17R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        22   33  +12      74.89     7.33    25.45     6.86    17.85    66.30    33.90P    0.08R    0.00  
MK_Dons          23   33   -4      64.55     7.09    -4.38     0.23     0.98    13.35     3.32P    2.92R    0.06  
Oldham           22   32   -1      63.44     7.21    -3.30     0.15     0.66    11.03     2.47P    4.24R    0.10  
Hartlepool       21   32   -3      63.63     7.44    -7.73     0.29     1.04    12.01     2.78P    4.55R    0.11  
Rochdale         22   31   +4      62.69     7.48     1.76     0.18     0.82    10.98     2.80P    5.34R    0.14  
Colchester       21   31   +0      66.92     7.54     2.34     0.81     2.68    23.54     7.39P    1.67R    0.04  
Brentford        23   31   -2      61.87     6.91    -2.87     0.04     0.27     6.90     1.50P    5.40R    0.14  
Exeter           23   30   -7      56.88     6.87   -14.92     0.00     0.06     1.58     0.31P   20.27R    1.06  
Plymouth         24   30   -7      60.26     6.99    -7.06     0.03     0.15     4.65     1.09P    8.85R    0.32  
Notts_County     21   29   +1      62.54     7.65    -0.45     0.24     0.83    10.65     2.85P    6.10R    0.28  
Carlisle         21   28   +5      62.95     7.40     5.70     0.18     0.79    11.51     3.11P    4.67R    0.13  
Swindon          23   28   -4      61.46     7.05    -1.46     0.05     0.31     6.66     1.71P    6.80R    0.25  
Leyton_Orient    21   27   -2      59.37     7.41    -5.21     0.05     0.24     4.60     0.99P   12.02R    0.61  
Tranmere         22   26   -8      53.29     6.97   -16.95     0.00     0.01     0.55     0.09P   37.07R    3.28  
Yeovil           22   23  -13      50.27     7.05   -21.74     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.03P   55.34R    8.15  
Bristol_Rovers   22   23  -14      51.28     7.20   -21.94     0.00     0.00     0.33     0.07P   49.57R    6.89  
Walsall          23   19  -20      44.54     6.79   -29.87     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   83.21R   28.39  
Dag_&_Red        22   18  -15      41.32     6.96   -30.95     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    91.15R   50.04  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 11 January 2011, Stockport vs Rotherham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         22   45  +20      84.75     7.41    30.33    47.51    80.08    96.91    84.26P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            22   41  +16      79.69     7.30    24.77    19.32    56.72    89.38    65.34P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              23   40   +7      76.93     7.19    15.04     9.93    39.46    80.80    50.39P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            22   39   +9      76.84     7.18    16.22     9.64    38.73    80.83    48.73P    0.00R    0.00  
Crewe                23   35  +17      73.72     7.17    28.26     5.29    26.32    70.26    38.60P    0.00R    0.00  
Bury                 22   35  +12      71.39     7.30    17.21     2.98    17.00    56.36    26.70P    0.01R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           22   34  +10      71.18     7.21    16.33     2.45    15.43    55.23    25.90P    0.01R    0.00  
Cheltenham           23   34   +1      65.63     7.10     0.91     0.36     3.61    23.90     7.36P    0.13R    0.04  
Gillingham           23   33   +4      68.27     7.22     9.47     1.03     7.95    38.28    16.17P    0.03R    0.01  
Torquay              22   32   +8      67.66     7.38    12.11     1.04     7.51    36.43    14.32P    0.08R    0.01  
Oxford_Utd           23   32   -1      59.85     6.99    -6.12     0.02     0.57     6.74     1.68P    1.10R    0.23  
Bradford             23   30   -7      58.85     6.92   -10.87     0.02     0.40     4.71     1.25P    1.60R    0.34  
Accrington_Stanley   22   28   -1      58.39     7.26    -5.24     0.02     0.49     5.44     1.37P    2.24R    0.60  
Northampton          23   28   -7      60.67     7.03    -5.31     0.05     0.67     8.35     2.56P    0.93R    0.18  
Stevenage            21   27   +5      60.81     7.39     4.66     0.09     1.15    10.79     3.37P    0.96R    0.20  
