Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 8 January 2011 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 5 January 2011, Arsenal vs Man_City; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         20   44  +24      81.37     5.39    44.78    72.62    91.30    97.69    99.66   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        22   42  +17      69.62     5.19    25.80     2.72    16.74    46.09    82.37    99.21     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         21   40  +20      75.19     5.37    39.72    19.39    64.55    86.60    96.75    99.89     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       21   36   +6      63.20     5.61    12.03     0.27     2.64    10.22    28.65    87.71     0.00R    0.00  
Chelsea         21   35  +17      70.45     5.22    36.66     4.99    24.65    58.49    86.99    99.28     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland      22   33   +3      53.61     5.31     0.93     0.00     0.03     0.22     1.39    26.52     0.15R    0.00  
Bolton          22   30   +5      49.31     5.38     0.41     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.27     9.16     1.47R    0.09  
Newcastle       21   28   +3      50.87     5.77     1.94     0.00     0.02     0.10     0.68    16.39     1.06R    0.05  
Blackburn       22   28   -6      46.92     5.34   -11.57     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06     3.37     4.87R    0.47  
Stoke           21   27   +0      46.82     5.36    -5.37     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.09     3.79     4.61R    0.48  
Everton         21   25   -2      50.35     5.52     0.67     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.35    12.58     1.28R    0.12  
Liverpool       20   25   -3      54.60     5.77     4.06     0.00     0.07     0.49     2.64    35.72     0.28R    0.03  
Blackpool       19   25   -5      44.41     5.93   -17.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     2.45    14.32R    2.67  
Fulham          21   22   -2      42.36     5.40    -6.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.78    18.43R    3.24  
Birmingham      20   22   -5      42.97     5.56   -10.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     1.09    17.36R    3.16  
West_Brom       21   22  -13      41.65     5.65   -19.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.66    26.79R    6.53  
Wolverhampton   21   21  -13      37.30     5.22   -24.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    57.19R   19.42  
Aston_Villa     21   21  -15      44.15     5.66   -15.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.33    14.28R    2.77  
Wigan           21   21  -15      35.64     4.99   -29.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    70.87R   32.53  
West_Ham        22   20  -16      36.01     5.11   -26.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    67.05R   28.44  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 4 January 2011, Cardiff vs Leeds_United; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              25   48  +27      82.19     6.53    34.93    49.25    69.43    94.87    76.54P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          25   43  +10      76.82     6.61    17.81    15.57    33.89    78.00    46.03P    0.00R    0.00  
Norwich          25   43   +8      74.11     6.77    11.44     7.85    20.09    63.13    29.65P    0.01R    0.00  
Swansea          26   43   +6      72.90     6.24     9.80     4.51    13.33    56.72    23.88P    0.01R    0.00  
Leeds_United     26   41   +3      69.47     6.53     4.46     2.03     6.26    35.76    12.32P    0.09R    0.01  
Watford          24   39  +12      72.24     6.84    16.62     5.72    14.87    54.44    24.07P    0.02R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    23   37  +11      73.56     6.89    18.66     8.07    19.74    62.20    32.04P    0.03R    0.00  
Reading          25   37  +10      70.93     6.64    17.67     3.66    10.56    47.86    21.59P    0.06R    0.00  
Millwall         25   36   +7      64.93     6.57     7.44     0.48     1.76    16.12     4.88P    0.74R    0.03  
Burnley          24   35   +6      66.88     7.06     8.17     1.32     4.31    25.92     9.97P    0.54R    0.01  
Coventry         26   35   +0      59.48     6.19    -4.28     0.02     0.15     3.03     0.67P    4.39R    0.25  
Leicester        26   35   -7      63.18     6.35    -6.02     0.14     0.60     8.71     2.54P    1.57R    0.06  
Derby            25   34   +4      61.79     6.54     2.13     0.13     0.50     7.52     1.89P    2.44R    0.12  
Doncaster        23   34   +0      64.74     6.99    -1.26     0.57     2.00    15.74     4.70P    1.20R    0.06  
Hull             25   33   -2      62.37     6.59    -0.92     0.23     0.70     8.33     2.49P    2.12R    0.13  
Barnsley         24   33   -6      58.13     6.56   -13.90     0.02     0.14     2.41     0.50P    8.77R    0.80  
Bristol_City     25   32   -4      59.01     6.53    -6.67     0.03     0.15     3.06     0.70P    6.36R    0.48  
