Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 28 December 2010 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 28 December 2010, Birmingham vs Man_Utd; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         18   38  +22      80.23     5.70    46.51    55.98    80.85    94.49    98.95    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        20   38  +16      68.85     5.54    25.76     2.26    10.66    30.54    71.85    97.96     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         18   35  +17      76.35     5.98    40.07    24.59    58.78    84.22    95.49    99.81     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       19   33   +6      63.48     6.03    12.75     0.35     2.26     8.58    27.11    85.21     0.00R    0.00  
Chelsea         18   31  +17      74.66     5.57    43.70    16.78    46.91    79.44    94.03    99.70     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          19   29   +7      51.46     5.81     0.25     0.00     0.02     0.13     0.83    14.39     0.65R    0.03  
Sunderland      20   27   -1      49.53     5.69    -4.32     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.27     7.96     1.52R    0.09  
Blackpool       17   25   -3      46.40     6.27   -17.07     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.17     3.94     7.61R    0.90  
Blackburn       20   25   -5      46.11     5.72   -11.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     2.65     6.03R    0.59  
Stoke           19   24   -1      44.99     5.66    -9.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     1.78     8.21R    0.83  
Everton         19   22   -1      50.63     6.06     2.47     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.62    12.78     1.36R    0.10  
Liverpool       17   22   -1      59.06     6.33    11.26     0.04     0.52     2.47    10.33    63.58     0.05R    0.00  
Newcastle       19   22   -3      47.23     6.20    -4.82     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.15     5.15     5.12R    0.57  
West_Brom       19   22   -9      43.84     6.00   -16.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     1.38    14.06R    2.25  
Aston_Villa     19   20  -14      45.31     5.95   -16.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     2.01     9.54R    1.31  
Birmingham      18   19   -3      42.57     5.94    -8.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.99    17.13R    2.72  
Fulham          19   19   -4      41.39     5.79    -9.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.66    21.51R    3.48  
Wigan           18   19  -14      35.67     5.49   -32.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    65.55R   22.64  
West_Ham        20   17  -13      35.94     5.56   -23.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    60.48R   19.44  
Wolverhampton   18   15  -13      32.52     5.62   -29.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    81.15R   45.06  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 28 December 2010, Bristol_City vs Crystal_Palace; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              23   47  +28      85.07     6.98    37.62    60.81    80.07    97.55    84.86P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          23   40  +12      78.12     7.00    22.21    16.57    40.63    83.51    52.86P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          24   40   +6      72.61     6.70     9.78     3.38    12.45    56.39    23.15P    0.03R    0.00  
Leeds_United     24   40   +4      71.09     6.98     5.15     2.81     9.70    46.85    17.05P    0.13R    0.00  
Norwich          23   39   +7      72.38     7.19     9.66     4.38    13.91    54.95    22.94P    0.05R    0.00  
Reading          23   34  +10      70.96     7.04    18.23     3.05    10.66    49.62    22.41P    0.16R    0.01  
Coventry         24   34   +0      61.49     6.61    -3.94     0.06     0.38     7.25     1.62P    3.54R    0.35  
Watford          22   33   +8      68.27     7.36    11.37     1.66     6.12    34.53    12.46P    0.59R    0.05  
Burnley          22   32   +5      66.38     7.46     6.78     1.04     3.89    25.92     9.64P    1.14R    0.08  
Millwall         23   32   +5      63.34     7.02     4.85     0.25     1.16    13.33     3.79P    2.29R    0.23  
Nott'm_Forest    20   30   +7      70.86     7.50    14.92     3.52    11.36    48.38    21.67P    0.22R    0.01  
Derby            22   30   +6      61.97     7.14     4.16     0.20     0.98    10.49     2.94P    3.81R    0.44  
Portsmouth       22   30   +1      68.50     7.40     9.50     1.73     6.08    35.69    14.88P    0.65R    0.05  
Doncaster        21   30   -2      63.56     7.35    -3.14     0.32     1.41    14.15     3.94P    3.01R    0.32  
Hull             23   30   -3      61.77     7.03    -2.47     0.15     0.68     8.97     2.70P    4.07R    0.47  
Barnsley         22   29   -6      56.51     6.89   -14.39     0.01     0.07     1.89     0.40P   16.50R    2.86  
