Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 3 January 2011 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 2 January 2011, Chelsea vs Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         19   41  +23      81.03     5.50    45.92    63.56    86.00    96.03    99.32   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        21   41  +17      69.29     5.44    24.62     2.50    12.49    34.16    74.00    98.58     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         20   39  +20      76.29     5.60    41.09    23.35    62.40    85.59    96.28    99.91     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       20   36   +7      64.58     5.81    12.99     0.47     3.17    11.41    32.40    90.49     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         20   35  +18      73.17     5.32    39.83    10.11    35.78    71.72    91.57    99.73     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland      21   30   +2      51.41     5.52    -0.91     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.48    14.78     0.58R    0.02  
Bolton          21   29   +5      50.74     5.60     1.97     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.46    12.99     0.79R    0.04  
Stoke           20   27   +1      47.00     5.50    -6.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07     3.94     3.70R    0.30  
Liverpool       19   25   -1      56.87     6.01     7.39     0.01     0.14     0.94     4.76    51.98     0.07R    0.01  
Newcastle       20   25   -2      48.91     5.96    -3.63     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.26     8.86     2.62R    0.26  
Blackpool       18   25   -4      45.97     6.14   -15.91     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.13     3.86     8.49R    1.32  
Blackburn       21   25   -8      44.49     5.48   -14.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.39    10.28R    1.46  
Everton         20   22   -3      48.68     5.79    -0.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.18     7.94     2.36R    0.26  
West_Brom       20   22  -10      43.26     5.89   -16.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     1.29    16.70R    3.45  
Aston_Villa     20   21  -14      46.17     5.84   -14.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     3.17     7.61R    1.14  
West_Ham        21   20  -11      37.46     5.32   -21.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07    51.15R   14.86  
Wigan           20   20  -15      35.12     5.13   -31.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    70.76R   30.85  
Fulham          20   19   -5      40.69     5.62    -9.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.48    25.67R    5.28  
Birmingham      19   19   -6      41.03     5.76   -12.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.51    25.40R    5.47  
Wolverhampton   20   18  -14      34.37     5.33   -27.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    73.82R   35.27  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 3 January 2011, Barnsley vs Coventry; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              25   48  +27      82.21     6.51    34.94    49.91    70.33    95.10    77.40P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          25   43   +8      73.98     6.75    11.19     7.88    19.79    62.74    29.30P    0.02R    0.00  
Swansea          26   43   +6      72.88     6.33     9.76     4.90    14.06    56.61    24.51P    0.01R    0.00  
Leeds_United     25   41   +4      70.38     6.75     4.67     3.16     8.67    41.36    15.25P    0.11R    0.00  
Cardiff          24   40   +9      75.70     6.87    17.60    13.27    29.34    72.54    41.13P    0.01R    0.00  
Watford          24   39  +12      72.22     6.86    16.56     5.83    15.18    54.70    24.26P    0.04R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    23   37  +11      73.38     6.93    18.43     7.99    19.70    61.49    31.79P    0.01R    0.00  
Reading          25   37  +10      70.80     6.61    17.48     3.49    10.47    47.25    21.41P    0.05R    0.00  
Millwall         25   36   +7      64.72     6.55     7.14     0.43     1.67    15.48     4.76P    0.75R    0.04  
Burnley          24   35   +6      66.86     7.07     8.13     1.42     4.34    26.07     9.94P    0.56R    0.03  
Coventry         26   35   +0      59.53     6.18    -4.17     0.04     0.13     3.10     0.65P    4.41R    0.28  
Leicester        26   35   -7      63.15     6.39    -6.04     0.14     0.63     8.84     2.52P    1.64R    0.07  
Derby            25   34   +4      61.79     6.53     2.12     0.15     0.65     7.58     2.10P    2.34R    0.11  
Doncaster        23   34   +0      64.94     6.99    -1.02     0.68     2.31    16.70     5.23P    1.12R    0.05  
Hull             25   33   -2      62.52     6.64    -0.72     0.21     0.73     8.87     2.82P    2.03R    0.10  
Barnsley         24   33   -6      58.23     6.57   -13.73     0.03     0.15     2.42     0.51P    8.66R    0.81  
