Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 6 January 2011 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 5 January 2011, Arsenal vs Man_City; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         20   44  +24      81.34     5.39    44.74    72.53    91.04    97.49    99.62   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        22   42  +17      69.63     5.24    25.81     2.92    17.12    45.94    82.43    99.16     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         21   40  +20      75.14     5.36    39.62    19.29    64.05    86.46    96.78    99.91     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       21   36   +6      63.07     5.63    11.83     0.28     2.69     9.97    27.86    87.11     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         21   35  +17      70.51     5.18    36.72     4.98    24.96    59.09    87.43    99.36     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland      22   33   +3      53.60     5.32     0.97     0.00     0.04     0.28     1.52    26.40     0.12R    0.00  
Bolton          22   30   +5      49.30     5.34     0.33     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.26     8.97     1.40R    0.07  
Newcastle       21   28   +3      50.96     5.79     2.13     0.00     0.01     0.13     0.75    16.52     1.03R    0.07  
Blackburn       22   28   -6      46.94     5.32   -11.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08     3.31     4.88R    0.48  
Stoke           21   27   +0      46.79     5.37    -5.44     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.10     3.85     4.81R    0.52  
Everton         21   25   -2      50.33     5.56     0.70     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.36    12.73     1.31R    0.12  
Liverpool       20   25   -3      54.64     5.79     4.16     0.01     0.09     0.54     2.70    36.31     0.25R    0.02  
Blackpool       19   25   -5      44.42     5.94   -17.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     2.35    14.31R    2.72  
Fulham          21   22   -2      42.36     5.39    -6.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.74    18.28R    3.23  
Birmingham      20   22   -5      43.07     5.56   -10.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     1.15    16.82R    3.01  
West_Brom       21   22  -13      41.70     5.67   -19.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.67    26.50R    6.57  
Wolverhampton   21   21  -13      37.25     5.18   -24.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05    57.97R   19.31  
Aston_Villa     21   21  -15      44.10     5.63   -16.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.36    14.62R    2.96  
Wigan           21   21  -15      35.67     5.03   -29.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    70.72R   32.74  
West_Ham        22   20  -16      36.03     5.08   -26.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    66.99R   28.18  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 4 January 2011, Cardiff vs Leeds_United; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              25   48  +27      82.18     6.53    34.96    49.04    69.33    94.85    76.38P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          25   43  +10      76.91     6.63    17.95    16.09    34.44    78.40    46.48P    0.00R    0.00  
Norwich          25   43   +8      73.95     6.79    11.19     7.66    19.53    61.91    28.91P    0.01R    0.00  
Swansea          26   43   +6      72.88     6.30     9.74     4.55    13.46    56.52    23.83P    0.00R    0.00  
Leeds_United     26   41   +3      69.57     6.50     4.65     1.99     6.30    36.04    12.37P    0.11R    0.00  
Watford          24   39  +12      72.17     6.86    16.53     5.55    14.66    54.36    23.82P    0.05R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    23   37  +11      73.50     6.88    18.56     7.90    19.47    61.50    31.71P    0.03R    0.00  
Reading          25   37  +10      70.95     6.63    17.76     3.62    10.48    47.69    21.74P    0.06R    0.00  
Millwall         25   36   +8      65.13     6.58     8.64     0.51     1.94    17.29     5.36P    0.70R    0.03  
Burnley          24   35   +6      66.72     7.05     7.88     1.31     4.03    24.82     9.43P    0.59R    0.02  
Coventry         26   35   -1      59.42     6.19    -5.52     0.02     0.10     2.95     0.56P    4.90R    0.31  
Leicester        26   35   -7      63.24     6.36    -5.90     0.16     0.69     8.74     2.63P    1.77R    0.10  
Derby            25   34   +4      61.80     6.57     1.99     0.16     0.61     7.65     2.06P    2.59R    0.13  
Doncaster        23   34   +1      65.34     7.01     0.54     0.76     2.52    18.26     5.74P    1.06R    0.04  
Hull             25   33   -3      62.29     6.65    -2.08     0.17     0.68     8.22     2.46P    2.37R    0.16  
Barnsley         24   33   -5      58.32     6.54   -12.70     0.02     0.12     2.38     0.47P    8.53R    0.84  
Bristol_City     25   31   -6      57.42     6.49    -9.64     0.01     0.06     1.72     0.35P   10.47R    1.04  
