Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 2 January 2011 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 2 January 2011, Chelsea vs Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         19   41  +23      80.97     5.55    45.80    63.43    85.76    96.02    99.28    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        21   41  +17      69.28     5.44    24.62     2.45    12.59    34.60    74.05    98.66     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         20   39  +20      76.24     5.60    40.96    23.29    62.26    85.70    96.19    99.92     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       20   36   +7      64.53     5.83    12.89     0.51     3.22    11.29    32.37    90.28     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         20   35  +18      73.14     5.33    39.81    10.31    36.02    71.22    91.38    99.74     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland      21   30   +2      51.35     5.55    -1.01     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.55    14.56     0.60R    0.03  
Bolton          21   29   +5      50.74     5.58     1.97     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.49    13.16     0.75R    0.04  
Stoke           20   27   +1      46.98     5.50    -6.64     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.07     3.96     3.99R    0.36  
Liverpool       19   25   -1      56.90     6.02     7.47     0.01     0.13     0.94     4.95    52.03     0.09R    0.00  
Newcastle       20   25   -2      48.84     5.96    -3.74     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.23     8.70     2.75R    0.30  
Blackpool       18   25   -4      46.10     6.25   -15.71     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.13     4.30     8.74R    1.23  
Blackburn       21   25   -8      44.59     5.46   -14.64     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03     1.47     9.91R    1.33  
Everton         20   22   -3      48.63     5.85    -0.50     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.20     7.87     2.66R    0.30  
West_Brom       20   22  -10      43.30     5.88   -15.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     1.19    16.60R    3.14  
Aston_Villa     20   21  -14      46.27     5.86   -13.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     3.10     7.57R    1.06  
West_Ham        21   20  -11      37.51     5.34   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07    50.45R   14.73  
Wigan           20   20  -15      35.10     5.17   -31.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    70.88R   31.01  
Fulham          20   19   -5      40.64     5.63    -9.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.45    26.19R    5.62  
Birmingham      19   19   -6      41.13     5.78   -11.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.53    24.82R    5.42  
Wolverhampton   20   18  -14      34.30     5.30   -27.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    74.00R   35.43  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 January 2011, Bristol_City vs Cardiff; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              24   47  +27      83.47     6.64    36.20    56.03    75.52    96.39    81.42P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          25   43   +7      74.24     6.48    10.76     6.52    18.96    64.53    29.87P    0.00R    0.00  
Norwich          24   42   +8      74.19     6.99    10.97     7.68    20.82    63.43    30.08P    0.02R    0.00  
Leeds_United     25   41   +4      70.41     6.76     4.76     2.84     8.32    41.57    15.21P    0.08R    0.00  
Cardiff          24   40   +9      75.80     6.82    17.79    11.96    28.90    73.34    41.46P    0.01R    0.00  
Watford          23   36  +11      70.58     7.06    15.53     3.61    10.65    45.79    18.93P    0.17R    0.01  
Burnley          23   35   +7      67.96     7.25     8.68     1.86     6.01    31.40    12.49P    0.44R    0.02  
Millwall         24   35   +7      64.91     6.82     6.87     0.54     2.06    17.25     5.35P    1.02R    0.03  
Coventry         25   35   +1      60.82     6.33    -3.30     0.05     0.27     4.96     1.17P    3.23R    0.22  
Nott'm_Forest    22   34  +10      71.57     7.14    17.13     4.51    13.22    51.65    24.31P    0.12R    0.00  
Reading          24   34   +9      69.64     6.88    17.23     2.44     7.84    41.22    18.03P    0.17R    0.00  
Derby            24   33   +4      62.44     6.73     2.45     0.20     0.81     9.65     2.56P    2.25R    0.14  
Doncaster        22   33   +0      65.03     7.20    -1.38     0.68     2.39    17.53     5.34P    1.34R    0.07  
Leicester        25   32   -8      61.45     6.57    -7.15     0.09     0.37     6.14     1.66P    3.44R    0.27  
Bristol_City     24   31   -4      58.48     6.66    -7.99     0.02     0.14     2.89     0.70P    7.97R    0.75  
Portsmouth       23   30   -2      66.23     7.16     5.17     0.88     3.28    23.12     9.01P    1.02R    0.06  
