Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 29 December 2010 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 29 December 2010, Chelsea vs Bolton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         18   38  +22      80.26     5.67    46.45    60.54    83.26    95.18    99.12   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        20   38  +16      68.84     5.61    25.74     2.65    12.47    33.06    74.13    98.33     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         19   36  +17      74.74     5.82    37.91    17.59    49.26    79.17    94.35    99.79     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         19   34  +18      74.89     5.44    42.02    18.78    51.95    81.77    95.48    99.87     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       19   33   +6      63.51     6.08    12.78     0.43     2.90     9.79    29.79    87.00     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          20   29   +6      51.31     5.74     1.75     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.87    17.30     0.74R    0.06  
Sunderland      20   27   -1      49.57     5.73    -4.22     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.38    10.17     1.85R    0.16  
Blackpool       17   25   -3      46.46     6.29   -16.94     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.17     5.31     8.85R    1.41  
Blackburn       20   25   -5      46.14     5.70   -11.21     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.10     3.42     6.91R    0.86  
Stoke           19   24   -1      44.84     5.68    -9.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     2.27    10.12R    1.43  
Everton         19   22   -1      50.66     6.06     2.54     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.69    15.98     1.64R    0.18  
Liverpool       18   22   -2      55.96     6.19     7.52     0.01     0.14     0.77     4.59    47.31     0.19R    0.01  
Newcastle       19   22   -3      47.14     6.19    -4.93     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.17     6.47     6.14R    0.90  
West_Brom       19   22   -9      43.72     6.07   -16.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     1.96    16.98R    3.59  
Aston_Villa     19   20  -14      45.18     5.94   -16.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     2.60    11.38R    2.05  
Wigan           19   20  -14      36.47     5.41   -30.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05    62.54R   24.71  
Birmingham      18   19   -3      42.58     5.97    -8.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.29    19.32R    4.03  
Fulham          19   19   -4      41.51     5.76    -9.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.81    23.16R    4.85  
Wolverhampton   19   18  -12      35.60     5.57   -25.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05    66.97R   29.64  
West_Ham        20   17  -13      35.98     5.57   -23.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    63.20R   26.12  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 29 December 2010, Nott'm_Forest vs Derby; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              23   47  +28      85.01     6.95    37.51    59.60    78.97    97.42    84.11P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          23   40  +12      78.13     7.04    22.21    16.37    40.00    83.03    52.24P    0.00R    0.00  
Swansea          24   40   +6      72.60     6.66     9.78     3.36    11.88    55.76    22.33P    0.02R    0.00  
Leeds_United     24   40   +4      71.26     6.99     5.44     3.04     9.78    47.36    17.21P    0.10R    0.00  
Norwich          23   39   +7      72.40     7.23     9.65     4.33    13.69    54.45    22.68P    0.10R    0.01  
Reading          23   34  +10      70.97     7.03    18.21     2.97    10.19    49.07    21.66P    0.11R    0.01  
Coventry         24   34   +1      61.62     6.58    -2.66     0.06     0.38     7.26     1.67P    3.06R    0.27  
Nott'm_Forest    21   33  +10      73.04     7.27    18.73     5.34    16.34    60.12    29.29P    0.06R    0.00  
Watford          22   33   +8      68.42     7.37    11.55     1.78     6.05    35.06    12.65P    0.56R    0.04  
Burnley          22   32   +5      66.15     7.47     6.40     0.94     3.48    24.71     8.86P    1.24R    0.14  
Millwall         23   32   +4      62.93     6.97     3.38     0.20     0.97    11.70     3.18P    2.54R    0.28  
Derby            23   30   +3      60.48     6.97     0.91     0.09     0.37     6.58     1.68P    5.39R    0.74  
Portsmouth       22   30   +1      68.29     7.36     9.15     1.47     5.57    34.40    13.85P    0.59R    0.04  
Hull             23   30   -2      61.94     7.01    -1.16     0.12     0.65     9.08     2.68P    3.58R    0.40  
Doncaster        21   30   -3      63.25     7.40    -4.57     0.27     1.23    13.00     3.37P    3.46R    0.43  
Barnsley         22   29   -7      56.17     6.86   -15.87     0.01     0.09     1.65     0.34P   17.30R    3.11  
