Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 1 January 2011 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 January 2011, Birmingham vs Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         19   41  +23      80.93     5.49    45.75    60.01    83.32    95.62    99.23    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        21   41  +17      69.33     5.41    24.71     2.19    10.89    30.50    73.44    98.75     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         20   39  +20      76.26     5.57    41.06    21.52    56.97    84.30    96.12    99.92     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       20   36   +7      64.54     5.84    12.92     0.43     2.76     9.74    30.74    90.57     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         19   34  +18      74.91     5.43    42.10    15.86    45.91    78.84    94.49    99.86     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland      21   30   +2      51.51     5.51    -0.81     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.49    15.76     0.51R    0.04  
Bolton          21   29   +5      50.77     5.60     2.02     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.46    13.60     0.79R    0.07  
Stoke           20   27   +1      47.10     5.46    -6.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     4.10     3.77R    0.36  
Liverpool       19   25   -1      56.85     6.00     7.40     0.01     0.13     0.85     4.55    52.33     0.07R    0.01  
Blackpool       18   25   -4      46.16     6.16   -15.62     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.09     4.27     8.64R    1.31  
Blackburn       21   25   -8      44.64     5.51   -14.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.71    10.43R    1.45  
Newcastle       19   22   -3      47.25     6.19    -4.71     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.12     6.28     5.72R    0.80  
Everton         20   22   -3      48.58     5.78    -0.54     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.16     8.02     2.64R    0.34  
West_Brom       20   22  -10      43.22     5.86   -16.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.27    17.35R    3.65  
West_Ham        21   20  -11      37.53     5.36   -21.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07    50.91R   15.71  
Aston_Villa     19   20  -14      45.12     5.89   -16.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     2.38    10.70R    1.94  
Wigan           19   20  -14      36.38     5.36   -30.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05    62.30R   24.30  
Fulham          20   19   -5      40.70     5.59    -9.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.44    26.11R    5.83  
Birmingham      19   19   -6      41.08     5.76   -12.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.59    25.64R    5.89  
Wolverhampton   20   18  -14      34.29     5.32   -27.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    74.40R   38.30  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 January 2011, Bristol_City vs Cardiff; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              24   47  +27      83.47     6.70    36.34    55.79    75.06    96.33    80.74P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          25   43   +7      74.31     6.46    10.88     6.46    19.03    64.74    30.30P    0.00R    0.00  
Norwich          24   42   +8      74.24     6.97    11.05     7.72    20.88    63.24    30.19P    0.02R    0.00  
Leeds_United     25   41   +4      70.42     6.76     4.69     2.65     8.60    41.48    15.24P    0.11R    0.00  
Cardiff          24   40   +9      75.87     6.82    17.87    11.99    29.07    73.73    41.69P    0.00R    0.00  
Watford          23   36  +11      70.66     7.08    15.68     3.83    10.83    46.00    18.97P    0.15R    0.01  
Millwall         24   35   +8      65.24     6.82     8.25     0.55     2.14    18.61     5.81P    0.90R    0.03  
Burnley          23   35   +7      67.87     7.23     8.54     1.84     5.76    30.76    12.37P    0.48R    0.04  
Coventry         25   35   +0      60.78     6.37    -4.51     0.05     0.24     4.79     1.04P    3.65R    0.25  
Nott'm_Forest    22   34  +10      71.52     7.12    17.08     4.64    13.20    50.69    24.05P    0.06R    0.01  
Reading          24   34   +9      69.55     6.85    17.10     2.41     7.61    40.19    17.54P    0.20R    0.01  
Derby            24   33   +4      62.45     6.73     2.35     0.15     0.76     9.49     2.46P    2.35R    0.15  
Doncaster        22   33   +1      65.19     7.22    -0.19     0.74     2.59    18.12     5.71P    1.51R    0.09  
Leicester        25   32   -8      61.42     6.54    -7.21     0.10     0.40     6.09     1.78P    3.57R    0.28  
Portsmouth       23   30   -2      66.43     7.07     5.46     0.94     3.25    23.69     9.13P    0.90R    0.05  
Hull             24   30   -4      59.61     6.74    -4.55     0.05     0.26     4.21     1.19P    6.05R    0.62  