Bristol_City     25   32   -4      58.98     6.51    -6.70     0.02     0.16     3.03     0.68P    6.29R    0.53  
Portsmouth       24   30   -3      64.10     6.95     3.02     0.45     1.68    14.46     5.32P    1.65R    0.12  
Middlesbrough    25   26   -8      55.45     6.47    -6.82     0.00     0.01     0.80     0.23P   15.25R    1.90  
Ipswich          24   26   -8      53.48     6.59   -11.91     0.00     0.01     0.46     0.10P   24.55R    3.93  
Sheff_Utd        25   26  -16      52.95     6.47   -18.74     0.00     0.01     0.29     0.07P   28.48R    4.66  
Crystal_Palace   25   25  -18      49.19     6.28   -24.98     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   52.48R   12.28  
Scunthorpe       23   23  -14      47.26     6.69   -26.38     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   63.48R   21.48  
Preston          24   19  -18      42.18     6.53   -29.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   86.06R   53.61  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 3 January 2011, Bournemouth vs Brentford; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         22   43  +22      82.39     7.23    31.69    38.45    60.60    92.39    68.45P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      22   37  +17      80.69     7.15    33.49    29.34    52.06    89.11    65.37P    0.00R    0.00  
Bournemouth      22   36  +16      71.81     7.54    20.23     4.66    12.03    50.51    20.22P    0.23R    0.00  
Huddersfield     23   36   +7      74.19     7.13    17.07     6.09    16.63    62.58    28.40P    0.09R    0.00  
Charlton         22   34   +4      73.62     7.27    14.22     5.94    15.52    58.59    27.31P    0.13R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        22   33  +12      74.96     7.31    25.59     9.00    21.61    67.58    37.08P    0.06R    0.00  
Peterborough     21   33   +1      69.13     7.81     3.25     2.39     6.61    34.36    12.02P    1.13R    0.01  
Hartlepool       21   32   -3      63.81     7.38    -7.39     0.39     1.40    12.88     3.26P    4.38R    0.11  
MK_Dons          22   32   -4      64.64     7.28    -4.75     0.47     1.50    14.74     4.05P    3.34R    0.08  
Brentford        21   31   +1      65.08     7.33     0.80     0.43     1.75    16.79     4.66P    2.87R    0.06  
Colchester       21   31   +0      66.90     7.50     2.26     1.03     3.47    24.37     8.17P    1.78R    0.05  
Oldham           20   29   +3      64.01     7.66     2.05     0.47     1.67    14.89     4.21P    4.24R    0.16  
Notts_County     21   29   +1      62.44     7.65    -0.55     0.30     1.08    11.00     3.05P    6.71R    0.29  
Exeter           22   29   -7      57.14     7.07   -15.17     0.03     0.09     2.06     0.39P   20.50R    1.22  
Carlisle         21   28   +5      62.93     7.45     5.71     0.29     1.06    11.89     3.44P    5.15R    0.16  
Rochdale         21   28   +3      61.10     7.77     0.71     0.19     0.80     8.83     2.43P    9.04R    0.48  
Swindon          22   28   -2      63.28     7.36     1.37     0.23     0.97    12.04     3.34P    5.09R    0.14  
Leyton_Orient    21   27   -2      59.28     7.44    -5.28     0.06     0.28     4.53     1.06P   13.06R    0.72  
Plymouth         21   27   -4      61.59     7.64    -3.62     0.24     0.79     8.84     2.72P    8.33R    0.36  
Tranmere         21   25   -8      53.66     7.14   -16.78     0.00     0.02     0.76     0.15P   36.90R    3.57  
Bristol_Rovers   20   22  -13      53.78     7.60   -19.51     0.01     0.04     1.10     0.20P   37.74R    4.62  
Yeovil           21   20  -15      47.87     7.10   -24.87     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.01P   69.24R   15.65  
Dag_&_Red        21   18  -14      42.72     7.25   -29.99     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   87.60R   41.97  
Walsall          21   17  -20      44.62     7.15   -30.52     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   82.37R   30.35  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 3 January 2011, Accrington_Stanley vs Chesterfield; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         21   42  +19      82.48     7.60    28.30    32.57    67.29    93.61    73.87P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            21   40  +16      80.76     7.48    25.79    23.49    58.99    90.92    67.46P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              22   40  +10      79.24     7.40    19.37    16.99    49.84    86.90    60.10P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            22   39   +9      76.85     7.18    16.27     9.50    35.79    79.93    46.28P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 21   35  +13      73.41     7.50    19.20     5.36    22.86    65.30    33.15P    0.00R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           21   34  +12      73.57     7.39    19.80     4.87    22.89    66.39    34.39P    0.00R    0.00  
Cheltenham           22   33   +1      65.77     7.28     0.50     0.40     3.58    23.93     7.23P    0.15R    0.01  