Leicester        24   29   -9      59.11     6.75    -9.24     0.03     0.17     3.68     0.95P    8.04R    1.13  
Bristol_City     23   28   -7      56.06     6.83   -12.15     0.01     0.06     1.47     0.30P   17.03R    3.18  
Ipswich          22   25   -7      55.03     7.00   -11.14     0.01     0.05     1.25     0.26P   21.01R    4.37  
Sheff_Utd        23   25  -14      54.71     6.89   -16.68     0.00     0.03     0.92     0.19P   23.37R    5.07  
Middlesbrough    23   24   -8      55.99     6.89    -7.17     0.01     0.04     1.62     0.42P   16.25R    3.06  
Scunthorpe       21   23  -10      50.01     7.15   -22.46     0.00     0.01     0.26     0.05P   49.20R   17.29  
Crystal_Palace   23   22  -16      49.34     6.70   -22.32     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P   52.75R   17.94  
Preston          22   19  -16      45.16     7.01   -27.50     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   74.22R   42.48  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 29 December 2010, Brighton vs Charlton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         20   37  +16      78.16     7.66    24.20    22.72    40.07    79.59    49.40P    0.02R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        21   33  +13      76.70     7.56    27.17    17.91    33.93    74.97    47.33P    0.05R    0.00  
Charlton         20   33   +6      76.33     7.72    17.59    15.74    30.52    71.61    42.24P    0.07R    0.00  
Huddersfield     21   32   +6      72.41     7.56    15.31     6.42    14.77    53.19    24.73P    0.26R    0.01  
Southampton      20   31  +11      77.51     7.59    27.45    21.28    37.78    77.99    51.81P    0.03R    0.00  
Bournemouth      20   30  +13      67.49     7.93    15.64     2.36     6.15    30.25    11.39P    1.75R    0.06  
Colchester       19   30   +2      69.46     7.90     5.70     3.59     8.73    36.79    15.28P    1.08R    0.02  
Peterborough     20   30   -2      67.06     8.06    -0.51     2.07     5.42    26.42     9.68P    2.53R    0.16  
Oldham           18   29   +6      68.06     8.08     7.16     2.66     6.70    31.16    11.64P    1.76R    0.05  
Exeter           20   29   -2      60.02     7.53    -9.69     0.19     0.59     6.05     1.30P   11.91R    0.70  
Hartlepool       19   29   -2      63.32     7.82    -6.38     0.67     1.95    13.29     3.93P    5.97R    0.28  
MK_Dons          20   29   -5      64.47     7.73    -5.66     0.72     2.18    16.05     4.78P    4.64R    0.19  
Brentford        19   28   +2      65.60     7.79     3.01     1.08     3.28    20.63     6.70P    3.05R    0.13  
Carlisle         19   27   +6      65.22     7.87     7.67     1.17     3.31    20.57     7.14P    3.33R    0.12  
Plymouth         20   26   -4      63.09     7.88    -1.98     0.58     1.73    13.23     4.51P    6.26R    0.38  
Swindon          20   25   -3      62.30     7.70    -0.84     0.39     1.32    10.89     3.54P    7.05R    0.36  
Leyton_Orient    19   24   +1      59.21     7.75    -1.75     0.19     0.62     5.77     1.62P   13.54R    0.93  
Notts_County     19   23   -5      57.29     8.03    -9.35     0.10     0.34     3.82     1.02P   21.76R    2.35  
Rochdale         19   22   +1      57.55     8.13    -1.62     0.11     0.41     4.56     1.27P   19.86R    2.09  
Tranmere         19   22   -8      52.91     7.55   -17.22     0.01     0.06     0.87     0.19P   41.35R    6.01  
Bristol_Rovers   19   22  -11      55.06     7.87   -17.58     0.05     0.14     1.97     0.44P   31.41R    4.25  
Dag_&_Red        19   18  -11      44.70     7.63   -27.86     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   80.12R   34.30  
Walsall          19   17  -14      48.57     7.67   -22.46     0.00     0.01     0.20     0.05P   63.63R   16.63  
Yeovil           19   16  -16      45.25     7.52   -28.03     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.02P   78.56R   30.97  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 28 December 2010, Barnet vs Stockport; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         19   38  +16      81.69     8.06    26.01    32.64    64.77    91.39    71.22P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            20   36  +13      77.96     7.51    22.21    15.33    45.92    84.22    55.84P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 19   34  +14      76.43     7.85    22.07    12.59    38.96    78.17    48.69P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            19   34   +9      75.56     7.87    15.83    10.02    33.32    73.27    43.16P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              20   34   +8      75.90     7.87    17.28    10.37    35.51    74.91    46.35P    0.00R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           19   33  +13      76.20     7.85    22.15    11.69    37.92    77.52    48.26P    0.00R    0.00  
Cheltenham           20   30   +1      64.53     7.69    -1.05     0.53     3.51    21.33     6.89P    0.42R    0.09  
