Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 4 January 2011 at 22:15:02 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 4 January 2011, Blackpool vs Birmingham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         20   44  +24      81.34     5.37    44.74    65.22    87.05    96.65    99.42   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        21   41  +17      69.29     5.47    24.62     2.36    12.35    33.94    73.68    98.69     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         20   39  +20      76.26     5.58    41.06    22.34    61.66    85.29    96.14    99.91     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       20   36   +7      64.64     5.81    13.07     0.40     3.23    11.45    32.63    90.99     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         20   35  +18      73.19     5.34    39.91     9.66    35.52    71.52    91.52    99.77     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland      21   30   +2      51.45     5.52    -0.83     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.50    15.10     0.57R    0.02  
Bolton          21   29   +5      50.66     5.59     1.85     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.47    13.10     0.90R    0.03  
Stoke           21   27   +0      46.78     5.43    -5.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     3.65     4.30R    0.41  
Liverpool       19   25   -1      56.92     6.03     7.51     0.02     0.17     0.98     5.02    52.52     0.09R    0.00  
Newcastle       20   25   -2      48.76     6.01    -3.90     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.25     8.73     3.22R    0.30  
Blackpool       19   25   -5      44.24     5.91   -17.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     1.88    13.98R    2.22  
Blackburn       21   25   -8      44.58     5.50   -14.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     1.53    10.85R    1.44  
Fulham          21   22   -2      42.46     5.43    -5.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.83    16.45R    2.69  
Everton         20   22   -3      48.74     5.82    -0.31     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.20     8.37     2.61R    0.27  
Birmingham      20   22   -5      43.03     5.55   -10.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.99    15.64R    2.48  
West_Brom       21   22  -13      41.71     5.64   -19.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.50    24.33R    5.41  
Aston_Villa     20   21  -14      46.22     5.87   -13.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     3.35     7.90R    1.18  
West_Ham        21   20  -11      37.60     5.39   -20.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08    51.77R   15.15  
Wigan           20   20  -15      35.02     5.14   -31.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    72.80R   32.55  
Wolverhampton   20   18  -14      34.40     5.36   -27.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    74.59R   35.85  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 4 January 2011, Cardiff vs Leeds_United; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              25   48  +27      82.19     6.50    34.92    49.11    69.56    95.08    76.80P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          25   43  +10      76.93     6.64    17.96    16.09    34.92    78.49    47.06P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          25   43   +8      74.03     6.81    11.27     7.87    19.88    62.67    29.34P    0.01R    0.00  
Swansea          26   43   +6      72.91     6.32     9.82     4.75    13.71    56.72    23.97P    0.01R    0.00  
Leeds_United     26   41   +3      69.47     6.57     4.50     1.98     6.25    35.89    12.24P    0.11R    0.00  
Watford          24   39  +12      72.18     6.89    16.50     5.68    14.76    54.34    23.77P    0.03R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    23   37  +11      73.36     6.90    18.39     7.63    18.90    61.38    31.23P    0.02R    0.00  
Reading          25   37  +10      70.82     6.62    17.48     3.45    10.05    47.14    21.08P    0.07R    0.00  
Millwall         25   36   +7      64.72     6.62     7.15     0.51     1.66    15.78     4.78P    0.82R    0.04  
Burnley          24   35   +6      66.94     7.06     8.26     1.39     4.31    26.17    10.20P    0.49R    0.02  
Coventry         26   35   +0      59.58     6.14    -4.14     0.02     0.12     3.15     0.69P    4.01R    0.23  
Leicester        26   35   -7      63.11     6.33    -6.11     0.13     0.57     8.42     2.36P    1.67R    0.10  
Derby            25   34   +4      61.83     6.56     2.15     0.15     0.59     7.65     2.07P    2.40R    0.14  
Doncaster        23   34   +0      65.10     6.96    -0.73     0.62     2.15    16.99     5.15P    1.06R    0.04  
Hull             25   33   -2      62.52     6.58    -0.67     0.17     0.71     8.60     2.70P    1.92R    0.09  
Barnsley         24   33   -6      58.36     6.54   -13.56     0.02     0.14     2.46     0.51P    8.14R    0.72  