Portsmouth       24   30   -3      64.13     6.93     3.05     0.45     1.50    14.46     5.16P    1.72R    0.13  
Ipswich          24   28   -6      55.98     6.66    -9.29     0.00     0.05     1.19     0.30P   15.00R    1.86  
Middlesbrough    25   26   -9      55.13     6.50    -8.31     0.00     0.03     0.69     0.16P   17.02R    2.28  
Sheff_Utd        25   26  -16      53.00     6.47   -18.76     0.00     0.01     0.28     0.06P   28.91R    5.01  
Crystal_Palace   25   25  -18      49.21     6.28   -25.05     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   53.62R   12.42  
Scunthorpe       23   23  -14      47.34     6.67   -26.33     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P   64.00R   21.37  
Preston          24   19  -18      42.21     6.52   -29.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.48R   54.24  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 4 January 2011, Bristol_Rovers vs Plymouth; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         22   43  +22      82.45     7.31    31.79    38.84    60.88    92.32    68.47P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      22   37  +17      80.56     7.18    33.28    28.77    51.57    88.78    64.89P    0.00R    0.00  
Bournemouth      22   36  +16      71.92     7.57    20.39     4.85    12.61    50.85    20.81P    0.31R    0.00  
Huddersfield     23   36   +7      74.13     7.11    17.00     6.11    16.49    62.31    28.32P    0.08R    0.00  
Charlton         22   34   +4      73.49     7.33    14.03     5.77    15.12    57.91    27.16P    0.17R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        22   33  +12      74.84     7.35    25.43     8.97    21.49    66.88    36.40P    0.09R    0.00  
Peterborough     21   33   +1      69.15     7.82     3.33     2.37     6.75    34.60    12.40P    1.13R    0.02  
Hartlepool       21   32   -3      63.65     7.37    -7.62     0.38     1.26    12.32     3.10P    4.70R    0.16  
MK_Dons          22   32   -4      64.56     7.27    -4.93     0.37     1.34    14.32     3.75P    3.34R    0.07  
Brentford        21   31   +1      65.04     7.32     0.75     0.52     1.77    16.38     4.58P    2.70R    0.05  
Colchester       21   31   +0      66.81     7.53     2.18     1.07     3.37    23.96     8.06P    1.81R    0.03  
Plymouth         22   30   -3      63.58     7.40    -2.13     0.31     1.25    12.56     3.81P    4.48R    0.15  
Oldham           20   29   +3      63.96     7.66     2.00     0.49     1.61    14.79     4.12P    4.25R    0.12  
Notts_County     21   29   +1      62.68     7.60    -0.15     0.35     1.18    11.20     3.25P    5.91R    0.24  
Exeter           22   29   -7      57.17     7.11   -15.10     0.02     0.09     2.18     0.36P   20.35R    1.28  
Carlisle         21   28   +5      62.94     7.45     5.70     0.29     1.15    12.01     3.46P    5.17R    0.20  
Rochdale         21   28   +3      61.07     7.72     0.68     0.18     0.72     8.61     2.28P    8.98R    0.47  
Swindon          22   28   -2      63.30     7.32     1.37     0.25     1.01    11.95     3.43P    4.68R    0.14  
Leyton_Orient    21   27   -2      59.21     7.43    -5.42     0.08     0.29     4.68     1.09P   13.13R    0.76  
Tranmere         21   25   -8      53.85     7.14   -16.49     0.01     0.02     0.76     0.15P   35.22R    3.42  
Bristol_Rovers   21   22  -14      52.18     7.37   -20.97     0.00     0.01     0.51     0.10P   45.43R    6.33  
Yeovil           21   20  -15      47.96     7.14   -24.73     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   68.47R   15.25  
Dag_&_Red        21   18  -14      42.76     7.25   -29.84     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    87.20R   41.11  
Walsall          21   17  -20      44.63     7.12   -30.52     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00    82.41R   30.20  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 3 January 2011, Accrington_Stanley vs Chesterfield; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         21   42  +19      82.64     7.63    28.51    33.66    68.42    93.77    74.81P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            21   40  +16      80.71     7.47    25.72    23.43    58.98    90.78    67.32P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              22   40  +10      79.15     7.43    19.28    16.68    49.32    86.64    59.61P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            22   39   +9      76.78     7.11    16.19     8.84    35.69    80.08    46.20P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 21   35  +13      73.39     7.56    19.18     5.31    23.04    65.33    33.93P    0.01R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           21   34  +12      73.57     7.41    19.82     4.90    22.91    66.37    34.41P    0.01R    0.00  
Cheltenham           22   33   +1      65.78     7.28     0.50     0.44     3.58    24.05     7.33P    0.15R    0.02  
Crewe                21   32  +15      72.89     7.63    25.25     4.86    22.08    64.03    33.46P    0.01R    0.00  
