Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 9 January 2011 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 5 January 2011, Arsenal vs Man_City; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         20   44  +24      81.31     5.36    44.67    72.48    91.01    97.56    99.68   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        22   42  +17      69.61     5.19    25.81     2.70    16.72    45.94    82.24    99.16     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         21   40  +20      75.18     5.35    39.66    19.59    64.32    86.58    96.77    99.93     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       21   36   +6      63.15     5.64    11.94     0.26     2.59    10.09    28.33    87.55     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         21   35  +17      70.49     5.21    36.71     4.97    25.24    58.87    87.10    99.33     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland      22   33   +3      53.64     5.31     1.05     0.00     0.02     0.23     1.46    26.57     0.15R    0.01  
Bolton          22   30   +5      49.32     5.37     0.39     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.27     9.07     1.38R    0.08  
Newcastle       21   28   +3      50.84     5.79     1.89     0.00     0.01     0.08     0.67    16.07     1.15R    0.08  
Blackburn       22   28   -6      47.04     5.34   -11.33     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.08     3.42     4.76R    0.48  
Stoke           21   27   +0      46.86     5.37    -5.34     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.07     4.02     4.63R    0.50  
Everton         21   25   -2      50.34     5.55     0.65     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.39    12.34     1.31R    0.12  
Liverpool       20   25   -3      54.61     5.84     4.14     0.00     0.07     0.54     2.79    35.93     0.25R    0.02  
Blackpool       19   25   -5      44.52     5.94   -17.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08     2.60    13.67R    2.43  
Fulham          21   22   -2      42.36     5.41    -6.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.85    18.37R    3.19  
Birmingham      20   22   -5      43.03     5.54   -10.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     1.07    16.79R    3.03  
West_Brom       21   22  -13      41.68     5.64   -19.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.69    26.30R    6.39  
Wolverhampton   21   21  -13      37.20     5.20   -24.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    58.21R   19.76  
Aston_Villa     21   21  -15      44.13     5.63   -16.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     1.31    14.31R    2.83  
Wigan           21   21  -15      35.56     4.99   -30.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    71.19R   32.87  
West_Ham        22   20  -16      35.98     5.09   -26.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    67.55R   28.22  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 4 January 2011, Cardiff vs Leeds_United; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              25   48  +27      82.25     6.52    34.99    49.32    69.55    95.09    76.46P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          25   43  +10      76.90     6.63    17.90    15.85    34.62    78.44    46.66P    0.00R    0.00  
Norwich          25   43   +8      74.10     6.79    11.42     7.94    20.04    63.27    29.71P    0.01R    0.00  
Swansea          26   43   +6      72.92     6.31     9.85     4.59    13.65    56.80    24.09P    0.01R    0.00  
Leeds_United     26   41   +3      69.50     6.60     4.53     2.01     6.25    36.37    12.42P    0.11R    0.01  
Watford          24   39  +12      72.06     6.86    16.35     5.46    14.20    53.73    23.26P    0.03R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    23   37  +11      73.51     6.98    18.62     8.21    19.74    61.87    32.24P    0.02R    0.00  
Reading          25   37  +10      70.83     6.59    17.53     3.35     9.96    47.20    20.94P    0.06R    0.00  
Millwall         25   36   +7      64.75     6.58     7.19     0.43     1.70    15.73     4.86P    0.72R    0.04  
Burnley          24   35   +6      66.87     7.11     8.15     1.32     4.32    26.06     9.92P    0.54R    0.02  
Coventry         26   35   +0      59.58     6.17    -4.14     0.04     0.14     3.01     0.68P    4.11R    0.28  
Leicester        26   35   -7      63.08     6.38    -6.19     0.13     0.58     8.56     2.40P    1.62R    0.09  
Derby            25   34   +4      61.72     6.55     1.98     0.13     0.56     7.38     2.01P    2.47R    0.10  
Doncaster        23   34   +1      65.20     6.98     0.43     0.62     2.26    17.58     5.30P    1.01R    0.06  
Hull             25   33   -3      62.15     6.59    -2.28     0.15     0.64     7.67     2.36P    2.30R    0.13  
Barnsley         24   33   -6      58.38     6.54   -13.48     0.02     0.12     2.39     0.45P    8.26R    0.80  