Bristol_City     24   30   -6      56.96     6.65   -10.91     0.02     0.07     1.76     0.40P   12.64R    1.55  
Barnsley         23   30   -6      56.82     6.75   -13.51     0.02     0.07     1.76     0.35P   13.91R    1.82  
Ipswich          23   28   -5      57.67     6.88    -7.85     0.03     0.13     2.52     0.56P   11.10R    1.35  
Middlesbrough    24   25   -9      55.84     6.71    -7.87     0.01     0.04     1.15     0.36P   15.59R    2.27  
Sheff_Utd        24   25  -16      53.57     6.70   -18.43     0.00     0.01     0.46     0.10P   27.15R    4.99  
Scunthorpe       22   23  -13      48.71     6.96   -25.39     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P   56.41R   18.31  
Crystal_Palace   24   22  -19      47.87     6.55   -25.66     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   61.63R   20.28  
Preston          23   19  -17      43.44     6.73   -29.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.63R   47.92  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 January 2011, Brentford vs Dag_&_Red; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         21   40  +21      80.97     7.48    31.01    31.88    52.48    88.20    61.27P    0.00R    0.00  
Southampton      21   34  +15      79.17     7.37    31.56    23.76    43.15    83.74    57.77P    0.01R    0.00  
Charlton         21   34   +6      76.19     7.60    18.05    12.15    26.11    70.03    38.76P    0.06R    0.00  
Bournemouth      21   33  +14      69.83     7.69    17.71     3.23     8.10    39.04    14.78P    0.56R    0.01  
Sheff_Wed        21   33  +13      76.82     7.60    27.42    15.39    31.10    74.15    45.06P    0.04R    0.00  
Huddersfield     22   33   +6      72.13     7.35    15.45     4.25    11.42    50.37    21.33P    0.21R    0.00  
Hartlepool       20   32   +0      65.71     7.60    -3.43     0.91     2.75    18.70     5.42P    2.28R    0.07  
MK_Dons          21   32   -3      66.41     7.51    -3.17     0.83     2.67    20.95     6.03P    1.96R    0.05  
Brentford        20   31   +3      66.72     7.54     3.18     1.06     3.20    22.81     7.09P    1.56R    0.05  
Colchester       20   31   +2      69.00     7.70     5.48     2.34     6.38    33.20    12.48P    0.82R    0.01  
Peterborough     20   30   -2      67.10     8.04    -0.49     1.68     4.57    25.25     8.78P    2.13R    0.09  
Oldham           19   29   +4      66.06     7.87     4.13     1.14     3.28    21.60     6.59P    2.28R    0.07  
Exeter           21   29   -6      58.44     7.29   -14.18     0.06     0.18     3.32     0.58P   14.71R    0.95  
Carlisle         20   28   +6      64.97     7.63     7.80     0.68     2.22    17.61     5.46P    2.73R    0.08  
Plymouth         21   27   -4      61.65     7.64    -3.55     0.20     0.78     8.74     2.73P    7.07R    0.39  
Notts_County     20   26   -2      60.13     7.84    -4.55     0.15     0.55     6.68     1.88P   10.73R    0.67  
Rochdale         20   25   +2      58.86     7.91    -1.11     0.13     0.45     5.44     1.50P   13.49R    1.02  
Swindon          21   25   -4      60.31     7.49    -2.92     0.12     0.43     6.11     1.68P    9.32R    0.49  
Leyton_Orient    20   24   -4      56.68     7.56    -8.67     0.03     0.12     2.34     0.48P   20.05R    1.61  
Tranmere         20   22   -9      51.76     7.39   -18.08     0.00     0.02     0.52     0.11P   44.21R    6.45  
Bristol_Rovers   20   22  -13      53.70     7.67   -19.55     0.01     0.05     1.06     0.20P   34.92R    4.92  
Dag_&_Red        20   18  -12      43.80     7.41   -28.29     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00    82.21R   35.40  
Yeovil           20   17  -16      45.74     7.35   -26.66     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.02P   75.33R   24.57  
Walsall          20   17  -17      46.21     7.42   -27.12     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   73.31R   23.10  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 January 2011, Barnet vs Aldershot; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         20   41  +19      83.29     7.80    28.93    38.31    71.18    94.32    76.95P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            20   37  +14      78.80     7.71    23.30    16.93    48.97    85.20    58.24P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              21   37   +9      77.59     7.66    18.36    12.63    42.06    80.93    52.86P    0.00R    0.00  
Port_Vale            21   36   +8      75.29     7.32    15.35     7.03    29.26    73.10    39.59P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 20   35  +14      75.32     7.69    20.95     8.92    32.04    73.38    42.15P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           20   34  +13      75.53     7.65    21.69     8.84    32.79    74.55    43.77P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           21   30   +1      66.98     7.68     4.99     0.94     6.06    30.51    12.44P    0.12R    0.02  