Bristol_City     25   32   -4      58.99     6.55    -6.74     0.02     0.12     3.21     0.70P    6.13R    0.49  
Portsmouth       24   30   -3      64.11     6.90     3.01     0.41     1.55    14.34     5.00P    1.52R    0.10  
Middlesbrough    25   26   -8      55.24     6.45    -7.10     0.00     0.02     0.72     0.21P   15.87R    1.94  
Ipswich          24   26   -8      53.32     6.65   -12.16     0.00     0.01     0.47     0.08P   25.08R    4.17  
Sheff_Utd        25   26  -16      52.91     6.45   -18.81     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.04P   28.66R    4.67  
Crystal_Palace   25   25  -18      49.19     6.36   -24.97     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   52.19R   12.12  
Scunthorpe       23   23  -14      47.19     6.67   -26.52     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00    63.64R   21.34  
Preston          24   19  -18      42.11     6.54   -29.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   86.16R   53.79  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 4 January 2011, Bristol_Rovers vs Plymouth; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         22   43  +22      82.41     7.25    31.74    38.35    60.60    92.45    68.41P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      22   37  +17      80.65     7.18    33.45    29.22    51.98    88.94    65.28P    0.00R    0.00  
Bournemouth      22   36  +16      71.76     7.57    20.17     4.61    11.94    49.87    20.15P    0.28R    0.01  
Huddersfield     23   36   +7      74.06     7.17    16.91     6.00    16.16    61.89    28.07P    0.10R    0.00  
Charlton         22   34   +4      73.54     7.37    14.14     5.87    15.51    58.25    27.33P    0.15R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        22   33  +12      74.93     7.42    25.57     9.12    22.04    67.06    37.03P    0.10R    0.00  
Peterborough     21   33   +1      69.24     7.88     3.42     2.39     6.70    35.04    12.48P    1.12R    0.03  
Hartlepool       21   32   -3      63.64     7.38    -7.64     0.40     1.34    12.26     3.19P    4.58R    0.13  
MK_Dons          22   32   -4      64.64     7.31    -4.80     0.41     1.51    14.81     3.95P    3.32R    0.10  
Brentford        21   31   +1      65.22     7.34     0.96     0.58     1.84    16.88     4.64P    2.70R    0.07  
Colchester       21   31   +0      66.83     7.48     2.22     1.04     3.27    23.55     7.69P    1.86R    0.05  
Plymouth         22   30   -3      63.55     7.41    -2.18     0.36     1.17    12.40     3.73P    4.71R    0.13  
Oldham           20   29   +3      64.03     7.67     2.06     0.50     1.64    14.95     4.15P    4.16R    0.16  
Notts_County     21   29   +1      62.76     7.60    -0.05     0.33     1.13    11.40     3.21P    5.70R    0.21  
Exeter           22   29   -7      57.13     7.13   -15.19     0.01     0.08     2.07     0.36P   20.47R    1.32  
Carlisle         21   28   +5      62.99     7.48     5.80     0.29     1.09    12.13     3.51P    5.04R    0.16  
Rochdale         21   28   +3      61.06     7.70     0.68     0.21     0.75     8.36     2.20P    8.98R    0.42  
Swindon          22   28   -2      63.26     7.29     1.28     0.23     0.94    11.63     3.28P    4.63R    0.15  
Leyton_Orient    21   27   -2      59.04     7.41    -5.66     0.06     0.24     4.51     1.01P   13.27R    0.66  
Tranmere         21   25   -8      53.83     7.21   -16.48     0.01     0.03     0.86     0.18P   35.74R    3.35  
Bristol_Rovers   21   22  -14      52.23     7.41   -20.89     0.00     0.02     0.56     0.11P   44.79R    6.30  
Yeovil           21   20  -15      47.95     7.17   -24.77     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P   68.11R   14.93  
Dag_&_Red        21   18  -14      42.58     7.19   -30.20     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   87.66R   42.12  
Walsall          21   17  -20      44.64     7.12   -30.54     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   82.52R   29.69  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 3 January 2011, Accrington_Stanley vs Chesterfield; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         21   42  +19      82.40     7.64    28.19    32.35    67.42    93.37    73.89P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            21   40  +16      80.77     7.48    25.80    23.85    59.00    90.98    67.36P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              22   40  +10      79.26     7.43    19.40    17.17    49.91    86.79    60.10P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            22   39   +9      76.87     7.09    16.30     9.01    35.76    80.48    46.37P    0.00R    0.00  
Bury                 21   35  +13      73.51     7.50    19.28     5.31    23.42    65.47    34.02P    0.00R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           21   34  +12      73.60     7.38    19.91     4.95    22.68    66.43    34.31P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           22   33   +1      65.72     7.27     0.39     0.40     3.41    23.67     7.00P    0.16R    0.03  
Crewe                21   32  +15      72.86     7.63    25.23     4.92    21.95    63.97    33.05P    0.01R    0.00  