Bristol_City     25   32   -4      59.01     6.52    -6.67     0.02     0.14     2.99     0.78P    6.33R    0.58  
Portsmouth       24   30   -3      64.13     6.93     3.06     0.42     1.49    14.27     5.08P    1.74R    0.14  
Middlesbrough    25   26   -8      55.29     6.45    -7.05     0.00     0.01     0.79     0.20P   15.74R    2.00  
Ipswich          24   26   -8      53.43     6.58   -12.01     0.00     0.01     0.45     0.10P   24.53R    4.04  
Sheff_Utd        25   26  -16      52.91     6.53   -18.87     0.00     0.01     0.25     0.04P   28.75R    4.88  
Crystal_Palace   25   25  -18      49.20     6.33   -25.02     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.02P   52.17R   12.08  
Scunthorpe       23   23  -14      47.19     6.69   -26.48     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   63.71R   21.67  
Preston          24   19  -18      42.21     6.54   -29.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.72R   53.08  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 8 January 2011, Bournemouth vs Plymouth; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         22   43  +22      82.63     7.26    32.05    38.63    60.63    92.90    68.49P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      23   39  +19      74.17     7.31    24.40     7.43    18.06    63.07    28.03P    0.07R    0.00  
Southampton      22   37  +17      80.48     7.14    33.23    27.46    49.71    88.77    63.84P    0.01R    0.00  
Huddersfield     23   36   +7      74.13     7.12    17.03     5.98    15.78    62.03    27.70P    0.08R    0.00  
Charlton         22   34   +4      73.46     7.31    13.95     5.54    14.75    57.42    26.20P    0.15R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        22   33  +12      75.12     7.32    25.82     9.02    21.69    67.97    37.15P    0.09R    0.00  
Peterborough     21   33   +1      69.14     7.79     3.28     2.27     6.33    34.32    11.91P    1.18R    0.03  
MK_Dons          23   33   -4      64.31     7.06    -4.67     0.29     1.15    13.00     3.39P    3.18R    0.07  
Oldham           21   32   +5      66.09     7.43     4.74     0.74     2.39    20.75     5.83P    2.02R    0.07  
Hartlepool       21   32   -3      63.75     7.39    -7.48     0.37     1.25    12.28     2.97P    4.67R    0.12  
Rochdale         22   31   +4      62.79     7.43     1.92     0.28     1.07    11.08     2.98P    5.29R    0.15  
Colchester       21   31   +0      66.84     7.52     2.21     0.98     3.22    23.59     7.79P    1.86R    0.05  
Brentford        22   31   -1      63.13     7.13    -2.11     0.23     0.83    10.41     2.60P    4.55R    0.09  
Plymouth         23   30   -6      61.30     7.20    -6.49     0.10     0.46     6.72     1.83P    7.70R    0.26  
Exeter           23   30   -7      56.90     6.88   -14.90     0.01     0.07     1.69     0.28P   21.01R    1.15  
Notts_County     21   29   +1      62.36     7.58    -0.61     0.26     0.97    10.29     2.89P    6.55R    0.20  
Carlisle         21   28   +5      62.88     7.43     5.65     0.26     1.00    11.56     3.25P    5.16R    0.16  
Swindon          23   28   -4      61.33     7.01    -1.64     0.10     0.38     6.55     1.73P    7.41R    0.22  
Leyton_Orient    21   27   -2      59.22     7.34    -5.42     0.03     0.22     4.39     0.90P   12.73R    0.60  
Tranmere         22   26   -8      53.17     6.95   -17.12     0.00     0.02     0.58     0.12P   39.38R    3.43  
Yeovil           22   23  -13      50.33     7.00   -21.61     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.03P   56.06R    8.25  
Bristol_Rovers   21   22  -14      52.11     7.44   -21.12     0.01     0.02     0.50     0.09P   46.53R    6.31  
Dag_&_Red        22   18  -15      41.24     6.98   -31.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.38R   50.66  
Walsall          22   18  -20      44.66     6.97   -30.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.94R   28.18  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 8 January 2011, Accrington_Stanley vs Bury; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         22   45  +20      84.70     7.38    30.23    44.37    78.64    96.99    83.27P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            21   40  +16      80.94     7.45    26.09    23.20    61.76    91.78    69.69P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              23   40   +7      76.91     7.20    15.00     8.85    37.67    80.79    49.11P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            22   39   +9      76.76     7.14    16.16     8.61    36.77    80.56    47.12P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                22   35  +18      75.16     7.41    29.33     7.52    32.54    75.84    43.96P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 22   35  +12      71.50     7.32    17.35     2.87    16.43    57.13    26.68P    0.00R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           22   34  +10      71.12     7.21    16.31     2.19    14.21    54.71    24.90P    0.01R    0.00  
