Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 7 January 2011 at 22:15:02 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 5 January 2011, Arsenal vs Man_City; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         20   44  +24      81.36     5.38    44.71    72.62    91.27    97.60    99.63    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        22   42  +17      69.61     5.21    25.80     2.68    16.91    45.92    82.29    99.17     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         21   40  +20      75.12     5.41    39.61    19.43    63.98    86.28    96.61    99.88     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       21   36   +6      63.25     5.63    12.12     0.27     2.67    10.32    28.93    87.80     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         21   35  +17      70.50     5.20    36.75     5.00    25.07    59.00    86.92    99.37     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland      22   33   +3      53.68     5.28     1.07     0.00     0.03     0.25     1.49    26.78     0.14R    0.00  
Bolton          22   30   +5      49.36     5.35     0.47     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.26     9.19     1.32R    0.10  
Newcastle       21   28   +3      50.88     5.77     1.95     0.00     0.01     0.11     0.66    16.13     1.11R    0.07  
Blackburn       22   28   -6      46.93     5.29   -11.51     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.08     3.11     4.71R    0.51  
Stoke           21   27   +0      46.77     5.38    -5.46     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.10     3.79     4.67R    0.53  
Everton         21   25   -2      50.39     5.58     0.76     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.43    13.03     1.34R    0.10  
Liverpool       20   25   -3      54.55     5.82     4.08     0.00     0.06     0.43     2.53    35.55     0.26R    0.02  
Blackpool       19   25   -5      44.49     5.91   -17.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     2.38    14.05R    2.50  
Fulham          21   22   -2      42.35     5.38    -6.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.81    18.28R    3.31  
Birmingham      20   22   -5      43.06     5.56   -10.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.08    16.74R    3.07  
West_Brom       21   22  -13      41.65     5.62   -19.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.62    26.55R    6.42  
Wolverhampton   21   21  -13      37.19     5.20   -24.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    58.27R   19.61  
Aston_Villa     21   21  -15      44.01     5.60   -16.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.24    14.60R    2.81  
Wigan           21   21  -15      35.67     5.00   -29.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    70.66R   32.35  
West_Ham        22   20  -16      35.99     5.13   -26.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    67.29R   28.60  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 4 January 2011, Cardiff vs Leeds_United; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              25   48  +27      82.16     6.56    34.91    49.09    69.32    95.01    76.27P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          25   43  +10      77.07     6.56    18.16    16.65    35.35    79.50    47.72P    0.00R    0.00  
Norwich          25   43   +8      73.93     6.77    11.11     7.51    19.42    62.16    28.67P    0.01R    0.00  
Swansea          26   43   +6      72.81     6.25     9.67     4.53    13.35    56.08    23.72P    0.02R    0.00  
Leeds_United     26   41   +3      69.51     6.53     4.54     2.01     6.37    36.16    12.54P    0.09R    0.00  
Watford          24   39  +12      72.23     6.87    16.60     5.89    15.28    54.56    24.43P    0.03R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    23   37  +11      73.41     6.84    18.44     7.59    18.97    61.56    31.41P    0.01R    0.00  
Reading          25   37  +10      70.82     6.55    17.50     3.40     9.98    47.17    21.11P    0.07R    0.00  
Millwall         25   36   +7      64.88     6.57     7.38     0.48     1.73    16.06     4.86P    0.77R    0.02  
Burnley          24   35   +6      66.73     7.02     7.93     1.25     3.99    25.28     9.31P    0.50R    0.01  
Coventry         26   35   +0      59.68     6.20    -4.03     0.03     0.15     3.16     0.69P    4.22R    0.28  
Leicester        26   35   -7      63.07     6.36    -6.17     0.15     0.64     8.61     2.52P    1.68R    0.08  
Derby            25   34   +4      61.77     6.50     2.04     0.12     0.55     7.38     1.93P    2.43R    0.11  
Doncaster        23   34   +1      65.14     7.04     0.36     0.67     2.30    17.75     5.48P    1.09R    0.06  
Hull             25   33   -3      62.18     6.61    -2.23     0.15     0.66     7.85     2.37P    2.32R    0.17  
Barnsley         24   33   -6      58.33     6.52   -13.62     0.02     0.16     2.30     0.49P    8.46R    0.73  