Portsmouth       24   30   -3      64.18     6.95     3.15     0.39     1.49    14.61     5.17P    1.61R    0.11  
Middlesbrough    25   26   -8      55.33     6.49    -6.97     0.00     0.01     0.79     0.19P   15.66R    2.02  
Ipswich          24   26   -8      53.65     6.58   -11.64     0.00     0.01     0.45     0.10P   23.36R    3.62  
Sheff_Utd        25   26  -16      52.78     6.48   -19.02     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.04P   29.10R    4.94  
Crystal_Palace   25   25  -18      49.21     6.36   -24.99     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   51.92R   11.94  
Scunthorpe       23   23  -14      47.12     6.67   -26.63     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   63.68R   21.66  
Preston          24   19  -18      42.11     6.49   -29.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.32R   53.77  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 8 January 2011, Bournemouth vs Plymouth; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         22   43  +22      82.46     7.26    31.81    38.22    60.11    92.43    68.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      23   39  +19      74.12     7.30    24.29     7.35    18.05    62.73    27.86P    0.08R    0.00  
Southampton      22   37  +17      80.58     7.15    33.32    28.09    50.85    88.67    64.35P    0.00R    0.00  
Huddersfield     23   36   +7      74.13     7.15    16.99     6.24    16.05    61.98    27.97P    0.08R    0.00  
Charlton         22   34   +4      73.43     7.29    13.98     5.42    14.47    57.64    26.23P    0.13R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        22   33  +12      74.85     7.31    25.43     8.67    20.83    66.85    35.96P    0.08R    0.00  
Peterborough     21   33   +1      69.03     7.83     3.09     2.24     6.39    34.07    12.10P    1.17R    0.02  
MK_Dons          23   33   -4      64.29     7.08    -4.68     0.27     1.09    12.96     3.23P    3.32R    0.06  
Oldham           21   32   +5      66.20     7.41     4.88     0.81     2.69    21.19     6.24P    1.95R    0.04  
Hartlepool       21   32   -3      63.82     7.34    -7.37     0.38     1.31    12.56     3.16P    4.32R    0.10  
Rochdale         22   31   +4      62.75     7.50     1.86     0.27     1.06    11.52     3.25P    5.80R    0.14  
Colchester       21   31   +0      66.72     7.51     2.05     1.04     3.13    23.28     7.74P    1.94R    0.04  
Brentford        22   31   -1      62.97     7.09    -2.27     0.16     0.72     9.99     2.49P    4.66R    0.12  
Plymouth         23   30   -6      61.40     7.16    -6.36     0.09     0.44     6.86     1.86P    7.62R    0.24  
Exeter           23   30   -7      56.86     6.82   -14.98     0.01     0.05     1.55     0.25P   21.04R    1.14  
Notts_County     21   29   +1      62.64     7.61    -0.21     0.32     1.09    11.15     3.09P    6.05R    0.20  
Carlisle         21   28   +5      62.98     7.46     5.82     0.24     0.97    11.87     3.35P    5.22R    0.20  
Swindon          23   28   -4      61.34     7.06    -1.63     0.10     0.37     6.70     1.60P    7.35R    0.29  
Leyton_Orient    21   27   -2      59.25     7.40    -5.35     0.06     0.28     4.56     1.03P   13.06R    0.63  
Tranmere         22   26   -8      53.30     6.96   -16.94     0.00     0.02     0.63     0.11P   38.71R    3.41  
Yeovil           22   23  -13      50.27     7.00   -21.72     0.00     0.01     0.20     0.03P   56.86R    8.29  
Bristol_Rovers   21   22  -14      52.18     7.41   -20.97     0.00     0.02     0.60     0.10P   46.00R    6.07  
Dag_&_Red        22   18  -15      41.30     6.90   -30.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.45R   50.52  
Walsall          22   18  -20      44.66     6.97   -30.10     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   83.11R   28.49  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 8 January 2011, Accrington_Stanley vs Bury; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         22   45  +20      84.70     7.43    30.23    44.02    78.53    96.95    83.18P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            21   40  +16      80.82     7.47    25.88    22.73    60.82    91.28    68.87P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              23   40   +7      76.98     7.18    15.09     9.30    38.06    81.02    49.62P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            22   39   +9      76.92     7.13    16.37     8.88    37.41    81.20    47.69P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                22   35  +18      75.39     7.43    29.73     7.96    33.43    76.52    45.33P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 22   35  +12      71.48     7.28    17.30     2.70    15.94    56.82    26.00P    0.01R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           22   34  +10      71.13     7.19    16.33     2.06    14.04    55.06    24.61P    0.01R    0.00  