Cheltenham           23   34   +1      65.62     7.10     0.87     0.32     3.33    23.88     7.21P    0.16R    0.02  
Gillingham           23   33   +4      68.24     7.25     9.44     0.96     7.25    38.05    15.79P    0.04R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           23   32   -1      60.04     6.97    -5.87     0.05     0.53     7.06     1.72P    1.01R    0.21  
Bradford             23   30   -7      58.82     6.88   -10.88     0.01     0.25     4.62     1.11P    1.43R    0.29  
Torquay              21   29   +7      65.68     7.57    10.51     0.62     4.83    27.29    10.08P    0.20R    0.05  
Accrington_Stanley   22   28   -1      58.46     7.22    -5.08     0.02     0.43     5.42     1.34P    2.08R    0.55  
Northampton          23   28   -7      60.58     7.09    -5.44     0.03     0.62     8.39     2.57P    0.88R    0.23  
Stevenage            21   27   +5      60.77     7.44     4.61     0.10     1.09    10.71     3.40P    0.97R    0.23  
Morecambe            22   27   -3      59.72     7.32    -3.60     0.05     0.56     7.47     2.01P    1.50R    0.39  
Southend             22   26   -2      63.92     7.42     5.38     0.19     2.49    19.54     7.64P    0.41R    0.10  
Macclesfield         22   26   -8      53.66     7.06   -15.98     0.00     0.04     1.14     0.20P    8.13R    2.81  
Burton_Albion        21   25   +2      58.31     7.51     0.19     0.03     0.47     6.22     1.67P    2.48R    0.71  
Aldershot            22   25   -8      55.59     7.13   -11.41     0.01     0.07     2.26     0.50P    4.72R    1.48  
Stockport            24   23  -27      44.11     6.50   -42.19     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   52.55R   29.31  
Barnet               24   22  -16      43.92     6.42   -29.53     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   50.87R   27.21  
Lincoln_City         20   19  -14      46.57     7.12   -25.50     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P   35.46R   17.75  
Hereford             22   19  -17      46.19     7.01   -25.99     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   37.09R   18.64  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 8 January 2011, Barrow vs Cambridge_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
AFC_Wimbledon      24   49  +19      84.33     6.83    26.83    12.07    89.41    29.07P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       21   46  +27      88.30     7.30    39.46    30.59    95.68    47.28P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              23   46  +25      91.55     6.52    47.56    54.55    99.01    72.68P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     26   42  +11      70.12     6.60    12.06     0.13    20.34     3.38P    0.01R    0.00  
Wrexham            24   40  +12      75.00     6.56    19.44     0.88    47.17    11.63P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     24   40  +12      70.82     6.80    13.28     0.28    24.22     4.56P    0.01R    0.00  
Kidderminster      25   39   +1      67.59     6.44     0.34     0.05    10.06     1.69P    0.02R    0.00  
Mansfield          25   37   +7      70.75     6.61    14.79     0.19    23.94     4.85P    0.01R    0.00  
Grimsby            23   35  +12      74.66     6.98    24.82     1.09    47.66    14.60P    0.00R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      25   33   +5      63.66     6.50     7.97     0.01     4.19     0.95P    0.14R    0.01  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   24   32   +0      67.17     6.59     7.97     0.03    10.24     2.38P    0.03R    0.00  
Darlington         23   31   +6      68.25     6.89    14.41     0.06    15.05     4.03P    0.04R    0.00  
Bath_City          25   31   -6      55.78     6.64   -12.92     0.00     0.30     0.04P    4.00R    0.51  
York               22   29   +4      66.23     7.02    10.65     0.06     9.38     2.24P    0.12R    0.00  
Kettering          22   28   -4      62.63     6.98    -1.36     0.01     3.19     0.59P    0.49R    0.03  
Tamworth           23   26   -7      53.74     6.72   -13.32     0.00     0.11     0.02P    8.00R    1.42  
Gateshead          23   26  -10      50.26     6.51   -21.95     0.00     0.02     0.00    18.69R    4.32  
Forest_Green       25   26  -15      48.68     6.24   -25.55     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.03R    6.03  
Southport          24   25   -5      49.17     6.56   -14.54     0.00     0.01     0.00    22.35R    5.49  
Barrow             23   23   -9      48.95     6.64   -18.43     0.00     0.02     0.00    23.74R    6.10  
Hayes_&_Yeading    25   23  -21      43.54     6.15   -35.12     0.00     0.00     0.00P   57.87R   24.30  
Eastbourne_Boro    25   22  -15      45.00     6.24   -25.56     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.20R   15.79  
Altrincham         24   21  -29      45.93     6.44   -37.60     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.59R   15.53  
Histon             22   20  -20      44.80     6.81   -33.22     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.66R   20.46