Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Tuesday 4 January 2011 at 22:15:02 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 4 January 2011, Blackpool vs Birmingham; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- Expected ------------------------- Percentage chance ------------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_Utd 20 44 +24 81.34 5.37 44.74 65.22 87.05 96.65 99.42 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_City 21 41 +17 69.29 5.47 24.62 2.36 12.35 33.94 73.68 98.69 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 20 39 +20 76.26 5.58 41.06 22.34 61.66 85.29 96.14 99.91 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 20 36 +7 64.64 5.81 13.07 0.40 3.23 11.45 32.63 90.99 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 20 35 +18 73.19 5.34 39.91 9.66 35.52 71.52 91.52 99.77 0.00 0.00 Sunderland 21 30 +2 51.45 5.52 -0.83 0.00 0.01 0.07 0.50 15.10 0.57R 0.02 Bolton 21 29 +5 50.66 5.59 1.85 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.47 13.10 0.90R 0.03 Stoke 21 27 +0 46.78 5.43 -5.51 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06 3.65 4.30R 0.41 Liverpool 19 25 -1 56.92 6.03 7.51 0.02 0.17 0.98 5.02 52.52 0.09R 0.00 Newcastle 20 25 -2 48.76 6.01 -3.90 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.25 8.73 3.22R 0.30 Blackpool 19 25 -5 44.24 5.91 -17.62 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 1.88 13.98R 2.22 Blackburn 21 25 -8 44.58 5.50 -14.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 1.53 10.85R 1.44 Fulham 21 22 -2 42.46 5.43 -5.97 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.83 16.45R 2.69 Everton 20 22 -3 48.74 5.82 -0.31 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.20 8.37 2.61R 0.27 Birmingham 20 22 -5 43.03 5.55 -10.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.99 15.64R 2.48 West_Brom 21 22 -13 41.71 5.64 -19.49 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.50 24.33R 5.41 Aston_Villa 20 21 -14 46.22 5.87 -13.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 3.35 7.90R 1.18 West_Ham 21 20 -11 37.60 5.39 -20.85 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.08 51.77R 15.15 Wigan 20 20 -15 35.02 5.14 -31.71 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 72.80R 32.55 Wolverhampton 20 18 -14 34.40 5.36 -27.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 74.59R 35.85Championship (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 4 January 2011, Cardiff vs Leeds_United; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 QPR 25 48 +27 82.19 6.50 34.92 49.11 69.56 95.08 76.80P 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 25 43 +10 76.93 6.64 17.96 16.09 34.92 78.49 47.06P 0.00 0.00 Norwich 25 43 +8 74.03 6.81 11.27 7.87 19.88 62.67 29.34P 0.01R 0.00 Swansea 26 43 +6 72.91 6.32 9.82 4.75 13.71 56.72 23.97P 0.01R 0.00 Leeds_United 26 41 +3 69.47 6.57 4.50 1.98 6.25 35.89 12.24P 0.11R 0.00 Watford 24 39 +12 72.18 6.89 16.50 5.68 14.76 54.34 23.77P 0.03R 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 23 37 +11 73.36 6.90 18.39 7.63 18.90 61.38 31.23P 0.02R 0.00 Reading 25 37 +10 70.82 6.62 17.48 3.45 10.05 47.14 21.08P 0.07R 0.00 Millwall 25 36 +7 64.72 6.62 7.15 0.51 1.66 15.78 4.78P 0.82R 0.04 Burnley 24 35 +6 66.94 7.06 8.26 1.39 4.31 26.17 10.20P 0.49R 0.02 Coventry 26 35 +0 59.58 6.14 -4.14 0.02 0.12 3.15 0.69P 4.01R 0.23 Leicester 26 35 -7 63.11 6.33 -6.11 0.13 0.57 8.42 2.36P 1.67R 0.10 Derby 25 34 +4 61.83 6.56 2.15 0.15 0.59 7.65 2.07P 2.40R 0.14 Doncaster 23 34 +0 