Morecambe            22   27   -3      59.76     7.29    -3.54     0.04     0.64     7.38     2.15P    1.52R    0.39  
Southend             22   26   -2      63.80     7.44     5.23     0.19     2.64    19.15     7.53P    0.44R    0.11  
Macclesfield         22   26   -8      53.70     7.05   -15.87     0.00     0.04     1.12     0.22P    8.26R    2.90  
Burton_Albion        21   25   +2      58.04     7.46    -0.16     0.02     0.45     5.53     1.53P    2.77R    0.81  
Aldershot            22   25   -8      55.56     7.17   -11.48     0.01     0.13     2.25     0.52P    4.98R    1.54  
Stockport            25   24  -27      44.71     6.35   -40.77     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   49.10R   26.27  
Barnet               24   22  -16      43.86     6.43   -29.58     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   51.97R   28.80  
Lincoln_City         20   19  -14      46.53     7.22   -25.62     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P   36.45R   18.53  
Hereford             22   19  -17      46.23     7.00   -25.98     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   37.40R   19.04  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 11 January 2011, Darlington vs Histon; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
AFC_Wimbledon      24   49  +19      84.15     6.82    26.57    11.74    88.80    28.45P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       21   46  +27      88.23     7.31    39.45    29.66    95.64    46.85P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              23   46  +25      91.74     6.55    47.84    55.98    98.98    74.01P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     25   43  +15      73.82     6.64    18.28     0.67    39.74     7.98P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     27   42  +10      68.74     6.35    10.99     0.04    14.27     2.41P    0.01R    0.00  
Kidderminster      26   42   +4      69.58     6.27     3.96     0.12    15.95     2.83P    0.00R    0.00  
Wrexham            24   40  +12      74.95     6.58    19.37     0.92    46.63    11.51P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          26   37   +4      68.05     6.46     9.62     0.04    12.48     2.36P    0.01R    0.00  
Grimsby            24   35  +11      73.22     6.83    23.63     0.61    38.57    11.21P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington         24   34   +8      69.42     6.74    15.75     0.09    18.56     5.10P    0.01R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      25   33   +5      63.48     6.57     7.70     0.01     3.97     0.89P    0.15R    0.01  
York               23   32   +5      68.17     6.83    12.09     0.10    13.82     3.45P    0.03R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   24   32   +0      67.28     6.64     8.13     0.03    10.43     2.57P    0.04R    0.00  
Bath_City          25   31   -6      56.05     6.72   -12.47     0.00     0.29     0.04P    3.92R    0.50  
Tamworth           24   29   -6      55.51     6.53   -12.13     0.00     0.18     0.03P    4.36R    0.52  
Kettering          23   28   -7      60.80     6.83    -5.07     0.00     1.66     0.31P    0.86R    0.07  
Gateshead          23   26  -10      50.32     6.54   -21.85     0.00     0.01     0.00    18.20R    4.08  
Forest_Green       25   26  -15      48.76     6.25   -25.39     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.49R    5.72  
Southport          24   25   -5      49.31     6.66   -14.37     0.00     0.01     0.00P   21.48R    5.31  
Barrow             23   23   -9      49.05     6.66   -18.37     0.00     0.02     0.00    23.25R    5.60  
Hayes_&_Yeading    25   23  -21      43.45     6.16   -35.36     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.42R   23.88  
Eastbourne_Boro    25   22  -15      44.84     6.21   -25.92     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.40R   15.67  
Altrincham         24   21  -29      45.78     6.48   -37.94     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.20R   15.77  
Histon             23   20  -22      43.99     6.62   -34.48     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.15R   22.87