Gillingham           22   30   +0      65.76     7.49     4.19     0.53     3.90    25.33     9.55P    0.18R    0.05  
Bradford             22   30   -5      61.56     7.13    -6.80     0.08     0.95     9.68     2.78P    0.62R    0.11  
Torquay              21   29   +7      65.61     7.61    10.40     0.62     4.32    26.28     9.58P    0.16R    0.03  
Oxford_Utd           22   29   -2      57.66     7.13    -7.81     0.02     0.25     3.86     0.94P    2.33R    0.55  
Stevenage            21   27   +5      60.54     7.43     4.31     0.08     0.93     9.51     2.92P    0.98R    0.22  
Northampton          22   27   -7      61.45     7.27    -4.66     0.07     0.90    10.14     3.04P    0.70R    0.15  
Southend             21   26   -1      65.68     7.63     7.00     0.56     4.05    26.10    10.58P    0.24R    0.06  
Macclesfield         22   26   -8      53.66     7.03   -15.89     0.00     0.03     1.09     0.22P    7.60R    2.44  
Burton_Albion        21   25   +2      58.14     7.52    -0.10     0.03     0.39     5.58     1.47P    2.44R    0.73  
Accrington_Stanley   21   25   -2      56.22     7.42    -7.14     0.01     0.20     3.18     0.74P    4.17R    1.22  
Aldershot            21   25   -7      57.41     7.36    -9.70     0.02     0.28     4.05     1.01P    2.83R    0.78  
Morecambe            21   24   -5      57.07     7.47    -7.13     0.01     0.25     3.83     1.03P    3.33R    0.90  
Stockport            23   23  -23      46.19     6.78   -36.75     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   38.19R   17.23  
Lincoln_City         20   19  -14      46.47     7.14   -25.59     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P   34.56R   16.26  
Hereford             22   19  -17      46.32     7.05   -25.83     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   35.29R   16.53  
Barnet               23   19  -18      41.30     6.54   -32.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   66.20R   42.70  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 4 January 2011, Hayes_&_Yeading vs Luton; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
AFC_Wimbledon      23   48  +19      84.27     6.97    26.26    10.77    87.03    26.90P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       21   46  +27      88.22     7.32    39.29    26.42    94.93    44.40P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              22   45  +25      92.95     6.75    49.31    59.56    99.04    75.88P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     25   42  +12      72.15     6.83    14.07     0.26    27.61     5.03P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     23   40  +13      72.76     7.14    15.11     0.43    31.39     6.22P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      24   38   +1      68.19     6.61     0.72     0.06    10.64     1.83P    0.00R    0.00  
Wrexham            23   37  +10      73.07     6.72    16.97     0.38    32.37     7.80P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            22   35  +14      76.50     7.21    27.69     1.76    54.86    17.28P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          24   34   +5      68.72     6.88    12.05     0.06    14.57     2.97P    0.02R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   23   32   +1      69.97     6.81    11.22     0.15    18.02     4.43P    0.01R    0.00  
Darlington         22   30   +6      68.89     7.12    14.81     0.10    15.86     4.21P    0.04R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      24   30   +4      62.01     6.74     6.92     0.00     2.33     0.51P    0.27R    0.01  
Bath_City          24   30   -6      55.26     6.81   -14.58     0.00     0.21     0.02P    4.16R    0.48  
York               22   29   +4      66.14     7.05    10.47     0.04     8.06     1.96P    0.08R    0.01  
Kettering          22   28   -4      62.57     6.98    -1.44     0.00     2.74     0.50P    0.31R    0.02  
Tamworth           22   26   -6      55.47     6.91   -11.81     0.00     0.28     0.04P    4.50R    0.61  
Gateshead          22   25  -10      50.39     6.68   -22.30     0.00     0.03     0.01P   15.88R    3.11  
Barrow             22   23   -8      50.59     6.87   -16.96     0.00     0.03     0.00P   14.78R    2.96  
Forest_Green       24   23  -16      46.69     6.43   -27.25     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.03R    8.40  
Southport          23   22   -6      47.03     6.82   -16.39     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.45R    7.96  
Eastbourne_Boro    24   22  -13      46.34     6.46   -23.69     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.95R    8.66  
Histon             22   20  -20      44.93     6.84   -33.01     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.26R   15.30  
Hayes_&_Yeading    24   20  -22      41.86     6.32   -36.29     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.05R   27.80  
Altrincham         23   18  -30      42.80     6.52   -41.16     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.20R   24.66