65.10 6.96 -0.73 0.62 2.15 16.99 5.15P 1.06R 0.04 Hull 25 33 -2 62.52 6.58 -0.67 0.17 0.71 8.60 2.70P 1.92R 0.09 Barnsley 24 33 -6 58.36 6.54 -13.56 0.02 0.14 2.46 0.51P 8.14R 0.72 Bristol_City 25 32 -4 58.99 6.55 -6.74 0.02 0.12 3.21 0.70P 6.13R 0.49 Portsmouth 24 30 -3 64.11 6.90 3.01 0.41 1.55 14.34 5.00P 1.52R 0.10 Middlesbrough 25 26 -8 55.24 6.45 -7.10 0.00 0.02 0.72 0.21P 15.87R 1.94 Ipswich 24 26 -8 53.32 6.65 -12.16 0.00 0.01 0.47 0.08P 25.08R 4.17 Sheff_Utd 25 26 -16 52.91 6.45 -18.81 0.00 0.00 0.25 0.04P 28.66R 4.67 Crystal_Palace 25 25 -18 49.19 6.36 -24.97 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.01P 52.19R 12.12 Scunthorpe 23 23 -14 47.19 6.67 -26.52 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00 63.64R 21.34 Preston 24 19 -18 42.11 6.54 -29.91 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00P 86.16R 53.79League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 4 January 2011, Bristol_Rovers vs Plymouth; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Brighton 22 43 +22 82.41 7.25 31.74 38.35 60.60 92.45 68.41P 0.00 0.00 Southampton 22 37 +17 80.65 7.18 33.45 29.22 51.98 88.94 65.28P 0.00R 0.00 Bournemouth 22 36 +16 71.76 7.57 20.17 4.61 11.94 49.87 20.15P 0.28R 0.01 Huddersfield 23 36 +7 74.06 7.17 16.91 6.00 16.16 61.89 28.07P 0.10R 0.00 Charlton 22 34 +4 73.54 7.37 14.14 5.87 15.51 58.25 27.33P 0.15R 0.00 Sheff_Wed 22 33 +12 74.93 7.42 25.57 9.12 22.04 67.06 37.03P 0.10R 0.00 Peterborough 21 33 +1 69.24 7.88 3.42 2.39 6.70 35.04 12.48P 1.12R 0.03 Hartlepool 21 32 -3 63.64 7.38 -7.64 0.40 1.34 12.26 3.19P 4.58R 0.13 MK_Dons 22 32 -4 64.64 7.31 -4.80 0.41 1.51 14.81 3.95P 3.32R 0.10 Brentford 21 31 +1 65.22 7.34 0.96 0.58 1.84 16.88 4.64P 2.70R 0.07 Colchester 21 31 +0 66.83 7.48 2.22 1.04 3.27 23.55 7.69P 1.86R 0.05 Plymouth 22 30 -3 63.55 7.41 -2.18 0.36 1.17 12.40 3.73P 4.71R 0.13 Oldham 20 29 +3 64.03 7.67 2.06 0.50 1.64 14.95 4.15P 4.16R 0.16 Notts_County 21 29 +1 62.76 7.60 -0.05 0.33 1.13 11.40 3.21P 5.70R 0.21 Exeter 22 29 -7 57.13 7.13 -15.19 0.01 0.08 2.07 0.36P 20.47R 1.32 Carlisle 21 28 +5 62.99 7.48 5.80 0.29 1.09 12.13 3.51P 5.04R 0.16 Rochdale 21 28 +3 61.06 7.70 0.68 0.21 0.75 8.36 2.20P 8.98R 0.42 Swindon 22 28 -2 63.26 7.29 1.28 0.23 0.94 11.63 3.28P 4.63R 0.15 Leyton_Orient 21 27 -2 59.04 7.41 -5.66 0.06 0.24 4.51 1.01P 13.27R 0.66 Tranmere 21 25 -8 53.83 7.21 -16.48 0.01 0.03 0.86 0.18P 35.74R 3.35 Bristol_Rovers 21 22 -14 52.23 7.41 -20.89 0.00 0.02 0.56 0.11P 44.79R 6.30 Yeovil 21 20 -15 47.95 7.17 -24.77 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.01P 68.11R 14.93 Dag_&_Red 21 18 -14 42.58 7.19 -30.20 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 87.66R 42.12 Walsall 21 17 -20 44.64 7.12 -30.54 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 82.52R 29.69League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Monday 3 January 2011, Accrington_Stanley vs Chesterfield; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Chesterfield 21 42 +19 82.40 7.64 28.19 32.35 67.42 93.37 73.89P 0.00 0.00 Rotherham 21 40 +16 80.77 7.48 25.80 23.85 59.00 90.98 67.36P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 22 40 +10 79.26 7.43 19.40 17.17 49.91 86.79 60.10P 0.00 0.00 Port_Vale 22 39 +9 76.87 7.09 16.30 9.01 35.76 80.48 46.37P 0.00R 0.00 Bury 21 35 +13 73.51 7.50 19.28 5.31 23.42 65.47 34.02P 0.00R 0.00 Shrewsbury 21 34 +12 73.60 7.38 19.91 4.95 22.68 66.43 34.31P 0.00 0.00 Cheltenham 22 33 +1 65.72 7.27 0.39 0.40 3.41 23.67 7.00P 0.16R 0.03 Crewe 21 32 +15 72.86 7.63 25.23 