Bristol_City     25   32   -4      58.91     6.48    -6.82     0.02     0.11     2.91     0.67P    6.35R    0.58  
Portsmouth       24   30   -3      64.22     6.94     3.18     0.43     1.64    14.84     5.39P    1.71R    0.11  
Middlesbrough    25   26   -8      55.33     6.45    -6.96     0.00     0.02     0.79     0.24P   15.71R    1.88  
Ipswich          24   26   -8      53.59     6.64   -11.80     0.00     0.02     0.49     0.10P   24.04R    3.80  
Sheff_Utd        25   26  -16      52.83     6.44   -18.94     0.00     0.01     0.27     0.08P   28.91R    4.72  
Crystal_Palace   25   25  -18      49.21     6.33   -24.98     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   52.41R   12.15  
Scunthorpe       23   23  -14      47.31     6.75   -26.34     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   63.13R   21.14  
Preston          24   19  -18      42.12     6.53   -29.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.05R   54.16  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 4 January 2011, Bristol_Rovers vs Plymouth; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         22   43  +22      82.42     7.28    31.72    38.45    60.73    92.38    68.50P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      22   37  +17      80.54     7.17    33.25    29.00    51.18    88.55    64.46P    0.01R    0.00  
Bournemouth      22   36  +16      71.95     7.54    20.44     4.78    12.43    51.08    20.78P    0.27R    0.00  
Huddersfield     23   36   +7      74.08     7.10    16.93     5.96    16.12    61.91    27.77P    0.11R    0.00  
Charlton         22   34   +4      73.68     7.34    14.32     6.00    15.69    58.97    27.84P    0.15R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        22   33  +12      74.94     7.34    25.56     9.21    22.11    67.08    36.77P    0.09R    0.00  
Peterborough     21   33   +1      69.24     7.84     3.47     2.56     6.87    35.03    12.62P    1.12R    0.03  
Hartlepool       21   32   -3      63.65     7.38    -7.60     0.36     1.38    12.36     3.15P    4.50R    0.15  
MK_Dons          22   32   -4      64.70     7.31    -4.70     0.40     1.52    15.09     4.10P    3.27R    0.09  
Brentford        21   31   +1      64.88     7.34     0.46     0.43     1.69    15.95     4.34P    3.05R    0.06  
Colchester       21   31   +0      66.88     7.48     2.24     1.00     3.26    24.02     7.93P    1.74R    0.03  
Plymouth         22   30   -3      63.63     7.32    -2.03     0.27     1.13    12.43     3.76P    4.27R    0.13  
Oldham           20   29   +3      63.80     7.64     1.73     0.45     1.64    14.32     4.10P    4.55R    0.14  
Notts_County     21   29   +1      62.53     7.61    -0.36     0.34     1.11    10.69     3.06P    6.14R    0.21  
Exeter           22   29   -7      57.09     7.10   -15.24     0.02     0.10     2.15     0.44P   20.50R    1.20  
Carlisle         21   28   +5      62.80     7.44     5.52     0.25     1.00    11.31     3.33P    5.41R    0.21  
Rochdale         21   28   +3      61.30     7.68     1.09     0.21     0.80     8.78     2.40P    8.40R    0.40  
Swindon          22   28   -2      63.31     7.25     1.38     0.23     0.88    11.71     3.29P    4.62R    0.12  
Leyton_Orient    21   27   -2      59.27     7.42    -5.31     0.08     0.28     4.76     1.09P   12.76R    0.69  
Tranmere         21   25   -8      53.88     7.11   -16.47     0.00     0.03     0.79     0.15P   34.94R    3.22  
Bristol_Rovers   21   22  -14      52.14     7.43   -21.02     0.01     0.02     0.51     0.10P   45.86R    6.37  
Yeovil           21   20  -15      47.90     7.13   -24.86     0.00     0.01     0.09     0.02P   68.63R   15.24  
Dag_&_Red        21   18  -14      42.62     7.23   -30.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.65R   41.89  
Walsall          21   17  -20      44.70     7.17   -30.39     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   81.96R   29.80  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 3 January 2011, Accrington_Stanley vs Chesterfield; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         21   42  +19      82.44     7.61    28.26    32.43    67.31    93.55    73.84P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            21   40  +16      80.74     7.48    25.78    23.36    59.04    90.81    67.51P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              22   40  +10      79.55     7.38    19.84    17.59    51.20    87.79    61.51P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            22   39   +9      76.74     7.18    16.08     9.02    35.27    79.66    45.51P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 21   35  +13      73.59     7.51    19.46     5.63    23.34    66.22    33.88P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           21   34  +12      73.52     7.44    19.77     4.94    22.55    66.22    33.88P    0.00R    0.00  
Cheltenham           22   33   +1      65.78     7.27     0.46     0.42     3.48    24.07     7.28P    0.15R    0.02  
Crewe                21   32  +15      72.90     7.61    25.30     4.85    21.78    63.97    33.40P    0.01R    0.00  