Leicester        24   29   -9      59.23     6.73    -9.02     0.03     0.18     3.73     1.02P    7.90R    1.10  
Ipswich          22   27   -5      57.61     7.08    -8.39     0.02     0.14     3.04     0.75P   12.57R    2.19  
Bristol_City     23   27   -9      54.51     6.79   -15.10     0.00     0.02     0.88     0.17P   23.85R    4.83  
Sheff_Utd        23   25  -14      54.74     6.87   -16.70     0.01     0.03     0.99     0.24P   23.62R    4.85  
Middlesbrough    23   24   -9      55.69     6.92    -8.62     0.01     0.06     1.45     0.42P   18.00R    3.55  
Scunthorpe       21   23  -10      50.05     7.16   -22.44     0.00     0.01     0.28     0.07P   49.71R   17.23  
Crystal_Palace   23   22  -16      49.38     6.77   -22.31     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.03P   53.04R   18.01  
Preston          22   19  -16      45.08     7.00   -27.70     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   75.14R   43.40  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 28 December 2010, MK_Dons vs Bournemouth; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         19   36  +16      78.70     7.89    24.44    24.50    41.99    80.67    50.94P    0.03R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        21   33  +13      76.83     7.62    27.41    17.62    33.83    75.29    47.45P    0.05R    0.00  
Huddersfield     21   32   +6      72.28     7.57    15.09     5.80    14.11    52.46    23.93P    0.31R    0.01  
Charlton         19   32   +6      76.77     7.96    17.72    17.30    32.22    72.35    43.71P    0.10R    0.00  
Southampton      20   31  +11      77.50     7.56    27.42    19.62    36.77    78.11    51.21P    0.04R    0.00  
Bournemouth      20   30  +13      67.75     8.05    16.01     2.49     6.49    31.62    12.04P    1.85R    0.05  
Colchester       19   30   +2      69.32     7.88     5.47     3.40     8.16    35.76    14.47P    1.01R    0.03  
Peterborough     20   30   -2      67.23     8.13    -0.22     1.99     5.41    27.17     9.78P    2.57R    0.11  
Oldham           18   29   +6      67.80     8.04     6.76     2.37     5.86    29.88    10.56P    1.69R    0.06  
Exeter           20   29   -2      59.97     7.48    -9.83     0.14     0.53     5.66     1.30P   12.07R    0.81  
Hartlepool       19   29   -2      63.46     7.76    -6.20     0.62     1.80    13.43     3.94P    5.50R    0.25  
MK_Dons          20   29   -5      64.53     7.76    -5.52     0.73     2.27    16.14     5.00P    4.47R    0.20  
Brentford        19   28   +2      65.72     7.81     3.15     1.14     3.28    20.90     6.81P    2.86R    0.12  
Carlisle         19   27   +6      65.24     7.87     7.72     1.05     3.14    20.43     6.95P    3.26R    0.15  
Plymouth         20   26   -4      62.96     7.90    -2.16     0.47     1.54    12.76     4.24P    6.52R    0.37  
Swindon          20   25   -3      62.28     7.76    -0.95     0.36     1.22    10.83     3.41P    7.28R    0.45  
Leyton_Orient    19   24   +1      59.09     7.80    -1.92     0.14     0.49     5.68     1.45P   14.01R    1.10  
Notts_County     19   23   -5      57.25     8.00    -9.38     0.10     0.31     3.66     0.93P   21.78R    2.37  
Rochdale         19   22   +1      57.36     8.09    -1.88     0.12     0.39     4.32     1.27P   20.14R    2.17  
Tranmere         19   22   -8      52.85     7.54   -17.32     0.01     0.04     0.77     0.17P   41.30R    5.99  
Bristol_Rovers   19   22  -11      55.06     7.81   -17.58     0.03     0.13     1.82     0.40P   31.25R    4.05  
Dag_&_Red        19   18  -11      44.72     7.65   -27.78     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   79.89R   34.18  
Walsall          19   17  -14      48.60     7.65   -22.40     0.00     0.01     0.19     0.03P   63.34R   16.85  
Yeovil           19   16  -16      45.25     7.54   -28.03     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   78.68R   30.67  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 28 December 2010, Barnet vs Stockport; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         19   38  +16      81.56     7.96    25.82    31.74    63.97    91.52    70.56P    0.00R    0.00  
Port_Vale            20   36  +13      78.08     7.52    22.35    15.74    46.58    84.51    56.24P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 19   34  +14      76.56     7.85    22.29    13.28    39.62    78.60    49.23P    0.00R    0.00  
Rotherham            19   34   +9      75.39     7.89    15.66     9.44    32.44    73.12    42.35P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              20   34   +8      76.01     7.90    17.43    10.94    36.27    75.38    47.22P    0.00R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           19   33  +13      76.09     7.79    22.02    11.32    37.33    77.15    47.69P    0.01R    0.00  
Cheltenham           20   30   +1      64.39     7.58    -1.27     0.45     3.24    20.26     6.35P    0.45R    0.10  