4.92 21.95 63.97 33.05P 0.01R 0.00 Gillingham 22 30 +0 65.76 7.49 4.19 0.53 3.90 25.33 9.55P 0.18R 0.05 Bradford 22 30 -5 61.56 7.13 -6.80 0.08 0.95 9.68 2.78P 0.62R 0.11 Torquay 21 29 +7 65.61 7.61 10.40 0.62 4.32 26.28 9.58P 0.16R 0.03 Oxford_Utd 22 29 -2 57.66 7.13 -7.81 0.02 0.25 3.86 0.94P 2.33R 0.55 Stevenage 21 27 +5 60.54 7.43 4.31 0.08 0.93 9.51 2.92P 0.98R 0.22 Northampton 22 27 -7 61.45 7.27 -4.66 0.07 0.90 10.14 3.04P 0.70R 0.15 Southend 21 26 -1 65.68 7.63 7.00 0.56 4.05 26.10 10.58P 0.24R 0.06 Macclesfield 22 26 -8 53.66 7.03 -15.89 0.00 0.03 1.09 0.22P 7.60R 2.44 Burton_Albion 21 25 +2 58.14 7.52 -0.10 0.03 0.39 5.58 1.47P 2.44R 0.73 Accrington_Stanley 21 25 -2 56.22 7.42 -7.14 0.01 0.20 3.18 0.74P 4.17R 1.22 Aldershot 21 25 -7 57.41 7.36 -9.70 0.02 0.28 4.05 1.01P 2.83R 0.78 Morecambe 21 24 -5 57.07 7.47 -7.13 0.01 0.25 3.83 1.03P 3.33R 0.90 Stockport 23 23 -23 46.19 6.78 -36.75 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.01P 38.19R 17.23 Lincoln_City 20 19 -14 46.47 7.14 -25.59 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.02P 34.56R 16.26 Hereford 22 19 -17 46.32 7.05 -25.83 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.01P 35.29R 16.53 Barnet 23 19 -18 41.30 6.54 -32.99 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00P 66.20R 42.70Conference (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 4 January 2011, Hayes_&_Yeading vs Luton; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected ---------------- Percentage chance ---------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 AFC_Wimbledon 23 48 +19 84.27 6.97 26.26 10.77 87.03 26.90P 0.00 0.00 Crawley_Town 21 46 +27 88.22 7.32 39.29 26.42 94.93 44.40P 0.00 0.00 Luton 22 45 +25 92.95 6.75 49.31 59.56 99.04 75.88P 0.00 0.00 Newport_County 25 42 +12 72.15 6.83 14.07 0.26 27.61 5.03P 0.00 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 23 40 +13 72.76 7.14 15.11 0.43 31.39 6.22P 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 24 38 +1 68.19 6.61 0.72 0.06 10.64 1.83P 0.00R 0.00 Wrexham 23 37 +10 73.07 6.72 16.97 0.38 32.37 7.80P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 22 35 +14 76.50 7.21 27.69 1.76 54.86 17.28P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 24 34 +5 68.72 6.88 12.05 0.06 14.57 2.97P 0.02R 0.00 Rushden_&_D'mnds 23 32 +1 69.97 6.81 11.22 0.15 18.02 4.43P 0.01R 0.00 Darlington 22 30 +6 68.89 7.12 14.81 0.10 15.86 4.21P 0.04R 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 24 30 +4 62.01 6.74 6.92 0.00 2.33 0.51P 0.27R 0.01 Bath_City 24 30 -6 55.26 6.81 -14.58 0.00 0.21 0.02P 4.16R 0.48 York 22 29 +4 66.14 7.05 10.47 0.04 8.06 1.96P 0.08R 0.01 Kettering 22 28 -4 62.57 6.98 -1.44 0.00 2.74 0.50P 0.31R 0.02 Tamworth 22 26 -6 55.47 6.91 -11.81 0.00 0.28 0.04P 4.50R 0.61 Gateshead 22 25 -10 50.39 6.68 -22.30 0.00 0.03 0.01P 15.88R 3.11 Barrow 22 23 -8 50.59 6.87 -16.96 0.00 0.03 0.00P 14.78R 2.96 Forest_Green 24 23 -16 46.69 6.43 -27.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 32.03R 8.40 Southport 23 22 -6 47.03 6.82 -16.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 29.45R 7.96 Eastbourne_Boro 24 22 -13 46.34 6.46 -23.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 32.95R 8.66 Histon 22 20 -20 44.93 6.84 -33.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 44.26R 15.30 Hayes_&_Yeading 24 20 -22 41.86 6.32 -36.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 63.05R 27.80 Altrincham 23 18 -30 42.80 6.52 -41.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 58.20R 24.66