Crewe                21   32  +15      72.93     7.59    25.31     4.84    22.16    64.06    33.55P    0.01R    0.00  
Gillingham           22   30   +0      65.93     7.40     4.47     0.54     3.89    25.47     9.56P    0.13R    0.01  
Bradford             22   30   -5      61.47     7.13    -6.91     0.07     0.90     9.52     2.71P    0.64R    0.12  
Torquay              21   29   +7      65.55     7.61    10.36     0.59     4.35    26.36     9.52P    0.19R    0.03  
Oxford_Utd           22   29   -2      57.67     7.13    -7.87     0.02     0.23     3.85     0.86P    2.29R    0.60  
Stevenage            21   27   +5      60.66     7.45     4.46     0.10     0.95    10.10     3.15P    0.93R    0.20  
Northampton          22   27   -7      61.44     7.29    -4.68     0.08     0.91    10.05     3.25P    0.78R    0.19  
Southend             21   26   -1      65.67     7.60     6.95     0.52     4.19    25.72    10.53P    0.20R    0.03  
Macclesfield         22   26   -8      53.55     7.00   -16.09     0.00     0.05     1.08     0.19P    7.74R    2.40  
Burton_Albion        21   25   +2      58.16     7.55    -0.06     0.04     0.44     5.84     1.52P    2.36R    0.63  
Accrington_Stanley   21   25   -2      56.13     7.40    -7.25     0.02     0.20     3.02     0.72P    4.21R    1.19  
Aldershot            21   25   -7      57.67     7.33    -9.36     0.01     0.27     4.12     1.03P    2.74R    0.73  
Morecambe            21   24   -5      56.96     7.42    -7.28     0.01     0.24     3.63     0.90P    3.35R    0.95  
Stockport            23   23  -23      46.23     6.77   -36.69     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P   37.61R   16.86  
Lincoln_City         20   19  -14      46.46     7.18   -25.59     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.01P   34.96R   16.14  
Hereford             22   19  -17      46.35     6.98   -25.69     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00P   34.91R   16.29  
Barnet               23   19  -18      41.14     6.54   -33.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.79R   43.61  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 3 January 2011, Darlington vs Barrow; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
AFC_Wimbledon      23   48  +19      84.30     7.03    26.28    11.63    87.09    27.73P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       21   46  +27      88.30     7.33    39.50    28.41    95.09    45.65P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              21   42  +24      92.25     6.94    50.05    56.45    98.69    73.51P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     25   42  +12      71.92     6.78    13.70     0.27    26.49     4.77P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     23   40  +13      72.80     7.11    15.15     0.51    31.46     6.17P    0.00R    0.00  
Kidderminster      24   38   +1      68.01     6.67     0.38     0.06    10.55     1.78P    0.01R    0.00  
Wrexham            23   37  +10      72.93     6.74    16.74     0.44    32.17     7.83P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            22   35  +14      76.51     7.21    27.66     1.87    54.93    17.33P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          24   34   +5      68.80     6.86    12.20     0.10    14.91     3.01P    0.02R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   23   32   +1      70.09     6.78    11.43     0.10    18.60     4.66P    0.01R    0.00  
Darlington         22   30   +6      68.87     7.15    14.85     0.12    16.28     4.48P    0.01R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      24   30   +4      61.98     6.74     6.86     0.00     2.36     0.61P    0.28R    0.01  
Bath_City          24   30   -6      55.23     6.88   -14.65     0.00     0.23     0.02P    4.54R    0.50  
York               22   29   +4      66.15     7.01    10.42     0.04     8.15     1.87P    0.09R    0.01  
Kettering          22   28   -4      62.61     7.00    -1.40     0.01     2.70     0.52P    0.38R    0.03  
Tamworth           22   26   -6      55.42     6.91   -11.89     0.00     0.23     0.03P    4.69R    0.65  
Gateshead          22   25  -10      50.43     6.69   -22.27     0.00     0.03     0.01P   16.14R    3.26  
Barrow             22   23   -8      50.58     6.88   -17.03     0.00     0.03     0.01P   15.36R    3.21  
Forest_Green       24   23  -16      46.77     6.43   -27.15     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.23R    8.76  
Southport          23   22   -6      47.02     6.81   -16.47     0.00     0.01     0.00    30.17R    8.48  
Eastbourne_Boro    24   22  -13      46.46     6.49   -23.46     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.00R    8.64  
Histon             22   20  -20      44.98     6.80   -32.92     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.66R   15.43  
Hayes_&_Yeading    23   20  -21      42.38     6.49   -37.08     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.64R   26.38  
Altrincham         23   18  -30      42.92     6.49   -40.90     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.75R   24.65