Torquay              19   28   +8      68.79     8.01    13.60     2.27    11.37    42.87    18.92P    0.13R    0.03  
Gillingham           20   27   +0      65.64     7.89     4.38     0.86     5.19    26.81    10.90P    0.33R    0.10  
Crewe                19   26  +12      68.95     8.10    21.15     2.45    12.53    44.78    20.97P    0.11R    0.03  
Oxford_Utd           20   26   -1      56.83     7.48    -7.40     0.03     0.33     3.81     0.97P    4.43R    1.35  
Macclesfield         20   25   -6      54.79     7.45   -14.85     0.01     0.15     2.17     0.49P    7.75R    2.65  
Stevenage            19   24   +4      60.16     7.81     3.25     0.12     1.25    10.17     3.29P    1.83R    0.52  
Burton_Albion        19   24   +3      59.54     7.86     0.40     0.12     0.96     9.07     2.74P    2.20R    0.65  
Northampton          20   24   -6      61.98     7.67    -2.63     0.17     1.55    13.33     4.59P    1.10R    0.32  
Bradford             20   24   -7      57.57     7.50    -9.85     0.04     0.36     4.53     1.26P    3.80R    1.16  
Southend             19   23   -2      65.96     8.09     6.77     0.95     5.81    28.88    12.67P    0.43R    0.10  
Stockport            21   23  -18      49.54     7.29   -30.75     0.00     0.01     0.40     0.08P   24.83R   10.70  
Aldershot            19   22   -7      57.92     7.77    -8.55     0.03     0.51     5.55     1.57P    3.98R    1.36  
Accrington_Stanley   19   21   -3      53.79     7.81   -10.07     0.01     0.14     1.99     0.48P   10.12R    3.85  
Morecambe            19   21   -6      56.97     7.86    -7.94     0.04     0.38     4.68     1.37P    5.11R    1.66  
Lincoln_City         18   19  -12      48.98     7.50   -23.72     0.00     0.02     0.36     0.06P   26.85R   11.99  
Barnet               21   19  -15      44.00     6.97   -29.70     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   53.48R   31.02  
Hereford             20   15  -18      43.93     7.36   -28.38     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   53.07R   32.41  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 28 December 2010, AFC_Wimbledon vs Eastbourne_Boro; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
AFC_Wimbledon      21   44  +17      84.02     7.31    25.96    15.65    84.43    30.65P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     23   41  +13      75.27     7.25    17.19     2.05    43.72     9.53P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       19   40  +22      85.59     7.68    35.51    23.42    88.70    39.59P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              20   39  +21      90.45     7.17    46.61    53.90    97.13    71.43P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     22   37  +12      70.77     7.32    13.56     0.54    22.13     4.76P    0.01R    0.00  
Mansfield          22   34  +11      73.75     7.18    21.90     1.28    37.46     9.47P    0.00R    0.00  
Kidderminster      22   34   +0      67.38     7.11     0.42     0.11     9.54     1.85P    0.06R    0.00  
Wrexham            21   33   +8      72.58     7.15    16.15     0.79    30.00     7.82P    0.01R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   21   32   +5      73.59     7.12    16.71     1.22    34.75    10.44P    0.00R    0.00  
Grimsby            20   29   +4      70.50     7.68    13.00     0.63    22.66     6.59P    0.02R    0.00  
Darlington         20   27   +5      69.32     7.61    14.93     0.33    18.35     5.34P    0.05R    0.00  
Bath_City          22   27   -5      53.63     7.20   -15.86     0.00     0.18     0.02P    8.36R    1.03  
Cambridge_Utd      22   26   +2      61.72     7.17     6.43     0.01     2.50     0.61P    0.63R    0.06  
York               21   26   +1      64.00     7.22     6.69     0.04     4.61     1.23P    0.28R    0.02  
Gateshead          20   25   -3      54.49     7.24   -12.61     0.00     0.26     0.02P    6.90R    0.90  
Kettering          20   25   -4      62.67     7.44    -0.88     0.02     3.32     0.63P    0.65R    0.04  
Forest_Green       22   23  -12      49.59     6.88   -23.10     0.00     0.03     0.00P   20.11R    3.99  
Barrow             20   22   -6      52.47     7.22   -14.73     0.00     0.10     0.01P   11.44R    1.72  
Tamworth           20   22   -7      53.34     7.30   -14.12     0.00     0.12     0.01P    9.57R    1.57  
Eastbourne_Boro    22   22   -9      48.96     6.87   -20.16     0.00     0.01     0.00    22.32R    4.19  
Hayes_&_Yeading    22   20  -19      42.78     6.66   -36.95     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.40R   20.97  
Histon             20   19  -15      46.61     7.27   -28.07     0.00     0.01     0.00P   36.24R    9.62  
Southport          21   18  -10      43.99     7.09   -23.01     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.91R   15.89  
Altrincham         21   14  -31      39.75     6.83   -45.56     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.05R   40.00