Gillingham           22   30   +0      65.81     7.38     4.29     0.44     3.60    25.27     9.29P    0.14R    0.03  
Bradford             22   30   -5      61.43     7.13    -7.01     0.07     0.85     9.29     2.48P    0.66R    0.15  
Torquay              21   29   +7      65.56     7.57    10.37     0.56     4.30    26.02     9.42P    0.17R    0.03  
Oxford_Utd           22   29   -2      57.58     7.12    -8.01     0.01     0.26     3.92     0.95P    2.32R    0.60  
Stevenage            21   27   +5      60.63     7.42     4.41     0.08     0.92     9.82     3.02P    0.92R    0.18  
Northampton          22   27   -7      61.49     7.25    -4.63     0.08     0.90    10.10     3.17P    0.69R    0.14  
Southend             21   26   -1      65.62     7.62     6.86     0.45     4.15    25.62    10.50P    0.25R    0.06  
Macclesfield         22   26   -8      53.62     7.00   -15.99     0.00     0.04     1.10     0.18P    7.67R    2.30  
Burton_Albion        21   25   +2      58.17     7.46     0.00     0.03     0.40     5.41     1.50P    2.30R    0.59  
Accrington_Stanley   21   25   -2      56.31     7.40    -7.02     0.01     0.17     3.31     0.73P    3.93R    1.05  
Aldershot            21   25   -7      57.64     7.29    -9.36     0.02     0.23     4.00     0.95P    2.62R    0.67  
Morecambe            21   24   -5      56.89     7.43    -7.34     0.01     0.22     3.66     0.96P    3.35R    0.96  
Stockport            23   23  -23      46.09     6.81   -36.91     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   38.75R   17.39  
Lincoln_City         20   19  -14      46.47     7.19   -25.61     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P   34.78R   16.33  
Hereford             22   19  -17      46.37     7.07   -25.72     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   34.72R   16.06  
Barnet               23   19  -18      41.13     6.57   -33.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   66.57R   43.42  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 4 January 2011, Hayes_&_Yeading vs Luton; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
AFC_Wimbledon      23   48  +19      84.24     7.00    26.19    10.65    86.96    27.20P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       21   46  +27      88.21     7.28    39.35    26.30    95.10    44.28P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              22   45  +25      92.89     6.72    49.17    59.71    99.10    75.82P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     25   42  +12      71.97     6.80    13.74     0.26    26.78     4.80P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     23   40  +13      72.87     7.09    15.24     0.57    31.73     6.35P    0.00R    0.00  
Kidderminster      24   38   +1      68.11     6.67     0.56     0.07    10.84     1.94P    0.01R    0.00  
Wrexham            23   37  +10      73.00     6.73    16.84     0.38    32.34     7.70P    0.00R    0.00  
Grimsby            22   35  +14      76.37     7.15    27.46     1.75    54.04    16.99P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          24   34   +5      68.69     6.85    12.03     0.08    14.71     3.02P    0.01R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   23   32   +1      69.93     6.78    11.19     0.11    17.99     4.39P    0.01R    0.00  
Darlington         22   30   +6      68.82     7.16    14.74     0.08    16.21     4.34P    0.03R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      24   30   +4      62.11     6.72     7.06     0.00     2.49     0.54P    0.28R    0.02  
Bath_City          24   30   -6      55.37     6.81   -14.42     0.00     0.25     0.03P    4.05R    0.42  
York               22   29   +4      66.20     7.00    10.59     0.04     8.27     2.00P    0.07R    0.01  
Kettering          22   28   -4      62.58     7.03    -1.37     0.00     2.89     0.55P    0.36R    0.02  
Tamworth           22   26   -6      55.24     7.00   -12.16     0.00     0.23     0.03P    5.01R    0.82  
Gateshead          22   25  -10      50.35     6.73   -22.37     0.00     0.03     0.00P   16.33R    3.38  
Barrow             22   23   -8      50.64     6.84   -16.93     0.00     0.03     0.00    14.64R    2.96  
Forest_Green       24   23  -16      46.74     6.46   -27.17     0.00     0.00     0.00P   32.35R    8.45  
Southport          23   22   -6      47.00     6.82   -16.45     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.21R    8.17  
Eastbourne_Boro    24   22  -13      46.57     6.48   -23.26     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.21R    8.35  
Histon             22   20  -20      45.04     6.82   -32.85     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.94R   15.16  
Hayes_&_Yeading    24   20  -22      41.94     6.40   -36.19     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.77R   27.83  
Altrincham         23   18  -30      42.89     6.56   -40.99     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.71R   24.42