Cheltenham           21   30   +0      63.23     7.42    -1.94     0.19     1.98    15.33     4.35P    0.48R    0.12  
Crewe                20   29  +14      70.76     7.85    23.47     3.24    15.83    52.68    25.53P    0.04R    0.01  
Torquay              20   29   +8      67.90     7.77    12.79     1.37     8.08    37.26    14.93P    0.09R    0.01  
Bradford             21   27   -6      59.36     7.29    -8.69     0.05     0.54     6.05     1.67P    1.52R    0.42  
Southend             20   26   +0      67.91     7.83     9.25     1.26     7.85    36.32    16.29P    0.15R    0.02  
Oxford_Utd           21   26   -3      54.88     7.19   -10.26     0.01     0.11     1.82     0.43P    5.62R    1.70  
Macclesfield         21   26   -6      55.19     7.26   -13.73     0.01     0.10     2.07     0.43P    5.66R    1.79  
Burton_Albion        20   25   +3      59.24     7.68     0.56     0.06     0.72     7.60     2.20P    1.96R    0.51  
Aldershot            20   25   -6      59.73     7.52    -7.29     0.07     0.63     7.21     1.85P    1.78R    0.47  
Stevenage            20   24   +3      59.16     7.60     2.70     0.06     0.68     7.27     2.27P    1.88R    0.54  
Accrington_Stanley   20   24   -2      56.26     7.66    -7.79     0.02     0.29     3.53     0.85P    4.68R    1.46  
Northampton          21   24   -8      60.37     7.46    -4.93     0.06     0.70     8.17     2.56P    1.29R    0.30  
Stockport            22   23  -21      48.11     7.09   -33.90     0.00     0.01     0.18     0.04P   28.29R   12.24  
Morecambe            20   21   -7      54.85     7.64   -10.07     0.01     0.12     2.26     0.58P    7.05R    2.46  
Lincoln_City         19   19  -13      47.58     7.35   -24.95     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.03P   30.52R   14.15  
Barnet               22   19  -16      42.47     6.70   -31.04     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   59.57R   36.29  
Hereford             21   16  -18      44.03     7.21   -27.76     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   49.29R   27.48  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 January 2011, AFC_Wimbledon vs Hayes_&_Yeading; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
AFC_Wimbledon      22   47  +19      84.48     7.18    26.04    13.82    86.98    30.11P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       20   43  +24      86.15     7.50    35.69    21.40    91.14    38.98P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              21   42  +24      92.22     6.89    49.93    61.18    98.78    76.90P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     24   41  +12      72.60     7.00    14.19     0.48    30.57     6.06P    0.00R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     23   40  +13      72.66     7.04    14.91     0.58    31.13     6.35P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      23   37   +1      68.39     6.84     0.43     0.12    12.09     2.24P    0.01R    0.00  
Wrexham            22   34   +8      71.75     6.92    15.42     0.36    26.94     6.74P    0.01R    0.00  
Mansfield          23   34   +6      71.66     7.02    15.81     0.39    27.59     5.98P    0.01R    0.00  
Grimsby            21   32   +9      73.61     7.46    20.44     0.99    38.58    11.63P    0.00R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   22   32   +2      72.46     6.92    14.01     0.47    30.21     8.26P    0.00R    0.00  
Bath_City          23   30   -4      56.46     7.00   -12.89     0.00     0.49     0.08P    3.23R    0.24  
York               22   29   +4      66.35     7.01    10.72     0.08     8.74     2.23P    0.07R    0.00  
Darlington         21   27   +4      67.59     7.39    13.29     0.12    13.17     3.72P    0.07R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      23   27   +2      60.12     6.95     4.49     0.00     1.55     0.36P    0.87R    0.08  
Kettering          21   25   -5      60.07     7.16    -3.72     0.00     1.47     0.28P    1.26R    0.10  
Tamworth           21   25   -6      55.83     7.18   -11.79     0.00     0.40     0.06P    4.89R    0.66  
Gateshead          21   25   -6      52.38     6.96   -16.99     0.00     0.07     0.00    11.06R    1.56  
Barrow             21   23   -6      51.55     7.00   -15.56     0.00     0.06     0.01P   12.96R    2.00  
Forest_Green       23   23  -13      48.67     6.70   -23.12     0.00     0.01     0.00    23.48R    4.68  
Eastbourne_Boro    23   22  -11      48.30     6.78   -20.77     0.00     0.01     0.00    24.85R    4.93  
Histon             21   20  -15      47.16     7.02   -26.35     0.00     0.01     0.00    32.50R    7.90  
Hayes_&_Yeading    23   20  -21      42.33     6.52   -37.15     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.01R   23.26  
Southport          22   19  -10      44.16     6.93   -22.26     0.00     0.00     0.00P   47.50R   14.82  
Altrincham         22   15  -31      39.83     6.60   -44.78     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.22R   39.77