Gillingham           22   30   +0      65.79     7.41     4.21     0.48     3.73    25.41     9.29P    0.13R    0.03  
Bradford             22   30   -5      61.46     7.11    -6.90     0.07     0.88     9.44     2.53P    0.61R    0.15  
Torquay              21   29   +7      65.54     7.58    10.31     0.58     4.35    26.15     9.51P    0.17R    0.02  
Oxford_Utd           22   29   -2      57.74     7.13    -7.78     0.01     0.25     4.00     0.93P    2.29R    0.54  
Stevenage            21   27   +5      60.63     7.45     4.45     0.09     0.93    10.04     3.00P    0.93R    0.21  
Northampton          22   27   -7      61.59     7.23    -4.47     0.05     0.84    10.38     3.18P    0.70R    0.15  
Southend             21   26   -1      65.61     7.58     6.85     0.50     3.91    25.67    10.08P    0.21R    0.04  
Macclesfield         22   26   -8      53.76     6.97   -15.78     0.00     0.04     1.07     0.21P    7.11R    2.18  
Burton_Albion        21   25   +2      58.22     7.50     0.05     0.03     0.42     5.74     1.59P    2.35R    0.60  
Accrington_Stanley   21   25   -2      56.26     7.40    -7.08     0.01     0.20     3.20     0.75P    4.04R    1.17  
Aldershot            21   25   -7      57.57     7.27    -9.51     0.03     0.24     3.87     0.87P    2.60R    0.71  
Morecambe            21   24   -5      57.03     7.41    -7.20     0.02     0.19     3.78     0.98P    3.31R    0.94  
Stockport            23   23  -23      46.17     6.80   -36.77     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.02P   38.09R   16.83  
Lincoln_City         20   19  -14      46.37     7.10   -25.71     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P   35.27R   16.15  
Hereford             22   19  -17      46.36     7.04   -25.70     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   34.97R   16.20  
Barnet               23   19  -18      41.09     6.61   -33.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.04R   44.05  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 4 January 2011, Hayes_&_Yeading vs Luton; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
AFC_Wimbledon      23   48  +19      84.34     6.98    26.34    10.78    87.35    27.21P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       21   46  +27      88.26     7.30    39.42    26.38    95.01    44.18P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              22   45  +25      92.87     6.73    49.17    59.70    99.10    76.05P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     25   42  +12      71.94     6.79    13.70     0.25    26.58     4.65P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     23   40  +13      72.60     7.05    14.86     0.46    30.56     5.91P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      24   38   +1      68.20     6.67     0.72     0.04    11.09     1.98P    0.01R    0.00  
Wrexham            23   37  +10      72.93     6.76    16.71     0.35    32.25     7.66P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            22   35  +14      76.49     7.18    27.68     1.75    54.86    17.46P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          24   34   +5      68.85     6.82    12.28     0.07    14.91     3.09P    0.02R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   23   32   +1      70.04     6.77    11.30     0.08    18.26     4.49P    0.01R    0.00  
Darlington         22   30   +6      68.95     7.16    14.91     0.11    16.38     4.38P    0.02R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      24   30   +4      62.09     6.71     7.02     0.00     2.45     0.55P    0.27R    0.03  
Bath_City          24   30   -6      55.28     6.83   -14.53     0.00     0.24     0.02P    4.06R    0.43  
York               22   29   +4      66.12     7.04    10.41     0.03     8.09     1.87P    0.10R    0.01  
Kettering          22   28   -4      62.58     6.94    -1.41     0.01     2.61     0.49P    0.36R    0.03  
Tamworth           22   26   -6      55.46     6.97   -11.79     0.00     0.24     0.01P    4.55R    0.64  
Gateshead          22   25  -10      50.33     6.73   -22.45     0.00     0.02     0.00    16.40R    3.28  
Barrow             22   23   -8      50.52     6.82   -17.11     0.00     0.01     0.00P   15.04R    2.91  
Forest_Green       24   23  -16      46.77     6.46   -27.16     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.05R    8.51  
Southport          23   22   -6      47.04     6.84   -16.41     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.68R    8.12  
Eastbourne_Boro    24   22  -13      46.46     6.48   -23.46     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.96R    8.39  
Histon             22   20  -20      44.90     6.79   -33.05     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.53R   15.50  
Hayes_&_Yeading    24   20  -22      41.92     6.41   -36.15     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.51R   27.93  
Altrincham         23   18  -30      42.89     6.56   -41.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.42R   24.22