Hull             24   30   -3      60.04     6.71    -2.90     0.05     0.27     4.76     1.42P    5.01R    0.48  
Barnsley         23   30   -7      56.64     6.76   -14.71     0.02     0.07     1.62     0.34P   14.30R    1.90  
Ipswich          23   26   -7      55.08     6.83   -10.57     0.01     0.04     1.03     0.22P   19.04R    3.05  
Middlesbrough    24   25   -8      55.90     6.67    -6.70     0.00     0.03     1.21     0.31P   14.65R    2.09  
Sheff_Utd        24   25  -16      53.48     6.68   -18.47     0.00     0.01     0.43     0.10P   27.01R    5.00  
Scunthorpe       22   23  -13      48.63     6.94   -25.45     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P   56.00R   18.22  
Crystal_Palace   24   22  -19      47.82     6.52   -25.69     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   61.01R   19.92  
Preston          23   19  -17      43.36     6.67   -29.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   81.70R   47.76  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 January 2011, Brentford vs Dag_&_Red; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         21   40  +21      80.96     7.46    31.01    31.71    51.96    88.15    61.18P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      21   34  +15      79.34     7.34    31.83    24.28    44.04    84.41    58.55P    0.01R    0.00  
Charlton         21   34   +6      76.05     7.47    17.93    11.68    25.55    69.69    38.08P    0.05R    0.00  
Bournemouth      21   33  +14      69.95     7.75    17.85     3.41     8.60    39.45    15.26P    0.59R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        21   33  +13      76.84     7.63    27.43    15.48    30.97    74.14    45.12P    0.05R    0.00  
Huddersfield     22   33   +6      72.17     7.39    15.50     4.31    11.61    50.40    21.30P    0.22R    0.01  
Hartlepool       20   32   +0      65.52     7.61    -3.73     0.86     2.64    18.16     5.26P    2.48R    0.06  
MK_Dons          21   32   -3      66.55     7.59    -2.96     1.05     3.03    21.39     6.56P    1.98R    0.05  
Brentford        20   31   +3      66.82     7.58     3.37     1.06     3.40    23.47     7.37P    1.52R    0.03  
Colchester       20   31   +2      68.96     7.72     5.45     2.19     6.10    32.86    12.02P    0.88R    0.02  
Peterborough     20   30   -2      67.13     8.06    -0.47     1.57     4.38    25.71     8.53P    2.19R    0.09  
Oldham           19   29   +4      65.99     7.87     4.02     1.06     3.07    21.10     6.51P    2.39R    0.08  
Exeter           21   29   -6      58.51     7.29   -14.11     0.05     0.18     3.47     0.65P   14.40R    0.93  
Carlisle         20   28   +6      64.91     7.70     7.66     0.70     2.14    17.73     5.46P    2.79R    0.10  
Plymouth         21   27   -4      61.75     7.56    -3.37     0.19     0.71     8.62     2.59P    6.58R    0.31  
Notts_County     20   26   -2      60.09     7.80    -4.63     0.15     0.57     6.42     1.74P   10.61R    0.68  
Rochdale         20   25   +2      58.88     7.89    -1.13     0.12     0.44     5.13     1.43P   13.56R    0.98  
Swindon          21   25   -4      60.21     7.44    -3.03     0.08     0.38     5.63     1.47P    9.25R    0.52  
Leyton_Orient    20   24   -4      56.78     7.59    -8.49     0.02     0.16     2.54     0.58P   19.53R    1.69  
Tranmere         20   22   -9      51.67     7.35   -18.28     0.00     0.02     0.41     0.09P   44.61R    6.66  
Bristol_Rovers   20   22  -13      53.61     7.65   -19.75     0.01     0.04     0.99     0.22P   35.72R    4.79  
Dag_&_Red        20   18  -12      43.84     7.46   -28.15     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    81.69R   34.91  
Yeovil           20   17  -16      45.69     7.31   -26.74     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00P   75.59R   24.50  
Walsall          20   17  -17      46.15     7.40   -27.23     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.02P   73.32R   23.58  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 January 2011, Barnet vs Aldershot; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         20   41  +19      83.16     7.77    28.71    37.62    70.56    94.13    76.48P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            20   37  +14      78.94     7.70    23.49    17.45    49.81    85.74    59.15P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              21   37   +9      77.58     7.66    18.34    12.65    41.72    80.72    52.60P    0.00R    0.00  
Port_Vale            21   36   +8      75.32     7.30    15.43     6.87    29.14    73.09    39.55P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 20   35  +14      75.26     7.75    20.89     8.94    31.81    72.64    41.72P    0.00R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           20   34  +13      75.53     7.64    21.65     8.84    32.46    74.28    43.50P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           21   30   +1      67.09     7.68     5.12     1.03     6.12    31.02    12.54P    0.13R    0.02  