Torquay              19   28   +8      68.70     7.95    13.46     2.05    10.87    42.01    18.25P    0.13R    0.03  
Gillingham           20   27   +0      65.70     7.83     4.50     0.79     4.99    26.70    10.70P    0.33R    0.08  
Crewe                19   26  +12      68.99     8.10    21.21     2.55    12.63    45.09    21.33P    0.14R    0.03  
Oxford_Utd           20   26   -1      56.68     7.50    -7.64     0.02     0.25     3.82     0.90P    4.42R    1.41  
Macclesfield         20   25   -6      54.90     7.43   -14.67     0.02     0.12     2.24     0.46P    7.54R    2.54  
Stevenage            19   24   +4      60.22     7.88     3.31     0.18     1.33    10.57     3.49P    1.93R    0.55  
Burton_Albion        19   24   +3      59.54     7.89     0.37     0.11     1.12     9.20     2.76P    2.32R    0.74  
Northampton          20   24   -6      61.97     7.72    -2.68     0.16     1.62    13.53     4.52P    1.14R    0.34  
Bradford             20   24   -7      57.54     7.45    -9.89     0.03     0.41     4.35     1.25P    3.56R    1.05  
Southend             19   23   -2      65.81     8.02     6.54     0.85     5.54    28.28    12.19P    0.37R    0.09  
Stockport            21   23  -18      49.37     7.24   -31.00     0.00     0.02     0.35     0.06P   25.29R   10.71  
Aldershot            19   22   -7      57.82     7.77    -8.72     0.03     0.48     5.39     1.50P    3.98R    1.30  
Accrington_Stanley   19   21   -3      53.93     7.85    -9.80     0.01     0.21     2.28     0.57P    9.77R    3.70  
Morecambe            19   21   -6      57.03     7.98    -7.81     0.03     0.49     4.92     1.51P    5.41R    1.94  
Lincoln_City         18   19  -12      48.85     7.48   -23.91     0.00     0.01     0.40     0.06P   27.54R   12.55  
Barnet               21   19  -15      43.96     6.97   -29.71     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   53.72R   31.54  
Hereford             20   15  -18      44.15     7.33   -28.05     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   51.97R   31.33  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 28 December 2010, AFC_Wimbledon vs Eastbourne_Boro; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
AFC_Wimbledon      21   44  +17      84.08     7.28    26.09    16.26    84.77    31.40P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     23   41  +13      75.24     7.21    17.18     1.97    43.05     9.38P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       19   40  +22      85.25     7.78    34.93    22.30    87.55    38.64P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              20   39  +21      90.50     7.17    46.60    54.56    97.18    71.58P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     22   37  +12      70.55     7.32    13.24     0.52    21.38     4.57P    0.01R    0.00  
Mansfield          22   34  +11      73.96     7.15    22.26     1.32    38.59     9.82P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      22   34   +0      67.33     7.07     0.33     0.12     9.55     1.85P    0.05R    0.00  
Wrexham            21   33   +8      72.56     7.16    16.13     0.79    29.76     7.66P    0.00R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   21   32   +5      73.67     7.11    16.80     1.21    35.26    10.29P    0.00R    0.00  
Grimsby            20   29   +4      70.79     7.62    13.49     0.56    23.45     6.83P    0.02R    0.00  
Darlington         20   27   +5      69.40     7.58    15.05     0.32    18.46     5.43P    0.04R    0.00  
Bath_City          22   27   -5      53.28     7.19   -16.44     0.00     0.15     0.02P    8.96R    1.15  
Cambridge_Utd      22   26   +2      61.71     7.13     6.41     0.01     2.43     0.61P    0.65R    0.04  
York               21   26   +1      63.97     7.24     6.62     0.05     4.61     1.16P    0.32R    0.01  
Gateshead          20   25   -3      54.60     7.16   -12.45     0.00     0.23     0.03P    6.35R    0.79  
Kettering          20   25   -4      62.68     7.40    -0.89     0.02     3.24     0.71P    0.62R    0.05  
Forest_Green       22   23  -12      49.63     6.93   -23.07     0.00     0.02     0.00    20.38R    3.94  
Barrow             20   22   -6      52.56     7.21   -14.59     0.00     0.12     0.02P   11.04R    1.66  
Tamworth           20   22   -7      53.39     7.35   -14.02     0.00     0.19     0.02P    9.56R    1.57  
Eastbourne_Boro    22   22   -9      48.95     6.87   -20.07     0.00     0.01     0.00    22.14R    4.13  
Hayes_&_Yeading    22   20  -19      42.75     6.65   -36.96     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.50R   21.19  
Histon             20   19  -15      46.50     7.19   -28.23     0.00     0.01     0.00    36.95R    9.59  
Southport          21   18  -10      44.17     7.13   -22.78     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.17R   15.45  
Altrincham         21   14  -31      39.75     6.82   -45.64     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.25R   40.42