Cheltenham           23   34   +1      65.65     7.10     0.86     0.31     3.31    23.82     7.06P    0.15R    0.03  
Gillingham           23   33   +4      68.42     7.26     9.73     1.03     7.56    39.29    16.23P    0.06R    0.01  
Oxford_Utd           23   32   -1      60.01     7.01    -5.87     0.04     0.54     7.23     1.64P    1.00R    0.21  
Bradford             23   30   -7      58.80     6.93   -10.90     0.02     0.29     4.64     1.23P    1.57R    0.33  
Torquay              21   29   +7      65.59     7.56    10.40     0.58     4.60    26.90    10.00P    0.19R    0.03  
Accrington_Stanley   22   28   -1      58.34     7.21    -5.31     0.02     0.36     5.34     1.26P    2.08R    0.57  
Northampton          23   28   -7      60.66     7.02    -5.30     0.03     0.59     8.09     2.46P    0.84R    0.22  
Stevenage            21   27   +5      60.76     7.43     4.58     0.08     1.02    10.63     3.27P    0.96R    0.25  
Morecambe            22   27   -3      59.74     7.26    -3.60     0.03     0.55     7.27     1.99P    1.30R    0.34  
Southend             22   26   -2      63.76     7.44     5.18     0.16     2.31    18.70     7.08P    0.42R    0.10  
Macclesfield         22   26   -8      53.62     7.05   -15.97     0.00     0.06     1.20     0.23P    8.05R    2.73  
Burton_Albion        21   25   +2      58.12     7.49    -0.08     0.04     0.46     5.85     1.66P    2.68R    0.72  
Aldershot            22   25   -8      55.50     7.11   -11.52     0.01     0.10     1.99     0.52P    4.92R    1.53  
Stockport            24   23  -27      44.15     6.50   -42.13     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    52.47R   29.02  
Barnet               24   22  -16      43.84     6.47   -29.69     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   51.58R   27.94  
Lincoln_City         20   19  -14      46.56     7.25   -25.49     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.02P   35.58R   17.87  
Hereford             22   19  -17      46.29     7.01   -25.84     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.02P   36.15R   18.10  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 8 January 2011, Barrow vs Cambridge_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
AFC_Wimbledon      24   49  +19      84.29     6.83    26.76    12.37    89.34    28.82P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       21   46  +27      88.15     7.32    39.30    29.72    95.57    46.80P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              23   46  +25      91.64     6.53    47.70    55.22    98.97    73.13P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     26   42  +11      70.26     6.56    12.24     0.12    20.99     3.45P    0.00R    0.00  
Wrexham            24   40  +12      74.98     6.53    19.36     0.91    47.06    11.70P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     24   40  +12      70.78     6.81    13.23     0.24    23.88     4.70P    0.00R    0.00  
Kidderminster      25   39   +1      67.71     6.46     0.53     0.07    10.47     1.93P    0.01R    0.00  
Mansfield          25   37   +7      70.62     6.58    14.57     0.15    23.27     4.70P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            23   35  +12      74.69     6.98    24.85     1.03    47.79    14.17P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      25   33   +5      63.77     6.54     8.13     0.01     4.38     0.99P    0.13R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   24   32   +0      67.25     6.62     8.05     0.03    10.71     2.62P    0.03R    0.00  
Darlington         23   31   +6      67.99     6.93    14.06     0.06    14.24     3.96P    0.04R    0.00  
Bath_City          25   31   -6      55.88     6.66   -12.77     0.00     0.29     0.04P    4.13R    0.48  
York               22   29   +4      66.30     7.02    10.70     0.04     9.72     2.38P    0.12R    0.01  
Kettering          22   28   -4      62.54     6.96    -1.50     0.01     3.14     0.61P    0.47R    0.04  
Tamworth           23   26   -7      53.71     6.69   -13.31     0.00     0.12     0.02P    7.99R    1.32  
Gateshead          23   26  -10      50.20     6.55   -22.07     0.00     0.02     0.00    19.14R    4.46  
Forest_Green       25   26  -15      48.63     6.25   -25.59     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.64R    6.13  
Southport          24   25   -5      49.18     6.62   -14.57     0.00     0.02     0.00P   22.58R    5.68  
Barrow             23   23   -9      49.04     6.64   -18.34     0.00     0.01     0.00    23.35R    5.88  
Hayes_&_Yeading    25   23  -21      43.66     6.20   -34.97     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.27R   23.95  
Eastbourne_Boro    25   22  -15      44.96     6.26   -25.65     0.00     0.00     0.00P   46.05R   16.14  
Altrincham         24   21  -29      45.90     6.48   -37.65     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.76R   15.77  
Histon             22   20  -20      44.86     6.78   -33.07     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.29R   20.14