Cheltenham           21   30   +0      63.02     7.44    -2.30     0.21     1.77    14.67     4.04P    0.59R    0.13  
Crewe                20   29  +14      70.77     7.85    23.48     3.35    15.94    52.91    25.72P    0.03R    0.01  
Torquay              20   29   +8      68.02     7.76    12.96     1.44     8.35    37.54    15.17P    0.06R    0.01  
Bradford             21   27   -6      59.46     7.36    -8.51     0.06     0.55     6.30     1.72P    1.67R    0.42  
Southend             20   26   +0      68.19     7.81     9.61     1.31     8.41    37.39    16.76P    0.13R    0.03  
Oxford_Utd           21   26   -3      54.94     7.25   -10.18     0.00     0.09     1.89     0.41P    5.72R    1.76  
Macclesfield         21   26   -6      55.10     7.22   -13.80     0.01     0.10     1.86     0.35P    5.85R    1.80  
Burton_Albion        20   25   +3      59.33     7.70     0.70     0.07     0.78     7.85     2.30P    1.90R    0.52  
Aldershot            20   25   -6      59.71     7.53    -7.33     0.05     0.65     7.28     1.97P    1.75R    0.47  
Stevenage            20   24   +3      59.01     7.57     2.52     0.06     0.68     7.01     2.17P    1.94R    0.54  
Accrington_Stanley   20   24   -2      56.28     7.65    -7.69     0.02     0.30     3.63     0.91P    4.49R    1.39  
Northampton          21   24   -8      60.09     7.36    -5.30     0.03     0.61     7.39     2.27P    1.37R    0.36  
Stockport            22   23  -21      48.14     7.01   -33.91     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.02P   28.07R   11.95  
Morecambe            20   21   -7      54.85     7.60   -10.12     0.00     0.15     2.25     0.59P    6.84R    2.35  
Lincoln_City         19   19  -13      47.59     7.37   -24.89     0.00     0.01     0.21     0.04P   30.40R   14.00  
Barnet               22   19  -16      42.46     6.70   -31.09     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   59.57R   36.35  
Hereford             21   16  -18      44.03     7.18   -27.79     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   49.49R   27.86  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 January 2011, AFC_Wimbledon vs Hayes_&_Yeading; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
AFC_Wimbledon      22   47  +19      84.48     7.16    26.03    14.01    87.33    30.45P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       20   43  +24      86.25     7.55    35.84    21.70    91.35    39.25P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              21   42  +24      92.18     6.90    49.89    60.57    98.64    76.53P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     24   41  +12      72.68     7.02    14.30     0.63    31.34     6.11P    0.00R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     23   40  +13      72.57     7.07    14.82     0.61    30.98     6.25P    0.00R    0.00  
Kidderminster      23   37   +1      68.26     6.83     0.18     0.13    11.78     2.22P    0.03R    0.00  
Wrexham            22   34   +8      71.71     6.92    15.41     0.34    27.07     6.62P    0.00R    0.00  
Mansfield          23   34   +6      71.53     7.03    15.55     0.39    27.07     5.97P    0.00R    0.00  
Grimsby            21   32   +9      73.60     7.39    20.43     1.02    38.67    11.68P    0.00R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   22   32   +2      72.45     6.93    13.97     0.45    30.04     8.25P    0.00R    0.00  
Bath_City          23   30   -4      56.48     6.95   -12.80     0.00     0.46     0.05P    3.30R    0.29  
York               22   29   +4      66.24     7.02    10.52     0.03     8.58     2.19P    0.09R    0.01  
Darlington         21   27   +4      67.55     7.31    13.27     0.12    13.11     3.74P    0.07R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      23   27   +2      60.02     6.94     4.35     0.00     1.51     0.32P    1.01R    0.05  
Kettering          21   25   -5      59.94     7.12    -3.94     0.01     1.51     0.28P    1.21R    0.10  
Tamworth           21   25   -6      55.91     7.11   -11.64     0.00     0.36     0.05P    4.73R    0.56  
Gateshead          21   25   -6      52.34     6.95   -17.07     0.00     0.11     0.01P   11.09R    1.55  
Barrow             21   23   -6      51.76     7.00   -15.20     0.00     0.05     0.01P   12.57R    1.81  
Forest_Green       23   23  -13      48.70     6.68   -23.12     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.68R    4.72  
Eastbourne_Boro    23   22  -11      48.34     6.73   -20.68     0.00     0.01     0.00P   24.92R    4.98  
Histon             21   20  -15      47.26     7.03   -26.13     0.00     0.01     0.00P   32.13R    7.50  
Hayes_&_Yeading    23   20  -21      42.44     6.52   -37.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.89R   22.78  
Southport          22   19  -10      44.26     6.95   -22.11     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.32R   14.84  
Altrincham         22   15  -31      39.76     6.59   -44.85     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.94R   40.79